• Title/Summary/Keyword: global stock market

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Analysis of Global Food Market and Food-Energy Price Links: Based on System Dynamics Approach

  • Kim, Gyu-Rim
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.105-124
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    • 2009
  • The situation of the global food markets has been being rapidly restructured and entering on a new phase by new dynamic and driving forces. The factors such as economic growth and income increase, high energy price, globalization, urbanization, and global climate change are transforming patterns of food consumption, production, and markets. The prices and markets of world food and energy are getting increasingly linked each other. Food and fuel are the global dilemma issues associated with the risk of diverting farmland or of consuming cereals for biofuel production in detriment of the cereals supply to the global food markets. An estimated 100 million tons of grain per year are being redirected from food to fuel. Therefore, the objectives of this study are as follows: Firstly, the study examines situations of the world food and energy resources, analyzes the trends of prices of the crude oil and biofuel, and formulates the food-energy links mechanism. Secondly, the study builds a simulation model, based on system dynamics approach, for not only analyzing the global cereals market and energy market but also forecasting the global production, consumption, and stock of those markets by 2030 in the future. The model of this study consists of four sectors, i.e., world population dynamics sector, global food market dynamics sector, global energy market dynamics sector, scenario sector of world economic growth and oil price.

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A hidden Markov model for predicting global stock market index (은닉 마르코프 모델을 이용한 국가별 주가지수 예측)

  • Kang, Hajin;Hwang, Beom Seuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.461-475
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    • 2021
  • Hidden Markov model (HMM) is a statistical model in which the system consists of two elements, hidden states and observable results. HMM has been actively used in various fields, especially for time series data in the financial sector, since it has a variety of mathematical structures. Based on the HMM theory, this research is intended to apply the domestic KOSPI200 stock index as well as the prediction of global stock indexes such as NIKKEI225, HSI, S&P500 and FTSE100. In addition, we would like to compare and examine the differences in results between the HMM and support vector regression (SVR), which is frequently used to predict the stock price, due to recent developments in the artificial intelligence sector.

The Effects of Institutional Block Ownership on Market Liquidity (기관투자자의 대량주식보유가 시장유동성에 미치는 영향)

  • Cho, Kyung-Shick;Jung, Heon-Yong
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.83-97
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    • 2014
  • This study examined the effects institutional block ownership on the stock market liquidity in Korean Stock Market. The two measures of institutional block ownership are used. They are the percentage of a stock owned by institutional blockholder and the number of institutional blockholder that own the stock. This study used the Amihud(2002) illiquidity measure to measure stock market liquidity. The results are as fellows. First, this study showed that the number of institutional blockholder is significantly negatively correlated with the Amihud(2002) illiquidity measure in the analysis which is used the whole data. But we found no a consistent results between the number of institutional blockholder and the Amihud(2002) illiquidity measure in the grouped institutional blockholder's number analysis. This indicates that the effects institutional blockholder on market liquidity is not simple. Second, this study showed that the percentage of a stock owned by institutional blockholder are negatively related with Amihud(2002) illiquidity measure, especially revealed statistically significant in the group 3(11.71%~17.38%) and group 4(7.45%~11.65%). This results suggest that the institutional blockholder have positive effect on the market liquidity in the group 3 and 4. Third, the significance of the percentage of institutional block ownership and the number of institutional block ownership in explaining illiquidity are more showed in the term of the global financial crisis(2008) than the before and the after of the global financial crisis.

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The Impact of COVID-19 on the Volatility of Bangladeshi Stock Market: Evidence from GJR-GARCH Model

  • GOLDER, Uttam;RUMALY, Nishat;SHAHRIAR, A.H.M.;ALAM, Mohammad Jahangir;BISWAS, Al Amin;ISLAM, Mohammad Nazrul
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2022
  • The enormous sway of COVID-19 on the international financial market has been felt across the globe. The financial markets of Bangladesh have also been similarly affected by the global epidemic and experienced a significant increase in volatility. To scrutinise the connection between COVID-19 and the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) indices' return and instability, this study uses data of the DSE from February 2014 to September 2021. A comparative examination of the return and instability of the stock indices of the DSE has also been done considering the outbreak of the current COVID-19 situation. After using the GJR-GARCH (1,1) model, this review uncovers that the outbreak of COVID-19 has a statistically positive noteworthy association with the DSE stock indices' instability, which increases the market's volatility. Traders' fear and the rising frequency of COVID-19 reported patients could cause this. Besides, according to this study, COVID-19 shows a substantial positive linkage with stock market returns that increases the market's return. An appealing valuation, lower interest rates in the banking channel, economic rebound following the closure to prevent coronavirus transmission, improved remittance inflows, and a return of export revenues could all have contributed to this outcome. In addition, the findings also reveal that all market indices are in a mean-reverting phase.

Comovement of International Stock Market Price Index (주가동조현상에 관한 연구)

  • Khil, Jae-Uk
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.181-200
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    • 2003
  • Comovement of international stock market prices has been lately a major controversy in the global stock market. This paper explores whether the common trend has really existed among the US, Japan and Korea's stock markets using the econometric techniques such as VAR, VECM as applied. Pair of indices from the exchange market and the over-the-counter market in each country has been tested, and the exchange market only has been turned out that the common trend existed. The dynamic analyses using the Granger causality test, impulse response function, and the forecast error decomposition have followed to show that the US stock market has played some important role in the Korea and Japan's market in the exchange as well as in the OTC market. The results of the paper imply that the more careful investigation with respect to the co-integration may be necessary in the global market integration studies.

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Dynamic Relationship between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: Evidence from Chinese Stock Markets

  • Lee, Jung Wan;Zhao, Tianyuan Frederic
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.5-14
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    • 2014
  • This paper empirically examines the short-run and long-run causal relationship between stock market prices and exchange rates in Chinese stock markets using monthly data from January 2002 to December 2012 retrieved from the National Bureau of Statistics of the People's Republic of China. Unit root, cointegration tests, vector error correction estimates, block exogeneity Wald tests, impulse responses, variance decomposition techniques and structural break tests are employed. This study found 1) long-run causality from exchange rates to stock prices in Chinese stock markets and 2) short-run causality from Japanese yen and Korean won exchange rates to stock prices in the Shanghai Stock Exchange strongly prevails while in the Shenzhen Stock Exchange weakly prevails. The impact of the global financial crisis from 2007 to 2009 on Chinese stock markets was insignificant.

Synchronization Phenomenon and Correlation Analysis of Global Stock Market (글로벌 주식시장의 동조화 현상과 상관관계 분석)

  • Choi, Jeong-Il
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.699-707
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study, including the Korea stock market and neighboring countries markets is seeing a look at the correlation and synchronization phenomenon. For this purpose, which is expected to have an impact on Korea's stock market, selection the United States and China, Japan, Germany on behalf of the European analyzed the data of the last 151 months. Any analysis, Korea market appeared to show a high correlation with the synchronization phenomenon in Germany and the United States. However Korea and Japan exhibited a low correlation. While the US market showed a very high correlation with Germany but showed a low correlation with China. China has been judged by the proprietary market due to a low correlation with the United States and Japan. The Japanese market has been more affected in Germany and the United States than Asian markets. German market is analyzed to influence the US market under the influence of the Asian market.

Spillover Effects among Chinese, Korean, and the U.S. Stock Markets -Comparison of the two financial crises- (아시아 외환위기와 글로벌 금융위기에서의 중국, 한국, 미국주식시장 사이의 spillover효과에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyu-Hyong;Chang, Kyung-Chun;Shi, An-Qi
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.97-118
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    • 2010
  • This paper explores the mean and volatility spillover effects among Chinese, Korean, and the U.S. stock markets during the Asian and global financial crises. We found that, during the Asian Financial crisis, there was no mean spillover effect to the Chinese stock markets. However, there were reciprocal mean spillover effects between the U.S. and the Korean market. This implies that Korean market was open, while Chinese market was secluded from the international financial market at that time. The negative volatility spillover effect between the U.S. and China reinforces this finding. During the global financial crisis, there was reciprocal mean spillover effect between the U.S. and China, and between the U.S. and Korea. This may reflect the fact that Chinese market has opened to the international financial market. However, the volatility spillover effect does not exist between China and the U.S., while the U.S. and Korea has reciprocal volatility spillover effect to each other. These findings may imply that China is still in the process of opening her stock market to international investors.

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The Effect of Early Listing and Slack Resources of Newly Public Firm on Internationalization: Based on Entrepreneurship (신규상장기업의 신속한 주식상장과 여유자원이 국제화에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Kihyun
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.25-41
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    • 2022
  • While there exists voluminous literature on the internationalization of the firms, it has focused on mature firms or born-global firms. There is still a lack of research on firm that is in the growth stage between venture and mature firm. To fill this gap, this paper focuses on the newly public firm which is enter the stock market through initial public offerings (IPO). Specifically, I examine the relationship between the early listing and internationalization. In the venture firm aspect, the decision of the IPO necessary to allow to change organization structure, ownership and take a risk from environmental movements. This paper suggests early listing is a behavior of entrepreneur orientation. According to empirical results, there is a positive relationship between early listing and internationalization. It implies that early listing may help international expansion by sourcing finance, reputations from market. Furthermore, this study emphasizes the importance of financial slack resources to international expansion. I conclude that ventures need not only early entering in stock market but also securing sufficient financial slack resources to achieve sustainable growth in the international market.

A Study on Accounting Information and Stock Price of IoT-related Companies after COVID-19 (코로나-19 이후 IoT 관련 기업의 회계정보와 주가에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sangho;Cho, Kwangmoon
    • Journal of Internet of Things and Convergence
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to establish a foundation for IoT-related industries to secure financial soundness and to dominate the global market after COVID-19. Through this study, the quantitative management status of IoT-related companies was checked. It also was attempted to preemptively prepare for corporate insolvency by examining the relationship between financial ratios in accordance with stock price fluctuations and designation of management items. This study selected 502 companies that were listed on the KOSPI and KOSDAQ in the stock market from 2019 to 2020. For statistical analysis, multiple regression analysis, difference analysis and logistic regression analysis were performed. The research results are as follows. First, it was found that the impact of IoT company accounting information on stock prices differs depending on before and after COVID-19. Second, it was found that there is a difference in the closing stock prices of IoT companies before and after COVID-19. Third, it was found that financial ratios according to stock price fluctuations exist differently after COVID-19. Fourth, it was found that the financial ratios according to the designation of management items after COVID-19 exist differently. Through these studies, some suggestions were made to secure the financial soundness of IoT companies and to lay the groundwork for leaping into the global market after COVID-19. Through the results of this study, it is expected that it will lead the growth of IoT companies and contribute to growth as a decacorn company of the future that can guarantee financial soundness in the changing financial market.