• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제48권9호
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• pp.1055-1063
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• 1999

This paper present a conceptual possibilistic approach using fuzzy set theory to manage the uncertainties in the given reliability input date of the practical power system. In this paper, an algorithm is introduced to calculate the possibilstic reliability indices according to the degree of uncertainty in the given data. The probability distribution function can be transformed into an appropriate possibilstic representation using the probability-Possibility Consistency principle(PPCP) algorithm. In this the algorithm, the transformation is performation by making a compromise between the transformation consistency and the human updating experience. Fuzzy classifcation theory is applied to reduced the number of load data. The fuzzy classification method determines the closeness of load data points by assigning them to various clusters and then determening the distance between the clusters. The IEEE-RTS with 32-generating units is used to demonstrate the capability of the proposed algorithm.

• Tribology and Lubricants
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• 제10권4호
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• pp.51-58
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• 1994

Condition monitoring technology has recently been received much attention in the light of its significance on the maintenance of complex machineries such as turbines in power plants. Currently, turbines in power plants are maintained by scheduled overhaul based on the manufacturer's recommendations and the utility's experience. Although this preventive maintenance is known to be very effective, operators have less access to identify failure of elements when it happens between overhaul period. Therefore, in this study, a development of a on-line condition monitoring system through wear debris analysis of lubricating oils is aimed with a view to detecting abnormal wear behaviour of bearings and other wet-components at an early stage, allowing better outage scheduling and minimizing forced outages. For field application purposes, the on-line system developed was installed on the turbine of the No.4 unit at Ulsan Power Plant and its performance has been evaluated on site.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제53권8호
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• pp.477-483
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• 2004

In competitive electricity markets, maintenance schedule is submitted by generation companies (GENCOs) and transmission companies (TRANSCOs), and coordinated by Independent System Operator (ISO) with the adequacy criterion. This paper presents an alternative coordination procedure by ISO on the maintenance schedule. In this paper, it is focused on modeling a coordination algorithm by ISO for the maintenance schedule based on the Simulated Annealing algorithm. The proposed model employs the minimum information such as generator capacity, forced outage rate and generator maintenance schedules. The objective function of this model represents minimization of adjustment on schedules submitted by GENCOs.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2003년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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• pp.100-102
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• 2003

This paper describes a time-sequential simulation technique for the reliability evaluation of a distribution system including Photovoltaics(PV) Generation. A three-state model of a PV is presented, considering variable radiation and the forced outage rate. A test distribution system is utilized to illustrate the proposed model. The effects on the distribution system reliability of the PV parameters are examined and illustrated.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제58권3호
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• pp.486-495
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• 2009

This paper proposes a new methodology on reliability evaluation of a power system including solar cell generators (SCG). The SCGs using renewable energy resource such as solar radiation(SR) should be modeled as multi-state operational model because the uncertainty of the resource supply may occur an effect as same as the forced outage of generator in viewpoint of adequacy reliability of system. While a two-state model is well suited for modeling conventional generators, a multi-state model is needed to model the SCGs due to the random variation of solar radiation. This makes the method of calculating reliability evaluation indices of the SCG different from the conventional generator. After identifying the typical pattern of the SR probability distribution function(pdf) from SR actual data, this paper describes modelling, methodology and details process for reliability evaluation of the solar cell generators integrated with power system. Two test results indicate the viability of the proposed method.

• 조명전기설비학회논문지
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• 제23권10호
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• pp.52-58
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• 2009

본 논문에서는 마이크로그리드(Micro grid, MG)의 설계에서 필요로 되는 에너지저장장치(Energy storage system, ESS)의 최소설비용량을 산정할 수 있는 확률론적 방법론을 제시하였다. ESS기술은 아직까지 경제성 측면에서 매우 높은 설비비용이 필요로 되기 때문에 적정 설비규모를 산정하는 것과 MG의 안정적인 운영을 위해서 최소 설비용량에 대한 가이드라인의 제시가 필요로 된다. 본 논문에서 제시한 방법론은 Non-dispatchable 발전원 출력의 간헐성과 모든 발전기의 고장정지확률을 고려하여 MG가 자체적인 에너지 Self balancing을 유지할 수 있는 ESS의 최소설비용량을 산정할 수 있는 것을 특징으로 한다.

• KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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• 제2A권3호
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• pp.95-101
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• 2002

This paper illustrates a new fuzzy effective load model for probabilistic and fuzzy production cost simulation of the load point of the composite power system. A model for reliability evaluation of a transmission system using the fuzzy set theory is proposed for considering the flexibility or ambiguity of capacity limitation and overload of transmission lines, which are subjective matter characteristics. A conventional probabilistic approach was also used to model the uncertainties related to the objective matters for forced outage rates of generators and transmission lines in the new model. The methodology is formulated in order to consider the flexibility or ambiguity of load forecasting as well as capacity limitation and overload of transmission lines. It is expected that the Fuzzy CMELDC (CoMposite power system Effective Load Duration Curve) proposed in this study will provide some solutions to many problems based on nodal and decentralized operation and control of an electric power systems in a competitive environment in the future. The characteristics of this new model are illustrated by some case studies of a very simple test system.

• 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국원자력학회 1998년도 춘계학술발표회논문집(1)
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• pp.264-270
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• 1998

This research broadens the prime concern of nuclear power plant operations from safe performance to both economic and safe performance. First emergency diesel generator is identified as one of main contributors for the lost plant availability through the review of plants forced outage records. The framework of an integrated architecture for performing modern on-line condition for operational availability improvement is configured in this work. For the development of the comprehensive sensor networks for complex target systems, an integrated methodology incorporating a structural hierarchy, a functional hierarchy, and a fault-system matrix is formulated. The second part of our research is development of intelligent diagnosis and maintenance advisory system, which employs Bayesian Belief networks (BBNs) as a high level reasoning tool incorporating inherent uncertainty use in probabilistic inference. Our prototype diagnosis algorithms are represented explicitly through topological symbols and links between them in a causal direction. As new evidence from sensor network development is entered into the model especially, our advisory of system provides operational advice concerning both availability and safety, so that the operator is able to determine the likely modes, diagnose the system state, locate root causes, and take the most advantageous action. Thereby, this advice improves operational availability

• KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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• 제5A권1호
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• pp.31-39
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• 2005

This paper illustrates a tie line constrained equivalent assisting generator (TEAG) model considering forced outage rates of transmission systems for reliability evaluation of interconnected power systems. Interconnections between power systems can provide improved levels of reliability. It is expected that the TEAG model developed in this paper will prove useful in the solution to problems related to the effect of transmission system uncertainties in the reliability evaluation of interconnected power systems. It is important that interconnection between power systems can provide the improved levels of reliability. Therefore, It is expected that the TEAG model developed in this study will provide some solution among many problems for interconnected power systems as an optimal tie line capacity and a connected point between assisting systems and assisted system. The characteristics and validity of this developed TEAG considering transmission systems are introduced by case study of three IEEE MRTS interconnected.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1996년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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• pp.793-796
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• 1996

This study proposes a new algorithm which performs a production simulation under various constraints and maintains computational efficiency. In order to consider the environmental and operational constraints, the proposed algorithm is based on optimization techniques formulated in LP form In the algorithm, "system characteristic constraints" reflect the system characteristics such as LDC shape, unit loading order and forced outage rate. By using the concept of Energy Invariance Property and two operational rules i.e. Compliance Rule for Emission Constraint, Compliance Rule for Limited Energy of Individual Unit, the number of system characteristic constraints is appreciably reduced. As a solution method of the optimization problem, the author uses Karmarkar's method which performs effectively in solving large scale LP problem. The efficiency of production simulation is meaningful when it is effectively used in power system planning. With the proposed production simulation algorithm, an optimal expansion planning model which can cope with operational constraints, environmental restriction, and various uncertainties is developed. This expansion planning model is applied to the long range planning schemes by WASP, and determines an optimal expansion scheme which considers the effect of supply interruption, load forecasting errors, multistates of unit operation, plural limited energy plants etc.