• Title/Summary/Keyword: hazard distance

Search Result 170, Processing Time 0.02 seconds

The probabilistic estimation of inundation region using a multiple logistic regression analysis (다중 Logistic 회귀분석을 통한 침수지역의 확률적 도출)

  • Jung, Minkyu;Kim, Jin-Guk;Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.53 no.2
    • /
    • pp.121-129
    • /
    • 2020
  • The increase of impervious surface and development along the river due to urbanization not only causes an increase in the number of associated flood risk factors but also exacerbates flood damage, leading to difficulties in flood management. Flood control measures should be prioritized based on various geographical information in urban areas. In this study, a probabilistic flood hazard assessment was applied to flood-prone areas near an urban river. Flood hazard maps were alternatively considered and used to describe the expected inundation areas for a given set of predictors such as elevation, slope, runoff curve number, and distance to river. This study proposes a Bayesian logistic regression-based flood risk model that aims to provide a probabilistic risk metric such as population-at-risk (PAR). Finally, the logistic regression model demonstrates the probabilistic flood hazard maps for the entire area.

Abundance Estimation of the Finless Porpoise, Neophocaena phocaenoides, Using Models of the Detection Function in a Line Transect (Line Transect에서 발견율함수 추정에 사용되는 모델에 따른 상괭이, Neophocaena phocaenoides의 자원개체수 추정)

  • Park, Kyum-Joon;Kim, Zang-Geun;Zhang, Chang-Ik
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
    • /
    • v.40 no.4
    • /
    • pp.201-209
    • /
    • 2007
  • Line transect sampling in a sighting survey is one of most widely used methods for assessing animal abundance. This study applied distance data, collected from three sighting surveys using line transects for finless porpoise that were conducted in 2004 and 2005 off the west coast of Korea, to four models (hazard-rate, uniform, half-normal and exponential) that can use a variety of detection functions, g (x). The hazard-rate model, a derived model for the detection function, should have a shoulder condition chosen using the AIC (Akaike Information Criterion), as the most suitable model. However, it did not describe a shoulder shape for the value of g(x) near the track tine and underestimated g (x), just as the exponential model did. The hazard-rate model showed a bias toward overestimating the densities of finless porpoises with a higher coefficient of variation (CV) than the other models did. The uniform model underestimated the densities of finless porpoise but had the lowest CV. The half-normal model described a detection function with a shape similar to that of the uniform model. The half-normal model was robust for finless porpoise data and should be able to avoid density underestimation. The estimated abundance of finless porpoise was 3,602 individuals (95% CI=1,251-10,371) inshore in 2005 and 33,045 individuals (95% CI=24,274-44,985) offshore in 2004.

Prediction of Lahar Flow Inundation Areas Using LAHARZ_py Program: Application for the Mt. Baekdu Volcano (LAHARZ_py 프로그램을 이용한 라하르 범람지역의 예측: 백두산 화산에 적용)

  • Yun, Sung-Hyo;Chang, Cheolwoo
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
    • /
    • v.50 no.4
    • /
    • pp.277-286
    • /
    • 2017
  • Mt. Baekdu which located the border of North Korea and China, is known as a potentially active volcano in a typical mountainous terrain. A lahar on the volcanic area is one of the important hazard that can cause the loss of life and property damage. In order to comprehensively address the impact of lahar hazard at Mt. Baekdu, we simulated lahar inundation area using Laharz_py. We assumed 750 m of additional elevation for DEM to draw proximal hazard zone boundary (PHZB) of Mt. Baekdu that H/L ratio are selected 0.10. And lahar volumes for simulation were estimated to $1{\times}10^6$, $5{\times}10^6$, $1{\times}10^7$, $5{\times}10^7$, $1{\times}10^8$, $5{\times}10^8$, $1{\times}10^9m^3$, respectively. In the results, 15 streams are located near a proximal hazard zone boundary, Amnok (Yalu) river (south), Toudaosonghua river, Jinjiang river and Huapi river (west-southwest), Songjiang river, Xiaosha river, Caozi river and Sandaosongjian river (west-northwest), Toudaobai river, Erdaobai river and Sandabai river (north), Wudaobai river-1, -2, -3 (northeast) and Duman (Tumen) river (east). The results of this study can be used as basic data to make a hazard map for reduce the damage that can be caused by volcanic hazards occurred on Mt. Baekdu.

A Development of Intelligent Decision System by Safely Distance of GAS Storage Tank (가스 저장탱크 안전거리의 지적 결정 시스템 개발)

  • Leem Sa-Hwan;Huh Yong-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.7 no.4
    • /
    • pp.721-726
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper is on intelligent decision system by safety distance of gas storage tank(IDSG). The safety distance fixed up by law is used to prevent from the injury by explosion of storage tank on the spot. However, it is not easy for a layman to decide a proper safety distance considering the size, shape and place of the storage tank. Therefore, this thesis shows the user-friendly intelligent decision system which a layman can decide the Bas related law, the size, shape and place of the storage tank by the intelligent decision, and it is to make assurance doubly sure for safety supervision on the spot. Also, the paper can make the data for the damage influence distance of overpressure by the explosion of the storage tank calculated by the scaling law of Hopkinson with the fixed distance by law, and safety range can be grasped with the graphic which is printed by the PHAST(Process Hazard Analysis Software Tool) model using this data.

  • PDF

Drawing up the guideline for a field survey of tsunami damages (지진해일 피해조사 현장지침 작성)

  • Kim, Sung-Min;Cho, Young-Sik
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2007.02a
    • /
    • pp.391-394
    • /
    • 2007
  • The field survey of a tsunami damage is carried out to collect and obtain real data. There data can be used to make the countermeasures against possible tsunami attackings. In the survey, many data collecting techniques such as interviewing with local people, taking pictures of the inundated field, recording the location by the GPS, measuring the level and distance of the maximum flood level can be used for practical and effective survey.

  • PDF

The Study on the Laser in the Safety Device for Dangerous Machine (위험기계 방초장치에 적용되는 레이저에 관한 연구)

  • 이충렬;김창봉
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.22-29
    • /
    • 2002
  • The safety device of infrared type for dangerous machine being used currently has a harmful effect on human's eye and skin. In this paper we explain about the characteristics of lasr source and analyze the amount of harmfulness on human's eye by simulation method. We used the datas given by ANSI in this simulation.

Generalized Kullback-Leibler information and its extensions to censored and discrete cases

  • Park, Sangun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.23 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1223-1229
    • /
    • 2012
  • In this paper, we propose a generalized Kullback-Leibler (KL) information for measuring the distance between two distribution functions where the extension to the censored case is immediate. The generalized KL information has the nonnegativity and characterization properties, and its censored version has the additional property of monotonic increase. We also extend the discussion to the discrete case and propose a generalized censored measure which is comparable to Pearson's chi-square statistic.

A Study on the Theoretical Analysis of Human Body Approximation to Special High Voltage Eletric Lines (특별고압 전선로에 대한 인체접근한계의 이론적연구)

  • 김상렬;김찬오;이재인
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.5 no.3
    • /
    • pp.44-50
    • /
    • 1990
  • This study is conducted to examine the theoretical background of characteristics for electric shock encountered in special high-voltage electric lines among the accidents of electric shock, and to calculate applied current to human body and field strength over the head by means of numerical anaysis through FEM(Finite Element Method), and to make clear the hazard level to the human body, and to establish the approach limit distance of human body to the electric lines, which could be applied to the safety standard while working in the vicinity of special high-voltage electric lines.

  • PDF

Compressed Natural Gas Bus & Liquefied Petroleum Gas Vehicle (압축천연가스(CNG)버스와 액화석유가스(LPG)자동차)

  • 윤재건
    • Journal of the Korean Professional Engineers Association
    • /
    • v.34 no.3
    • /
    • pp.28-32
    • /
    • 2001
  • Using the CNG(compressed natural gas) and LPG(liquified petroleum gas) as the automotive fuel will be expanded because of their clean effect to the environmental air qualify. But these programs of gas using expansion would have a difficulty due to public consideration of gas utilities as a big hazard. The Ministry of Environment has an ambitious plan to substitute more than 25,000 buses with CNG and ensure more than 200 CNG refueling stations as well by the year of 2007. However, it is very difficult to establish new CNG and LPG refueling stations because of expanded safety distance than ever before by several major explosion accidents.

  • PDF