• Title/Summary/Keyword: growing stock

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Stock Market Prediction Using Sentiment on YouTube Channels (유튜브 주식채널의 감성을 활용한 코스피 수익률 등락 예측)

  • Su-Ji, Cho;Cheol-Won Yang;Ki-Kwang Lee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.102-108
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    • 2023
  • Recently in Korea, YouTube stock channels increased rapidly due to the high social interest in the stock market during the COVID-19 period. Accordingly, the role of new media channels such as YouTube is attracting attention in the process of generating and disseminating market information. Nevertheless, prior studies on the market forecasting power of YouTube stock channels remain insignificant. In this study, the market forecasting power of the information from the YouTube stock channel was examined and compared with traditional news media. To measure information from each YouTube stock channel and news media, positive and negative opinions were extracted. As a result of the analysis, opinion in channels operated by media outlets were found to be leading indicators of KOSPI market returns among YouTube stock channels. The prediction accuracy by using logistic regression model show 74%. On the other hand, Sampro TV, a popular YouTube stock channel, and the traditional news media simply reported the market situation of the day or instead showed a tendency to lag behind the market. This study is differentiated from previous studies in that it verified the market predictive power of the information provided by the YouTube stock channel, which has recently shown a growing trend in Korea. In the future, the results of advanced analysis can be confirmed by expanding the research results for individual stocks.

Comparative Analysis of Forest Fire Danger Rating on the Forest Characteristics of Thinning Area and Non-thinning Area (숲 가꾸기 실행 및 미 실행지의 임분특성에 따른 산불위험성 비교분석)

  • Lee, Si-Young;Lee, Myung-Woog
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.52-58
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    • 2007
  • The effect of stand-growing-stock characteristics of thinning area and non-thinning area on forest fire was studied in this work. 14 spots were selected from 3 counties such as Yangyang, Injae, and Gapyeong and on-the-spot investigations were performed to evaluate the effect of forest fire. The stand-growing-stock characteristics on the spots were analyzed through the height of tree, breast height diameter, clear length, mortality of branch, forest tree standing crop density, degree of closure, and shrub and grass cover degree. The relation between forest fire and the risk of spread of forest fire were analyzed from the analysis of the stand-growing-stock characteristics. It is considered from this work that the possibility of forest fire is decreased on the thinning area compared to the non-thinning area because of higher clearlength, lower number of tree, lower mortality of branch and higher shrub and grass cover degree.

Estimation of Forest Growing Stock by Combining Annual Forest Inventory Data (연년 산림자원조사 자료를 이용한 임목축적 추정)

  • Yim, Jong Su;Jung, Il Bin;Kim, Jong Chan;Kim, Sung Ho;Ryu, Joo Hyung;Shin, Man Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.2
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    • pp.213-219
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    • 2012
  • The $5^{th}$ national forest inventory (NFI5) has been reorganized to annual inventory system for providing multi-resources forest statistics at a point in time. The objective of this study is to evaluate statistical estimators for estimating forest growing stock in Chungcheongbuk-Do from annual inventory data. When comparing two estimators; simple random sampling (SRS) and double sampling for post-stratification (DSS), for estimating mean forest growing stock ($m^3/ha$) at each surveyed year, the estimate for DSS in which a population of interest is stratified into three sub-population (forest cover types) was more precise than that for SRS. To combine annual inventory field data, three estimators (Temporally Indifferent Method; TIM, Moving Average; MA, and Weighted Moving Average; WMA) were compared. Even though the estimated mean for TIM and WMA is identical, WMA-DSS is preferred to provide more smaller variance of estimated mean and to adjust for catastrophic events at a surveyed year (so-called "lag bias") by annual inventory data.

Comparison of Forest Growing Stock Estimates by Distance-Weighting and Stratification in k-Nearest Neighbor Technique (거리 가중치와 층화를 이용한 최근린기반 임목축적 추정치의 정확도 비교)

  • Yim, Jong Su;Yoo, Byung Oh;Shin, Man Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.3
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    • pp.374-380
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    • 2012
  • The k-Nearest Neighbor (kNN) technique is popularly applied to assess forest resources at the county level and to provide its spatial information by combining large area forest inventory data and remote sensing data. In this study, two approaches such as distance-weighting and stratification of training dataset, were compared to improve kNN-based forest growing stock estimates. When compared with five distance weights (0 to 2 by 0.5), the accuracy of kNN-based estimates was very similar ranged ${\pm}0.6m^3/ha$ in mean deviation. The training dataset were stratified by horizontal reference area (HRA) and forest cover type, which were applied by separately and combined. Even though the accuracy of estimates by combining forest cover type and HRA- 100 km was slightly improved, that by forest cover type was more efficient with sufficient number of training data. The mean of forest growing stock based kNN with HRA-100 and stratification by forest cover type when k=7 were somewhat underestimated ($5m^3/ha$) compared to statistical yearbook of forestry at 2011.

Analysis of Difference in Growing Stock Volume Estimates by the Changes of Cluster Plot Design and Volume Equation (표본점 설계방법과 적용 단목재적식 변경에 따른 임목축적 차이의 구명)

  • Han, Won-Sung;Kim, Sung-Ho;Kim, Chong-Chan;Shin, Man-Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.99 no.3
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    • pp.304-311
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    • 2010
  • Korea National Forest Inventory System has been adopting different cluster plot design and new equations to estimate growing stock volumes since 2006. These changes have resulted in volume estimations which show some difference from previous ones. This study is to find out the source of such difference. For this, relevant data was collected from 80 plots of 20 cluster samples according to the cluster plot design applied to 4th and 5th National Forest Inventory. Then growing stock volumes were estimated by using current and previous individual tree volume equations respectively. An investigation was made to detect whether such difference in volume estimates was originated from the changes in cluster plot design or from using different volume equations. T-test results showed that the difference from changes in cluster plot design was negligible. Instead, changes in volume equations had statistically significant effects in volume estimation. Since the volume estimation by the 5th National Forest Inventory would bring overestimation by applying different volume equations, all the volume estimations made prior to 2006 would require necessary modifications for international reporting.

Reliability Growth Assessment for the Rolling Stock System of the Korea High-Speed Train (한국형고속열차 차량시스템의 신뢰성 성장 평가)

  • Park, Chan-Kyung;Seo, Sung-Il;Lee, Tae-Hyung;Kim, Ki-Hwan;Choi, Sung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.9 no.5 s.36
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    • pp.606-611
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents a procedure and an analysis method to evaluate reliability of the Korea high-speed train. The rolling stock system is divided into 6 sub-systems and each subsystem is classified into sub-assemblies. Functional analysis has been conducted to draw reliability block diagrams for the sub-systems. First, failure rates has been calculated for each sub-assembly from the failure data obtained during commissioning tests. Then a reliability block diagram is used to evaluate the MKBF(Mean Kilometers Before Failure) of the sub-systems. Activities to increase reliability have been carried out throughout the test runs and analysis results show that the reliability of the rolling stock system is gradually growing in time.

Impact of an AI Heifer Calf Rearing Scheme on Dairy Stock Development in the Western Province of Sri Lanka

  • Nettisinghe, A.M.P.;Udo, H.M.J.;Steenstra, F.A.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.18-26
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    • 2004
  • This study evaluated the impact of an AI heifer calf rearing scheme on dairy stock development, in a coconut grazing and a peri-urban smallholder dairy production system in the Western Province of Sri Lanka. The heifer rearing scheme included free advice on calf rearing, drugs, acaricides, minerals and subsidised concentrates for 30 months. The farmers in the coconut growing area integrate dairying with their plantation, they sell their milk to the main processors. The peri-urban farmers are intensive milk producers, who sell their milk at informal markets. To estimate the effect of the heifer rearing scheme on dairy replacement stock development, scheme farmers were compared with farmers who did not participate in the scheme. Calf mortality was twice as high in non-scheme farms (23-28%) as in scheme farms (12-14%). The scheme had a positive effect on weight development and scheme heifers calved 4.5 months earlier than non-scheme heifers. The calf rearing package is cost effective in both farming systems, however, the required cash inputs are a major constraint. The costs per in-calf heifer under the scheme are much lower than the production of such animals by either multiplication in state farms or importing them. The coconut grazing system showed the highest potential for producing surplus dairy stock.

Change in Community Composition and Soil Carbon Stock Along Transitional Boundary in a Sub-Tropical Forest of Garhwal Himalaya

  • Kumar, Munesh;Kumar, Manish;Saleem, Sajid;Prasad, Sunil;Rajwar, G.S.
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.194-199
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    • 2013
  • The aim of the present study was to assess the effect of transitional boundary on community composition and soil carbon stock. Five vegetation types were recognized horizontally along the transitional strip based on the dominance of tree species i.e., Pure Anogeissus latifolia forest (P.AL), mixed Pinus roxburghii and Lannea coromandelica forest (M.PR&LC), pure Pinus roxburghii forest (P.PR), mixed Pinus roxburghii and Lannea coromandelica (M.PR&LC) and pure Anogeissus latifolia forest (P.AL). The results revealed that Anogeissus latifolia was reported dominant tree in the outer transitional boundaries of the forest, which reduced dominance of trees towards middle where Pinus roxburghii was found dominant. The soil carbon stock was reported higher in the Anogeissus latifolia dominant forest and reduced with the dominance of Pinus roxburghii in the middle site. Both the species are growing close to one another and competing for survival, but the aggressive nature of Anogeissus latifolia particular in this region may change new growth of Pinus roxburghii and will enhance soil carbon stock. But high anthropogenic pressure on Anogeissus latifolia tree species could be limited chance to further its flourish.

Development of a System Dynamics Model For Estimating the Volume of Forest Resources and Function of Public Benefit (산림자원 및 산림의 공익기능량 추정을 위한 시스템다이내믹스 모형 개발)

  • Cho, Yoon-Sook
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.5-36
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a System Dynamics model for estimating the volume of forest resources in the future and simulating the volume of function of public benefit linked to forest resources in dynamic manner. Also it is to analyze the impact when the volume of forest land conversion is controlled by policy using the SD model. The analysis was done at nation-wide for the simulation period 2000 to 2040. Estimated forest area was 6.2 million ha and estimated growing stock was $4.7\;billion\;m^3$ in 2040 from the future forecast without policies. Changing of forest resources, 13.9 billion tons of forest-ground-water storage was estimated, $1.8\;million\;m^3$ of erosion control of forest was estimated and 377 million tons of $CO_2$ absorption was estimated. As a result of simulation with two alternatives, forest area was less reduced and growing stock was bigger than do nothing policy. Also, function of public benefit reflected by changes of forest resources was enhanced. This study contributes to estimate the quantitatively measured volume of forest resources and function of public benefit over the 30 years in Korean forest land in scientific way. Using this SD model, decision maker would develop forest land policies more delicately for deserving forest resources and increasing the volume of function of public.

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Analysis of a Stock Price Trend and Investment Value of Information Security related Company (융합보안관련 기업들의 주가동향 및 투자가치 분석)

  • Choi, Jeong-Il;Jang, Ye-Jin
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.15 no.3_2
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 2015
  • In this research, we used KOSPI, KOSDAQ and a stock price of Information Security related Company - S1, Ahnlab, Suprema, Raonscure and Igloosecurity. From August 2010 to July 2014, that is during 208 weeks(4 years), we had grasped index and stock price trend. Also we had attempted various Empirical analysis - Basic statistics of Security related Stock, Analysis of variance, Correlation analysis and Weekly Rate of Rise trends. The first purpose of this research is to see correlation between Security related Company and KOSPI, KOSDAQ. The second purpose of this research is to analyze whether stock items have investment value or not while watching features of flow of stock price per item. We expect possibility and merit of investment when we suppose Security industry's high potential to grow. It seems that Security related Company deserves to be invested. We expect investment for Security related Company that has high possibility of growing will create high yields compared to Market yields.