• Title/Summary/Keyword: global stock market

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Development and Application of Risk Recovery Index using Machine Learning Algorithms (기계학습알고리즘을 이용한 위험회복지수의 개발과 활용)

  • Kim, Sun Woong
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.25-39
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    • 2016
  • Asset prices decline sharply and stock markets collapse when financial crisis happens. Recently we have encountered more frequent financial crises than ever. 1998 currency crisis and 2008 global financial crisis triggered academic researches on early warning systems that aim to detect the symptom of financial crisis in advance. This study proposes a risk recovery index for detection of good opportunities from financial market instability. We use SVM classifier algorithms to separate recovery period from unstable financial market data. Input variables are KOSPI index and V-KOSPI200 index. Our SVM algorithms show highly accurate forecasting results on testing data as well as training data. Risk recovery index is derived from our SVM-trained outputs. We develop a trading system that utilizes the suggested risk recovery index. The trading result records very high profit, that is, its annual return runs to 121%.

The Globalization and Business Performance of Corporate Value Chain

  • Kwon, Taek-Ho;Park, Hong-Gyue;Cho, Hyuk-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.65-86
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This paper empirically investigates the relationship between the corporate value chain and performance of non- financial businesses of South Korean stock market companies. It aims to explore the evidence that can be used to infer the relationship between value chains and corporate performance in the case of firms forming a value chain with other companies with the means of an equity investment or a special business relationship. Design/methodology - Non-financial corporations listed from 2011 to 2017 on the securities market of South Korea are analyzed. The data used for analysis are found for transactions with the related party by year for all the corporations of non-financial industries in the securities market. Multiple analysis attempts are conducted including the relationship between the value chain and productivity, corporate value, risk-adjusted corporate value, and mediation effects of productivity. The empirical model employs sixteen variables including the value chain index which identifies its impact on various aspects of business performances. Findings - The results of this study clearly supports the phenomenon that corporate productivity and value are enhanced when the corporation expands its value chain established with domestic related firms and overseas companies. Such a positive effect is statistically significant even after the possible risk factors that accompany the expansion of value chain were considered, and productivity plays the role as a medicating variable in the effect of the value chain on the corporation values. Originality/value - The findings of this study confirms that domestic companies' expansion of their value chain centered on the related firms overseas that helped them in terms of the maximization of their productivity and corporate values. This study shows that Korean government's policy on expanding the corporate GVC can enhance the productivity and value of firms. The expansion of value chain and its impact on business performance has not been explored thoroughly, although it is getting more and more important in the global trade operation.

The Effect of Supply Chain Dynamic Capability on Competitiveness and Business Efficiency of Vietnamese Wood Enterprises

  • NGUYEN, Binh Thi;MAI, Anh Thi Van
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Developing and nurturing supply chain dynamic capability is one of the leading solutions to create competitive advantages, maintain growth and sustainable development for businesses. The study was conducted to experimentally confirm the impact of supply chain dynamic capability on competitiveness and business efficiency for Vietnamese wood enterprises. Research design, data and methodology: The study surveyed 236 managers of Vietnamese wood manufacturing and distribution enterprises. The authors applied the structural equation modeling (SEM) to analyze the relationship between the dynamic capability of the supply chain and the competitiveness, business efficiency of enterprises to achieve those goals. Results: The results show that businesses owning supply chain dynamic capability will have better competitiveness and business efficiency. Especially, in the context of Vietnamese wood sector, the larger the scale of business, the more profound the impact of supply chain dynamic capability on competitiveness and business efficiency. Conclusions: Focusing on developing supply chain dynamics would be a promising solution to improve the competitiveness of Vietnam's wood enterprises in the global market.

A Study on Global Blockchain Economy Ecosystem Classification and Intelligent Stock Portfolio Performance Analysis (글로벌 블록체인 경제 생태계 분류와 지능형 주식 포트폴리오 성과 분석)

  • Kim, Honggon;Ryu, Jongha;Shin, Woosik;Kim, Hee-Woong
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.209-235
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    • 2022
  • Starting from 2010, blockchain technology, along with the development of artificial intelligence, has been in the spotlight as the latest technology to lead the 4th industrial revolution. Furthermore, previous research regarding blockchain's technological applications has been ongoing ever since. However, few studies have been examined the standards for classifying the blockchain economic ecosystem from a capital market perspective. Our study is classified into a collection of interviews of software developers, entrepreneurs, market participants and experts who use blockchain technology to utilize the blockchain economic ecosystem from a capital market perspective for investing in stocks, and case study methodologies of blockchain economic ecosystem according to application fields of blockchain technology. Additionally, as a way that can be used in connection with equity investment in the capital market, the blockchain economic ecosystem classification methodology was established to form an investment universe consisting of global blue-chip stocks. It also helped construct an intelligent portfolio through quantitative and qualitative analysis that are based on quant and artificial intelligence strategies and evaluate its performances. Lastly, it presented a successful investment strategy according to the growth of blockchain economic ecosystem. This study not only classifies and analyzes blockchain standardization as a blockchain economic ecosystem from a capital market, rather than a technical, point of view, but also constructs a portfolio that targets global blue-chip stocks while also developing strategies to achieve superior performances. This study provides insights that are fused with global equity investment from the perspectives of investment theory and the economy. Therefore, it has practical implications that can contribute to the development of capital markets.

The Difference in the Latitude of Price Acceptance between On- and Off-line transaction in Stock Industry (증권업의 온라인과 오프라인간 가격수용범위 (latitude of price acceptance) 차이에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Jae-Weon;Kwak, Young-Sik
    • Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science
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    • v.13
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    • pp.71-88
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    • 2004
  • Although the factors that affect the width of latitude of price acceptance is well documented, the attempt to develop a practice-oriented methodology to calibrate the region of price insensitivity (i.e., a latitude of price acceptance) for a given individual brand has been relatively rare. The researcher aims to try to full this gap by developing a conjoint analysis-based procedure that can be applied to many industries. Furthermore, we examine the difference in the latitude of price acceptance between on- and off-line transaction in stock industry in Korea. The conjoint analysis-based procedure was applied to measure the disaggregate price response curve for individual stock investment both on- and off line transaction channel. The curves from the samples enable us to estimate the individual choice probabilities corresponding to applied price points. Using t-test the differences in mean choice probabilities between the list price and another price point were tested, through which we can get the latitude of price acceptance for a given brand in stock market. These procedures were tested in on- and off-line stock market in South Korea. The results showed that investors on off-line channel have wider latitudes of price acceptance than the investors on on-line transaction system.

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An Analysis of Interaction between Exchange Rates and Stocks in Japan: Focusing on the Comparison between Periods of Financial Crisis and Non-financial Crisis (일본 외환시장과 주식시장 수익간의 관련성분석 : 금융위기와 비금융위기 시기 상호비교를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Keun-Jae;Cho, Nam-Hyung;Zhu, Shi-You;Yi, Seong-Baek
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.55-76
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    • 2010
  • This paper analyses interaction between yen/dollar exchange rates and NIKKEI index using bivariate GJR-GARCH(1,1) model. The data employed for the study is daily data series for the period of Jan. 4, 1995 through Aug. 30, 2009. One of main findings is that market inefficiency appears in the periods of financial crisis. Second, the volatility of exchange rates and stock returns has more increased in the wake of the volatility shock of the previous period during financial crisis than during non-financial crisis. Third, interestingly, the asymmetric volatility shock by bad news in those markets is bigger in financial crisis period than in non financial crisis. Fourth, in the period of current global financial crisis triggered by subprime mortgage crisis in U.S, volatility shock at the previous period is bigger than that of Asian financial crisis that happened in 1997. Lastly, the correlation between both returns of exchange rates and stock prices turns up positive according to the empirical estimation. This result may come from the fact that Japanese stock market does not have much attraction for international financial investment compared to stock markets of neighbouring countries like China, Korea and so on, while real sector's contribution to the economy is considered more importantly.

Analysis of a Stock Price Trend and Future Investment Value of Cultural Content-related Convergence Business (문화콘텐츠 관련 융복합 기업들의 주가동향 및 향후 투자가치 분석)

  • Choi, Jeong-Il;Lee, Ok-Dong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.11
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2015
  • This study used for KOSPI, KOSDAQ, entertainment culture and digital contents index that is related to cultural contents industry. There was investigated the each stock price index and return trends for a total 597 weeks to July 2015 from March 2004. They looked the content-related stocks about investment worth to comparative analysis the return, volatility, correlation, synchronization phenomena etc. of each stock index. When we saw the growth potential of the cultural contents industry forward, looked forward to the investment possibility of related stocks. Analysis Result cultural content related stocks showed a higher rate after the last 2008 global financial crisis. Recent as high interest in the cultural contents industry, we could see that the investment merit increases slowly. In the future, the cultural content industry is expected to continue to evolve. The increase of investments value in the cultural content related businesses is much expectation.

What Drives the Listing Effect in Acquirer Returns? Evidence from the Korean, Chinese, and Taiwanese Stock Markets

  • Kim, Byoung-Jin;Jung, Jin-Young
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This study investigates whether a listing effect exists in cross-border M&As and whether the effect can be attributed to the uncertainty of the GDP growth rate in the target firm's home country. We apply a joint variable analysis using M&A announcement data from the Korea Exchange (KRX), Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE), and the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE) from 2004 to 2013. We also conduct an event study using the measure of the uncertainty of the GDP growth rate (based on IMF statistics) in 55 target countries. Design/methodology - We measure the abnormal return (AR) using the market-adjusted model. We test the significance of the AR and the cumulative abnormal return (CAR) using a one-sample t-test. We examine the characteristics of the CARs depending on whether the target company is listed by applying a difference analysis using CAR as a test variable. In addition, we set CAR (-5, +5) as a dependent variable to identify the cause of the listing effect, and test both the financial characteristic variables of the acquirer and the collective characteristic variables of the merger as independent variables in the multiple regression analysis. Findings - First, we find the listing effect of cross-border M&As in the KRX, SSE, and TWSE, which represent the capital markets in Korea, China, and Taiwan, respectively. This listing effect persists during the global financial crisis and has a negative effect on the wealth of acquiring shareholders, especially when the target countries are emerging markets. Second, greater uncertainty regarding the target countries' economic growth in cross-border M&As has a negative effect on the wealth of acquiring firms' shareholders. Third, our empirical analysis demonstrates that the listing effect is attributable to the fact that firms listed in a target country with greater uncertainty of economic growth are more directly and greatly exposed to uncertain capital markets through stock markets, than are unlisted firms. Originality/value - This study is significant in that it presents a new strategic perspective in the study of cross-border M&As by demonstrating empirically that the listing effect is attributable to the uncertainty regarding the economic development of the target firms' home countries.

A study on the Linkage of Volatility in Stock Markets under Global Financial Crisis (글로벌 금융위기하에서 주식시장 변동성의 연관성에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hee;Kim, Kyung-Soo
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.139-155
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    • 2014
  • This study is to examine the linkage of volatility between changes in the stock market of India and other countries through the integration of the world economy. The results were as follows: First, autocorrelation or serial correlation did not exist in the classic RS model, but long-term memory was present in the modified RS model. Second, unit root did not exist in the unit root test for all periods, and the series were a stable explanatory power and a long-term memory with the normal conditions in the ARFIMA model. Third, in the multivariate asymmetric BEKK and VAR model before the financial crisis, it showed that there was a strong influence of the own market of Taiwan and UK in the conditional mean equation, and a strong spillover effect from Japan to India, from Taiwan to China(Korea, US), from US(Japan) to UK in one direction. In the conditional variance equation, GARCH showed a strong spillover effect that indicated the same direction as the result of ARCH coefficient of the market itself. Asymmetric effects in three home markets and between markets existed. Fourth, after the financial crisis, in the conditional mean equation, only the domestic market in Taiwan showed strong influences, and strong spillover effects existed from India to US, from Taiwan to Japan, from Korea to Germany in one direction. In the conditional variance equation, strong spillover effects were the same as the result of the pre-crisis and asymmetric effect in the domestic market in UK was present, and one-way asymmetric effect existed in Germany from Taiwan. Therefore, the results of this study presented the linkage between the volatilities of the stock market of India and other countries through the integration of the world economy, observing and confirming the asymmetric reactions and return(volatility) spillover effects between the stock market of India and other countries.

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Influence of Overconfidence and Cash Flow on Investment in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Duy Van;DANG, Duong Quy;PHAM, Giang Hoang;DO, Du Kim
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 2020
  • CEOs Overconfidence can bring potentially risky early decisions to businesses, along with large enterprise free cash flow that can bring different investment decisions with CEOs Overconfidence. Especially in the context of Vietnamese enterprises, CEOs are often influenced by behavioral psychology about overconfidence in investment decisions (due to individual cultural characteristics as well as operating financial markets also depend on many factors outside the market). Therefore, the authors study the impact of overconfidence and cash flow on investment in Vietnamese to find the internal relationship between these three factors in the financial environment in Vietnam. With 480 companies listed on the Vietnam Stock Exchange from 2014 to 2018 (companies have continuous reports), the regression analysis results with panel data (FEM, GLS models, correction of robust and GMM dealing with endogenous problems) have shown Overconfidence has a positive impact on investment. At the same time, the results also indicated that enterprises with overconfident CEOs and large cash flows tend to invest less than enterprises with low cash flow. The results of this study have shown the behavioral behavior of CEOs in Vietnamese enterprises that exist under both prospect theory and effective market theory.