• 제목/요약/키워드: hazard assessment

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Use of the t-Distribution to Construct Seismic Hazard Curves for Seismic Probabilistic Safety Assessments

  • Yee, Eric
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권2호
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    • pp.373-379
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    • 2017
  • Seismic probabilistic safety assessments are used to help understand the impact potential seismic events can have on the operation of a nuclear power plant. An important component to seismic probabilistic safety assessment is the seismic hazard curve which shows the frequency of seismic events. However, these hazard curves are estimated assuming a normal distribution of the seismic events. This may not be a strong assumption given the number of recorded events at each source-to-site distance. The use of a normal distribution makes the calculations significantly easier but may underestimate or overestimate the more rare events, which is of concern to nuclear power plants. This paper shows a preliminary exploration into the effect of using a distribution that perhaps more represents the distribution of events, such as the t-distribution to describe data. The integration of a probability distribution with potentially larger tails basically pushes the hazard curves outward, suggesting a different range of frequencies for use in seismic probabilistic safety assessments. Therefore the use of a more realistic distribution results in an increase in the frequency calculations suggesting rare events are less rare than thought in terms of seismic probabilistic safety assessment. However, the opposite was observed with the ground motion prediction equation considered.

강풍위해지도 개발 및 활용 방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on Development and Utilization of Wind Hazard Maps)

  • 이영규;이승수;함희정
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 지리정보기반의 강풍위해지도를 개발하였으며, 이는 지표조도모형, 지형할증모형, 균일강풍지도로 구성된다. 지표조도모형은 지표조도가 지표풍에 미치는 영향을 반영하기 위해서 개발되었다. 지형에 의한 풍속할증을 반영하기 위하여 지형 할증모형을 개발하였다. 지형에 의한 풍속할증은 건축구조설계기준(2005)을 채용하여 산정하였다. 균일강풍지도는 기상자료를 이용한 빈도분석법과 태풍 시뮬레이션을 통하여 개발되었다. 본 연구에서 개발한 강풍위해성 평가방법을 통한 강풍위해지도가 강풍에 의한 손실, 피해 및 보험료율 산정에 적용될 수 있음을 보였다.

커튼월 고층 건물 빛 반사에 의한 운전자 눈부심 가능성 (A Case Study on the Driver's Glare Hazard Assessment by Light Reflection of Curtain Wall Type Buildings)

  • 송형준;서영교
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.26-31
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    • 2021
  • Buildings with glass curtain walls have become popular due to their appealing aesthetics and ability to let in natural light. However, light reflection from the glass surface is unavoidable in these buildings. In particular, the reflection of light from the glass envelope can create afterimage glare, a hazard to nearby drivers and pedestrians. Despite this potential danger, glare from buildings with curtain walls has not been well-studied. Hence, we analyzed the effect of light reflection on glare around a glass-enclosed skyscraper, depending on its surface reflectance. We investigated the potential hazard of glare to drivers using a commercially available software program. The results indicate that the direction of light reflection is distinctive when the incident angle of solar light increases. Moreover, this light reflection is high enough to induce an afterimage to drivers and pedestrians near the building. We found that keeping the reflectance of the building surface under 3% is required to minimize the afterimage hazard to drivers. Consequently, we recommend managing glass reflectance and installing additional traffic safety systems to reduce traffic accidents near curtain wall buildings.

원자력 발전소 부지에 대한 확률론적 지진해일 재해도 분석의 적용 (Application of Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis for the Nuclear Power Plant Site)

  • 이현미;김민규;신동훈;최인길
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.265-271
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    • 2015
  • The tsunami hazard analysis is performed for testing the application of probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis to nuclear power plant sites in the Korean Peninsula. Tsunami hazard analysis is based on the seismic hazard analysis. Probabilistic method is adopted for considering the uncertainties caused by insufficient information of tsunamigenic fault sources. Logic tree approach is used. Uljin nuclear power plant (NPP) site is selected for this study. The tsunamigenic fault sources in the western part of Japan (East Sea) are used for this study because those are well known fault sources in the East Sea and had several records of tsunami hazards. We have performed numerical simulations of tsunami propagation for those fault sources in the previous study. Therefore we use the wave parameters obtained from the previous study. We follow the method of probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis (PTHA) suggested by the atomic energy society of Japan (AESJ). Annual exceedance probabilities for wave height level are calculated for the site by using the information about the recurrence interval, the magnitude range, the wave parameters, the truncation of lognormal distribution of wave height, and the deviation based on the difference between simulation and record. Effects of each parameters on tsunami hazard are tested by the sensitivity analysis, which shows that the recurrence interval and the deviation dominantly affects the annual exceedance probability and the wave heigh level, respectively.

석유정제시설 운영에 대한 건강영향평가 사례 연구 - 화학물질 흡입에 따른 인체 위해도 평가 - (A Case Study on Health Impact Assessment from Petroleum Refinery Plant Operation - Human Risk Assessment due to Chemicals Inhalation -)

  • 명노일;이영수;신대윤
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.259-270
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    • 2010
  • We conducted human risk assessment for exposure to inhalation of chemical substances emitted from the storage tanks of petroleum refineries. To assess human risk, this study calculated chemical emissions from the external floating roofs on storage tank at petroleum refineries, as well as concentrations thereof in the ambient air using the K-SCREEN model, and then determined risk in accordance with the Reference Concentration (RfC) values and Inhalation Unit Risk criteria developed by the US Environmental Protection Agency. The results indicated that non-carcinogenic chemicals have a hazard quotient of less than 1, meaning they have an insignificant effect on human health for residential areas near the storage tanks. Among the known carcinogens, the hazard risk for benzene slightly exceeded $10^{-6}$, indicating the need for corrective reduction measures. The methodology for health impact assessment devised herein provides findings useful in decision making for policy makers and the general public with respect to construction of industrial complexes. However, the methodology proposed herein does have limitations, including discrepancy in results induced by use of U.S. data (due to the lack of usable domestic data). More systematic studies from related researchers will be needed to address these issues and produce more reliable outcomes.

지진취약도분석을 통한 교량의 지진위험도 평가 (Seismic Risk Assessment of Bridges Using Fragility Analysis)

  • 이진학;윤진영;윤정방
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제8권6호통권40호
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    • pp.31-43
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    • 2004
  • 지진취약도 분석을 통하여 교량의 지진 위험도를 평가하였다. 지진취약도 분석에서는 교각 하부의 소성힌지의 거동을 주요 손상인자로 분석하였으며, 또한 한반도 지진재해지도를 근거로 하여 지진발생확률을 산정한 후 이들을 이용하여 교량의 성능단계에 따른 손상발생확률을 분석하였다. 이 연구에서는 교각에 직접 전달되는 지진이 아닌 암반노두에서의 지진의 최대지반가속도에 대하여 지진취약도를 분석하였으며, 비선형 지진해석을 위해서는 층상지반의 영향으로 증폭된 지진하중을 고려하였다. 제안된 방법으로 예제교량의 지진위험도를 분석하였으며, 면진받침이 설치된 교량에 대한 지진 위험도의 저감 효과를 정량적으로 분석하였고, 지진재해지도에서의 조건이 다른 지역에 시공되는 경우의 지진위험도를 분석함으로써 현 시방서의 타당성을 간접적으로 검토하였다.

산업안전보건법 상 유해성.위험성 평가제도 적용을 위한 양-반응 평가의 통일화 방안 연구 (A Harmonized Method for Dose-response Risk Assessment Based on the Hazard & Risk Evaluation of Chemicals (HREC) According to the Industrial Safety and Health Act (ISHA))

  • 임철홍;양정선;박상용
    • 한국산업보건학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.175-183
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: This study developed a harmonized method for risk assessment based on the Hazard & Risk Evaluation of Chemicals (HREC) according to the Industrial Safety and Health Act (ISHA). Methods: Three preliminary studies, performed during 2010 and 2011 by the Occupational Safety and Health Research Institute and three academic research groups, were compared. The differences in risk assessment, especially in the dose-response assessment method, were analyzed. A new harmonized method for dose-response assessment was suggested and its applicability for the HREC was examined. Results: Considering the various steps of each dose-response assessment, the equivalent steps in quantitative correction, uncertainty factor 2 (UF2) for intra-species uncertainty, and UF3 for the experimental period in the uncertainty correction were relatively high. Using our new method, the total correction values (quantitative correction plus uncertainty correction) ranged from 72~15,789 to 30~60, and the ratio of the threshold limit value (TLV) to the reference concentration decreased from 12.8~1900 to 5.4~11.8. Furthermore, when we performed risk characterization by our new method, hazard quotient (HQ) values for chloroethylene, epichlorohydrin, and barium sulfate became 3.0, 14.1, and 1.13 respectively, whereas three previous studies reported HQ values of 7.1, 4580, and 87.3 considering reasonable maximum exposure (RME) conditions. HQs of the three chemicals were calculated to be 0.6, 2.4, and 0.1 respectively, when compared to their TLVs. Conclusions: Our new method could be applicable for the HREC because the total correction values and the ratio of TLVs were within reasonable ranges. It is also recommended that additional risk management measures be applied for epichlorohydrin, for which the HQ values were greater than 1 when compared with both reference values and the TLV. Our proposed method could be used to harmonize dose-response assessment methods for the implementation of risk assessment based on the HREC according to ISHA.

소각설비에 대한 확률론적 환경위험성 평가 적용 (An Application of Probabilistic Environmental Risk Assessment for An Incineration Facility)

  • 김영제;장의종;안경수
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2004
  • A wide spectrum of risk assessments including qualitative and quantitative approaches and the analyses of its consequence were performed for an environmentally sensitive object such as incineration facility. To find out the major risk concerns, HAZOP(Hazard and Operability) were performed. Then, the frequency of hazardous gas release scenarios was calculated. Finally consequence analyses were performed for the gas release scenarios. On the basis of analyses through evaluation, a more innovative way for making a better control system or the enhancement of operation procedure was given. The results from these analyses would act as a substantial benefits for the incineration facility operator, and giving some measured information for the neighbors and the people involved.

GIS를 이용한 정적 자연환경인자의 분석에 의한 산사태 취약성 평가 (An Estimation of Landslide's Vulnerability by Analysis of Static Natural Environmental Factors with GIS)

  • Yang, In-Tae
    • 한국지형공간정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지형공간정보학회 2005년도 아시아 태평양 국제 GSIS 학술발표회
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2005
  • The landslide risk assessment process consists of hazard risk assessment and vulnerability analysis. landslide hazard risk is location dependent. Therefore, maps and spatial technologies such as GIS are very important components of the risk assessment process. This paper discusses the advantages of using GIS technology in the risk assessment process and illustrates the benefits through case studies of live projects undertaken. The goal of this study is to generate a map of landslide vulnerability map by analysis of static natural factors with GIS. A simple and efficient algorithm is proposed to generate a landslide potentialities map from DEM and existing maps. The categories of controlling factors for landslides, aspect of slope, soil, vegetation are defined. The weight values for landslide potentialities are calculated from AHP method. Slope and slope-direction are extracted from DEM, and soil informations are extracted from digital soil map. Also, vegetation informations are extracted from digital vegetation map. Finally, as overlaying, landslide potentialities map is made out, and it is verified with landslide place.

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