• Title/Summary/Keyword: input prediction system

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A Study on the Flexible Disk Grinding Process Parameter Prediction Using Neural Network (신경망을 이용한 유연성 디스크 연삭가공공정 인자 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Song-Min
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2008
  • In order to clarify detailed mechanism of the flexible disk grinding system, workpiece length was introduced and its performance was evaluated. Flat zone ratio increased as the workpiece length increased. Increasing wheel speed and depth of cut also enhanced process performance by producing larger flat zone ratio. Neural network system was successfully applied to predict minimum depth of engagement and flat zone ratio. An additional input parameter as workpiece length to the neural network system enhanced the prediction performance by reducing error rate. By rearranging the Input combinations to the network, the workpiece length was precisely predicted with the prediction error rate lower than 2.8% depending on the network structure.

Evaluation of Models for Estimating Shrinkage Stress in Patch Repair System

  • Kristiawan, Stefanus A.
    • International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.221-230
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    • 2012
  • Cracking of repair material due to restraint of shrinkage could hinder the intended extension of serviceability of repaired concrete structure. The availability of model to predict shrinkage stress under restraint condition will be useful to assess whether repair material with particular deformation properties is resistance to cracking or not. The accuracy in the prediction will depend upon reliability of the model, input parameters, testing methods used to characterize the input parameters, etc. This paper reviews a variety of models to predict shrinkage stress in patch repair system. Effect of creep and composite action to release shrinkage stress in the patch repair system are quantified and discussed. Accuracy of the models is examined by comparing predicted and measured shrinkage stress. Simplified model to estimate shrinkage stress is proposed which requires only shrinkage property of repair material as an input parameter.

A Study on development of short term electric load prediction system with the genetic algorithm and the fuzzy system (유전자알고리즘과 퍼지시스템을 이용한 단기부하예측 시스템 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Hwan-Il;Jang, Woo-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.730-735
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    • 2006
  • This paper proposes a time series prediction method for the short term electrical load will) the fuzzy system and the genetic algorithm. At first, we obtain the optimal fuzzy membership function using the genetic algorithm. With the optimal fuzzy rules and its input differences, a better time prediction system may be obtained. We obtain good results for the time prediction of the short term electric load by the proposed algorithm. In addition we implement the graphic user interface for the proposed algorithms. Finally, we implement the regional prediction system for the electric load.

Implementing an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Model for Emotion Prediction Based on Heart Rate Variability(HRV) (심박변이도를 이용한 적응적 뉴로 퍼지 감정예측 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sung Soo;Lee, Kun Chang
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.239-247
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    • 2019
  • An accurate prediction of emotion is a very important issue for the sake of patient-centered medical device development and emotion-related psychology fields. Although there have been many studies on emotion prediction, no studies have applied the heart rate variability and neuro-fuzzy approach to emotion prediction. We propose ANFEP(Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy System for Emotion Prediction) HRV. The ANFEP bases its core functions on an ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) which integrates neural networks with fuzzy systems as a vehicle for training predictive models. To prove the proposed model, 50 participants were invited to join the experiment and Heart rate variability was obtained and used to input the ANFEP model. The ANFEP model with STDRR and RMSSD as inputs and two membership functions per input variable showed the best results. The result out of applying the ANFEP to the HRV metrics proved to be significantly robust when compared with benchmarking methods like linear regression, support vector regression, neural network, and random forest. The results show that reliable prediction of emotion is possible with less input and it is necessary to develop a more accurate and reliable emotion recognition system.

An Input-correlated Neuron Model and Its Learning Characteristics

  • Yamakawa, Takeshi;Aonishi, Toru;Uchino, Eiji;Miki, Tsutomu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1993.06a
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    • pp.1013-1016
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    • 1993
  • This paper describes a new type of neuron model, the inputs of which are interfered with one another. It has a high mapping ability with only single unit. The learning speed is considerably improved compared with the conventional linear type neural networks. The proposed neuron model was successfully applied to the prediction problem of chaotic time series signal.

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Stochastic Multiple Input-Output Model for Extension and Prediction of Monthly Runoff Series (월유출량계열의 확장과 예측을 위한 추계학적 다중 입출력모형)

  • 박상우;전병호
    • Water for future
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 1995
  • This study attempts to develop a stochastic system model for extension and prediction of monthly runoff series in river basins where the observed runoff data are insufficient although there are long-term hydrometeorological records. For this purpose, univariate models of a seasonal ARIMA type are derived from the time series analysis of monthly runoff, monthly precipitation and monthly evaporation data with trend and periodicity. Also, a causual model of multiple input-single output relationship that take monthly precipitation and monthly evaporation as input variables-monthly runoff as output variable is built by the cross-correlation analysis of each series. The performance of the univariate model and the multiple input-output model were examined through comparisons between the historical and the generated monthly runoff series. The results reveals that the multiple input-output model leads to the improved accuracy and wide range of applicability when extension and prediction of monthly runoff series is required.

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Chaotic Time Series Prediction using Parallel-Structure Fuzzy Systems (병렬구조 퍼지스스템을 이용한 카오스 시계열 데이터 예측)

  • 공성곤
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a parallel-structure fuzzy system(PSFS) for prediction of time series data. The PSFS consists of a multiple number of fuzzy systems connected in parallel. Each component fuzzy system in the PSFS predicts the same future data independently based on its past time series data with different embedding dimension and time delay. The component fuzzy systems are characterized by multiple-input singleoutput( MIS0) Sugeno-type fuzzy rules modeled by clustering input-output product space data. The optimal embedding dimension for each component fuzzy system is chosen to have superior prediction performance for a given value of time delay. The PSFS determines the final prediction result by averaging the outputs of all the component fuzzy systems excluding the predicted data with the minimum and the maximum values in order to reduce error accumulation effect.

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Study on the Demand Prediction for Transportation System Utilizing Data Granulization (Data Granulization을 이용한 수송수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • 이덕규;홍태화;김학배;우광방
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 1998.05a
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    • pp.211-218
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    • 1998
  • The demand prediction becomes an essential mean to utilize efficiently finite traffic facilities and to provide the optimized schedules for transportation system. The demand prediction is one of the critical complex management schemes for distibuting resources of transportation service by means of computer system. The construction of a prediction model is based on data granulization, followed by processing the raw input data and evaluating the predicted output values. A large number of economic-social parameters are also to be implemented in conventional prediction models which are only based on a sequence of past data. The proposed prediction models are classified by static and dynamic characteristics and its performances are evaluated utilizing computer simulation.

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A computational algorithm for F0 contour generation in Korean developed with prosodically labeled databases using K-ToBI system (K-ToBI 기호에 준한 F0 곡선 생성 알고리듬)

  • Lee YongJu;Lee Sook-hyang;Kim Jong-Jin;Go Hyeon-Ju;Kim Yeong-Il;Kim Sang-Hun;Lee Jeong-Cheol
    • MALSORI
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    • no.35_36
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    • pp.131-143
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    • 1998
  • This study describes an algorithm for the F0 contour generation system for Korean sentences and its evaluation results. 400 K-ToBI labeled utterances were used which were read by one male and one female announcers. F0 contour generation system uses two classification trees for prediction of K-ToBI labels for input text and 11 regression trees for prediction of F0 values for the labels. Evaluation results of the system showed 77.2% prediction accuracy for prediction of IP boundaries and 72.0% prediction accuracy for AP boundaries. Information of voicing and duration of the segments was not changed for F0 contour generation and its evaluation. Evaluation results showed 23.5Hz RMS error and 0.55 correlation coefficient in F0 generation experiment using labelling information from the original speech data.

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Selection of Input Nodes in Artificial Neural Network for Bankruptcy Prediction by Link Weight Analysis Approach (연결강도분석접근법에 의한 부도예측용 인공신경망 모형의 입력노드 선정에 관한 연구)

  • 이응규;손동우
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.19-33
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    • 2001
  • Link weight analysis approach is suggested as a heuristic for selection of input nodes in artificial neural network for bankruptcy prediction. That is to analyze each input node\\\\`s link weight-absolute value of link weight between an input node and a hidden node in a well-trained neural network model. Prediction accuracy of three methods in this approach, -weak-linked-neurons elimination method, strong-linked-neurons selection method and integrated link weight model-is compared with that of decision tree and multivariate discrimination analysis. In result, the methods suggested in this study show higher accuracy than decision tree and multivariate discrimination analysis. Especially an integrated model has much higher accuracy than any individual models.

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