• Title/Summary/Keyword: future forecast

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A Long-term Replenishment Contract for the ARIMA Demand Process (ARIMA 수요자정을 고려한 장기보충계약)

  • Kim Jong Soo;Jung Bong Ryong
    • Proceedings of the Society of Korea Industrial and System Engineering Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.343-348
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    • 2002
  • We are concerned with a long-term replenishment contract for the ARIMA demand process in a supply chain. The chain is composed of one supplier, one buyer and consumers for a product. The replenishment contract is based upon the well-known (s, Q) policy but allows us to contract future replenishments at a time with a price discount. Due to the larger forecast error of future demand, the buyer should keep a higher level of safety stock to provide the same level of service as the usual (s, Q) policy. However, the buyer can reduce his purchase cost by ordering a larger quantity at a discounted price. Hence, there exists a trade-off between the price discount and the inventory holding cost. For the ARIMA demand process, we present a model for the contract and an algorithm to find the number of the future replenishments. Numerical experiments show that the proposed algorithm is efficient and accurate.

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A Study on the propensity to Future Residential Environment Based on the Research of Resident Preferences (거주자 선호도 조사를 통한 미래 주거 환경의 방향에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Ye-Ra
    • Journal of The Korean Digital Architecture Interior Association
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2005
  • Like other artificial architectures, the residence is also hard to be changed after once it has ever been built because its life is approximately estimated up to 20years. Furthermore, it may give big effect to residents as the life Quality. Because of these specificities, it seems to be important to forecast how demand of residential market will be changed and what kind of residential environment should be built in the future. First of all, we should consider about what is a current situation of residential environment in this country before beginning researching resident preferences. In addition, we will also research current and new residential style in other country, which should be concerned in. Finally, this study is researched by domestic male and female residents in their twenties and four ties on purpose to gain information what type of resident style they want and to suggest new ways of future residential environment.

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DEVELOPMENT AND VALIDATION OF A NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE ANALYSIS TOOL: A FUTURE CODE

  • Kim, S.K.;Ko, W.I.;Lee, Yoon Hee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.665-674
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents the development and validation methods of the FUTURE (FUel cycle analysis Tool for nUcleaR Energy) code, which was developed for a dynamic material flow evaluation and economic analysis of the nuclear fuel cycle. This code enables an evaluation of a nuclear material flow and its economy for diverse nuclear fuel cycles based on a predictable scenario. The most notable virtue of this FUTURE code, which was developed using C# and MICROSOFT SQL DBMS, is that a program user can design a nuclear fuel cycle process easily using a standard process on the canvas screen through a drag-and-drop method. From the user's point of view, this code is very easy to use thanks to its high flexibility. In addition, the new code also enables the maintenance of data integrity by constructing a database environment of the results of the nuclear fuel cycle analyses.

Multi-Messenger Astronomy with GECKO, Gravitational-wave EM Counterpart Korean Observatory - Past, Present, and Future

  • Im, Myungshin
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.35.3-35.3
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    • 2019
  • The new era of multi-messenger astronomy (MMA) has arrived in 2017 with the detection of the binary neutron star merger in both gravitational wave (GW) and electromagnetic radiation (EM). Now, the new run of GW detectors are providing numerous GW events and the number GW events are expected to increase dramatically in future as the GW sensitivities improve. When the GW studies are combined with EM counterpart observations, a great synergy is expected in many areas of study such as the physical process following the compact object merger, the environment of such events (and galaxy evolution), and cosmology, Therefore, it has now become crucial to identify and characterize these GW events in optical/IR EM. In the past, we have been performing optical/NIR observation of GW events using a worldwide network of more than 10 telescopes, and are getting more actively involved in MMA of GW sources. In this talk, we will present our network of telescopes, the EM follow-up observation results of GW events including GW170817 and the O3 events in 2019, and the current issues in MMA. We will also give the future prospects of MMA, showing the forecast for the GW events and the outlook of EM MMA observations.

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A Study on the Spatial Expressive Chracteristics of Interior Space as Concept of Simplicity -Focus on the Concept of Max Bill- (단순성의 개념으로 본 실내공간 표현 특성 -막스 빌의 개념을 중심으로-)

  • 신홍경;김봉재
    • Korean Institute of Interior Design Journal
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    • no.40
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    • pp.18-25
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    • 2003
  • New simplicity means essential concept that is continuous rather than being concept that do not overcome formal, material functional boundary. Consuming masses, decorative reactionism is possible in infinite resource and continuous plenty. Nowaday situation can not forecast the affirmative future bases on economic performance and practicality, so simplicity esthetics which consisted of minimum things is justified. The purpose of this study is to discuss not the formal and functional simplicity but new simplicity to express the essential thoughts and emotional contents of human life.

Comparative and analysis of multimedia author tools (멀티미디어 저작도구의 비교.분석)

  • Kwon Oh-Tack;Hong Dong-Heon
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.2
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    • pp.23-46
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, comparative and analysis of multimedia author tools for to proper compatible multimedia author tools on multimedia author tools function and usage, and which breach of contract each author tools specific property prepare to forecast future multimedia expansion trend on information technology expansion. Multimedia essential element is hardware(storage, digital video, CD), software, sound, hypertext and hypermedia etc. Analysis criteria of multimedia author tools is programming environment, which are card, script, icon, time method.

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A Study on the Voice Traffic and Internet Traffic Estimation (음성 트래픽과 인터넷 트래픽 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Jung-Yeon;Kang, Byung-Ryong;Jun, Kyung-Pyo
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.625-634
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    • 1999
  • On this study we selected some variable which affect on the estimated of the voice traffic, and estimated daily average traffic by years according to the variables. We applied nonlinear growth curve model to future traffic forecast with estimated historical traffic data. As a result of the forecasting, this study investigates the year in which the internet traffic goes far than the voice traffic.

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Forecasting the mail volume in Korea (국내 우편물량의 수요예측)

  • 임준묵;강진규;최한용;차춘남
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.3-6
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    • 2003
  • In this study, we analyze the historical data of postal matter amount in korea, various social indexes concerning mail volume and postal data in developed countries. After correlation analysis between some variables, we suggest a new logistic model for forecasting the future mail volume. Finally, we forecast the mail volume in korea about 20 years hereafter.

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Incheon International Airport Terminal Relocation And Transfer passenger demand forecast (인천공항 터미널 재배치에 따른 환승여객 수요 예측)

  • Park, Hak-Sun;Park, Seong-Sik
    • 한국항공운항학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.178-191
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    • 2016
  • Incheon International Airport (IIA) is trying to boost itself up for the Hub airport with a proactive marketing and large scale of airport expansion plan. Even the transfer rate of IIA for now is not high enough for a Hub airport, it is expected to keep increase for the future due to an effort to be the Hub. This study is to be made for setting the standards of airport planning as to the transfer rate based on the research of operational characteristics of Hub airport.

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E-Ticketing System for the Increase of RZD Operation Revenue (RZD 수익증대를 위해 도입한 무인발권 시스템과 시사점)

  • Cho, Chi-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.342-348
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    • 2009
  • Many rail operators have developed ticketing systems for the use of rail service and the increase of operation revenue by AIM, E-ticket and mobile tickets. Also they have operated rail pass for rail revenue by foreign tourists. Russian railways (RZD) has similar rail systems with CIS countries and sometimes same tickets. A few years ago, RZD introduced and operated E-ticketing system for the increase of passenger's convenience and operation revenue, and CIS countries have adopted and widely used this system. This study will introduce the revenue business by E-ticketing system of RZD, and forecast Russian railroad business in the future.

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