• Title/Summary/Keyword: growth simulation

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Simulation of Pension Finance and Its Economic Effects (연금재정(年金財政) 시뮬레이션과 경제적(經濟的) 파급효과(波及效果))

  • Min, Jae-sung;Kim, Yong-ha
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.115-134
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    • 1991
  • The role of pension plans in the macroeconomy has been a subject of much interest for some years. It has come to be recognized that pension plans may alter basic macroeconomic behavior patterns. The net effects on both savings and labor supply are thus matters for speculation. The aim of the present paper is to provide quantitative results which may be helpful in attaching orders of magnitude to some of the possible effects. We are not concerned with the providing empirical evidence relating to actual behavior, but rather with deriving the macroeconomic implications for a alternative possibilities. The pension plan interacts with the economy and the population in a number of ways. Demographic variables may thus affect both the economic burden of a national pension plan and the ability of the economy to sustain the burden. The tax transfer process associated with the pension plan may have implications for national patterns of saving and consumption. The existence of a pension plan may have implications also for the size of the labor force, inasmuch as labor force participation rates may be affected. Changes in technology and the associated changes in average productivity levels bear directly on the size of the national income, and hence on the pension contribution base. The vehicle for the analysis is a hypothetical but broadly realistic simulation model of an economic- demographic system into which is inserted a national pension plan. All income, expenditure, and related aggregates are in real terms. The economy is basically neoclassical; full employment is assumed, output is generated by a Cobb-Douglas production process, and factors receive their marginal products. The model was designed for use in computer simulation experiments. The simulation results suggest a number of general conclusions. These may be summarized as follows; - The introduction of a national pension plan (funded system) tends to increase the rate of economic growth until cost exceeds revenue. - A scheme with full wage indexing is more expensive than one in which pensions are merely price indexed. - The rate of technical progress is not a critical element in determining the economic burden of the pension scheme. - Raising the rate of benefits affects its economic burden, and raising the age of eligibility may decrease the burden substantially. - The level of fertility is an element in determining the long-run burden. A sustained low fertility rate increases the proportion of the aged in total population and increases the burden of the pension plan. High fertility has inverse effects.

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A Performance Prediction of a Vertical-type Geothermal Heat Exchanger by CFD Analysis (CFD 해석에 의한 수직형 지열교환기의 성능예측)

  • Woo, Sang-Woo;Hwang, Kwang-Il;Kim, Jong-Hun;Shin, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2007
  • This study proposes a CFD(Computational Fluid Dynamics) analysis as a method of verification of the designed-data and a supplement of the insufficient experiences in geothermal system, which shows a rapid growth among the renewable energies. The followings are the results. FLUENT 6.2.12 is used as a CFD tool on this study, with the equations of continuity, motion, energy for unsteady flow through pipes and k-epsilon turbulent model. S-type model which has one borehole with diameter 12m by depth 206m and T-type model which has 3 boreholes with $12m{\times}20m{\times}206m$ are proposed, and also the boundary conditions are described. The temperature differences between temperatures by CFD analysis and by on-site measurement are less than 1.5%, this shows a high reliability of CFD analysis process which this study proposes. After 11 days simulation operated 12 hours interval On/Off mode, it is clearly predicted that the outlet temperatures of geothermal pipes are increased by $1.2^{\circ}C$, and $2.2^{\circ}C$ after 4 months. And the outlet temperatures of geothermal pipes increased with increase of the mass flow rates through the pipes. T-type model shows that the 4m distance between boreholes are reasonable because the temperatures at 2m and 6m from boreholes are nearly same.

A Study on Performance Evaluation based on Packet Dropping in ATM Network . New Scheme Proposal

  • Park, Seung-Seob;Yuk, Dong-Cheol
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.283-288
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    • 2003
  • Recently, the growth of applications and services over high-speed Internet increases, ATM networks as wide area back-bone has been a major solution. As the conventional TCP/IP suite is still the standard protocol used to support upper application on current. Internet, the issues regarding whether TCP/IP will operate efficiently on top of an ATM infrastructure and how to control its QoS still remain for studies. TCP uses a window-based protocol for flow control in the transport layer. When TCP uses the UBR service in ATM layer, the control method is only buffer management. If a cell is discarded in ATM layer, one whole packet of TCP will be lost; this fact occur the most TCP performance degradation. Several dropping strategies, such as Tail Drop, EPD, PPD, SPD, FBA, have been proposed to improve the TCP performance over ATM. In this paper, to improve the TCP performance, we propose a packet dropping scheme that is based on comparison with EPD, SPD and FBA. Our proposed scheme is applied to schemes discussed in the previous technology. Our proposed scheme does not need to know each connection's mean packet size. When the buffer exceeds the given threshold, it is based on comparison between the number of dropped packet and the approved packet. Our results are reported and discussed for comparing these discarding schemes under similar conditions. Although the number of virtual channel (VC) is increased, the simulation results showed that the proposed scheme can allocate more fairly each VC than other scheme.

Network Monitoring Mechanism For High Quality Real-Time Streaming Service (고품질 실시간 스트리밍 서비스 제공을 위한 네트워크 모니터링 기법)

  • Kim, Yong-Sul;Kim, Hwa-Sung
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.31 no.11B
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    • pp.969-978
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    • 2006
  • Recently, there has been explosive growth in Internet service contents, and we have witnessed the emergence of many real-time applications on the Internet. These types of applications require special support from the underlying network such as reliability, timeless, and guaranteed delivery, as well as different levels of service quality. Estimation network status and transcoding data rate are researching for QoS of multimedia service by using the RTP/RTCP. We propose two schemes that the way to calculate the one-way delay by expanding the structure of RTP/RTCP in Internet that provides us 'best effort' service and to estimate the network condition by using this in this paper. And we propose the dynamic RTCP mechanism based on one-way delay to deal with rapidly changed network situation immediately. In simulation, proposed monitoring schemes using the one-way delay has similar in performance to monitoring schemes using the GPS, proposed dynamic RTCP scheme obtain the desired result of decreased packet loss rate by sending RTCP RR packet lower than other schemes.

Stability of the Divergent Barotropic Rossby-Haurwitz Wave (발산 순압 로스비-하우어비츠 파동의 안정성)

  • Jeong, Han-Byeol;Cheong, Hyeong-Bin
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2016
  • Stability of the barotropic Rossby-Haurwitz wave is investigated using the numerical models on the global domain. The Rossby-Haurwitz wave under investigation is composed of the basic zonal flow of super-rotation and a finite amplitude spherical harmonic wave. The Rossby-Haurwitz wave is given as either steady or unsteady wave by adjusting the strength of the super-rotating zonal flow. Stability as well as the growth rate of the wave in the numerical simulation is determined by comparing the perturbation amplitude at two different time stages. Unstable modes of the Rossby-Haurwitz wave exhibited a horizontal structure composing of various zonal-wavenumber components. The vorticity perturbation for some modes showed a discontinuity around the area of weak flow, which was found robust regardless of the horizontal resolution of the model. Fourier finite element model was shown to generate the unstable mode in earlier stage of the time integration due to less accuracy compared to the spherical harmonic spectral model. Taking the overall accuracy of the models into consideration, the time by which the unstable mode begin to dominate over the spherical harmonic wave was estimated.

A study on improving the surface structure of solar cell and increasing the light absorbing efficiency - Applying the structure of leaves' surface - (태양전지 텍스처 표면구조 개선 및 빛 흡수효율 향상에 관한 연구 - 식물 잎의 표면구조 적용 -)

  • Kim, Taemin;Hong, Joopyo
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.38.2-38.2
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    • 2010
  • Biomimetc is a new domain of learning that proposes a solution getting clues from nature. There seems to be a sign of this phenomenon in fields of Renewable Energy. Foe example, Wind power was imitate the whale's fin that was improve efficiency of generating energy. This study focused on the photovoltaic generation as the instance of applying biomimetic. Efficiency is the most important factor in field of Photovoltaic generation. When given solar cell taking the sun light, most important fields of the study are absorb more light and increase the quantity of generation. For improving efficiency, the solar cell were builded up textures of taking a pyramid form, such a surface structure taking a role for remaining the light. This effects do the role as increasing absorbing efficiency. Such phenomenon calls Light Trapping, locking up the light on the surface of solar cell for a long time. Light is a vital factor to plants in the nature. Plants grow up through the photosynthesis that absorbing light for growth and propagation. So, plants make a effort how can absorb more the light in poor surroundings. This study set up a goal that imitates the minute surface structure of plants and applies to the existing solar cells's surface structure, so it can improve the efficiency of absorbing light. We used Light Tools software analyzing geometrical optics to analyze efficiency about new designed textures on the computer. We made a comparison between existing textures and new designed textures. Consequently, new designed textures were advanced efficiency, absorbing rates of light increasing about 7 percent. In comparison with existing and new textures, advancing about 20 percent in the efficient aspect.

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Fire Tests for Representative Combustibles in Residential Facilities for the Development of Field Commander Training Content (현장지휘관 훈련 콘텐츠 개발을 위한 주거목적시설 대표 가연물 실물화재시험)

  • Moon, Min-Ho;Yang, So-Yeon;Han, Kuk-Il;Lee, Ji-Hee;Kim, Hyung-Jun
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.22-29
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the fire patterns, heat emissions, and smoke generated by means of fire tests developed for representative combustibles in residential facilities were analyzed from among seven fire types. These combustibles were selected in a previous study to simulate real-world situations and professionalism required while dealing with these types of fires and develop the field commander training content. Consequently, the maximum heat dissipation was recorded as 728.6 kW, followed by the dissipation measured from the combination of a mattress and electric blanket, desk and chair, and TV and mattress. The total heat emission of sofas (226.2 MJ) and the combination of mattress and electric blanket (2,259.5 ㎡) was recorded. In this study, the scope of the tests was limited to the fire characteristics and characteristics of the combustibles, and it is expected that a simulation using various data acquisition methods and FDS would be performed and evaluated at a later stage.

Effects of Feeding a Dry or Fermented Restaurant Food Residue Mixture on Performance and Blood Profiles of Rats

  • Kim, Young-Il;Bae, Ji-Sun;Jee, Kyung-Su;McCaskey, Tom;Kwak, Wan-Sup
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.24 no.12
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    • pp.1744-1751
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    • 2011
  • This study was conducted to compare the effects of feeding dry or fermented (aerobically or anaerobically with or without lactic acid bacteria) restaurant food residue mixture-containing diets on animal performance and blood profiles. Rats were used as the model animal for the simulation of laboratory rodents, rabbit or horse feeding and fed for 4 wks. The results were compared with feeding a dry diet (control) with the same ingredient composition as diets processed by aerobic and anaerobic methods. Feeding all the fermented diets tended to increase (p>0.05) average daily gain of rats resulting in improved (p<0.01) feed efficiency. Apparent digestibility of NDF was increased (p<0.05) by feeding the fermented diets, although digestibilities of DM, OM, CP, and NFC were not affected (p>0.05). Compared with the aerobically fermented diet, digestibility of ADF was increased (p<0.05) for the anaerobically fermented diet and for the 0.5% LAB culture plus anaerobically fermented diet. The digestibility of crude ash tended to increase (p>0.05) with feeding of the fermented diets. Feeding either of the fermented diets had little effects on serum nutrients, electrolytes, enzymes and blood cell profiles of rats except sodium and uric acid concentrations. These results showed that compared with feeding a dry food residue-containing diet, feeding aerobically or anaerobically fermented diets showed better animal performance as indicated by higher feed efficiency and rat growth rate. These improvements were attributed to the desirable dietary protein conservation during the food residue fermentation process and to higher total tract digestibilities of NDF and crude ash in the fermented food residue diets.

A Novel Adaptive Routing Algorithm for Delay-Sensitive Service in Multihop LEO Satellite Network

  • Liu, Liang;Zhang, Tao;Lu, Yong
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.10 no.8
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    • pp.3551-3567
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    • 2016
  • The Low Earth Orbit satellite network has the unique characteristics of the non-uniform and time-variant traffic load distribution, which often causes severe link congestion and thus results in poor performance for delay-sensitive flows, especially when the network is heavily loaded. To solve this problem, a novel adaptive routing algorithm, referred to as the delay-oriented adaptive routing algorithm (DOAR), is proposed. Different from current reactive schemes, DOAR employs Destination-Sequenced Distance-Vector (DSDV) routing algorithm, which is a proactive scheme. DSDV is extended to a multipath QoS version to generate alternative routes in active with real-time delay metric, which leads to two significant advantages. First, the flows can be timely and accurately detected for route adjustment. Second, it enables fast, flexible, and optimized QoS matching between the alternative routes and adjustment requiring flows and meanwhile avoids delay growth caused by increased hop number and diffused congestion range. In addition, a retrospective route adjustment requesting scheme is designed in DOAR to enlarge the alternative routes set in the severe congestion state in a large area. Simulation result suggests that DOAR performs better than typical adaptive routing algorithms in terms of the throughput and the delay in a variety of traffic intensity.

Design and Implementation of Cyber Attack Simulator based on Attack Techniques Modeling

  • Kang, Yong Goo;Yoo, Jeong Do;Park, Eunji;Kim, Dong Hwa;Kim, Huy Kang
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.65-72
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    • 2020
  • With the development of information technology and the growth of the scale of system and network, cyber threats and crimes continue to increase. To cope with these threats, cybersecurity training based on actual attacks and defenses is required. However, cybersecurity training requires expert analysis and attack performance, which is inefficient in terms of cost and time. In this paper, we propose a cyber attack simulator that automatically executes attack techniques. This simulator generates attack scenarios by combining attack techniques modeled to be implemented and executes the attack by sequentially executing the derived scenarios. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed attack simulator, we experimented by setting an example attack goal and scenarios in a real environment. The attack simulator successfully performed five attack techniques to gain administrator privileges.