• 제목/요약/키워드: incidence estimation

검색결과 123건 처리시간 0.036초

Establishing the Method of Risk Assessment Analysis for Prevention of Marine Accidents Based on Human Factors: Application to Safe Evacuation System

  • Fukuchi, Nobuyoshi;Shinoda, Takeshi
    • Journal of Ship and Ocean Technology
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    • 제4권4호
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    • pp.19-33
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    • 2000
  • For the prevention of marine accidents based on human factor, the risk assessment analysis procedure is proposed which consists of (1) the structural analysis of marine accident, (2) the estimation of incidence probability based on the Fault Tree analysis, (3) the prediction of ef-fectiveness to reduced the accident risk by suitable countermeasures in the specified functional system, and (4) the risk assessment by means of minimizing of the total cost expectation and the background risk. As a practical example, the risk assessment analysis for preventing is investigated using the proposed method.

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신경 회로망을 이용한 이동물체의 실시간 위치측정에 대한 연구 (A study on the real-time Position measurements of mobile object using neural network)

  • 노재희;이운근;노영식
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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    • pp.832-834
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    • 1999
  • This paper is a study on the real-position measurements of mobile object using n network. 2-D PSD sensor is used to measure th position of moving object with light source. Position Sensitive Detector(PSD) is an useful which can be used to measure the position o incidence light in accuracy and in real-time. T the position of light source of moving target, neural network technique are proposed and applied. Real-time position measurements of the mobile robot with light source is examined to validate the proposed method. It is shown that the proposed technique provides accurate position estimation of the moving object.

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직교좌표에서 이동물체의 위치측정 (Position Measurements of Moving Object in Cartesian Coordinate)

  • 이용중;노재희;이양범
    • 한국공작기계학회논문집
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.36-42
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, PSD(Position Sensitive Detector) sensor system that estimates position for moving objects in 2D plane is developed. PSD sensor is used to measure the position the position of and incidence light in real-time. To get the position of light source of moving target, a new parameter calibration algorithm and neural network technique are proposed and applied. Real-time position measurements of the mobile robot with light source is examined to validate the proposed method. It is shown that the proposed technique provides accurate position estimation of the moving object.

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다중층 음향 재료의 투과손실 예측과 측정 (Prediction and Measurement of Sound Transmission Loss for Multi-layered Acoustical Materials)

  • 박소희;박철민;채기상;강연준
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제17권11호
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    • pp.1013-1020
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, the predictions and measurements of sound transmission loss(STL) are discussed for various types of acoustical materials and carpets. Random incidence sound transmission losses are measured by the sound intensity method. The in-house software HONUS2005 is used to predict TL and estimate the various physical properties such as the flow resistivity, the structure factor, the porosity, the Possion's ratio, and etc. After this estimation, various multi-layered materials with a steel plate are measured and predicted. In particular, Carpets are assumed to be membranes to predict acoustical performance. To confirm this assumption, double and triple-layered cases are also observed including two different kinds of carpets.

기관측성 판정기법에 의한 측정시스템의 신뢰도분석 (Reliability Analysis of Measurement System by Observability Identification technique)

  • 이응혁;곽노홍;문영현
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1987년도 정기총회 및 창립40주년기념 학술대회 학회본부
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    • pp.125-128
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    • 1987
  • This paper deals with the topological observability analysis and the derivation of a reliability evaluation formula of a measurement system for state estimation. An analogy of the DC power flow method to the DC circuit analysis is introduced, and all the relationship between power flows and phase angles are replaced by the corresponding current-voltage relation. As a result, a set of topological measurement equation expressed in the form of the incidence matrix is derived for the topological analysis, and the observability test is carried out by examining the rank of the measurement matrix. The reliability evaluation formula was derived experimentally by testing the observability of sample systems of IEEE-14, IEEE-3.0, IEEE-57.

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The Estimation of Early Health Effects for Different Combinations of Release Parameters and Meteorological Data

  • Jeong, Jongtae;Jung, Wondea
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.557-565
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    • 2001
  • Variations in the number of early health effects resulting from the severe accidents of the YGN 3&4 nuclear power plants were examined for different combinations of release parameters and meteorological data . The release parameters and meteorological data were selected in combination to define a limited number of basic spectra characterized by release height, heat content, release time, warning time, wind speed, rainfall rate, and atmospheric stability class. Variant seasonal spectra were also defined in order to estimate the potential significance of seasonal variations as a factor determining the incidence or number of early health effects. The results show that there are large differences in consequences from spectrum to spectrum, although an equal amount and mix of radioactive material is released to the atmosphere in each case. Also, there are large differences in the estimated number of health effects from season to season due to distinct seasonal variations in meteorological combinations in Korea. Therefore, it is necessary to consider seasonal characteristics in developing optimum emergency response strategies.

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Quadrupole 구조를 가진 Tonpilz형 수중 음향 벡터 센서를 이용한 입사각 추정 (Incidence Angle Estimation by the Tonpilz Type Underwater Acoustic Vector Sensor with a Quadrupole Structure)

  • 임영섭;노용래
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제31권8호
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    • pp.569-579
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    • 2012
  • 압전 세라믹을 이용한 전형적인 Tonpilz형 수중 음향센서는 외부에서 들어오는 음향 신호를 이에 상응하는 전압으로 변환해 스칼라 양인 음압의 크기만 측정할 뿐 외부에서 들어오는 신호의 방향은 파악할 수 없는 한계가 있다. 이와 같은 문제점을 해결하고자 본 논문에서는 Tonpilz형 트랜스듀서를 이용해 단일 센서만으로도 음압의 크기와 방위각 방향을 동시에 분석해 낼 수 있는 새로운 벡터 센서 구조를 제안하고, 제안된 구조의 타당성을 수식 및 유한요소해석을 통해 검증하였다.

EARLY WARNING FORECASTS FOR COVID-19 IN KOREA USING BAYESIAN ESTIMATION OF THE TRANSMISSION RATE

  • Byul Nim Kim
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • 제39권5호
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    • pp.493-503
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    • 2023
  • Tendency prediction of daily confirmed cases is an important issue for public health authorities. To protect the tendency, we estimate the transmission rate of stochastic SEIR model for COVID-19 in Korea using particle Markov chain Monte Carlo method. The results show that the increasing and decreasing tendency of estimated transmission rate appear one or two days in advance compared to daily incidence cases, and as time evolves the standard deviation of the estimates of transmission rate reduces. Since ten months have passed since the first incident case of COVID-19 in Korea, we expect to forecast the tendency of daily confirmed cases for the next one or two days more accurately using our method.

사고·손상·중독 유형별 사회·경제적 비용분석에 관한 연구 (A analytical research into social and economic costs for each type of accident, injury and intoxication)

  • 유인숙;최은미
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2015
  • 우리나라에서는 손상 질환에 대한 발생률 및 인구사회학적 특성에 관한 연구는 찾기 어려운 실정이어서 본 연구는 한국의료패널(2008)의 설문조사 자료와 사회 경제적비용을 추계하여 분석하였다. 특히, 사고 손상 중독 유형별 사회적 비용과 의료이용 형태에 따른 사회적 비용을 추계하였다. 향후, 손상 발생률 감소와 의료비 감소를 위한 연령, 교육, 경제소득. 사고 발생장소 등에 맞는 구체적인 예방프로그램을 개발하고 또한 지속적인 손상예방 교육이 필요하고, 우리나라 손상의 사회경제적비용을 줄이기 위한 건강보험의 효율적 운영과 개인의 참여와 사회적, 국가적 노력이 필요하다.