• Title/Summary/Keyword: hourly temperature

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Development of Electric Load Forecasting System Using Neural Network (신경회로망을 이용한 단기전력부하 예측용 시스템 개발)

  • Kim, H.S.;Mun, K.J.;Hwang, G.H.;Park, J.H.;Lee, H.S.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.07c
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    • pp.1522-1522
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    • 1999
  • This paper proposes the methods of short-term load forecasting using Kohonen neural networks and back-propagation neural networks. Historical load data is divided into 5 patterns for the each seasonal data using Kohonen neural networks and using these results, load forecasting neural network is used for next day hourly load forecasting. Normal days and holidays are forecasted. For load forecasting in summer, max-, and min-temperature data are included in neural networks for a better forecasting accuracy. To show the possibility of the proposed method, it was tested with hourly load data of Korea Electric Power Corporation. (1993-1997)

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Validation of Quality Control Algorithms for Temperature Data of the Republic of Korea (한국의 기온자료 품질관리 알고리즘의 검증)

  • Park, Changyong;Choi, Youngeun
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.299-307
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    • 2012
  • This study is aimed to validate errors for detected suspicious temperature data using various quality control procedures for 61 weather stations in the Republic of Korea. The quality control algorithms for temperature data consist of four main procedures (high-low extreme check, internal consistency check, temporal outlier check, and spatial outlier check). Errors of detected suspicious temperature data are judged by examining temperature data of nearby stations, surface weather charts, hourly temperature data, daily precipitation, and daily maximum wind direction. The number of detected errors in internal consistency check and spatial outlier check showed 4 days (3 stations) and 7 days (5 stations), respectively. Effective and objective methods for validation errors through this study will help to reduce manpower and time for conduct of quality management for temperature data.

CUMAP : A Chill Unit Calculator for Spatial Estimation of Dormancy Release Date in Complex Terrain (Chill Unit 축적과 휴면해제시기 공간변이 추정 프로그램 : CUMAP)

  • Kim Kwang S.;Chung U ran;Yun Jin I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.177-182
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    • 2004
  • A chill unit has been used to estimate chilling requirement for dormancy release and risk of freezing damage. A system that calculates chill units was developed to obtain site-specific estimates of dormancy release date for grapes and evaluated in Baekgu myun near Kimje City, Chunbuk, Korea from September 2002 to March 2003. The system utilized daily minimum and maximum temperature maps generated from spatial interpolation with temperature correction for topography. Hourly temperature was temporally interpolated from the daily data using a sine-exponential equation (Patron and Logan, 1981). Hourly chill units were determined from sigmoid, reverse sigmoid, and negatively increasing sigmoid functions based on temperature ranges and summed for 24 h. Cumulative daily chill units obtained from measurements did not increase until 20 October 2002, which was used as a start date for accumulation to estimate the dormancy release date. As a result, a map of dormancy release date in the study area was generated, assuming 800 chill units as a threshold for the chilling requirement. The chill unit accumulation system, implemented using Microsoft Visual Basic and C++ (Microsoft, Redmond, WA, USA), runs in the Windows environment with ArcView (ESRl Inc., Redlands, CA, USA).

Relationship between Pollen Concentration and Meteorological Condition in an Urban Area (도시지역 공중화분 농도와 기상조건과의 관계)

  • Oh, In-Bo;Kim, Yangho;Choi, Kee-Ryong;Lee, Ji Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.780-788
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    • 2013
  • This study attempted to determine important meteorological parameters related to airborne pollen concentrations in urban areas. Hourly pollen measurement data were prepared from a regular sampling with a volumetric Burkard spore trap at a site in the Ulsan city, during the spring season (March~May) of 2011. Results showed that the daily mean and maximum concentrations for total pollen counts during the spring season were statistically significantly correlated with both air temperature and wind speed; daily mean pollen concentration was the most highly related to daily maximum temperature (r=0.567, p<0.001). It was also identified that pollen concentration has a stronger relationship with wind speed at the rural site than at the urban one, which confirms that strong wind conditions over the pollen sources area can be favorable for pollen dispersal, resulting in increases in airborne pollen concentrations downwind. From the results of an oak-pollen episode analysis, it was found that there was a significant relationship between hourly variation of oak pollen concentrations and dynamic meteorological factors, such as wind and mixing height (representing the boundary layer depth); especially, a strong southwestern wind and elevated mixing height was associated with high nocturnal concentrations of oak pollen. This study suggests that temperature, wind, and mixing height can be important considerations in explaining the pollen concentration variations. Additional examination of complex interactions of multiple meteorological parameters affecting pollen behavior should be carried out in order to better understand and predict the temporal and spatial pollen distribution in urban areas.

Estimating Cooling and Heating Degree Days for Variable Base Temperature (서울 및 부산지역의 가변 평형점온도에 따른 냉난방도일 산정법에 관한 연구)

  • Ihm, Pyeongchan;Jung, Soon-Sung;Seo, Donghyun
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 2014
  • In general, building energy performance is evaluated with a detailed transient building energy simulation program. However, energy evaluation tools with the bin method are still used, because of their simple and easy way to calculate building energy performance, without reducing their precision. In this research, several heating and cooling degree day methods are compared, and evaluated with their performance for variable base temperature. This analysis considered about ten years of the continuous outdoor temperature, in the Seoul and Busan areas. It is concluded that the simplified bin method is more or less acceptable for Seoul and Busan, compared with the detailed hourly bin method.

Studies on the Behaviour of Ozone Concentration and the Influencing Factors (오존농도의 動態 및 影響因子에 關한 硏究)

  • 金旻永;姜熙坤;李完宗;李相七;張鳳勳;朴聖培
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.55-71
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    • 1989
  • This study was carried out to determine the ozone concentration to behaviour and the factors to be influenced the variation of its concentration in the ambient air in Seoul. Measurements of ozone concentrations were made at 10 monitoring station to take care of SIHE (Seoul Institute of Health & Environment) during December 1987 to November 1988, also measured the hourly average concentration of sulfur dioxide, total suspended particulate, nitrogen oxide $(NO & NO_2)$, carbon monoxide, hydro carbon $(n-CH_4 & THC)$ and meteorological factors, that is, temperature, humidity, wind velocity wind direction and ultraviolet intensity etc, for the same period at same place. The basis of the data obtained were analyzed statistically along with the various data. The results were as follows; 1. The annually arithmetic mean concentration of ozone for the 10 sites during one years was 10.0 ppb and ranged from 3.1 $\pm$ 4.5ppb at the Kuro industrial complex to 17.2 $\pm$ 18.7 ppb at the Ssangmun site. 2. The frequency of hours on which oxidant concentrations exceeded the present short term standard of ozone (100 ppb) were 78 times. 3. The diurnal patterns of hourly ozone concentrations in Seoul area was a typical bi-modal variation which have 4 to 5 a.m. peak and 3. to 4 p.m peak. 4. The time ozone of highest ozone concentration in a whole day and hight was 1 to 5 p.m and 90.9 percent of appearence rate. 5. The diurnal patterns of hourly ozone concentrations in Seoul were on the whole the order of daytime from 5.8ppb to 28.7 ppb evening from 1.7 to 18.7 ppb night time from 1.9 to 9.3 ppb daybreak from 1.4ppb according to measuring sites, and the highest that observed at the Ssangmun area while the lowest was the Kuro industrial complex monitor sites. 6. The weekly variation of ozone concentration was the higher level ozone concentration in the day of the week occured sunday-monday and weekend but the decrease were observed from wednesday to thursday.

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Prediction of dam inflow based on LSTM-s2s model using luong attention (Attention 기법을 적용한 LSTM-s2s 모델 기반 댐유입량 예측 연구)

  • Lee, Jonghyeok;Choi, Suyeon;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.7
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    • pp.495-504
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    • 2022
  • With the recent development of artificial intelligence, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model that is efficient with time-series analysis is being used to increase the accuracy of predicting the inflow of dams. In this study, we predict the inflow of the Soyang River dam, using the LSTM model with the Sequence-to-Sequence (LSTM-s2s) and attention mechanism (LSTM-s2s with attention) that can further improve the LSTM performance. Hourly inflow, temperature, and precipitation data from 2013 to 2020 were used to train the model, and validate and test for evaluating the performance of the models. As a result, the LSTM-s2s with attention showed better performance than the LSTM-s2s in general as well as in predicting a peak value. Both models captured the inflow pattern during the peaks but detailed hourly variability is limitedly simulated. We conclude that the proposed LSTM-s2s with attention can improve inflow forecasting despite its limits in hourly prediction.

NUMERICAL STUDY OF STREAM REFORMING IN PRECONVERTER FOR MCFC (MCFC용 프리컨버터 수증기 개질반응의 수치연구)

  • Byun, Do-Hyun;Sohn, Chang-Hyun
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.228-232
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, various operating parameters of stream reforming process from methane in preconverter for MCFC is studied by numerical method. Commercial code is used to simulated the porous catalyst with user subroutine to model three dominant chemical reactions which are Stream Reforming(SR), Water-Gas Shift(WGS), and Direct Stram Reforming(DSR). The hydrogen production is tested with different wall temperature, Gas Hourly Space Velocity(GHSV), and different reactor shapes.

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Fragmented Urban Heat Islands in Seoul, Korea (분절화된 서울의 도시 열섬 현상)

  • Park, Gwangyong;Kwon, Won-Tae;David A. Robinson
    • Proceedings of the KGS Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.48-48
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    • 2004
  • A fragmented urban heat island is observed over the Seoul metropolitan area. Long-term (1996-2003) hourly temperature, wind speed and direction, and precipitation data observed at 26 (51) automatic weather stations (AWS) in Seoul (Gyeonggi prevince) makes it possible to reveal more dynamic spatial and temporal patterns of the urban heat island in this area than previously revealed. (omitted)

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