• Title/Summary/Keyword: growth curve analysis

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A Study on the Analysis Procedures of Nonlinear Growth Curve Models (비선형 성장곡선 모형의 분석 절차에 대한 연구)

  • 황정연
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.44-55
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    • 1997
  • In order to determine procedures for a, pp.opriate model selection of technological growth curves, numerous time series that were representative of growth behavior were collected according to data characteristics. Three different growth curve models were fitted onto data sets in an attempt to determine which growth curve models achieved the best forecasts for types of growth data. The analysis of the results gives rise to an a, pp.oach for selecting a, pp.opriate growth curve models for a given set of data, prior to fitting the models, based on the characteristics of the goodness of fit test.

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An Application of the Balanced Quadratic Classification Rule on the Discriminant Analysis in Growth Curve Model (성장곡선모형의 판별분석에서 균형이차분류법의 적용)

  • Shim, Kyu-Bark
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.53-67
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    • 1995
  • The problem considered here is to find the optimal discriminant analysis method in growth curve model. It has been studied how to find correct prior probability for the effective classification in discriminant analysis. We use the balanced condition to calculate prior probability. From the informative simulation study, new classification rule for the growth curve model is suggested. The suggested classification rule has better classification result than the other previously suggested method in terms of error rate criterion.

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An Empirical Study on the Correlation of IT Investment and Management Performance in the Financial Industry (금융산업에서 IT투자와 경영성과의 상관관계에 관한 실증적 연구)

  • Park, Sang-Kook;Kim, Jong-Bae
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.89-101
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    • 2012
  • The study investigated if IT investment in Korean financial markets for the past 18 years has grown following the s-curve pattern based on Nolan's growth model in order to find the correlation between IT investment and management performance in the financial industry. According to the research finding it can be said that the overall financial markets maintain s-curve pattern, and IT investment is related to management performance, particularly increase in total assets and net profit. However, each sector has defining features of growth patterns. The banking industry has grown similarly to the s-curve, and the insurance industry also shows the s-curve but it looks more like linear pattern. In terms of securities industry, its growth patterns can hardly be considered s-curve due to the irregular changes. his research outcome illustrates the analysis of IT growth patterns in the financial industry and thus, it is expected to be a useful reference when deciding the appropriate time for IT investment in the financial industry.

Growth curve modeling of nucleus F0 on Korean accentual phrase

  • Yoon, Tae-Jin
    • Phonetics and Speech Sciences
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2017
  • The present study investigates the effect of Accentual Phrase on F0 using a subset of large-scale corpus of Seoul Korean. Four syllable words which were neither preceded nor followed by silent pauses were presumed to be canonical exemplars of Accentual Phrases in Korean. These four syllable words were extracted from female speakers' speech samples. Growth curve analyses, combination of regression and polynomial curve fitting, were applied to the four syllable words. Four syllable words were divided into four groups depending on the categorical status of the initial segment: voiceless obstruents, voiced obstruents, sonorants, and vowels. Results of growth curve analyses indicate that initial segment types have an effect on the F0 (in semitone) in the nucleus of the initial syllable, and the cubic polynomial term revealed that some of the medial low tones in the 4 syllable words may be guided by the principle of contrast maximization, while others may be governed by the principle of ease of articulation.

A Study on the Establishment of Reliability Growth Planning for One-shot System (원샷시스템의 신뢰도 성장 계획 설정 방안)

  • Seo, Yang Woo;Jeon, Dong Ju;Kim, So Jung;Kim, Yong Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2020
  • In this paper we proposed to develop the reliability growth planning for the One-shot system using the PM2-Discrete model. The PM2-Discrete is the methodology specifically developed for discrete systems and is the first quantitative method available for formulating detailed plans in the discrete usage domain. First, the parameters RG, RI, T, MS and d of the PM2-Discrete model are set. Second, the case analysis was performed on One-shot system A. Third, the input parameter values were applied to drive the R(t) equation. Finally, using RGA 11 Software, the reliability Growth Planning Curve of One-shot system A was constructed. Also, the sensitivity analyses are performed for the changes of model parameters. The results of this study can be usefully used in establishing the reliability growth planning curve of the One-shot system.

Mathematical Analysis of Growth of Tobacco (Nicotiana tabaccum L.) II. A New Model for Growth Curve (담배의 생장반응에 관한 수리해석적 연구 제2보 담배생장곡선의 신모형에 관하여)

  • Kim, Y.A.;Ban, Y.S.
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.84-86
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    • 1982
  • The experiment was conducted with three varieties (Hicks, Burley 21, and Sohyang) and cultivation type (Improved mulching, general mulching, and non mulching) of NC 2326 to model to curve of tabacco growth against time. The basic growth data were obtained by harvest method at intervals of ten days from transplanting at 7-8 times and analyzed by polynomial regression, orthogonal polynomial, and logarithmic transformation. It is shown that the C model of growth curve: T = A +$\sqrt{(1.4 AK + K)}$2K provides an excellent fit.

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Domestic Automotive Exterior Lamp-LEDs Demand and Forecasting using BASS Diffusion Model (BASS 확산 모형을 이용한 국내 자동차 외장 램프 LED 수요예측 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Heun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.349-371
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Compared to the rapid growth rate of the domestic automotive LED industry so far, the predictive analysis method for demand forecasting or market outlook was insufficient. Accordingly, product characteristics are analyzed through the life trend of LEDs for automotive exterior lamps and the relative strengths of p and q using the Bass model. Also, future demands are predicted. Methods: We used sales data of a leading company in domestic market of automotive LEDs. Considering the autocorrelation error term of this data, parameters m, p, and q were estimated through the modified estimation method of OLS and the NLS(Nonlinear Least Squares) method, and the optimal method was selected by comparing prediction error performance such as RMSE. Future annual demands and cumulative demands were predicted through the growth curve obtained from Bass-NLS model. In addition, various nonlinear growth curve models were applied to the data to compare the Bass-NLS model with potential market demand, and an optimal model was derived. Results: From the analysis, the parameter estimation results by Bass-NLS obtained m=1338.13, p=0.0026, q=0.3003. If the current trend continues, domestic automotive LED market is predicted to reach its maximum peak in 2021 and the maximum demand is $102.23M. Potential market demand was $1338.13M. In the nonlinear growth curve model analysis, the Gompertz model was selected as the optimal model, and the potential market size was $2864.018M. Conclusion: It is expected that the Bass-NLS method will be applied to LED sales data for automotive to find out the characteristics of the relative strength of q/p of products and to be used to predict current demand and future cumulative demand.

An Analysis of Non-linear Relationship between Local Government Size and Regional Economic Growth: Armey Curve Verification Using AMG Estimation Method (지방정부규모와 지역경제성장 간 비선형관계 분석: AMG 추정법을 이용한 Armey Curve 검증)

  • So-youn Kim;Suyeol Ryu
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.629-640
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    • 2022
  • This study analyzed the relationship between local government size and regional economic growth using regional data from 2002 to 2020. By dividing local government expenditure into social development expenditure and economic development expenditure, economic growth and the inverted U-shaped Armey curve were verified, and the optimal size of local government expenditure was examined. In particular, the AMG estimation method considering the cross-sectional dependence and regional heterogeneity existing in the panel data was utilized. As a result of the analysis, it was found that there was an inverted U-shaped relationship between local fiscal expenditure and regional economic growth. When the proportion of total local fiscal expenditure is 7.63% of GRDP and social development expenditure is 3.45%, it is found that the optimal size of expenditure can maximize the regional economic growth rate. Local governments should increase the effectiveness of public expenditure policies by considering these points.

Analysis of crack growth by modified Gurson model (수정 Gurson 모델을 이용한 균열성장 해석)

  • Yang Seung-Yong;Goo Byeong-choon;Kim Jae-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2004.06a
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    • pp.702-709
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    • 2004
  • Modified Gurson model (Gurson-Tvergaard-Needleman model) was used to analyze crack growth in M(T) and C(T) specimens. A commercial finite element code ABAQUS/Explicit is used to account for total failure of material point by cavity coalescence, and crack growth was simulated by finite element extinction. Crack growth resistance curve was obtained by calculating J-integral. Crack growth under residual stress was investigated.

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Analysis of Growth in Intersubspecific Crossing of Mice Using Gompertz Model

  • Kurnianto, E.;Shinjo, A.;Suga, D.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.84-88
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    • 1998
  • The aim of this study was to describe growth patterns of mice using Gompertz model. Two distinct types of mice, laboratory mouse $CF_{\sharp1}$ (Mus musculus domesticus) and Yonakuni wild mouse (Yk, Mus musculus molossinus yonakuni) were used. From all possible crosses, there were two parental types and two reciprocal $F_1$ crosses obtained. Individual body weights were measured weekly from birth to ten weeks of age on 321 mice. Standardization to six mice was conducted and only first litters were used. Growth curve parameters were estimated to fit growth data. The results showed that growth among genetic groups were significantly different (p < 0.05) for both sexes, in which parental type of $CF_{\sharp1}$ and Yk had the highest and the smallest values, respectively. Meanwhile, reciprocal $F_1$ crosses were intermediate between parental types. It was concluded that Gompertz model provided and excellent fit for the growth data with a high coefficient determination $(R^2 = 0.999)$.