• 천문학회보
• /
• 제35권1호
• /
• pp.27.2-27.2
• /
• 2010

We have studied the formation of coronal holes (CHs) associated with halo CMEs. For this study, we used multi-wavelength data from Yohkoh Soft X-ray Telescope (SXT), GOES Soft X-ray Imager (SXI), SOHO EIT 195 ${\AA}$, SOHO MDI magnetogram, MLSO He I 10830 ${\AA}$, and BBSO H-alpha. The CHs are characterized by open magentic field regions with low emission, density, and temperature and their open fields drive high speed solar winds which cause geomagnetic storms. So far, the formation and the evolution of CHs are not well understood. The formation of the dark region associated with the eruption of a CME is well known as "coronal dimming" which may be caused by the mass depletion near the CME footpoint. It is different from a typical CH since it persists for only one or two days. In this study, we present three cases that show the formation of coronal holes which are associated with three halo CMEs: 1) 2000 Jul 14, 2) 2003 Oct 28, 3) 2005 May 13. In the first case, hot plasma was ejected during a weak eruption and then filled out the pre-existing CH. After the halo CME occurred, the hot plasma region becomes a CH again. In the second and the third cases, we found newly formed CHs just after their associated CMEs. All three coronal holes are associated with strong flares and persist over 3 days until they disappeared by the solar rotation. Examining the MDI magnetograms, we found that the magnetic polarity of each CH region has one polarity. Based on these results, we suggest that the coronal holes can be formed by the CMEs and they should be distinguished from the coronal dimming.

• 천문학회보
• /
• 제37권1호
• /
• pp.92.1-92.1
• /
• 2012

In this work we have examined the performance of the WSA/ENLIL cone model provided by Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC). The WSA/ENLIL model simulates the propagation of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from the Sun into the heliosphere. We estimate the shock arrival times at the Earth using 29 halo CMEs from 2001 to 2002. These halo CMEs have cone model parameters from Michalek et al. (2007) as well as their associated interplanetary (IP) shocks. We make a comparison between CME arrival times by the WSA/ENLIL cone model and IP shock observations. For the WSA/ENLIL cone model, the root mean square(RMS) error is about 13 hours and the mean absolute error(MAE) is approximately 10.4 hours. We compared these estimates with those of the empirical model by Kim et al.(2007). For the empirical model, the RMS and MAE errors are about 10.2 hours and 8.7 hours, respectively. We are investigating several possibilities on relatively large errors of the WSA/ENLIL cone model, which may be caused by cone model velocities, CME density enhancement factor, or CME-CME interaction.

• 천문학회지
• /
• 제42권2호
• /
• pp.27-32
• /
• 2009

Recently, we suggested a CME earthward direction parameter as an important geoeffective parameter that has been demonstrated by front-side halo CME data. In this study, we present the geometrical implication of this parameter by comparing with the parameters from a CME cone model. Major results from this study can be summarized as follows. First, we derive an analytic relationship between the cone model parameters(the half angular width of a cone and the angle between the cone axis and the plane of sky) and the earthward direction parameter. Second, we demonstrate a close relationship between the earthward direction parameter and the cone axis angle using 32 front-side full halo CMEs. Third, we found that there is noticeable inconsistency between the cone axis angles estimated from the cone model fitting to the CMEs and from their associated flare positions, implying that the flare position should not be considered as a good earthward direction parameter. Finally we present several advantages of our earthward direction parameter in terms of the forecast of a geomagnetic storm based on CME parameters.

• 천문학회보
• /
• 제37권1호
• /
• pp.95.2-95.2
• /
• 2012

We have compared the geoeffective parameters of halo coronal mass ejections (CMEs) to predict geomagnetic storms. For this we consider 50 front-side full halo CMEs whose asymmetric cone model parameters and earthward direction parameter were available. For each CME we use its projected velocity (Vp), radial velocity (Vr), angle between cone axis and sky plane (${\gamma}$) from the cone model, earthward direction parameter (D), source longitude (L), and magnetic field orientation (M) of the CME source region. We make a simple and multiple linear regression analysis to find out the relationship between CME parameters and Dst index. Major results are as follows. (1) $Vr{\times}{\gamma}$ has a higher correlation coefficient (cc = 0.70) with the Dst index than the others. When we make a multiple regression of Dst and two parameters ($Vr{\times}{\gamma}$, D), the correlation coefficient increases from 0.70 to 0.77. (2) Correlation coefficients between Dst index and $Vr{\times}{\gamma}$ have different values depending on M and L. (3) Super geomagnetic storms (Dst ${\leq}$ -200 nT) only appear in the western and southward events. Our results demonstrate that not only the cone model parameters together with the earthward direction parameter improve the relationship between CME parameters and Dst index but also the source longitude and its magnetic field orientation play a significant role in predicting geomagnetic storms.

• 천문학회보
• /
• 제41권1호
• /
• pp.80.2-81
• /
• 2016

We investigate the dependence of solar proton events (SPEs) on solar and interplanetary type II bursts associated with solar flares and/or CME-driven shocks. For this we consider NOAA solar proton events from 1997 to 2012 and their associated flare, CME, and type II radio burst data with the following subgroups: metric, decameter-hectometric (DH), and meter-to-kilometric (m-to-km) type II bursts. The primary findings of this study are as follows. First, about half (52%) of the m-to-km type II bursts are associated with SPEs and its occurrence rate is higher than those of DH type II bursts (45%) and metric type II bursts (19%). Second, the SPE occurrence rate strongly depends on flare strength and source longitude, especially for X-class flare associated ones; it is the highest in the central region for metric (46%), DH (54%), and m-to-km (75%) subgroups. Third, the SPE occurrence rate is also dependent on CME linear speed and angular width. The highest rates are found in the m-to-km subgroup associated with CME speed 1500 kms-1: partial halo CME (67%) and halo CME (55%). Fourth, in the relationships between SPE peak fluxes and solar eruption parameters (CME linear speed, flare flux, and longitude), SPE peak flux is mostly dependent on SPE peak flux for all three type II bursts (metric, DH, m-to-km). It is noted that the dependence of SPE peak flux on flare peak flux decreases from metric to m-to-km type II burst.

• 천문학회보
• /
• 제43권1호
• /
• pp.54.1-54.1
• /
• 2018

For space weather forecast, it is important to determine three-dimensional parameters of coronal mass ejections (CMEs). To estimate three-dimensional parameters of CMEs, we have developed a full ice-cream cone model which is a combination of a symmetrical flat cone and a hemisphere. By applying this model to 12 SOHO/LASCO halo CMEs, we find that three-dimensional parameters from our method are similar to those from other stereoscopic methods. For several geoeffective CME events, we determine CME mass by applying the Solarsoft procedure (e.g., cme_mass.pro) to SOHO/LASCO C3 images. CME volumes are estimated from the full ice-cream cone structure. We derive CME mean density as a function of CME height for these CMEs, which are approximately fitted to power-law functions. We find that the ICME mean densities extrapolated from the power law functions, are correlated with their corresponding ICME ones in logarithmic scales.

• 천문학회보
• /
• 제36권2호
• /
• pp.97.1-97.1
• /
• 2011

In this study we have examined the probability of solar proton events (SPEs) and their peak fluxes depending on flare (flux, longitude and impulsive time) and CME parameters (linear speed, longitude, and angular width). For this we used the NOAA SPE list and their associated flare data from 1976 to 2006 and CME data from 1997 to 2006. We find that about 3.5% (1.9% for M-class and 21.3% for X-class) of the flares are associated with SPEs. It is also found that this fraction strongly depends on longitude; for example, the fraction for $30W^{\circ}$ < L < $90W^{\circ}$ is about three times larger than that for $30^{\circ}E$ < L < $90^{\circ}E$. The SPE probability with long duration (${\geq}$ 0.3 hours) is about 2 (X-class flare) to 7 (M-class flare) times larger than that for flares with short duration (< 0.3 hours). In case of halo CMEs with V ${\geq}$ 1500km/s, 36.1% are associated with SPEs but in case of partial halo CME ($120^{\circ}$ ${\leq}$ AW < $360^{\circ}$) with 400 km/s ${\leq}$ V < 1000 km/s, only 0.9% are associated with SPEs. The relationships between X-ray flare peak flux and SPE peak flux are strongly dependent on longitude and impulsive time. The relationships between CME speed and SPE peak flux depend on longitude as well as direction parameter. From this study, we suggest a new SPE forecast method with three-steps: (1) SPE occurrence probability prediction according to the probability tables depending on flare and CME parameters, (2) SPE flux prediction from the relationship between SPE flux and flare (or CME) parameters, and (3) SPE peak time.

• 천문학회보
• /
• 제40권1호
• /
• pp.64.2-64.2
• /
• 2015

We present a comprehensive catalog of 307 front-side halo (partial and full) CMEs during 2009 and 2013 observed by both SOHO and STEREO. This catalog includes 2D CME properties from single spacecraft (SOHO) as well as 3D ones from multi-spacecraft. To determine the 3D CME properties (speed, angular width, and source location), we use the STEREO CME analysis tool based on a triangulation method. In this paper, we compare between 2D and 3D CME properties, which is the first statistical comparison between them. As a result, we find that 2D speeds tend to be about 20% underestimated when compared to 3D ones. The 3D angular width ranges from $15^{\circ}$ to $109^{\circ}$, which are much smaller than the 2D angular widths with the mean value of $225^{\circ}$. We also find that a ratio between 2D and 3D angular width decreases with central meridian distance. The 3D source locations from the triangulation method are similar to the flare locations. The angular width-speed relationship in 3D is much stronger than that in 2D.

• 천문학회보
• /
• 제43권1호
• /
• pp.54.4-55
• /
• 2018

Propagating speeds of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been calculated by several geometrical models based on multi-view observations (STEREO/SECCHI and SOHO/LASCO). But in 2015, we were unable to obtain radial velocity of a CME because the STEREO satellites were located near the backside of the sun. As an alternative to resolve this problem, we propose a method to combine a coronal shock front, which appears on the outermost of the CME, and an EUV-wave that occurs on the solar disk. According to recent studies, EUV-wave occurs as a footprint of the coronal shockwave on the lower solar atmosphere. In this study, the shock, observed as a bubble shape, is assumed as a perfect sphere. This assumption makes it possible to determine the height of a coronal shock, by matching the position of an EUV-wave on the solar disk and a coronal shock front in coronagraph. The radial velocity of Halo-CME is calculated from the rate of coronal shock position shift. For an event happened on 2011 February 15, the calculated speed in this method is a little slower than the real velocity but faster than the apparent one. And these results and the efficiency of this approach are discussed.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
• /
• 제26권4호
• /
• pp.479-486
• /
• 2009

태양 주기 23 기간 동안 발생한 태양 고에너지 양성자 이벤트(Solar Proton Events, SPE)와 그와 연관된 코로나 물질 방출(Corona Mass Ejection, CME) 사이의 상관관계를 통계적으로 살펴보았다. 1997-2006년 동안 일어난 63개의 SPE-CME 데이터 쌍을 조사해 본 결과, CME의 속도는 SPE의 상승 시간(rise time) 및 지속 시간(duration time) 등과 상관 계수가 높게 나타났다. 특별히 CME의 지구방향 인자(earthward direction parameter)는 SPE의 최대 플럭스와 높은 상관 계수를 보여 주었다. 기존의 태양 플레어 세기가 SPE의 세기에 미치는 영향은 CME의 지구방향 인자가 SPE의 플럭스의 세기에 미치는 영향과 그 상관계수가 유사하게 나타났다. 특히 SPE와 CME 지구 방향 인자와의 상관관계가 좋은 데이터들의 공통적인 특성은 모두 매우 빠른(>1400km/s) halo CME인 것으로 나타났다.