• Water for future
• /
• v.22 no.3
• /
• pp.331-339
• /
• 1989

The monthly flows with periodicity and trend were forecasted by multiplicative ARIMA model and then the applicability of the model was tested based on 23 years of the historical monthly flow data at Jindong river stage gauging station in the Nakdong River Basin. The parameter estimation was made with 21 years of data and the remaining two years of monthly data were used to compare the forecasted flows by ARIMA (2,0,0)$\times$$(0,1,1)_{12}$ with the observed. The results of forecast showed a good agreement with the observed, implying the applicability of multiplicative ARIMA model for forecasting monthly river flows at the Jindong site.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
• /
• v.48 no.5
• /
• pp.487-493
• /
• 1999

To predict the background level of harmonics produced by household appliances, information on the site, capacity, and usage pattern of these loads arenecessary. However, as household appliances are distributed widely and various in type, it is difficult to know these kinds of information accurately. This paper presents a method for estimation of background level of harmonics produced by distributed harmonic sources with readily available data. Large industrial customers are excluded from this study. In this paper, customers are grouped into three classes, i.e. residential, commercial, and industrial. Typical customers for each class are assumed and characteristics of their equipments are modeled. As the proposed method does not require harmonic measurement, it can be employed to forecast voltage total harmonic distribution (VTHD) in the future. An illustrative example is described.

• Journal of the Korea Furniture Society
• /
• v.19 no.4
• /
• pp.283-293
• /
• 2008

This study is intended to forecast changes in Ubiquitous technology-based residential environment since the digital revolution so as to suggest the direction of furniture design in the near future. Among Ubiquitous technologies, the intelligent digital technology applied to a residential environment is defined as "Smart Digital Technology." Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Energy named the residential environment where such technology is applied "Smart Home." Smart Home is strategically creating intelligent residential environment where interactivity is made between human, furniture and residential environment, based on home automation, home network and intelligent sensor technology. Smart furniture is based on strategic characteristics of smart home. Its convergence with IT equipments is being made. Largely, smart furniture has three characteristics as below: First, smart furniture provides users with information on home management, health management, education and fashion. not just functioning as storage space. Second, smart furniture that is a new lifestyle pattern will suggest a new aesthetic standard based on unsettled shapes and innovative structure. Finally, it gives convenience to users intelligently. Namely, smart furniture, "intelligent informative furniture", will be suggested as a new paradigm.

• Applied Biological Chemistry
• /
• v.47 no.2
• /
• pp.157-163
• /
• 2004

The study was designed to forecast and derive future core technologies using Delphi method in Korea. The technologies will make agriculture for core and strategic industry that. has high value-added in 21 century. The target of the survey for Delphi is confined specialists in the area of processing.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
• /
• v.40 no.4
• /
• pp.428-434
• /
• 2014

Dry docks are used to repair warships or Merchant ships based on their life cycles. There are the certain number of dry docks in the ROK Navy, However, the ROK Navy force structure has been changing a lot since the Korean War. The focus of this study is to analyze the queueing problem regarding present dry docks capacities and to forecast the appropriate number of dry docks based on future naval ship structure. The study proposes to obtain an efficient dry dock size using queueing problem and simulation.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
• /
• v.14 no.1
• /
• pp.1-9
• /
• 1982

Some observations from the examination of actual manhour curves for the power plant design engineering obtained from Sargent & Lundy Engineers and of a few of the model curves proposed by Bechtel, are analyzed in this paper. A model curve representing typical design engineering manhour has been determined as a probability density function for the Gamma Distribution. By means of this model curve, we strategically forecast the future engineering manpower requirements to meet the Government's long range nuclear power plan. As a sensitivity analysis, the directions for the localization of nuclear power plant design engineering, are studied in terms of the performance factor for the experienced versus inexperienced engineers.

• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
• /
• v.95 no.5
• /
• pp.605-613
• /
• 2006

The goal of this study was to propose building strategies of web-based national park monitoring system (WNPMS) using geographic information analysis system. To accomplish this study, at first, this study selected and made integrated management indicators considering physical, ecological, and socio-psychological carrying capacity in national park. Secondly, this study built up an integrated management this system with statistical analysis program for execution of various multivariate analysis and spatial analysis. Finally, WNPMS could identify the relationship among visitors, natural resources, and recreation facilities in national park, and forecast the future management status of each national park in Korea. There results of this study will contribute to prevent the damage of natural resources and facilities, improve visitor's satisfaction, prevent an excess of carrying capacity at national park, and established tailored management strategies of each national park.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
• /
• 2008.11b
• /
• pp.638-644
• /
• 2008

Mungyeng line(Jupyung${\sim}$Mungyeng) was closed due to a rapid decrease in demand in 1995. However, as the rail transportation demand is expected to increase with the plan to develop a tourist resort and a traffic network in Mungyeng area, it is required to forecast future demand to meet the change of transportation environment in this region. This study predicts the rail transportation demand and analyzes financial benefit in operator's side in case of reopening this line, based on nation-wide traffic volume data from Korean Transportation Database(KTDB). The results of this research can be applied to not only establishing a train operation plan also improving customer service. Moreover, Korail will have an opportunity to develop new business by linking train service to tourist attractions around the Mungyeng area.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
• /
• v.10 no.2
• /
• pp.117-130
• /
• 2019

The land transport industry is more important than the air transport or shipping industry. Land transport has the largest number of business and employees, and the fourth industrial revolution technology has recently infiltrated the most rapidly. In this paper, we examine the status, future prospects, and implications of the land transport industry in Korea for the past 7 years based on the statistical database and related literature. We survey the scope and characteristics of the freight truck or rail transport industry, government policies, and recent logistics industry trends. From the results of these current and forecast statistical surveys, we propose a way forward for the domestic transport business.

• Journal of Fashion Business
• /
• v.22 no.5
• /
• pp.83-95
• /
• 2018

As the paradigm of fashion retail industry moves rapidly to the multi-channel, the role of shop master has changed as well. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to examine in-depth the changing role of shop masters in multi-channel retail paradigms. In-depth interviews were conducted, and all interviews were recorded with permission. Seven shop masters participated in in-depth interviews. All of them were sales specialists, with more than 10 years working experience, at department stores. Results of this study are as follow: First, the roles of a multi-channel shop master include store management, management of sales associates, customer relationship management, and management in relation to the headquarters and suppliers. Second, the most important competencies of shop masters are to forecast future demand, establish information networks, communicate well with others, and create a work environment resulting in higher productivity.