• Title/Summary/Keyword: flood frequency analysis

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The optimal operation of reservoir systems during flood season (홍수기 저수지의 최적연계운영)

  • Han, Kun-Yeun;Choi, Hyun-Gu;Kim, Dong-Il;Lee, Kyeong-Teak
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.743-746
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    • 2008
  • Recently, due to the effect of global warming and extreme rainfall, the magnitude of flood disaster and the frequency of flood is rapidly increasing. In order to mitigate the damage of human and property from this kind of meteorological phenomenon and manage water resources scientifically, effective operation of dam and reservoir is very important. In case of Andong dam which was not performed a flood control function needs to develop new types of dam safety management measure because of recent extraordinary flood by typhoons. In case of Andong dam and Imha dam, I am using HEC-5 model in order to apply reservoir simulation. In this case, complex conditions among 100-year floods , 200-year floods and PMF was used. Also, I modified the maximum outflow 3,800m3/s into 3,490m3/s and applied this modified discharge in order to secure freeboard in the downstream. In an analysis that I applied modified outflow by 100-year floods and 200-year floods to, the result showed that river didn't overflow in Andong area but some other places have relatively low freeboard. In the cases that I modified maximum outflow, results showed that freeboard of levee is larger than existed simulation. In the simulation that I applied 200-year floods and PMF to and under a condition connected with PMF, results showed overflowing the levees. Because of the difference between the frequency of dam outflow and the design flood in river, it is required to improve the existed flood plan in the downstream of Andong dam. As a result of this study, the optimal operation of reservoir systems can be proposed to mitigate the flood damage in the downstream of Andong dam and also can be used to establish the flood plans.

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Improvement and evaluation of flood control safety utilizing a flood risk map - Yeong-Seomjin River Basin - (홍수위험지도를 활용한 치수안전도 방법 개선 및 평가 - 영·섬진강 유역중심으로 -)

  • Eo, Gyu;Lee, Sung Hyun;Lim In Gyu;Lee, Gyu Won;Kim, Ji Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.1
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    • pp.21-33
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    • 2024
  • Recently, the patterns of climate change-induced disasters have become more diverse and extensive. To develop an effective flood control plan, Korea has incorporated the concept of Potential Flood Damage (PFD) into the Long-Term Comprehensive Water Resources Plan to assess flood risk. However, concerns regarding the PFD have prompted numerous studies. Previous research primarily focused on modifying and augmenting the PFD index or introducing new indices. This study aims to enhance the existing flood control safety evaluation method by utilizing a flood risk map that incorporates risk indices, specifically focusing on the Yeong-Seomjin river basin. The study introduces three main evaluation approaches: risk and potential analysis, PFD and flood management level analysis, and flood control safety evaluation. The proposed improved evaluation method is expected to be instrumental in evaluating various flood control safety measures and formulating flood control plans.

Flooding Area Estimation and Evacuation Path Analysis (침수취약지역 추정과 주민들의 대피경로 분석)

  • Park, Jong-Duk;Choi, Jin-Mu
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2011
  • Recently urban area has suffered from frequent flood event by local heavy rain. This study performed flood tests for the Jungnang river using HEC-RAS model. Based on 1m LiDAR data, river geometry data were produced using HEC-GeoRAS. For 100-year frequency flood, 200-year frequency flood, and PMF, flooding areas were estimated. Ten sub-zones of the entire flooding area were identified based on the nearest refugees and used to analyze evacuation paths to the refugees. The results showed that approximately 70% of flooded area were residential, commercial, and transportation areas so that much loss of life and property could be possible. Path analysis showed that the shortest path distances to refugees were about 1000m average. Evacuation warning given at a proper period could minimize loss of life and property. This study provides the guideline for flood evacuation plan in urban area.

Daily Rainfall Simulation by Rainfall Frequency and State Model of Markov Chain (강우 빈도와 마코프 연쇄의 상태모형에 의한 일 강우량 모의)

  • Jung, Young-Hun;Kim, Buyng-Sik;Kim, Hung Soo;Shim, Myung-Pil
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2003
  • In Korea, most of the rainfalls have been concentrated in the flood season and the flood study has received more attention than low flow analysis. One of the reasons that the analysis of low flows has less attention is the lacks of the required data like daily rainfall and so we have used the stochastic processes such as pulse noise, exponential distribution, and state model of Markov chain for the rainfall simulation in short term such as daily. Especially this study will pay attention to the state model of Markov chain. The previous study had performed the simulation study by the state model without considerations of the flood and non-flood periods and without consideration of the frequency of rainfall for the period of a state. Therefore this study considers afore mentioned two cases and compares the results with the known state model. As the results, the RMSEs of the suggested and known models represent the similar results. However, the PRE(relative percentage error) shows the suggested model is better results.

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Estimation of Design Flood by the Determination of Best Fitting Order of LH-Moments ( I ) (LH-모멘트의 적정 차수 결정에 의한 설계홍수량 추정 ( I ))

  • 맹승진;이순혁
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2002
  • This study was conducted to estimate the design flood by the determination of best fitting order of LH-moments of the annual maximum series at six and nine watersheds in Korea and Australia, respectively. Adequacy for flood flow data was confirmed by the tests of independence, homogeneity, and outliers. Gumbel (GUM), Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Pareto (GPA), and Generalized Logistic (GLO) distributions were applied to get the best fitting frequency distribution for flood flow data. Theoretical bases of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments were derived to estimate the parameters of 4 distributions. L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moment ratio diagrams (LH-moments ratio diagram) were developed in this study. GEV distribution for the flood flow data of the applied watersheds was confirmed as the best one among others by the LH-moments ratio diagram and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Best fitting order of LH-moments will be derived by the confidence analysis of estimated design flood in the second report of this study.

Comparison of Two-Dimensional Model for Inundation Analysis in Flood Plain Area (홍수시 둔치구간의 수리해석을 위한 2차원 모형 비교)

  • Ku, Young Hun;Kim, Young Do
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2014
  • In the flood plain, river facilities such as sports facilities and ecological park are builded up since the late 2000s. The recent increase of rainfall intensity and flood frequency results in the immersions of parks and river facilities located in the flood plain. Therefore it is necessary to perform the numerical analysis for the extreme rain storm in the flood plain. In this study, to analyze the hydraulic impact by lowering and rising of the water level at flood plain, Both the FaSTMECH, which is a quasi-unsteady flow analysis model to be used for simulating the wet and dry, and the Nays2D, which is unsteady flow analysis model, are used in this study. Also, the flow velocity distribution and the inundation are compared over a period of the typhoon. As a result, the flow velocity distribution at flood plain showed very low values compared to the flow rate in the main channel. This means that the problem of sedimentation is more important than that of erosion in the flood plain.

Assessment of extreme precipitation changes on flood damage in Chungcheong region of South Korea

  • Bashir Adelodun;Golden Odey;Qudus Adeyi;Kyung Sook Choi
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.163-163
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    • 2023
  • Flooding has become an increasing event which is one of the major natural disasters responsible for direct economic damage in South Korea. Driven by climate change, precipitation extremes play significant role on the flood damage and its further increase is expected to exacerbate the socioeconomic impact in the country. However, the empirical evidence associating changes in precipitation extremes to the historical flood damage is limited. Thus, there is a need to assess the causal relationship between changes in precipitation extremes and flood damage, especially in agricultural region like Chungcheong region in South Korea. The spatial and temporal changes of precipitation extremes from 10 synoptic stations based on daily precipitation data were analyzed using the ClimPACT2 tool and Mann-Kendall test. The four precipitation extreme indices consisting of consecutive wet days (CWD), number of very heavy precipitation wet days (R30 mm), maximum 1-day precipitation amount (Rx1day), and simple daily precipitation intensity (SDII), which represent changes in intensity, frequency, and duration, respectively, and the time series data on flooded area and flood damage from 1985 to 2020 were used to investigate the causal relationship in the ARDL-ECM framework and pairwise Granger causality analysis. The trend results showed that majority of the precipitation indices indicated positive trends, however, CWD showed no significant changes. ARDL-ECM framework showed that there was a long-run relationship among the variables. Further analysis on the empirical results showed that flooded area and Rx1day have significant positive impacts on the flood damage in both short and long-runs while R30 mm only indicated significant positive impact in the short-run, both in the current period, which implies that an increase in flooded area, Rx1day, and R30 mm will cause an increase in the flood damage. The pairwise Granger analysis showed unidirectional causality from the flooded area, R30 mm, Rx1day, and SDII to flood damage. Thus, these precipitation indices could be useful as indicators of pluvial flood damage in Chungcheong region of South Korea.

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Behaviour Analysis of Irrigation Reservoir Using Open Water Management Program (개방형 물관리 프로그램을 이용한 관개용 저수지의 거동 분석)

  • Kim, Sun-Joo;Kim, Phil-Shik;Lim, Chang-Young
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.3-13
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    • 2004
  • For optimal irrigation reservoir operation during flood and normal period, a general and systematic policy is suggested to make balance of the conflicting purposes between water conservation and flood control. We developed Open Water Management Program (OWMP) with an open architecture to deal with newly arising upgrade problems for optimal management of irrigation reservoir. And we evaluated the applicability of OWMP to estimate daily runoff from an agricultural watershed including irrigation reservoirs, and analyzed behaviour of irrigation reservoirs as irrigation water requirements considering frequency analysis of reservoir storage and frequency analysis water requirements for effective management of reservoir. When we executed OWMP with data produced from an experimental field, IHP basins, the mean relative errors of application of daily runoff and irrigation water requirement were less than 5%. We also applied OWMP to a Seongju irrigation reservoir to simulate daily runoff, storage and water requirement from 1998 to 2002, and the mean model efficiency between measured and simulated value was 0.76. Our results based on the magnitude of relative errors and model efficiency of the model simulation indicate that the OWMP can be a tool nicely adapted to the effective water management of irrigation reservoir for beneficial water use and flood disaster management.

Estimation of Mega Flood Using Mega Rainfall Scenario (거대강우 시나리오를 이용한 거대홍수량 산정)

  • Han, Daegun;Kim, Deokhwan;Kim, Jungwook;Jung, Jeawon;Lee, Jongso;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.spc
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    • pp.90-97
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    • 2019
  • In recent years, flood due to the consecutive storm events have been occurred and property damage and casualties are in increasing trend. This study calls the consecutively occurred storm events as a mega rainfall scenario and the discharge by the scenario is defined as a mega flood discharge. A mega rainfall scenario was created on the assumption that 100-year frequency rainfall events were consecutively occurred in the Gyeongancheon stream basin. The SSARR (Streamflow Synthesis and Reservoir Regulation) model was used to estimate the mega flood discharge using the scenario in the basin. In addition, in order to perform more reasonable runoff analysis, the parameters were estimated using the SCE_UA algorithm. Also, the calibration and verification were performed using the objective functions of the weighted sum of squared of residual(WSSR), which is advantageous for the peak discharge simulation and sum of squared of residual(SSR). As a result, the mega flood discharge due to the continuous occurrence of 100-year frequency rainfall events in the Gyeongan Stream Basin was estimated to be 4,802㎥/s, and the flood discharge due to the 100-year frequency single rainfall event estimated by "the Master Plan for the Gyeongancheon Stream Improvement" (2011) was 3,810㎥/s. Therefore, the mega flood discharge was found to increase about 992㎥/s more than the single flood event. The results of this study can be used as a basic data for Comprehensive Flood Control Plan of the Gyeongan Stream basin.

Assessment of Probability Flood according to the Flow Regulation by Multi-purpose Dams in Han-River Basin (한강유역의 다목적댐 운영에 따른 빈도홍수량의 평가)

  • Kim, Nam-Won;Lee, Jeong-Eun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.161-168
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the variation of probability flood according to the flow regulation by multi-purpose dams (Soyang and Chungju) in the Han-river basin, Korea. SWAT-K (Soil and Water Assessment Tool-Korea) was used in order to generate regulated and unregulated daily streamflows upstream of Paldang dam. Simulated flow regulated by the Soyang and Chungju dams was calibrated by comparison with the observed inflow data at Paldang reservoir. Generally the ratio of flood flows to daily streamflows is known to decrease with drainage area in a watershed. Regulated and unregulated flood flows were obtained from the relationship between flood flows and daily streamflows. Extreme Type-I distribution was applied for flood frequency analysis and L-moment method was used for parameter estimation. This is a novel approach capable of understanding the variation in flood frequency with dam operation for the relatively large watershed scale, and this will helps improve the applicability of daily stream flow data for use in flood control as well as in water utilization.