• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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• pp.174-174
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• 2023

The impact of global warming on the south Asian summer monsoon is of critical importance for the large population of this region. This study aims to investigate the future changes of the precipitation extremes during pre-monsoon and monsoon, across this region in a more organized regional structure. The study area is divided into six major divisions based on the Köppen-Geiger's climate structure and 10 sub-divisions considering the geographical locations. The future changes of extreme precipitation indices are analyzed for each zone separately using five indices from ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices); R10mm, Rx1day, Rx5day, R95pTOT and PRCPTOT. 10 global climate model (GCM) outputs from the latest CMIP6 under four combinations of SSP-RCP scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) are used. The GCMs are bias corrected using nonparametric quantile transformation based on the smoothing spline method. The future period is divided into near future (2031-2065) and far future (2066-2100) and then the changes are compared based on the historical period (1980-2014). The analysis is carried out separately for pre-monsoon (March, April, May) and monsoon (June, July, August, September). The methodology used to compare the changes is probability distribution functions (PDF). Kernel density estimation is used to plot the PDFs. For this study we did not use a multi-model ensemble output and the changes in each extreme precipitation index are analyzed GCM wise. From the results it can be observed that the performance of the GCMs vary depending on the sub-zone as well as on the precipitation index. Final conclusions are made by removing the poor performing GCMs and by analyzing the overall changes in the PDFs of the remaining GCMs.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제11권9호
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• pp.43-49
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• 2013

Purpose - The competitiveness of small- and medium-sized distribution companies has weakened with the entry of large distribution companies and Super Super Markets (SSMs). These companies have nationwide distribution networks and capital to take over street markets, thereby threatening the very survival of small merchants. In order to help these small- and medium-sized merchants, the government has recently reinforced distribution regulations for large distribution companies. Research design, data, methodology - The purpose of this study is to review domestic and foreign distribution regulations and to provide direction for establishing domestic distribution policies in the future. Results - The government must fully reassess its assistance policy for small and medium distribution companies to enable them to engage in differentiated competition with large retailers, based on their own strengths. This will allow all interested parties to coexist. Conclusions - Government assistance policies for small and medium distributors such as traditional markets must be reorganized. The objective is to ultimately protect small and medium distributors and allow them to coexist on their own strengths, rather than have regulations for large retail stores.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.113-124
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• 2015

한국교통연구원에서 2010년 가구통행실태조사 자료를 기초로 구축한 신규 KTDB 여객자료는 대도시권 모두에 대해 PA개념을 기반으로 통행생성과 통행유인의 통행발생량과 교통존 간의 통행량 자료를 처음으로 제공하였다. 따라서, 신규 KTDB를 활용한 장래 수요예측의 분석방법은 변화된 자료형태에 적합한 PA개념의 분석방법이 적용되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 교통정책 분석 시 반영하게 되는 장래 개발사업에 대한 통행발생량 예측과 통행분포패턴 예측 분석에 있어 PA개념의 분석 절차를 정형화할 수 있는 방법을 명확하게 제시하고, 또한 과거의 OD기반의 분석방법이 적용될 경우 그 분석결과가 PA기반의 분석방법의 결과와 다르게 나올 수 있음을 단순 예제를 통해 증명하였다. 이와 같은 분석결과의 차이는 교통정책의 의사결정에 있어 신규 KTDB 여객자료를 활용하면서 과거의 OD기반의 분석방법이 적용될 경우 정책결정에 왜곡을 가져올 수 있음을 의미하는 것이므로, 신규 자료에 대해 적합한 분석방법이 적용되어야 함을 본 연구는 강조하였다. 또한 본 연구는 신규 KTDB 여객자료에 PA기반 분석방법이 올바로 응용 적용될 수 있도록 조속히 실무분석가들에게 분석방법 지침과 기술 보급이 필요함을 주장하였다.

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제4권2호
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• pp.177-188
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• 2013

본 연구에서는 임상도와 HyTAG 모형을 적용하여 기후변화에 따른 경기도 용인시 임상의 잠재 생육적지 분포 변화와 산림 재적 및 탄소저장량 변화를 예측하였다. 이를 위해 제5차 임상도와 전국산림자원조사를 이용한 생장모델을 적용하여 현재의 용인시 산림재적을 예측하였다. HyTAG 모형을 적용하여 10년 단위로 미래 100년 후까지 잠재생육 적지 분포를 예측하고, 생장모델인 대수차 변형을 이용하여 산림 재적을 산출하였다. 용인시 산림을 제5차 임상도를 이용하여 분석한 결과, 현재 침엽수림 37.8%, 활엽수림 62.2%로 분포하고 있었다. HyTAG 모형을 적용한 30년 후 임상의 분포는 침엽수림 0.13%, 활엽수림 99.97%로 변화하였으며, 60년 후에 용인시 전체의 임상이 활엽수림으로 분포하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 현재 산림탄소량은 1,773,862 tC(56.79 tC/ha)로 측정되었으며 HyTAG 모형을 적용한 50년 후에 탄소저장량은 4,432,351 tC(141.90 tC/ha), 100년 후에는 6,884,063 tC(220.40 tC/ha)로 예측되었다. HyTAG 모형에 따른 수종별 변화를 분석해 본 결과, 잣나무, 낙엽송, 리기다소나무, 소나무는 각각 10년, 30년, 30년, 50년 이후에는 기후에 적합하지 않는 것으로 예측되었으며, 모두 참나무류가 적합한 것으로 예측되었다.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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• pp.201-201
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• 2016

The asymptotic extreme value distributions of maxima are a natural choice when designing against future extreme events like flood peaks or wave heights, given a stationary time series. The generalized extreme value distribution (GEV) is often utilised in this context because it is seen as a convenient single expression for extreme event analysis. However, the GEV has a drawback because the location of the distribution bound relative to the data is a discontinuous function of the GEV shape parameter. That is, for annual maxima approximated by the Gumbel distribution, the data is also consistent with a GEV distribution with an upper bound (no lower bound) or a GEV distribution with a lower bound (no upper bound). A more consistent single extreme value expression for design purposes is proposed as the Weibull distribution of smallest extremes, as applied to transformed annual maxima. The Weibull distribution limit holds here for sufficiently large sample sizes, irrespective of the extreme value domain of attraction applicable to the untransformed maxima. The Gumbel, Type 2, and Type 3 extreme value distributions thus become redundant, together with the GEV, because in reality there is only a single asymptotic extreme value distribution required for design purposes - the Weibull distribution of minima as applied to transformed maxima. An illustrative synthetic example is given showing transformed maxima from the normal distribution approaching the Weibull limit much faster than the untransformed sample maxima approach the normal distribution Gumbel limit. Some New Zealand examples are given with the Weibull distribution being applied to reciprocal transformations of annual flood maxima, where the untransformed maxima follow apparently different extreme value distributions.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제55권8호
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• pp.313-321
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• 2006

This paper describes the overvoltage obtained by surge behavior analysis in testing underground distribution systems. Model systems consist of overhead distribution line and underground cable. Such model system considered various characteristics of actual distribution systems will be soon constructed at testing yard. Simulation is carried out under various states such as cable kinds, cable length, lightning wave and time, and branch circuits. Model is established by EMTP/ATPDraw. Line Constants are calculated by ATP_LCC. When the direct lightning surge strikes on conductor of overhead line, the overvoltage is calculated using EMTP/ATPDraw in many cases. Simulation results will be compared with real testing results at testing yard in the near future. The compared results will be used to establish protection methods in actual underground distribution systems.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1992년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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• pp.180-182
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• 1992

In spite of recent stagnation, the rate of electric consumption has highly grown in accordance with a high cultural livings, Also, a usage of electric energy is growing with development of multi-information society. To make the matter worse, hard work of highest order is required because distribution system are widely spread and complex. And consummers demand for the electricity of good quality and it is obstracle to be not able to train related technitian for maintenance without an interruption of electric power. It is sure the counterplan of uninterruption of electric power is very necessary. In this paper, considering the working circumstances, we presented the necessity of work method, the effects and the future prospect for uninterruption power supply.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2015년도 제46회 하계학술대회
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• pp.383-384
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• 2015

DC system is still unexploited in public distribution systems. As the weight of cost efficiency and reliability requirements of distribution networks are expected to increase in the future, with the utilization of distributed generation, there will be demand for novel distribution techniques. The utilization of the Low Voltage DC (LVDC) distribution system opens new possibilities for network development. This paper presents analysis of steady state and transient state according to the number of pole in LVDC distribution system.

• 물과 미래
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.101-117
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• 1977

The statatistical characteristics and spectra of sea waves at Mookho were analysed by several statistical methods. As the results, the following conclusions are obtained: 1. Values of surface elevation of sea wave are better fitted to Gram Charlier distribution than Gaussian distribution. This proves that sea waves have not only characters of irregularity but also non-linearity. 2. Distribution of maxima of surface elevation practically follows the distribution of Cartwright and Longuet-Higgins, also spectral width parameter is found to be increased with the increase of root mean square of surface elevation. 3. Sea wave may have spectrum of broad frequency band, however distributions of wave heights and periods follow the Rayleigh distribution which is derived from the assumption of narrow frequency band. 4. Ratios among mean wave heights from observed data show good agreements with theoretical values from Rayleigh distribution. 5. Spectral density and spectral width parameter increase with increase of wind velocity. And wave period at optimum band gas higher value than significant wave period by about 10 percent.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2002년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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• pp.206-208
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• 2002

Distributed generation (DG) is predicted to play an increasing role in the electric power system of the near future. Distributed generation is by definition that is of limited size (roughly 10MW or less) and interconnected at the substation, distribution feeder or customer load levels. The effects of generation sources within a distribution network on the system losses are investigated in this paper. WLAV state estimation is performed with the composite distribution system containing DG. Simulations with test cases are performed and the results are presented, using IEEE34 bus radial distribution system.