• 제목/요약/키워드: hourly temperature

검색결과 237건 처리시간 0.037초

일 최고, 최저 및 평균값을 이용한 시간단위 온도의 평가 (Evaluation of hourly temperature values using daily maximum, minimum and average values)

  • 이관호
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
    • /
    • 제29권5호
    • /
    • pp.81-87
    • /
    • 2009
  • Computer simulation of buildings and solar energy systems is being used increasingly in energy assessments and design.. Building designers often now predict the performance of buildings simulation programmes that require hourly weather data. However, not all weather stations provide hourly data. Climate prediction models such as HadCM3 also provide the daily average dry bulb temperature as well as the maximum and minimum. Hourly temperature values are available for building thermal simulations that accounts for future changes to climate. In order to make full use of these predicted future weather data in building simulation programmes, algorithms for downscaling daily values to hourly values are required. This paper describes a more accurate method for generating hourly temperature values in the South Korea that uses all three temperature parameters from climate model. All methods were evaluated for accuracy and stability in terms of coefficient of determination and cumulative error. They were compared with hourly data collected in Seoul and Ulsan, South Korea.

시간별 기온을 이용한 예외 기상일의 24시간 평일 전력수요패턴 예측 (24-Hour Load Forecasting For Anomalous Weather Days Using Hourly Temperature)

  • 강동호;박정도;송경빈
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제65권7호
    • /
    • pp.1144-1150
    • /
    • 2016
  • Short-term load forecasting is essential to the electricity pricing and stable power system operations. The conventional weekday 24-hour load forecasting algorithms consider the temperature model to forecast maximum load and minimum load. But 24-hour load pattern forecasting models do not consider temperature effects, because hourly temperature forecasts were not present until the latest date. Recently, 3 hour temperature forecast is announced, therefore hourly temperature forecasts can be produced by mathematical techniques such as various interpolation methods. In this paper, a new 24-hour load pattern forecasting method is proposed by using similar day search considering the hourly temperature. The proposed method searches similar day input data based on the anomalous weather features such as continuous temperature drop or rise, which can enhance 24-hour load pattern forecasting performance, because it uses the past days having similar hourly temperature features as input data. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, it was applied to the case study. The case study results show high accuracy of 24-hour load pattern forecasting.

동계 시각별 외기온의 변동 특성에 관한 연구 (Variation Characteristics of Hourly Atmospheric Temperature Throughout a Winter)

  • 이승언;손장열
    • 태양에너지
    • /
    • 제12권2호
    • /
    • pp.1-8
    • /
    • 1992
  • 본 연구는 동계 외기온 데이타의 시각별 변동특성을 파악하기 위하여 연변동 성분 및 기간변동 성분을 제거한 일변동 성분의 매 시각별 외기온 데이타에 대해서 일교차의 발생요인에 대해서 분석하였다. 또한 동계시각별 외기온의 주파수 특성에 대해서 검토하였으며 외기온 데이타의 수식화의 가능성을 제시하였다.

  • PDF

시간대별 기온을 이용한 전력수요예측 알고리즘 개발 (Development of Short-Term Load Forecasting Algorithm Using Hourly Temperature)

  • 송경빈
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제63권4호
    • /
    • pp.451-454
    • /
    • 2014
  • Short-term load forecasting(STLF) for electric power demand is essential for stable power system operation and efficient power market operation. We improved STLF method by using hourly temperature as an input data. In order to using hourly temperature to STLF algorithm, we calculated temperature-electric power demand sensitivity through past actual data and combined this sensitivity to exponential smoothing method which is one of the STLF method. The proposed method is verified by case study for a week. The result of case study shows that the average percentage errors of the proposed load forecasting method are improved comparing with errors of the previous methods.

기상청 동네예보의 영농활용도 증진을 위한 방안: 복잡지형의 낮 기온 상세화 기법 (Improving Usage of the Korea Meteorological Administration's Digital Forecasts in Agriculture: Correction Method for Daytime Hourly Air Temperature over Complex Terrain)

  • 윤은정;김수옥
    • 한국농림기상학회지
    • /
    • 제21권4호
    • /
    • pp.221-228
    • /
    • 2019
  • 일출 이후부터 일몰 전까지 매시 간격으로 태양 일사로 인한 지표부근 기온상승 효과와 풍속이 미치는 영향을 추정하고자, 동향사면과 서향사면 간 대표 기상관측지점에 대하여 매시 일사량 편차에 따른 관측기온의 편차(기온변화량)을 풍속별로 구분하여 도출하였다. 일사편차 1 MJ/㎡ 당 기온변화량으로 일사효과를 표현하여 풍속과의 경험식을 구하고, 이것을 토대로 2018년 1월부터 2018년 12월까지 농산촌의 복잡지형에 위치한 기상관측지점 25곳에 대해 주간(06:00~19:00) 매시 기온을 추정한 후 검증하였다. 그 결과 추정값과 관측값의 평균 ME는 -0.98~0.67℃, 평균 RMSE는 0.95~2.04℃ 나타났다. 오후 3시 기준의 한낮기온은 선행연구에서 제시한 기존 모형과 추정신뢰도를 대조하였는데, 기존 모형의 추정오차(ME -0.91℃, RMSE 1.47℃)를 ME -0.45℃, RMSE 1.22℃까지 개선시킬 수 있었다.

기상청 기후자료의 균질성 문제 (II): 통계지침의 변경 (Inhomogeneities in Korean Climate Data (II): Due to the Change of the Computing Procedure of Daily Mean)

  • 류상범;김연희
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제17권1호
    • /
    • pp.17-26
    • /
    • 2007
  • The station relocations, the replacement of instruments, and the change of a procedure for calculating derived climatic quantities from observations are well-known nonclimatic factors that seriously contaminate the worthwhile results in climate study. Prior to embarking on the climatological analysis, therefore, the quality and homogeneity of the utilized data sets should be properly evaluated with metadata. According to the metadata of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), there have been plenty of changes in the procedure computing the daily mean values of temperature, humidity, etc, since 1904. For routine climatological work, it is customary to compute approximate daily mean values for individual days from values observed at fixed hours. In the KMA, fixed hours were totally 5 times changed: at four-hourly, four-hourly interval with additional 12 hour, eight-hourly, six-hourly, three-hourly intervals. In this paper, the homogeneity in the daily mean temperature dataset of the KMA was assessed with the consistency and efficiency of point estimators. We used the daily mean calculated from the 24 hourly readings as a potential true value. Approximate daily means computed from temperatures observed at different fixed hours have statistically different properties. So this inhomogeneity in KMA climate data should be kept in mind if you want to analysis secular aspects of Korea climate using this data set.

냉방부하에 영향을 미치는 외기 환경조건의 상관관계에 관한 연구 (A Study on Correlation of Outdoor Environmental Condition about Cooling Load)

  • 이제묘
    • 설비공학논문집
    • /
    • 제24권11호
    • /
    • pp.759-766
    • /
    • 2012
  • To estimate the cooling load for the following day, outdoor temperature and humidity are needed in hourly base. But the meteorological administration forecasts only maximum and minimum temperature. New methodology is proposed for predicting hourly outdoor temperature and humidity by using the forecasted maximum and minimum temperature. The correlations for normalized outdoor temperature and specific humidity has been derived from the weather data for five years at Seoul, Daejeon and Pusan. The correlations for normalized temperature are independent of date, while the correlations for specific humidity are linearly dependent on date. The predicted results show fairly good agreement with the measured data. The prediction program is also developed for hourly outdoor dry bulb temperature, specific humidity, dew point, relative humidity, enthalpy and specific volume.

Atmospheric Stability Evaluation at Different Time Intervals for Determination of Aerial Spray Application Timing

  • Huang, Yanbo;Thomson, Steven J.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
    • /
    • 제41권4호
    • /
    • pp.337-341
    • /
    • 2016
  • Purpose: Evaluation of atmospheric conditions for proper timing of spray application is important to prevent off-target movement of crop protection materials. Susceptible crops can be damaged downwind if proper application procedure is not followed. In our previous study, hourly data indicated unfavorable conditions, primarily between evening 18:00 hrs in the evening and 6:00 hrs next morning, during clear conditions in the hot summer months in the Mississippi delta. With the requirement of timely farm operations, sub-hourly data are required to provide better guidelines for pilots, as conditions of atmospheric stability can change rapidly. Although hourly data can be interpolated to some degree, finer resolution for data acquisition of the order of 15 min would provide pilots with more accurate recommendations to match the data recording frequency of local weather stations. Methods: In the present study, temperature and wind speed data obtained at a meteorological tower were re-sampled to calculate the atmospheric stability ratio for sub-hour and hourly recommendations. High-precision evaluation of temperature inversion periods influencing atmospheric stability was made considering strength, time of occurrence, and duration of temperature inversion. Results and Discussion: The results indicated that atmospheric stability could be determined at different time intervals providing consistent recommendations to aerial applicators, thereby avoiding temperature inversion with minimal off-target drift of the sprayed liquid.

대한해협의 수온 및 염분의 시간적 변동 (Hourly Change of Temperature and Salinity in the Korea Strait)

  • 박청길
    • 한국해양학회지
    • /
    • 제7권1호
    • /
    • pp.15-18
    • /
    • 1972
  • 1968년 8월부터 1969년 7월까지 1년간 대한해협에서 수온 염분의 시간적 변동에 대해 조사한 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 1. 수온 염분의 시간적 변동범위는 년중 8월이 가장 크고 4월이 가장 작았다. 2. 8월의 수온은 125m 층에서 5.67-15.75$^{\circ}C$로 10.08$^{\circ}C$의 최고 변동범위를 보였으며, 염분은 20m 층에서 32.09-34.32 로 2.23 의 최고 변동범위를 보였다. 3. 이렇게 수온, 염분의 시간적 변동범위가 계절에 따라 수층에 따라 큰 차이를 보이는 것은 대한해협에는 수평, 수직적으로 이질적인 다양한 수괴들이 있어 이들이 게절에 따라 분포구조가 변화할 뿐 아니라, 이곳을 통과하는 대마난류가 조석의 영향으로 시시각각 그 유향과 유속이 변동됨에 따라 이들 수괴들이 상호 수직, 수평으로 유동하기 때문인 것으로 보인다.

  • PDF

건물 면적을 이용한 시간별 냉방부하 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Prediction of Hourly Cooling Load Using Building Area)

  • 유성연;한규현
    • 설비공학논문집
    • /
    • 제22권11호
    • /
    • pp.798-804
    • /
    • 2010
  • New methodology is proposed to predict the hourly cooling load of the next day using maximum/minimum temperature and building area. The maximum and minimum temperature are obtained from forecasted weather data. The cooling load parameters related to building area are set through a database provided from reference buildings. To validate the performance of the proposed method, the predicted cooling loads in hourly bases are calculated and compared with the measured data. The predicted results show fairly good agreement with the measured data for benchmarking building.