• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.517-530
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• 2008

In this paper we introduce a time series model using the triangle fuzzy numbers in order to construct a statistical relation for the data which is a sequence of observations which are ordered in time. To estimate the proposed fuzzy model we split of a universal set includes all observation into closed intervals and determine a number and length of the closed interval by the frequency of events belong to the interval. Also we forecast the data by using a difference between observations when the fuzzified numbers equal at successive times. To investigate the efficiency of the proposed model we compare the ordinal and the fuzzy time series model using examples.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.113-121
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• 2000

This paper presents a parallel-structure fuzzy system(PSFS) for prediction of time series data. The PSFS consists of a multiple number of fuzzy systems connected in parallel. Each component fuzzy system in the PSFS predicts the same future data independently based on its past time series data with different embedding dimension and time delay. The component fuzzy systems are characterized by multiple-input singleoutput( MIS0) Sugeno-type fuzzy rules modeled by clustering input-output product space data. The optimal embedding dimension for each component fuzzy system is chosen to have superior prediction performance for a given value of time delay. The PSFS determines the final prediction result by averaging the outputs of all the component fuzzy systems excluding the predicted data with the minimum and the maximum values in order to reduce error accumulation effect.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 1998.10a
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• pp.504-510
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• 1998

In this paper, Fundamental rules governing group intelligence "obstacle avoidance" behavior of multiple autonomous mobile robots are represented by a small number of fuzzy rules. Complex lifelike behavior is considered as local interactions between simple individuals under small number of fundamental rules. The fuzzy rules for obstacle avoidance are generated from clustering the input-output data obtained from the obstacle avoidance algorithm. Simulation shows the fuzzy rules successfully realizes fundamental rules of the obstacle avoidance behavior.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 2005.04a
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• pp.301-304
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• 2005

In this paper, we propose a new fuzzy set-based polynomial neuron (FSPN) involving the information granule, and new fuzzy-neural networks - Fuzzy Set based Polynomial Neural Networks (FSPNN). We have developed a design methodology (genetic optimization using Genetic Algorithms) to find the optimal structure for fuzzy-neural networks that expanded from Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH). It is the number of input variables, the order of the polynomial, the number of membership functions, and a collection of the specific subset of input variables that are the parameters of FSPNN fixed by aid of genetic optimization that has search capability to find the optimal solution on the solution space. We have been interested in the architecture of fuzzy rules that mimic the real world, namely sub-model (node) composing the fuzzy-neural networks. We adopt fuzzy set-based fuzzy rules as substitute for fuzzy relation-based fuzzy rules and apply the concept of Information Granulation to the proposed fuzzy set-based rules.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 1997.10a
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• pp.79-82
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• 1997

In this paper, group intelligence "arrangement" bahavior of autonomous mobile robots(AMRs) is realized by the fuzzy rules. The fuzzy rules for the arrangement are generated from clustering the input-output data. Simulation shows that a small-number of fuzzy rules successfully realizes the arrangement behavior of AMRs.

• International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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• v.7 no.3
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• pp.182-187
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• 2007

A fuzzy modeling method is proposed to build the dynamic model of a walking-beam reheating furnace from the recorded data. In the proposed method, the number of membership function on each variable is increased individually and the modeling accuracy is evaluated iteratively. When the modeling accuracy is satisfied, the membership functions on each variable are fixed and the structure of fuzzy model is determined. Because the training data is limited, in this process, as the number of membership function increase, it is highly possible that some rules are missing, i.e., no data in the training set corresponds to the consequent part of a missing rule. To complete the rulebase, the output of the model constructed at the previous step is used to generate the consequent part of the missing rules. Finally, in the real time application, a rolling update scheme to rulebase is introduced to compensate the change of system dynamics and fine tune the rulebase. The proposed method is verified by the application to the modeling of a reheating furnace.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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• v.12 no.6
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• pp.921-926
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• 2009

The RPN provides information which includes the risk level and the priority order of maintenance tasks for components. However, if there is no sufficient historical failure data, the historical failure data from other sources can be applied to the target system. And if we use historical data from other sources without any process, there will be concomitant problems according to a discord of each system characteristic, a difference between the present and the date of failure data, etc. In this paper, a new methodology is proposed to model the failure rate as a fuzzy function to resolve these problems. Taking advantage of this result, the RPN can be calculated by using the fuzzy operation. The proposed method is applied to the substation system.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2005.07d
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• pp.2885-2887
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• 2005

We introduce a hybrid identification of information granulation(IG)-based fuzzy model to carry out the model identification of complex and nonlinear systems. To optimally design the IG-based fuzzy model we exploit a hybrid identification through genetic alrogithms(GAs) and Hard C-Means (HCM) clustering. An initial structure of fuzzy model is identified by determining the number of input, the seleced input variables, the number of membership function, and the conclusion inference type by means of GAs. Granulation of information data with the aid of HCM clustering help determine the initial paramters of fuzzy model such as the initial apexes of the membership functions and the initial values of polyminial functions being used in the premise and consequence part of the fuzzy rules. And the inital parameters are tuned effectively with the aid of the GAs and the least square method. Numerical example is included to evaluate the performance of the proposed model.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2005.05a
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• pp.9-11
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• 2005

We propose a optimal identification of information granulation(IG)-based fuzzy model to carry out the model identification of complex and nonlinear systems. To optimally identity we use genetic algorithm (GAs) sand Hard C-Means (HCM) clustering. An initial structure of fuzzy model is identified by determining the number of input, the selected input variables, the number of membership function, and the conclusion inference type by means of GAs. Granulation of information data with the aid of Hard C-Means(HCM) clustering algorithm help determine the initial parameters of fuzzy model such as the initial apexes of the membership functions and the initial values of polynomial functions being used in the premise and consequence part of the fuzzy rules. And the initial parameters are tuned effectively with the aid of the genetic algorithms(GAs) and the least square method. Numerical example is included to evaluate the performance of the proposed model.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2005.10b
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• pp.146-148
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• 2005

In this paper, we propose a genetically optimized identification of information granulation(IG)-based fuzzy model. To optimally design the IG-based fuzzy model we exploit a hybrid identification through genetic alrogithms(GAs) and Hard C-Means (HCM) clustering. An initial structure of fuzzy model is identified by determining the number of input, the seleced input variables, the number of membership function, and the conclusion inference type by means of GAs. Granulation of information data with the aid of Hard C-Means(HCM) clustering algorithm help determine the initial paramters of fuzzy model such as the initial apexes of the membership functions and the initial values of polyminial functions being used in the premise and consequence part of the fuzzy rules. And the inital parameters are tuned effectively with the aid of the genetic algorithms and the least square method. And also, we exploite consecutive identification of fuzzy model in case of identification of structure and parameters. Numerical example is included to evaluate the performance of the proposed model.