• Title/Summary/Keyword: hydraulic parameter

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A Bayesian Approach to Gumbel Mixture Distribution for the Estimation of Parameter and its use to the Rainfall Frequency Analysis (Bayesian 기법을 이용한 혼합 Gumbel 분포 매개변수 추정 및 강우빈도해석 기법 개발)

  • Choi, Hong-Geun;Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kim, Yong-Tak;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.249-259
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    • 2018
  • More than half of annual rainfall occurs in summer season in Korea due to its climate condition and geographical location. A frequency analysis is mostly adopted for designing hydraulic structure under the such concentrated rainfall condition. Among the various distributions, univariate Gumbel distribution has been routinely used for rainfall frequency analysis in Korea. However, the distributional changes in extreme rainfall have been globally observed including Korea. More specifically, the univariate Gumbel distribution based rainfall frequency analysis is often fail to describe multimodal behaviors which are mainly influenced by distinct climate conditions during the wet season. In this context, we purposed a Gumbel mixture distribution based rainfall frequency analysis with a Bayesian framework, and further the results were compared to that of the univariate. It was found that the proposed model showed better performance in describing underlying distributions, leading to the lower Bayesian information criterion (BIC) values. The mixed Gumbel distribution was more robust for describing the upper tail of the distribution which playes a crucial role in estimating more reliable estimates of design rainfall uncertainty occurred by peak of upper tail than single Gumbel distribution. Therefore, it can be concluded that the mixed Gumbel distribution is more compatible for extreme frequency analysis rainfall data with two or more peaks on its distribution.

Change of Seawater Intrusion Range by the Difference of Longitudinal Dispersivity in Hydrodynamic Modeling (수리동역학적 모델링에서 분산지수에 따른 해수침투 범위의 변화)

  • 심병완;정상용;김희준;성익환
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2002
  • As a parameter for hydrodynamic modeling to define the range of seawater intrusion, dispersivities are frequently determined from pre-experiments or theoretical studies because field experiments need a lot of time and expenses. If the dispersivities are inadequate for an aquifer, the numerical results may have some errors. We examined the validity of longitudinal dispersivities by comparing the ranges of seawater intrusion with numerical modeling, field data and apparent resistivity sections. In the numerical modeling the TDS distributions simulated by the Xu's longitudinal dispersivity are more similar to the values of TDS measured at monitoring wet]s and boreholes than those by the Neuman's longitudinal dispersivity. The ranges of seawater intrusion by numerical simulations using Xu's longitudinal dispersivity show that the contour line of 1000 ㎎/L. as TDS is located at 480 m from the coast in May, while at 390 m in July. The difference is originated from the shift of the interface between seawater and fresh water. It moved toward the coast in July because of the seasonal increase of hydraulic gradient according to rainfall. A contour line of 15 ohm-m was used to define the range of seawater intrusion in apparent resistivity sections. From this criterion on the interface between seawater and fresh water, the range of seawater intrusion is located at 450 m from the coast. This result is similar to the range of seawater intrusion simulated by the numerical modeling using Xu's dispersivity. Therefore the range of seawater intrusion shows the difference due to the dispersivities used for the hydrodynamic modeling and the dispersivity generated by the Xu's equation is considered more effective to decide the range of seawater intrusion in this study area.

Comparison on Probability Plot Correlation Coefficient Test Considering Skewness of Sample for the GEV Distribution (표본자료의 왜곡도 영향을 고려한 GEV 분포의 확률도시 상관계수 검정방법 비교 검토)

  • Ahn, Hyunjun;Shin, Hongjoon;Kim, Sooyoung;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.161-170
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    • 2014
  • It is important to estimate an appropriate quantile for design of hydraulic structure. For this purpose, it is necessary to find the appropriate probability distribution which can represent the sample data well. Probability plot correlation coefficient test as one of goodness-of-fit test, is recently developed and has been known as a simple and powerful method. In this study, probability plot correlation coefficient test statistics using the plotting position considering the coefficients of skewness for the GEV distribution is derived, and represented by the regression equation. Monte-Carlo method is also performed to compare the rejection power between each method. As the results, the probability plot correlation coefficient test which is derived in this study is better than the others. In particular, when sample size is small and distribution has the shape parameter, rejection power of probability plot correlation coefficient test considering the coefficients of skewness is bigger than the others.

Optimal parameter derivation for Muskingum method in consideration of lateral inflow and travel time (측방유입유량 및 유하시간을 고려한 Muskingum 최적 매개변수 도출)

  • Kim, Sang Ho;Kim, Ji-sung;Lee, Chang Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.12
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    • pp.827-836
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    • 2017
  • The most important parameters of the Muskingum method, widely used in hydrologic river routing, are the storage coefficient and the weighting factor. The Muskingum method does not consider the lateral inflow from the upstream to the downstream, but the lateral inflow actually occurs due to the rainfall on the watershed. As a result, it is very difficult to estimate the storage coefficient and the weighting factor by using the actual data of upstream and downstream. In this study, the flow without the lateral inflow was calculated from the river flow through the hydraulic flood routing by using the HEC-RAS one-dimensional unsteady flow model, and the method of the storage coefficient and the weighting factor calculation is presented. Considering that the storage coefficient relates to the travel time, the empirical travel time formulas used in the establishment of the domestic river basin plan were applied as the storage coefficient, and the simulation results were compared and analyzed. Finally, we have developed a formula for calculating the travel time considering the flow rate, and proposed a method to perform flood routing by updating the travel time according to the inflow change. The rise and fall process of the flow rate, the peak flow rate, and the peak time are well simulated when the travel time in consideration of the flow rate is applied as the storage coefficient.

Parameterization and Application of Regional Hydro-Ecologic Simulation System (RHESSys) for Integrating the Eco-hydrological Processes in the Gwangneung Headwater Catchment (광릉 원두부 유역 생태수문과정의 통합을 위한 지역 생태수문 모사 시스템(RHESSys)의 모수화와 적용)

  • Kim, Eun-Sook;Kang, Sin-Kyu;Lee, Bo-Ra;Kim, Kyong-Ha;Kim, Joon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2007
  • Despite the close linkage in changes between the ecological and hydrological processes in forest ecosystems, an integrative approach has not been incorporated successfully. In this study, based on the vegetation and hydrologic data of the Gwangneung headwater catchment with the Geographic Information System, we attempted such an integrated approach by employing the Regional Hydro-Ecologic Simulation System (RHESSys). To accomplish this, we have (1) constructed the input data for RHESSys, (2) developed an integrated calibration system that enables to consider both ecological and hydrological processes simultaneously, and (3) performed sensitivity analysis to estimate the optimum parameters. Our sensitivity analyses on six soil parameters that affect streamflow patterns and peak flow show that the decay parameter of horizontal saturated hydraulic conductivity $(s_1)$ and porosity decay by depth (PD) had the highest sensitivity. The optimization of these two parameters to estimate the optimum streamflow variation resulted in a prediction accuracy of 0.75 in terms of Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSec). These results provide an important basis for future evaluation and mapping of the watershed-scale soil moisture and evapotranspiration in forest ecosystems of Korea.

An Experimental Study on the Stability of Breakwater Head by the Wave Directional Effects (입사파의 방향성효과에 의한 방파제 제두부의 안정성에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • SOHN Byung-Kyu;KIM Hong-Jin;RYU Cheong-Ro
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.713-719
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    • 2001
  • The aim of this study is to check the application criteria of the conventional techniques and clarify the effects of breaker depth, seabed conditions on the stability in relation to the effects of uncertainty of storm duration and directional irregular waves. The typical damage modes were divided by the direct wave force on the armor unit and by the local scouring around the toe of a breakwater head by the model experiments. The destruction modes are defined, and some criteria on the damage modes and scouring/deposition at the toe of a breakwater head in relating the wave-bottom-structural conditions can be checked using the multi-directonal irregular wave generator system. According to the results, it is emphasized that the 3-D effects on the stability should be analyzed in the design of multi-purpose/function coastal structures in consideration of the evaluation of spatial variation of damage modes and hydraulic characteristics as well as the wave distribution along the structures.

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A Study on the History Matching and Assessment of Production Performance in a Shale Gas Reservoir Considering Influenced Parameter for Productivity (생산 영향인자를 고려한 셰일가스 저류층의 이력검증 및 생산성 평가 연구)

  • Park, Kyung-Sick;Lee, Jeong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.62-72
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    • 2020
  • This study presents a methodology of history matching to evaluate the productivity of shale gas reservoir with high reliability and predict future production rate in the Horn-River basin, Canada. Sensitivity analysis was performed to analyze the effect of physical properties of shale gas reservoir on productivity. Based on the results, reservoir properties were classified into 4 cases and history matching were performed considering the classified 4 cases as objective function. The blind test was conducted using additional field production data for 3 years after the history matching period. The error of gas production rate in Case 1(all reservoir parameters), Case 2(influenced parameters for productivity), Case 3(controllable parameters), and Case 4(uncontrollable parameters) were 7.67%, 7.13%, 17.54%, and 10.04%, respectively. This means that it seems to be effective to consider all reservoir parameters in early period for 4 years but Case 2 which considered influenced parameters for productivity shows the highest reliability in predicting future production. The estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) of production well predicted using the Case 2 model was estimated to be 17.24 Bcf by December 2030 and the recovery factor compared to original gas in place (OGIP) was 32.2%.

3-D Numerical Analysis for the Verification of Bearing Mechanism and Bearing Capacity Enhancement Effect on the Base Expansion Micropile (선단 확장형 마이크로파일의 3차원 수치해석을 통한 지지 메커니즘 및 지지력 증대효과 검증)

  • Lee, Seokhyung;Han, Jin-Tae;Jin, Hyun-Sik;Kim, Seok-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.19-31
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    • 2021
  • Micropiles are cast-in-place piles with small diameters. The advantage of micropile is low construction expense and simple procedures, so it is widely applied to existing buildings and structures for the reinforcement of foundation and seismic performances. The base expansion structure has been developed following the original mechanism of horizontal expansion steps under compressive loading. This kind of structure can be installed at the pile end to improve the bearing capacity by tip area enlargement and horizontal force increment to the pile surface area. However, 'Micropile with base expansion structure' cannot be put into practical use, because detailed verification for the developed technique has not been conducted so far. In this research, 3-D numerical analysis was conducted to figure out the bearing mechanism of base expansion micropile and to verify the bearing capacity improvement compared to the general micropiles. 3-D modelling of micropile with base expansion structure was carried out and input parameter was determined. Bearing mechanism induced by base expansion structure was analyzed by lab-scale modelling, and bearing capacity improvement was verified by field-scale analysis.

Development of water circulation status estimation model by using multiple linear regression analysis of urban characteristic factors (도시특성 요인의 다중선형회귀 분석을 이용한 물순환상태추정모델 개발)

  • Kim, Youngran;Hwang, Seonghwan;Lee, Yunsun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.503-512
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    • 2020
  • Identifying the water circulation status is one of the indispensable processes for watershed management in an urban area. Recently, various water circulation models have been developed to simulate the water circulation, but it takes a lot of time and cost to make a water circulation model that could adapt the characteristics of the watershed. This paper aims to develop a water circulation state estimation model that could easily calculate the status of water circulation in an urban watershed by using multiple linear regression analysis. The study watershed is a watershed in Seoul that applied the impermeable area ratio in 1962 and 2000. And, It was divided into 73 watersheds in order to consider changes in water circulation status according to the urban characteristic factors. The input data of the SHER(Similar Hydrologic Element Response) model, a water circulation model, were used as data for the urban characteristic factors of each watershed. A total of seven factors were considered as urban characteristic factors. Those factors included annual precipitation, watershed area, average land-surface slope, impervious surface ratio, coefficient of saturated permeability, hydraulic gradient of groundwater surface, and length of contact line with downstream block. With significance probabilities (or p-values) of 0.05 and below, all five models showed significant results in estimating the water circulation status such as the surface runoff rate and the evapotranspiration rate. The model that was applied all seven urban characteristics factors, can calculate the most similar results such as the existing water circulation model. The water circulation estimation model developed in this study is not only useful to simply estimate the water circulation status of ungauged watersheds but can also provide data for parameter calibration and validation.

Dredging Material High Efficiency Transport Technology Test by Using the Electro Magnetic Field and Development of the Technical Design Manual (전자기장을 이용한 준설토 고효율 이송기술 실증 및 기술 지침 개발)

  • Kim, Dong-Chule;Kim, Yu-Seung;Yea, Chan-Su;Kim, Sun-Bin;Park, Seung-Min
    • Journal of Coastal Disaster Prevention
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.173-182
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    • 2018
  • As the research about increasing the efficiency of dredging soil transport, the technology, which reduce the friction between pipe wall and fluid in the pipe and disturbed generating pipe blockage, has been developed. So for the purpose of applying this technology to real construction site, main test has been tried at the real scale test in field. As a test result, this paper will show 30% flow efficiency increasing by permitted electro magnetic force to the pipe. And test result was evaluated as a ultra sonic velocity profiler. To propose the design technique and the execution manual of the high efficiency dredging material transport technic, this research have confirmed flow status changing depending on a soil material kind under electro-magnetic field and analyze the effect of electro-magnetic field which affects to each dredged soil material transportation. For achieving this research, EMF(Electro-Magnetic Field) generator is installed on the dredger(20,000HP) and through monitored flow status, dredging soil flow rate and sampled material specification is confirmed. Also dredger operating condition is measured and dredger power for soil transportation, hydraulic gradient and flow rate are compared, as transportation efficiency is calculated by this parameter, it is possible to check transportation efficiency improvement depending on each dredged soil material under electro-magnetic field. To verify the technique of dredged soil transfer using electromagnetic field, which is the core technique of the high efficiency dredged soil transfer, and the technique of expert system for pipeline transfer and the flow state. This could lead to a verification of transfer efficiency according to the characteristics of the dredged soil (sand, clay, silt) and the transfer distance (5km, 10km, 15km), which is planned to be used for a technology development of pump power reduction and long-distance transfer applying the high efficiency dredged soil transfer technology.