• Title/Summary/Keyword: growth simulation

Search Result 1,090, Processing Time 0.037 seconds

What will Happen to the Gini Coefficient When Brute Luck is Accumulated and Leximin-redistributed?: A Simulation Approach (순운의 축적 및 Leximin 재분배에 따른 Gini계수의 변화)

  • Keem, Jung Hoon
    • 사회경제평론
    • /
    • no.38
    • /
    • pp.9-49
    • /
    • 2012
  • Our luck is brute if we cannot choose or control it and, thus, we are not responsible for it. Our luck is optional if we can choose or control it and, thus, we are responsible for it. Egalitarian justice at least demands brute luck be fully neutralized. If, however, brute luck is not fully neutralized and possibly accumulated, what will happen to the Gini coefficients as a measure of inequality due to brute luck? By simulating brute luck under various combinations of the rate of accumulation and the level of, what I call, leximin-redistribution, I obtain the Gini coefficients for the distribution of the accumulated and, then, redistributed brute luck. The level of the leximin-redistribution determines the negative or positive relation between the rate of accumulation and the Gini coefficient. The minimum leximin-redistribution level that generates the negative relation between the rate of accumulation and the Gini coefficient, depends on the characteristics of the starting-point distribution of brute luck. The sooner the leximin-redistribution is ushered in, the lower the minimum level becomes. The so-called 'Growth First Redistribution Later' policy may hurt victims of brute bad luck.

Water Resources Management Challenge in the Citarum River Basin, Indonesia

  • Wicaksono, Albert;Yudianto, Doddi;Jeong, Gimoon;Kang, Doosun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2016.05a
    • /
    • pp.198-198
    • /
    • 2016
  • The Citarum River Basin is the biggest river basin in West Java Province, Indonesia and it plays strategic roles in providing water for irrigation, domestic and industrial uses, and power generation, besides controlling the flood during rainy season. Flowing through seven major cities makes the river flow and water demand are vulnerable to land use change around the river. The present water resources management has involved the regulator, operator, and users in deciding an appropriate water management plan for the entire basin. The plan includes an operation plan for three reservoirs, construction or maintenance of the river channel, and water allocation for all users along the river. Following this plan, a smaller operation group will execute and evaluates the plan based on the actual flow condition. Recently, a deforestation, environment degradation, river sedimentation, a rapid growth of population and industry, also public health become new issues that should be considered in water basin planning. Facing these arising issues, a new development program named ICWRMIP was established to advance the existing management system. This program includes actions to strengthen institutional collaboration, do the restoration and conservation of the river environment, improve water quality and public health, also advance the water allocation system. At present, the water allocation plan is created annually based on a forecasted flow data and water usage prediction report. Sometimes this method causes a difficulty for the operator when the actual flow condition is not the same as the prediction. Improving existing system, a lot of water allocation studies, including a development of the database and water allocation simulation model have been placed to help stakeholders decide the suitable planning schemes. In the future, this study also tries to contribute in advancing water allocation planning by creating an optimization model which ease stakeholders discover a suitable water allocation plan for individual users.

  • PDF

A development of system dynamics model for water, energy, and food nexus (W-E-F nexus)

  • Wicaksono, Albert;Jeong, Gimoon;Kang, Doosun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2015.05a
    • /
    • pp.220-220
    • /
    • 2015
  • Water, energy, and food security already became a risk that threatens people around the world. Increasing of resources demand, rapid urbanization, decreasing of natural resources and climate change are four major problems inducing resources' scarcity. Indeed, water, energy, and food are interconnected each other thus cannot be analyzed separately. That is, for simple example, energy needs water as source for hydropower plant, water needs energy for distribution, and food needs water and energy for production, which is defined as W-E-F nexus. Due to their complicated linkage, it needs a computer model to simulate and analyze the nexus. Development of a computer simulation model using system dynamics approach makes this linkage possible to be visualized and quantified. System dynamics can be defined as an approach to learn the feedback connections of all elements in a complex system, which mean, every element's interaction is simulated simultaneously. Present W-E-F nexus models do not calculate and simulate the element's interaction simultaneously. Existing models only calculate the amount of water and energy resources that needed to provide food, water, or energy without any interaction from the product to resources. The new proposed model tries to cope these lacks by adding the interactions, climate change effect, and government policy to optimize the best options to maintain the resources sustainability. On this first phase of development, the model is developed only to learn and analyze the interaction between elements based on scenario of fulfilling the increasing of resources demand, due to population growth. The model is developed using the Vensim, well-known system dynamics model software. The results are amount of total water, energy, and food demand and production for a certain time period and it is evaluated to determine the sustainability of resources.

  • PDF

Finite Element Simulation of Hysteretic Behavior of Structural Stainless Steel under Cyclic Loading (반복하중을 받는 스테인리스강의 이력거동 해석모델 개발)

  • Jeon, Jun-Tai
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.186-197
    • /
    • 2019
  • Purpose: This study intends to develop a nonlinear cyclic plasticity damage model in the framework of finite element formulation, which is capable of taking large deformation effects into account, in order to accurately predict the hysteretic behavior of stainless steel structures. Method: The new cyclic constitutive equations that utilize the combined isotropic-kinematic hardening rule for plastic deformation is incorporated into the damage mechanic model in conjunction with the large strain formulation. The damage growth law is based on the experimental observations that the evolution of microvoids yields nonlinear damage accumulation with plastic deformation. The damage model parameters and the procedure for their identification are presented. Results and Conclusion: The proposed nonlinear damage model has been verified by simulating uniaxial strain-controlled monotonic and cyclic loading tests, and successfully applied to a thin-walled stainless steel pipe subjected to constant and alternating strain-controlled cyclic loadings.

Improvement about Regulatory System of KRX Derivatives Trading: Focusing on Financial Consumer Protection (장내파생상품거래의 제도개선: 소비자보호를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Chisoo;Cheong, Kiwoong
    • International Area Studies Review
    • /
    • v.16 no.3
    • /
    • pp.239-266
    • /
    • 2012
  • The purpose of this paper is to suggest desirable improvement for KRX derivatives market plagued with many problems in spite of its world level of quantitative growth. In order to try to find desirable improvement for KRX derivatives market which has many problems like that, I suggest various ways of improvement for regulatory system in the future in terms of behavioral regulation for investor protection. First of all, in order to relieve speculative tendency of trading, KOSPI200 option market with ATM-oriented option trading needs to be induced from the market in which OTM-oriented option is now trading. So discount or exemption of brokerage fee for ATM trading and the introduction of market-maker for ATM type can be considered. For the protection of individual investors, we suggest feasible plans such as differential regulation between professional and individual investors, consolidation of basic deposit management, and enlargement of opportunities for risk management education & simulation trading.

Measurements of the Heat Release Rate and Fire Growth Rate of Combustibles for the Performance-Based Design - Focusing on the Plastic Fire of Commercial Building (성능위주설계를 위한 가연물의 열발생률 및 화재성장률 측정 - 판매시설의 플라스틱 화재를 중심으로 -)

  • Jang, Hyo-Yeon;Nam, Dong-Gun
    • Fire Science and Engineering
    • /
    • v.32 no.6
    • /
    • pp.55-62
    • /
    • 2018
  • To improve the prediction result with enhanced reliability of domestic Performance-Based Design (PBD), actual scale fire tests were carried out on products made of plastics from sales facility combustibles. The commercial buildings were separated into single and multiple combustibles for the experimentation of fire spread caused by the sales shelves where the various combustible materials are displayed. A according to the maximum heat release rate, exposed area and weight of the combustible material, the results revealed a linear relationship of as 93% and 89%. In addition, analysis of the gas concentrations for various combustibles showed that $CO_2$ has a linear relationship, whereas the CO concentration indicated exponential function. These results can be applied to reliable fire source information in PBD of plastic fire source in commercial buildings. This may be applied as fire source information representative of a plastic fire in commercial buildings through additional experiment using the area of the shelf in actual commercial buildings.

Economic Analysis based on Estimation of Optimal Facilities of Oyster Aquaculture in Jaran Bay (자란만 해역의 굴 양식어업 적정시설량 평가에 기초한 경제성 분석)

  • Jung, Min-Ju;Paek, Jin-Ye;Yi, Ju-Hyun
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
    • /
    • v.49 no.4
    • /
    • pp.99-108
    • /
    • 2018
  • Maintaining a certain level of fisheries production is due to the increase in aquaculture production. In recent years, aquaculture plays an important role in fishery production in Korea. Nevertheless, aquaculture should be carefully managed by regulations because it also causes environmental load which can threat sustainability of aquaculture. For this reason, Korean government has regulated density of culturing facilities with the Fisheries Law and its adjective decrees. The regulatory compliance of fisheries businesses is very low because the criteria for the regulation of the density were not enacted with scientific research. Thus, this research was aimed to obtain scientific criteria for the regulation of oyster aquaculture in Jaran Bay with economic assessment. For this research, we collected the data necessary for the assessment on five investigation points in the bay for two years. With the data, simulation for the growth rate of oyster was performed and the result showed that at least 25.5% of facilities should be reduced. Also, it was revealed that removing 2 long lines would be most beneficial. The NPV of the best measurement was 35,120,300 won and IRR was 11.7%. With this research, the government will gain more accurate regulatory compliance due to the scientific approach. Moreover, fisheries businesses in oyster aquaculture can obtain flexibility to cope with market fluctuation.

Statistical methods for testing tumor heterogeneity (종양 이질성을 검정을 위한 통계적 방법론 연구)

  • Lee, Dong Neuck;Lim, Changwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.32 no.3
    • /
    • pp.331-348
    • /
    • 2019
  • Understanding the tumor heterogeneity due to differences in the growth pattern of metastatic tumors and rate of change is important for understanding the sensitivity of tumor cells to drugs and finding appropriate therapies. It is often possible to test for differences in population means using t-test or ANOVA when the group of N samples is distinct. However, these statistical methods can not be used unless the groups are distinguished as the data covered in this paper. Statistical methods have been studied to test heterogeneity between samples. The minimum combination t-test method is one of them. In this paper, we propose a maximum combinatorial t-test method that takes into account combinations that bisect data at different ratios. Also we propose a method based on the idea that examining the heterogeneity of a sample is equivalent to testing whether the number of optimal clusters is one in the cluster analysis. We verified that the proposed methods, maximum combination t-test method and gap statistic, have better type-I error and power than the previously proposed method based on simulation study and obtained the results through real data analysis.

Leaf Gas-exchange Model Parameterization and Simulation for Estimating Photosynthesis in Onion (양파 광합성 예측을 위한 잎의 기체교환모형 모수 추정)

  • Lee, Seong Eun;Moon, Kyung Hwan;Shin, Min Ji;Oh, Seo Young
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.22 no.4
    • /
    • pp.233-238
    • /
    • 2020
  • Process-based model (PBM), based on the interactions between endogenous physiological processes and many environmental factors, can be a powerful tool for estimating crop growth and productivity. Carbon acquisition and biomass accumulation are the main components in PBM, so it has become important to understand and integrate gas exchange process in crop model. This study aimed to assess the applicability of FvCB model (a leaf model of C3 photosynthesis proposed by Farquhar, von C aemmerer, and Berry (1980)) in onion (Allium cepa L.). For parameterization, two early-maturing onion cultivars, 'Singsingball' and 'Thunderball', grown in a temperature gradient plastic film house, were used in measuring leaf net CO2 assimilation rate (A), and then, parameter estimation was carried out for four parameters including Vcmax (maximum rate of carboxylation), Jmax (maximum rate of electron transport), TPU (rate of triose phosphate utilization), and Rd (Dark respiration rate). The gas-exchange model calibrated in this research is expected to be able to explain the photosynthetic responses of onion under various environmental conditions (R2=0.95***).

Tomographic Imaging for Structural Health Monitoring Inspection of Containment Liner Plates using Guided Ultrasonic (유도초음파를 활용한 격납건물 라이너 플레이트 상시감시 모니터링 검사를 위한 토모그래피 영상화)

  • Park, Junpil;Cho, Younho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2020
  • Large-scale industrial facility structures continue to deteriorate due to the effects of operating and environmental conditions. The problems of these industrial facilities are potentially causing economic losses, environmental pollution, casualties, and national losses. Accordingly, in order to prevent disaster accidents of large structures in advance, the necessity of diagnosing structures using non-destructive inspection techniques is being highlighted. The defect occurrence, location and defect type of the structure are important parameters for predicting the remaining life of the structure, so continuous defect observation is very important. Recently, many researchers have been actively researching real-time monitoring technology to solve these problems. Structure Health Monitoring Inspection is a technology that can identify and respond to the occurrence of defects in real time, but there is a limit to check the degree of defects and the direction of growth of defects. In order to compensate for the shortcomings of these technologies, the importance of defect imaging techniques is emerging, and in order to find defects in large structures, a method of inspecting a wide range using guided ultrasonic is effective. The work presented here introduces a calculation for the shape factor for evaluation of the damaged area, as well as a variable β parameter technique to correct a damaged shape. Also, we perform research in modeling simulation and an experiment for comparison with a suggested inspection method and verify its validity. The curved structure image obtained by the advanced RAPID algorithm showed a good match between the defect area and the shape.