• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.166-166
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• 2023

Compound hazards (CHs) are two or more extreme climate events combined which occur simultaneously in the same region at the same time. Compared to individual hazards, the combination of hazards that cause CHs can result in greater economic losses and deaths. While several extreme climate events have been recorded across Asia for the past decades, many studies have only focused on a single hazard. In this study, we assess the spatiotemporal pattern of dry compound hazards which includes drought, heatwave, fire and wind across Asia for the last 42 years (1980-2021) using the historical data from ERA5 Reanalysis dataset. We utilize a daily spatial data of each climate event to assess the occurrence of such compound hazards on a daily basis. Heatwave, fire and wind hazard occurrences are analyzed using daily percentile-based thresholds while a pre-defined threshold for SPI is applied for drought occurrence. Then, the occurrence of each type of compound hazard is taken from overlapping the map of daily occurrences of a single hazard. Lastly, a multivariate assessment are conducted to quantify the occurrence frequency, hotspots and trends of each type of compound hazard across Asia. By conducting a multivariate analysis of the occurrence of these compound hazards, we identify the relationships and interactions in dry compound hazards including droughts, heatwaves, fires, and winds, ultimately leading to better-informed decisions and strategies in the natural risk management.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.206-206
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• 2021

The necessity for appropriate management of water resources infrastructures such as reservoirs, levees, and dikes is increasing due to unexpected hydro-climate irregularities and rising water demands. To meet this need, past studies have focused on advancing theoretical optimization algorithms such as nonlinear programming, dynamic programming (DP), and genetic programming. Yet, the optimally derived theoretical solutions are limited to be directly implemented in making release decisions in the real-world systems for a variety of reasons. This study first aims to comparatively analyze the two prominent optimization methods, DP and evolutionary multi-objective direct policy search (EMODPS), under historical inflow series using K-fold cross validation. A total of six optimization models are formed each with a specific formulation. Then, one of the optimization models was coupled with the actual zone-based hedging rule that has been adopted in practice. The proposed methodology was applied to Boryeong Dam located in South Korea with conflicting objectives between supply and demand. As a result, the EMODPS models demonstrated a better performance than the DP models in terms of proximity to the ideal. Moreover, the incorporation of the real-world policy with the optimal solutions improved in all indices in terms of the supply side, while widening the range of the trade-off between frequency and magnitude measured in the sides of demand. The results from this study once again highlight the necessity of closing the gap between the theoretical solutions with the real-world implementable policies.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.515-515
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• 2022

Climate change is strongly threatening the performance of agricultural reservoirs, which are instrumental in ensuring uninterrupted water supplies for rice cultivation in Korea. In this study, various performance indices were derived and overall sustainability of the 400 agricultural reservoirs was evaluated in the context of climate change trends during 1973-2017. Rice crop evapotranspiration, irrigation water requirements, runoff generation in the upstream watershed, and volumetric evaporation losses were plugged into a water balance model to simulate the reservoir operation during the study period. Resilience, reliability, and vulnerability are the three main indicators of reservoir performance, and these were combined into a single sustainability metric to define the overall system credibility. Historical climate data analysis confirmed that the country is facing a gradual warming shift, particularly in the central and southern agricultural regions. Although annual cumulative rainfall increased over the last 45 years, uneven monthly rainfall distribution during the dry and wet seasons also exacerbated the severity and frequency of droughts/floods. For approximately 85% of the selected reservoirs, the sustainability ranged between 0.35 to 0.77, and this range narrowed sharply with time, particularly for the reservoirs located in the western and southern coast regions. The study outcomes could help in developing the acceptable ranges of the performance indices and implementing appropriate policy and technical interventions for improving the sustainability of reservoirs with unacceptable ranges of the performance indices.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.47 no.9
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• pp.777-787
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• 2014

Stormwater pipe systems are most commonly used to discharge rainwater from the urban catchment covered by the impervious area. To design stormwater pipe and rainwater pumping station, frequency analysis is implemented using historical rainfall and the design rainfall is timely distributed using theoretical shape such as Huff distribution. This method cannot consider the rainfall intensity variation caused by climate change which is type of uncertainty. Therefore, in this study, runoff from Gasan1 stormwater pumping stations catchment is calculated using design rainfall distributed by the 2nd quartile distribution method and the historical rainfall events. From the analysis, the nodal flooding in the urban catchment is likely caused by the high peak rainfall event rather than the large amount of rainfall. The linear regression analysis is implemented. As a result, when several storms have the same amount of rainfall, the nodal flooding in the stormwater pipe systems could be caused by the high peak of storm events. Since as the storm duration become short, the peak rainfall become high, the nodal flooding likely become severe with the short storm duration. The uncertainty in the peak data of design rainfall is analyzed and this uncertainty has to be consider in the stormwater pipe design process.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.293-308
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• 2010

In this paper, we examine the forecasting KOSPI 200 realized volatility by volatility measurements. The empirical investigation for KOSPI 200 daily returns is done during the period from 3 January 2003 to 29 June 2007. Since Korea Exchange(KRX) will launch VKOSPI futures contract in 2010, forecasting VKOSPI can be an important issue. So we analyze which volatility measurements forecast VKOSPI better. To test this hypothesis, we use 5-minute interval returns to measure realized volatilities. Also, we propose a new methodology that reflects the synchronized bidding and simultaneously takes it account the difference between overnight volatility and intra-daily volatility. The t-test and F-test show that our new realized volatility is not only different from the realized volatility by a conventional method at less than 0.01% significance level, also more stable in summary statistics. We use the correlation analysis, regression analysis, cross validation test to investigate the forecast performance. The empirical result shows that the realized volatility we propose is better than other volatilities, including historical volatility, implied volatility, and convention realized volatility, for forecasting VKOSPI. Also, the regression analysis on the predictive abilities for realized volatility, which is measured by our new methodology and conventional one, shows that VKOSPI is an efficient estimator compared to historical volatility and CRR implied volatility.

• Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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• v.43 no.1
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• pp.87-103
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• 2008

The geographical name is an expression of human knowledge about living conditions and a basic tool for understanding about regional cultures and history as a result of spatiotemporal changes. This study aims to understand the historical and regional characteristics by analyzing the frequency and distribution of geographical names of 1:50,000 topographic map in the early 20th century and materializing on electronic cultural atlas. The result of this analysis is as follows. First, the aspect of distributed geographical names on the Korean Peninsula reflects a general trait of the country's natural and human environment included geographical features, population, arable land, the number of counties and villages, and functions of administration and military, etc. Second, through the frequency and weight of their names, the analysis shows not only the change of native names, but also the country's phase of the time by Japanese colonial policies such as exploitation of resources, the construction of railroads, and a desire to control of the border area with Manchuria. In addition, the study identified regional characteristics and differences in environmental perception and preferences, and naming basis and forms by the comparative analysis of each type of geographical names associated with village and ridge such as 'Chi' 'Ryung' 'Duk' 'Hang' 'Pyeong' 'Gok'. In particular, those characteristics were largely affected from environmental difference of each area.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.1-10
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• 2023

In the seismic design of structures, seismic forces are calculated based on structural models and analysis. In order to accurately address the dynamic characteristics of the actual structure in the structural model, calibration based on actual measurements is required. In this study, a 4-story frame test specimen was manufactured to simulate frame building, accelerometers were attached at each floor, and 1-axis shaking table test was performed. The natural period of the specimen was similar to that of the actual 4 story frame building, and the columns were designed to behave with double-curvature having the infinite stiffness of the horizontal members. To investigate the effects seismic waves characteristics, historical and artificial excitations with various frequencies and acceleration magnitudes were applied. The natural frequencies, damping ratios, and mode shapes were obtained using frequency response functions obtained from dynamic response signals, and the mode vector deviations according to the input seismic waves were verified using the Mode assurance criterion (MAC). In addition, the damping ratios obtained from the vibration tests were applied to the structural model, and the method with refined dynamic characteristics was validated by comparing the analysis results with the experimental data.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• v.14 no.7
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• pp.2769-2784
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• 2020

This paper aims to compare the scenic images of four ancient Chinese cities including Lijiang, Pingyao, Huizhou and Langzhong, so as to provide specific development strategies for the ancient cities. In this paper, the ancient cities' scenic images are divided into three sub-indexes and eight evaluation dimensions. Based on this, the study first uses Python software to collect tourists' online comments on the four ancient cities. Then, the social network analysis method is used to build a high-frequency keywords matrix of tourist comments and the R language is used to generate a visual network graph. After this, the entropy weight method is used to determine the weights and values of eight evaluation dimensions. Finally, the tourists' overall satisfaction indexes of the four ancient cities are calculated accordingly. The results show that (1) the overall satisfaction of Lijiang is the highest, while that of Huizhou is the lowest; (2) from the weight of each evaluation dimension, it can be seen that tourists care more about the national culture and historical culture; (3) from tourists' satisfaction index on each evaluation dimension of the four ancient cities, we can find that the four ancient cities has their own advantages and disadvantages in tourism development. (4) local tourism-related institutions should strengthen their advantages and improve their deficiencies so as to enhance tourists' overall image of the ancient city.

• The Journal of Korean Medicine
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• v.20 no.1 s.37
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• pp.30-43
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• 1999

This is a fundamental study for bibliometric analysis investigating the general, research, copyright activities and cited literature related to the field of Oriental Medicine, The data used for this study included theses published by the Journal of Korean Oriental Medicine Society over a period of nine years, from 1990 to 1998, We investigated the productivity of national authors, distribution of cited literature and subject analysis about Oriental Medicine and its authors quantitatively, So we were able to reach several conclusions: 1. The rule of Lotka is applied considerably to analyze the productivity of authors in the field of Oriental Medicine, When it comes to the analysis of national authors it was found that most authors in this field of study published 2 to 10 volumes, likewise other studies. And the rate of co-authorships was high, because most surveys are clinical. 2. When it comes to distribution of cited literatures, independent volumes were cited more than journals. This represents that the citing style of Oriental Medicine has a tendency to follow the methodology of historical research. 3. Scholars in the field of Oriental Medicine mainly tend to cite self-subjects among cited literatures. After analysing self-subjects in this field, the result is that the order of frequency used as cited literatures is as follows: Internal Medicine, Herbology and Oriental Prescription, Acupuncture & Moxibustion. Acupuncture point, and subjects with the circulatory system diseases were mainly cited as far as subordinary subjects of Internal Medicine.

• Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.53-67
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• 2019

The purpose of this study is to identify the quality of landslide susceptibility in a landslide-prone area (Jinbu-myeon, Gangwon-do, South Korea) by spatial prediction modeling approach and compare the results obtained. For this goal, a landslide inventory map was prepared mainly based on past historical information and aerial photographs analysis (Daum Map, 2008), as well as some field observation. Altogether, 550 landslides were counted at the whole study area. Among them, 182 landslides are debris flow and each group of landslides was constructed in the inventory map separately. Then, the landslide inventory was randomly selected through Excel; 50% landslide was used for model analysis and the remaining 50% was used for validation purpose. Total 12 contributing factors, such as slope, aspect, curvature, topographic wetness index (TWI), elevation, forest type, forest timber diameter, forest crown density, geology, landuse, soil depth, and soil drainage were used in the analysis. Moreover, to find out the co-relation between landslide causative factors and incidents landslide, pixels were divided into several classes and frequency ratio for individual class was extracted. Eventually, six landslide susceptibility maps were constructed using the Bayesian Predictive Discriminant (BPD), Empirical Likelihood Ratio (ELR), and Linear Regression Method (LRM) models based on different category dada. Finally, in the cross validation process, landslide susceptibility map was plotted with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calculated the area under the curve (AUC) and tried to extract success rate curve. The result showed that Bayesian, likelihood and linear models were of 85.52%, 85.23%, and 83.49% accuracy respectively for total data. Subsequently, in the category of debris flow landslide, results are little better compare with total data and its contained 86.33%, 85.53% and 84.17% accuracy. It means all three models were reasonable methods for landslide susceptibility analysis. The models have proved to produce reliable predictions for regional spatial planning or land-use planning.