• Title/Summary/Keyword: import

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Export-Import Value Nowcasting Procedure Using Big Data-AIS and Machine Learning Techniques

  • NICKELSON, Jimmy;NOORAENI, Rani;EFLIZA, EFLIZA
    • Asian Journal of Business Environment
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study aims to investigate whether AIS data can be used as a supporting indicator or as an initial signal to describe Indonesia's export-import conditions in real-time. Research design, data, and methodology: This study performs several stages of data selection to obtain indicators from AIS that truly reflect export-import activities in Indonesia. Also, investigate the potential of AIS indicators in producing forecasts of the value and volume of Indonesian export-import using conventional statistical methods and machine learning techniques. Results: The six preprocessing stages defined in this study filtered AIS data from 661.8 million messages to 73.5 million messages. Seven predictors were formed from the selected AIS data. The AIS indicator can be used to provide an initial signal about Indonesia's import-export activities. Each export or import activity has its own predictor. Conventional statistical methods and machine learning techniques have the same ability both in forecasting Indonesia's exports and imports. Conclusions: Big data AIS can be used as a supporting indicator as a signal of the condition of export-import values in Indonesia. The right method of building indicators can make the data valuable for the performance of the forecasting model.

The Relationship Between Renminbi Exchange Rate Fluctuations and China's Import and Export Trade

  • Renhong WU;Yuantao FANG;Md. Alamgir HOSSAIN
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The renminbi (RMB) has appreciated alongside the elevation of China's economic status, leading to increased exchange rate volatility. Moreover, China's medical industry saw a surge in import and export trade volume, with trade related to epidemic prevention and control in the medical sector significantly increasing its share. The medical device trade, in particular, occupies a substantial portion of this trade. Research design, data and methodology: This paper focuses on the import and export value of medical devices in the medical industry as a case study to explore the impact of RMB exchange rate fluctuations on the import and export trade of the medical industry during the pandemic. Additionally, it investigates whether the import and export trade of the medical industry can be a contributing factor to the fluctuations in the RMB exchange rate. Results: Through an empirical study on the import and export values of medical devices in the medical industry over the past three years, as well as the RMB exchange rate, this paper establishes a VAR model and conducts a series of tests including stationarity tests and cointegration tests. Conclusions: The conclusion is that fluctuations in the RMB exchange rate have a long-term impact on China's medical industry's import and export trade.

Evaluation the external data import methods assess the effectiveness of the work (외부자료 입력방법에 따른 업무의 효율성 비교평가)

  • Shin, Seong-Hee;Lee, Seong-Jin;Jung, Jae-Eun;Lee, Jong-Woong
    • Korean Journal of Digital Imaging in Medicine
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.39-45
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    • 2013
  • PACS Import external image of the thread of the tasks and duties of hospital revenue and business efficiency falls over time. 500 beds or more medical imaging import work outside of the hospital, most hospitals use a PC, KIOSK, and was used in 15 hospitals where, CD Autoloader where use was the only one. Working hours compared to CD and DVD media to test the results of the Import target PC, KIOSK, CD Autoloader Import spent less time in the order, and also the greater capacity of CD Autoloader four times the PC, KIOSK 2 times Import could be implemented quickly. In addition, the waiting time of the patients was measured using the PC's time to Import, 2011 14.5 minutes and the average patient waiting time, KIOSK and later use CD Autoloader 2012 average patient wait time of 8.25 minutes, 43% of the existing average waiting time was 5.25 minutes to reduce. However, KIOSK case of a patient in a way that directly Import latency time was soon. Import of three ways: in terms of efficiency and excellent CD Autoloader way, the patient waiting time in terms of ease of use and KIOSK was excellent. In addition, with the introduction of CD Autoloader with KIOSK Joint of the items waiting time of patients and patient satisfaction rating is considered to be a major contribution.

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The Change in Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Import Price of the Post-FTA Import Market for Fishery Products in South Korea (FTA 이후, 국내 수입수산물 가격의 환율전가도 변화)

  • Lim, Eun-Son
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.21-41
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    • 2022
  • The effect of change in exchange rates on an economy is very important, especially, to a small open economy like South Korea. I explore whether Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) have positive influences on exchange rate-pass through import price of import market for fishery products in South Korea. Competition among FTA partners is enhanced after FTAs are effective. I expect that the extent to which are exchange rate pass-through (hereafter, ERPT) into import price of fishery products (in terms of Korea currency) would be reduced since the import market for fishery products in South Korea is an oligopolistic market. Specifically, I investigate two research questions with six South Korea's FTA partners-Norway, Thailand, Peru, U.S., China and Vietnam. First, whether the extent to which are exchange rate pass-through into import price of fishery products from six FTA partners would decrase in the post-FTA era; seconds, the size of reduction has a negative relation with the size of their market share in the import market for fishery products in South Korea if it decreases. The empirical results indicate that the degree of ERPT into import price from other FTA partners than Norway has been reduced after FTA, statistically and significantly; however, I do not find the evidence that the size of reduction is related to their market share. The findings in this study imply that FTAs have negative effects on producers' economic welfare in South Korea's fishery industry by reducing the extent to which are exchange rate pass-through as well as reducing tariff barriers.

A STUDY ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN IMPORT PENETRATION, BUSINESS DIVERSIFICATION AND FIRM PERFORMANCE

  • Kim, Seog-Soo;Kim, Dong-Jin;Park, Bong-Seon
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.1951-1966
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    • 2007
  • This research attempts to examine the effects of import penetration in an industry on the firms' decision of business diversification and provide an integrative framework including the determinants and results of the business diversification. The research results are as follows. First, the import penetration doesn't affect the degree of business diversification. Second, the more profitable their core business industry, the lower the degree of business diversification against the import penetration. In addition, both technology-related assets and marketing-related assets are necessary for business diversification when faced with the import penetration. Finally, the inverted U-shaped relationship is supported between the degree of business diversification and firm performance.

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Lead-lag Relationship between the Shipping Freight Rate and Agricultural Commodity Import Price in Korea

  • Ha, Jae-Young;Shin, Youngran
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to investigate the lead-lag relationship between the agricultural produce import price in Korea and the corresponding shipping freight rate. Since the Korean economy has pursued an export-driven growth strategy, mainly based on the manufacturing sector, the country has to depend on the vast majority of its agricultural produce consumption after import from foreign countries. Moreover, compared with other high-value products, transportation cost occupies a substantial share of the agricultural commodity price, resulting in changes in the shipping freight rate being a pivotal determinant of agricultural produce import. In this respect, this study explores the possible association between agricultural produce import in Korea and shipping freight rate and the lead-lag relationship. Using a monthly dataset of agricultural produce import prices and freight rates for Handysize and Panamax dry-bulkers for the period between January 2010 and November 2020, this study determines that the shipping freight rate, in general, leads the agricultural commodity price.

Impact of Renminbi Exchange Rate Fluctuations on China's Import and Export Trade: An Analysis Based on Data from Five ASEAN Countries

  • Renhong WU;Yuantao FANG;Md. Alamgir HOSSAIN
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: In the era of global economic integration, China's doors of openness have widened, leading to increasingly frequent economic and trade exchanges between countries. Exchange rates, as a crucial economic lever for regulating foreign markets, play a vital role in the balanced development of a nation's international trade. Therefore, the relationship between exchange rate fluctuations and foreign trade has garnered widespread attention. Research design, data and methodology: This study utilizes import and export trade data between China and five ASEAN countries from 1998 to 2019. It employs regression analysis to examine the specific impact of the real effective exchange rate of the Renminbi on China's import and export trade with these ASEAN nations. Results: The empirical analysis yields the following conclusions: Firstly, the real effective exchange rate of the Renminbi exhibits a long-term stable relationship with China's import and export trade with the five ASEAN countries. Renminbi appreciation contributes to an increase in export trade volume but is detrimental to import trade. While this conclusion may deviate from classical trade theories, it aligns with the practical realities of China's foreign trade. Secondly, the coefficients before Gross Domestic Product (GDP) all display positive values, indicating that the growth of total economic demand has a stimulating effect on China's import and export trade.

The Optimal Degree of Reciprocity in Tariff Reduction

  • Chang, Pao-Li
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.237-252
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    • 2020
  • This paper characterizes the optimal reciprocal trade policy in the environment of Melitz (2003) with firm productivity heterogeneity. In particular, without making parametric assumptions on firm productivity distribution, this paper derives the optimal degree of reciprocal tariff reductions that maximize the world welfare. A reciprocal import subsidy raises the industry productivity, lowering aggregate price; a reciprocal import tariff helps correct the markup distortion, increasing nominal income. With all the conflicting effects of import tariffs on welfare considered, the optimal degree of reciprocity in multilateral tariff reduction is shown to be free trade.

A Study on the Long and Short Term Effect of Exchange Rate about the Import of Korea's Fisheries during Feely Flexible Exchange Rate System Period - Focus on Main Fisheries Imported from China - (자유변동환율체제하의 수산물 수입에 대한 환율의 장단기 영향분석 - 중국으로부터의 주요 수산물 수입품목을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Woo-Kyung;Kim, Ki-Soo
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.169-187
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    • 2009
  • This study analyzes the long and short term effect of exchange rate on the import of Korea's fisheries focussed on main fisheries imported from China. The estimation models consist of the following contents. The first model consists of one dependent variable-import quantity of fisheries imported from China(${IMQ_t}^{CHO}$) and three independent variables-${RP_t}^{CHO}$, $EXC_t$ and $GDP_t$. The second one-one dependent variable-import quantity of fisheries imported from China(${JMQ_t}^{NAG})$ and three independent variables-${RP_t}^{NAG}$, $EX_t$ and $GDP_t$. the third one-one dependent variable-import quantity of fisheries imported from China(${IMQ_t}^{AH}$) and three independent variables-${RP_t}^{AH}$, $EX_t$ and $GDP_t$. the forth one-one dependent variable-import quantity of fisheries imported from China(${IMQ_t}^{KO}$) and three independent variables-${RP_t}^{KO)$, $EX_t$ and $GDP_t$. the last one is made up of one dependent variable-import quantity of fisheries imported from China(${IMQ_t}^{GAL}$) and three independent variables-, ${RP_t}^{GAL}$, $EX_t$ and $GDP_t$. and. The estimation results show that exchange rate of the independent variables are statistically significant in only the first model. The figure is elastic. Especially, the effect of exchange rate in first model is grater than that of the. However, the effect of exchange rate, one of independent variables in the ECM, is not statistically significant.

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