• 제목/요약/키워드: hydrologic changes

검색결과 165건 처리시간 0.027초

Sensitivity Analysis of High and Low Flow Metrics to Climate Variations

  • Kim, Jong-Suk;Jang, Ho-won;Hong, Hyun-Pyo;Lee, Joo-Heon
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.355-355
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    • 2018
  • Natural hydrology systems, including high flow and low flow events, are important for aquatic ecosystem health and are essential for controlling the structure and function of ecological processes in river ecosystems. Ecosystem responses to flow changes have been studied in a variety of ways, but little attention has been given to how episodic typhoons and atmospheric circulation patterns can change these hydrologic regime-ecological response relationships. In this diagnostic study, we use an empirical approach to investigate the salient features of interactions between atmospheric circulation, climate, and runoff in the five major Korean river basins.

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투수성 포장에 의한 비점오염원 저감 효과 분석 (Analysis of Non-point Pollution Source Reduction by Permeable Pavement)

  • 구영민;김영도;박재현
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제47권1호
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2014
  • 최근에 불투수층의 증가로 인하여 표면의 저류량이 감소하고 첨두유출과 전체 유출량은 증가한다. 첨두유출과 첨두유출 도달시간이 빨라지게 되면 홍수 발생률이 증가하여 도시유역의 피해를 증가시키며, 토양으로 침투되는 우수량이 감소하여 지하수위가 하강하게 되고 도시하천이 마르는 건천화가 진행되어 유역의 물 순환이 악화된다. 또한 하천 수질 오염의 원인은 점오염원과 비점오염원 등이 있는데, 비점오염원에 의한 오염이 점점 커져가는 양상이다. 이러한 이유는 도시유역이 지속적인 개발로 인해 불투수율이 증가하게 되어 초기강우에 오염물질이 하천으로 유입되고 있기 때문이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 도시유역의 물순환 회복을 위한 투수성 포장 효과를 분석하며, 투수성 포장의 비점저감 효과 및 첨두유량 감소 효과를 분석하고자 한다. 도시유역 유출 모델인 SWMM을 이용하여 단기 유출 모의를 통하여 투수성 포장의 효과 분석하였다.

Impact of the Mekong River Flow Alteration on the Tonle Sap Lake in Cambodia

  • Lee, Giha;Kim, Joocheol;Jung, Kwansue;Lee, Hyunseok
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.231-231
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    • 2015
  • Rapid development in the upper reaches of the Mekong River, in the form of construction of large hydropower dams and reservoirs, large irrigation schemes, and rapid urban development, is putting water resources under stress. Many scientific reports have pointed out that cascade dams along the Mekong River lead to serious problems: not only hydrologically but also a decline of agricultural productivity due to a decrease of sediment supply in the Mekong Delta and a change of fish amount due to drastic change of the water environment. Cambodia and Vietnam, located in the lowest Mekong basin, are gravely affected by radical changes of hydrologic regime due to Mekong River developments. In particular, the Tonle Sap Lake in Cambodia is very sensitive to the flood cycle and flow variation of the Mekong River as well as inflow water quality from the Mekong River. More than 50% of Cambodian GDP depends on the primary industries such as agriculture, fishing, and forestry, and the Tonle Sap Lake plays an important role to support the national economy in Cambodia. In addition, Cambodian people usually take nourishment from the fish of Tonle Sap Lake. This research aims to assess the impacts of the Mekong river flow alternation on the hydrologic regime of the Mekong River - Tonle Sap Lake. We carried out rainfall-runoff-inundation simulation using CAESER-LISFLOOD for integrated water resource management in the Tonle Sap Basin and then analyze flood inundation variation of the Tonle Sap Lake due to the scenarios. Furthermore, the simulated inundation maps were compared to MODIS satellite images for model verification and hydrologic prediction.

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수문변화 지표법에 의한 영천댐이 하류하천에 미치는 유황변화 분석 (Hydrologic Regimes Analyses on Down Stream Effects of the Young Chun Dam by Indicators of Hydrologic Alterations)

  • 박봉진;김준태;장창래;정관수
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제41권2호
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 2008
  • 하천의 유황특성을 평가 하는 것은 하천생태계의 인위적인 변형을 이해하고 예측하는데 중요한 역할을 한다. 본 연구에서는 댐 건설에 따른 하류하천의 영향을 분석하고자 수문변화 지표모형을 이용하여 용수 전용댐인 영천댐을 대상으로 댐 건설전 후의 유황변동을 분석하였다. 분석결과는 다음과 같다. (1) 월 평균유량은 갈수기와 홍수기 모두 댐건설 후 감소하였다. (2) 연 극치유량의 크기와 기간 분석결과, 댐 건설전 후의 1일 최소유량은 $3.48m^3/sec$$0.89m^3/sec$ 이였으며, 1일 최대유량은 $833.1m^3/sec$$672.1m^3/sec$ 이었다. (3) 연극치 유량의 발생시기 분석결과, 최소유량의 Julian Day는 댐 건설전 180 일(6월), 댐 건설 후 257 일(9월)이었으며, 최대유량의 Julian Day는 댐 건설 전 209 일(7월), 댐 건설 후는 217 일(8월)에 발생하였다. (4) 홍수맥파의 빈도와 기간의 분석결과, 저맥파(Low Pulse)의 발생횟수는 댐 건설전 3회, 지속기간은 23 일, 댐 건설 후에는 7회, 지속기간 61 일이었으며, 고맥파(High Pulse)의 발생횟수는 댐 건설 전 4회 지속기간은 2 일, 댐 건설후에는 2회 1.2 일로 분석되었다. (5) 변화율과 빈도의 분석결과, 상승율은 댐 건설 전, 후의 각각 39.27 %와 19.36 %로 댐 건설 전에 수문변동이 크게 발생하였으며, 감소율은 각각 -15.85 %와 -8.16 %로 분석되었다. (6) 분산정도를 변동계수로 분석하였으며, 1일 최소 최대유량은 0.9054에서 0.6314와 1.0440에서 0.9617로 모두 감소하였으며, 연 극치유량 발생시기는 댐 건설전 후 최소유량은 0.269에서 0.282, 최대유량은 0.069에서 0.153으로 댐건설이후 변동계수가 증가하였다.

수문인자에 의한 하천 수질 변화에 관한 연구 -QUAL2E 모형 중심으로- (A Study on Changes of Water Quality in River by Hydrologic Factors -QUAL2E Model Application-)

  • 유희정
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 1993
  • 본 연구에서는 QUAL2E 모형의 계산구간을 유입지점마다 분할하여 정하고, 계산에 피룡한 수문인자들 및 수질자료를 가능한한 실측치나 또는 직접계산치로 사용했다. 대상하천은 미국 Clorado 주의 South Platte 강을 선정하고, 수질항목 용존산소(DO)와 생물학적 산소요구량(CBOD5)에 대하여 1991년 9월과 1992년 1월 자료를 사용하여 계산하고 관측치와 비교한바, DO는 5%이내, CBOD5는 20% 정도에서 잘 일치하였다. 수질예측결과에 의하면 2001년에는 대상하천의 수질이 미환경청 기준으로 4등급수에 해당되는 것으로 나타났다.

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공동주택단지 개발에서의 분산식 빗물관리 목표량 설정 - 택지개발사업지구 내 단지를 대상으로 - (Estimation of Proportion to Decentralized Rainwater Management Needed in Apartment Complex Development)

  • 이태구;한영해
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2006
  • The recent emphasis on ecological urban development has led to the need to maintain a hydrologic cycle in urban areas. As such, this study proposes decentralized rainwater management, a concept of onsite rainwater management that involves the utilization, infiltration, detention, and retention of rainwater. The main objective of this research is to estimate the proportion of decentralized rainwater management that is needed. From the research that was conducted in this study, it was found that the total runoff quantity increases by 10-20% after district lands are developed, when the probable rate of precipitation every 10 years is within this range. Thus, the runoff rate can be reduced by 10~20% of the total runoff quantity through decentralization. On the other hand, in the scale of housing complex development, the total runoff quantity increases by as much as 10~40% due to the changes in the rate of the impervious surface area. If 10-40% of the total runoff quantity was processed through decentralized rainwater management, the rate of infiltration, detention, retention, and runoff in precipitation prior to development could be recovered.

환경영향평가에 사용되는 컴퓨터 모델에 관한 연구 II : 수리수문 모델 (A Study of Computer Models Used in Environmental Impact Assessment II : Hydrologic and Hydraulic Models)

  • 박석순;나은혜
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a study of hydrological and hydraulic model applications in environmental impact statements which were submitted during recent years in Korea. In many cases (almost 70 %), the hydrological and hydraulic changes were neglected from the impact identification processes, even if the proposed actions would cause significant impacts on those environmental items. In most cases where the hydrological and hydraulic impacts were predicted, simple equations were used as an impact prediction tool. Computer models were used in very few cases(5%). Even in these few cases, models were improperly applied and thus the predicted impacts would not be reliable. The improper applications and the impact neglections are attributed to the fact that there are no available model application guidelines as well as no requirements by the review agency. The effects of mitigation measures were not analyzed in most cases. Again, these can be attributed to no formal guidelines available for impact predictions until now. A brief guideline is presented in this paper. This study suggested that the model application should be required and guided in detail by the review agency. It is also suggested that the hydrological and hydraulic items shoud be integrated with the water quality predictions in future, since the non-point source pollution runoff is based on the hydrologic phenomena and the water quality reactions on the hydraulic nature.

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Uncertainty assessment caused by GCMs selection on hydrologic studies

  • Ghafouri-Azar, Mona;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.151-151
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    • 2018
  • The present study is aimed to quantifying the uncertainty in the general circulation model (GCM) selection and its impacts on hydrology studies in the basins. For this reason, 13 GCMs was selected among the 26 GCM models of the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) scenarios. Then, the climate data and hydrologic data with two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) of the best model (INMCM4) and worst model (HadGEM2-AO) were compared to understand the uncertainty associated with GCM models. In order to project the runoff, the Precipitation-Runoff Modelling System (PRMS) was driven to simulate daily river discharge by using daily precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature as inputs of this model. For simulating the discharge, the model has been calibrated and validated for daily data. Root mean square error (RMSE) and Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) were applied as evaluation criteria. Then parameters of the model were applied for the periods 2011-2040, and 2070-2099 to project the future discharge the five large basins of South Korea. Then, uncertainty caused by projected temperature, precipitation and runoff changes were compared in seasonal and annual time scale for two future periods and RCPs compared to the reference period (1976-2005). The findings of this study indicated that more caution will be needed for selecting the GCMs and using the results of the climate change analysis.

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한반도 영향 태풍의 경로 유형에 따른 섬진강댐 유역의 수문변동 특성분석 (Hydrologic variability in the Sumjin river dam basin according to typhoon genesis pattern)

  • 강호영;최지혁;김종석;문영일
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제50권4호
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    • pp.233-239
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 한반도의 대표적인 다목적 댐인 섬진강댐을 대상으로 한반도에 영향을 미치는 태풍과 태풍의 발생에 따른 유출특성변화를 분석하였다. 태풍영향 도메인을 적용하여 태풍의 이동 경로를 유형화하고 태풍유량을 정량화하고, 태풍정보와 대상유역의 수문변화지표의 순위분석과 상관분석을 통하여 기후변화의 적응과 대책수립에 대한 정보를 제공하고자 한다. 한반도 태풍도메인을 통과한 한반도 영향 태풍(n)은 첨두유량의 규모와 발생시기의 변화에는 많은 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 첨두유량의 발생빈도와 지속시간은 한반도 영향 태풍과 상대적으로 관계가 적은 것으로 분석되었다. 이러한 변화는 상관성 분석결과에서도 확인할 수 있었다. 첨두유량의 발생규모(correlation coefficient = 0.41)와 첨두발생시간(correlation coefficient = 0.83)은 한반도 영향 태풍(n)과 양의 상관관계가 나타났다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 섬진강 댐을 대상으로 한반도 영향 태풍의 경로를 유형화하고, 각 태풍 유형에 따라 섬진강 댐 유역의 수문변동에 대한 특성을 분석하였다. 이는 한반도 수생태계환경 시스템 변화에 대한 대응방안의 기초자료를 제공할 것으로 기대된다.

SWAT모형을 이용한 RCP 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 고랭지농업유역의 수문 및 수질 평가 (Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Highland Agricultural Watershed Hydrologic Cycle and Water Quality under RCP Scenarios using SWAT)

  • 장선숙;김성준
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제59권3호
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study were to evaluate the effect of best management practices (BMPs) of Haean highland agricultural catchment ($62.8km^2$) under future climate change using SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool). Before future evaluation, the SWAT was setup using 3 years (2009~2011) of observed daily streamflow, suspended solid (SS), total nitrogen (T-N), and total phosphorus (T-P) data at three locations of the catchment. The SWAT was calibrated with average 0.74 Nash and Sutcliffe model efficiency for streamflow, and 0.78, 0.63, and 0.79 determination coefficient ($R^2$) for SS, T-N, and T-P respectively. Under the HadGEM-RA RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, the future precipitation and maximum temperature showed maximum increases of 8.3 % and $4.2^{\circ}C$ respectively based on the baseline (1981~2005). The future 2040s and 2080s hydrological components of evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and streamflow showed changes of +3.2~+17.2 %, -0.1~-0.7 %, and -9.1~+8.1 % respectively. The future stream water quality of suspended solid (SS), total nitrogen (T-N), and total phosphorus (T-P) showed changes of -5.8~+29.0 %, -4.5~+2.3 %, and +3.7~+17.4 % respectively. The future SS showed wide range according to streamflow from minus to plus range. We can infer that this was from the increase of long-term rainfall variability in 2040s less rainfalls and 2080s much rainfalls. However, the results showed that the T-P was the future target to manage stream water quality even in 2040s period.