• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.54 no.6
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• pp.133-142
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• 2012

The objective of this study was to correct the bias of the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP)-based future precipitation data using a quantile mapping method. This method was adopted to correct extreme values because it was designed to adjust simulated data using probability distribution function. The Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution was used to fit distribution for precipitation data obtained from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). The resolutions of precipitation data was 12.5 km in space and 3-hour in time. As the results of bias correction over the past 30 years (1976~2005), the annual precipitation was increased 16.3 % overall. And the results for 90 years (divided into 2011~2040, 2041~2070, 2071~2100) were that the future annual precipitation were increased 8.8 %, 9.6 %, 11.3 % respectively. It also had stronger correction effects on high value than low value. It was concluded that a quantile mapping appeared a good method of correcting extreme value.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.22 no.6
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• pp.1143-1152
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• 2009

A canonical correlation analysis(CCA)-based method is proposed for prediction of future climate change which combines information from ensembles of atmosphere-ocean general circulation models(AOGCMs) and observed climate values. This paper focuses on predictions of future climate on a regional scale which are of potential economic values. The proposed method is obtained by coupling the classical CCA with empirical orthogonal functions(EOF) for dimension reduction. Furthermore, we generate a distribution of climate responses, so that extreme events as well as a general feature such as long tails and unimodality can be revealed through the distribution. Results from real data examples demonstrate the promising empirical properties of the proposed approaches.

• Journal of Distribution Science
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.35-42
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• 2019

Purpose - There is little research on the market of foreign infant education materials. So, it is needed to deeply examine the development and preference factors of foreign infant education materials. Therefore, this study presents a future method and model for analyzing the important variables of buying foreign infant education materials. Research design, data, and methodology - The conjoint analysis method and model of this paper is used as follows. Conjoint analysis method is possible to derive the attributes to be analyzed through the model of the preferred factors, and then to derive the sub-attributes of the attributes. Results - This study derived preference attributes between brand benefit, equity (brand image, loyalty, awareness), distribution network (department store, specialty stores, discount store, internet mall), and service quality (tangibles, reliability, responsiveness, assurance, empathy) in infant education materials conjoint model. Conclusions - Since the opening of the education market in Korea, parents have a high education level due to low birth rate. The advantages of the conjoint analysis method have been extended to the study of infant education materials. Based on this, this paper will identify important attributes that are considered in preference of foreign infant education materials and help to establish and implement future marketing strategies.

• Progress in Superconductivity and Cryogenics
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.37-41
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• 2005

This paper describes the construction scheme of new distribution system using HTS(High Temperature Superconducting) power equipments such as cable, transformer and FCL(fault current limiter). At present, one of the most serious problems in distribution power system, especially for metropolitan complex city, is to obtain the ROW for cable line routes, space for downtown substations and satisfy the environmental protection caused by NIMBY phenomena. Unfortunately, it is expected that this situation will get more and more worse. As the HTS technology to apply in power system Is developed, HTS cable utilizing mass-capacity characteristic can be a useful countermeasure to overcome this problem. This paper describes the application methodology of 22.9kV HTS cable with low-voltage, mass-capacity characteristics replacing the 154kV conventional cable. By applying 22.9kV HTS cable, the HTS transformer with higher capacity for the reduction of space and transformer numbers of downtown substation is necessary. Also, if the leakage Impedance of HTS transformer is same as or lower than that of conventional transformer, the fault current of 22.9kV bus will increase because the HTS transformer capacity is larger than that of the conventional transformer. This means the parallel application of HTS-FCL to reduce the fault current in addition to the HTS cable and transformer can be necessary. With the basic construction scheme of new distribution system, this paper describes the future study points to realize this new distribution system using HTS equipments.

• New & Renewable Energy
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• v.5 no.4
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• pp.11-18
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• 2009

Wind energy resources are recently considered as an important power generation alternative in the future. The fact that the investment of wind turbine installation continues to increase has motivated a need to develop more widely applicable methodologies for evaluating the actual benefits of adding wind turbines to conventional generating systems. This study is aiming to estimate the future wind resources with various estimation methods. The wind power is calculated at the hub height 75m of 800KW and 1,500KW wind turbines in Wolryong site, Jeju island, South Korea. Three equations - logarithmic, profile, and power law methods are applied for the accurate prediction of wind profile. In addition, yearly wind power can be calculated by using Weibull & Rayleigh distribution. It is found that predicted wind speed is highly affected by friction velocity, atmospheric stability, and averaged roughness length. It is concluded that Rayleigh distribution provides greater power generation than the Weibull distribution, especially for low wind-speed condition.

• Journal of Distribution Science
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• v.19 no.11
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• pp.69-80
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• 2021

Purpose: Consumers have unique behaviors that are classified based on their interests and considerations before buying. They are predicted will change due to the pandemic of COVID-19. This study provides insights for retailers about the dynamic of consumer behavior before and during the pandemic, including future predictions. Research design, data and methodology: The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) statement was applied in this study. Seven studies that were selected from five databases meet the criteria for cohort and cross-sectional analyses of gender, age, store types, and environmental concerns. Results: Consumer's gender and age contribute to consumer behavior change. Both offline and online stores can be integrated as omnichannel rather than substitute each other. Product distribution and consumer budget need to be reevaluated by retailers, while internet security is the most essential factor when developing their online transactions. Conclusions: COVID-19 pandemic has a significant impact on changing consumer behavior in most countries. Retailers are encouraged to adapt to the changes by modifying their business model with technology. However, it is still speculated and cannot be generalized due to different cultural and contextual factors. Future studies are always needed to synchronize along with the transition of consumers' behavior.

• Journal of Distribution Science
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• v.21 no.6
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• pp.99-106
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• 2023

Purpose: This study aims to analyze the distribution of the role of adversity quotient in the estimation bias of future earnings. Adversity quotient is a cognitive ability that can be distributed as a reducer of bias effects that occur in profit forecasting or investment decision making. Research design, data and methodology: The study designs a full factorial within-subject 2×3 as a laboratory experiment. The study subjects are 30 accounting students who are proxied as investors. Results: The results show that the estimated earnings made by investors experience anchoring-adjustment heuristic bias which means the initial value becomes a basic belief that influences the decisions taken by investors. However, this study also provides evidence that heuristic bias can be reduced by the presence of adversity quotient. Investors who have high adversity ability are abler to reduce the estimation bias when compared to investors who have medium and low adversity ability so the higher the difficulty ability possessed by investors, the less likely the occurrence of bias in decision making. Conclusion: Thus, the adversity quotient is proven to be distributed as a reducing opportunity from the bias that will occur in estimating future earnings or making investment decisions.

• THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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• v.36
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• pp.143-170
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• 2007

In order to analyze the distribution channel of marine products in Korea, this study shows SCM approach to redesign of the marine distribution channel with case study related to previous literatures. In view of the supply chain and the future impact of RFID on the marine SCM on the recognition of the importance of the seafood traceability system, this study also provides the possibility to accomplish effective SCM for integration of production, storage, transportation, delivery, and sale when RFID is used in the seafood distribution channel based on the expansion of awareness on the marine product traceability. The traceability system for seafood is considered as the distribution infrastructure established in RFID deployment. By introducing Lotte mart case, this case study also discusses the marine distribution structure in view of the supply chain, to present an effective foundation for supplying seafood throughout production, distribution, and consumption. This is achieved by introducing RFID in an ubiquitous environment, and suggesting far more efficient control planning throughout the seafood distribution channel in view of the expected effects resulting from the introduction. In addition, as the alternative of solving this situation, this study propose the supply chain in seafoods by comprehensive management in whole distribution channels. In the SCM in seafood perspectives, HACCP can take into account the whole seafood chain from the point of supply to the point of consumption when assessing hazards. As the contributions of this study, this study emphasizes the seafood industry first should require the establishment of the relevant infrastructure, for which the efforts of the government and demonstrative project participants are essential.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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• v.10 no.6
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• pp.110-119
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• 2007

This study's objects are to predict distribution and to assess vulnerability of sub-alpine vegetations in the Korean peninsula for climate change using various climate models. This study validates relationship between sub-alpine vegetations and environmental factors using Pearson correlation analysis. Then, the future distribution of sub-alpine vegetations are predicted by a logistic regression. The major findings in this study are; First, spring mean temperature (March-May), total precipitation, elevation and warmth index are highly influencing factors to the distribution of sub-alpine vegetations. Second, the sub-alpine vegetations will be disappeared in South Korea and concentrated around Baekdu Mountain in North Korea. North Korea is predicted to have serious impact of climate change because temperature will be increased higher than in South Korea. The study findings concluded that the assessment of the future vulnerability of sub-alpine vegetations to climate change are significant.

• Journal of Distribution Science
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• v.14 no.9
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• pp.133-147
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• 2016

Purpose - The Purpose of this study is to observe the value of LOHAS as an exhibition that is perceived to be a specialized local exhibition with good fame and differentiated advantage as well as the spectators' will to visit the exhibition coming from the future behavior intention of visitors. Research design, data, and methodology - In order to achieve the purpose of this study, This study organized questionnaire after setting a hypothesis based on the theoretical background from the parameters. verification of the hypothesis by statistically analyzing the answers for questionnaire follows. Finally, the implication of this study is drawn through comprehensive discussion while This study indicated from the limits of the study and future direction for research. This study set up a model to research the influence on the structuring factors in LOHAS exhibition in forming perceived value, customer satisfaction and future behavior intention. Frequency analysis was used for getting demographic characteristics, verification of plausibility, reliability of measured parameters and factors analysis. This study have performed verification of difference at selection property level based on multiple regression analysis and demographic nature. Results - To summarize the study result, through the verification of hypothesis about meaningful influence among structuring factors in LOHAS exhibition, perceived value and customer satisfaction shows some noticeable points to focus on. That is, it is established things that partial adoption and meaning relationship of partial influence. The perceived value affected both customer satisfaction and future behavior intention meaningfully. Conclusions - This study could note that in the structuring factors of LOHAS exhibition, perceived value for visitors and customer satisfaction play their roles positively on the future behavior intention. In conclusion, this study implies that strategic measures are necessary to fulfill the structuring factors of LOHAS exhibition as they would make positive impact on acknowledged value, customer satisfaction and future behavior intention to contribute to the growth and development of LOHAS exhibition. Also it suggests that the method to join each other with activities is necessary to strengthen the properties of the exhibition and position well to be a solid local exhibition.