• Title/Summary/Keyword: flood frequency analysis

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Development of Estimation Technique for Inundation Area by Frequency using GIS (GIS를 활용한 빈도별 침수구역 예측기법 개발)

  • Lee, Byongju;Choi, Cheulgwan;Kim, Yangsu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.671-675
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    • 2004
  • The objective of this study is to develope estimation techniques of flood inundation area for given rainfall frequency using GIS. For this, Namdae-cheon is selected as pilot station and Inundation area is estimated with routing of flood volume from river mouth to upstream. As a results inundation area of Namdae-cheon estimated with $1.5km^2\~9.7km^2$ for $5\~500$ frequency years. In addition it is noted that results of this study can use in flood risk analysis for establishment of flood countermeasures.

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The Simulation of Flood Inundation of Namdae Stream with GIS-based FLUMEN model (GIS 기반 FLUMEN 모형을 이용한 남대천 홍수범람 모의실험)

  • Lee, Geun-Sang;Choi, Yun-Woong
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2010
  • This study simulated flood inundation each frequency rainfall using GIS spatial information and FLUMEN model for part of Muju-Namdae Stream. To create geomorphology for the analysis of flood inundation, Triangle Irregular Network(TIN) was constructed using GIS spatial interpolation method based on digital topographic map and river profile data, unique data source to represent real topography of the river areas. And also flood inundation was operated according to the levee collapse to consider extremely flood damage scenarios. As the analysis of result, the inundation area in the left levee collapse showed more high as 3.13, 3.69, and 4.17 times comparing with one of right levee for 50, 100, and 200 year frequency rainfall and showed 1.00, 2.15, and 3.34 times comparing with one of right levee in the inundation depth with over 1.0 meter, which can cause casualties. As the analysis of inundation area of the inundation depth with over 1.0 meter, which can cause casualties in left levee collapse, it increased more high as 263% and 473% when 50 year frequency change into 100 and 200 year frequency. Also As the analysis of inundation area of the inundation depth with over 1.0 meter in right levee collapse, it increased high as 123% and 142% when 50 year frequency change into 100 and 200 year frequency. Especially, the inundation area of the inundation depth with 3.0~3.5m showed more high as 263% and 489% when 50 year frequency change into 100 and 200 year frequency. It is expected that flood inundation map of this paper could be important decision making data to establish land use planning and water treatment measures.

Flood Frequency Analysis by the Box-Cox Transformation

  • 이순혁;조성갑;박명곤
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.32 no.E
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    • pp.20-32
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    • 1990
  • Abstract This study was conducted to pursue the normalization of frequency distribution by making an approach to the coefficient of skewness to nearly zero through the Box-Cox transformation, to get probable flood flows can be calculated by means of the transformation equation which has been derivated by Box-Cox transformation in the annual maximum series of the applied watersheds. It has been concluded that Box-Cox transfromation is proved to be more efficient than logarithmic, square root and SMEMAX transformation which is based on the trigonometric solution of a right triangle whose three verteces repesent the smallest, median and largest observed values of a population in making the coefficient of skewness nearer to zero. Consequently it is shown that probable flood flows according to the return period based on Box-Cox transformation are closer to the observed data as compared to other methods including SMEMAX transformation and fitted probability distributions such as the three parameter lognormal and the type I extremal distribution for the applied watersheds.

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Regional flood frequency analysis of extreme rainfall in Thailand, based on L-moments

  • Thanawan Prahadchai;Piyapatr Busababodhin;Jeong-Soo Park
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.37-53
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    • 2024
  • In this study, flood records from 79 sites across Thailand were analyzed to estimate flood indices using the regional frequency analysis based on the L-moments method. Observation sites were grouped into homogeneous regions using k-means and Ward's clustering techniques. Among various distributions evaluated, the generalized extreme value distribution emerged as the most appropriate for certain regions. Regional growth curves were subsequently established for each delineated region. Furthermore, 20- and 100-year return values were derived to illustrate the recurrence intervals of maximum rainfall across Thailand. The predicted return values tend to increase at each site, which is associated with growth curves that could describe an increasing long-term predictive pattern. The findings of this study hold significant implications for water management strategies and the design of flood mitigation structures in the country.

The Study on Application of Regional Frequency Analysis using Kernel Density Function (핵밀도 함수를 이용한 지역빈도해석의 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Kim, Jong-Suk;Moon, Young-Il;Yoo, Seung-Yeon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.10 s.171
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    • pp.891-904
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    • 2006
  • The estimation of the probability precipitation is essential for the design of hydrologic projects. The techniques to calculate the probability precipitation can be determined by the point frequency analysis and the regional frequency analysis. The regional frequency analysis includes index-flood technique and L-moment technique. In the regional frequency analysis, even if the rainfall data passed homogeneity, suitable distributions can be different at each point. However, the regional frequency analysis can supplement the lacking precipitation data. Therefore, the regional frequency analysis has weaknesses compared to parametric point frequency analysis because of suppositions about probability distributions. Therefore, this paper applies kernel density function to precipitation data so that homogeneity is defined. In this paper, The data from 16 rainfall observatories were collected and managed by the Korea Meteorological Administration to achieve the point frequency analysis and the regional frequency analysis. The point frequency analysis applies parametric technique and nonparametric technique, and the regional frequency analysis applies index-flood techniques and L-moment techniques. Also, the probability precipitation was calculated by the regional frequency analysis using variable kernel density function.

Estimation of Design Flood Considering Time Distribution of Rainfall (강우 시간분포를 고려한 설계홍수량산정)

  • Park, Jae-Hyun;Ahn, Sang-Jin;Hahm, Chang-Hahk;Choi, Min-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1191-1195
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    • 2006
  • Now days, heavy storm occur to be continue. It is hard to use before frequency based on flood discharge for decision that design water pocket structure. We need to estimation of frequency based on flood discharge on the important basin likely city or basin that damage caused by flood recurrence. In this paper flood discharge calculated by Clark watershed method and SCS synthetic unit hydrograph method about upside during each minute of among time distribution method of rainfall, Huff method choosing Bocheong Stream basin that is representative basin of International Hydrologic Project (IHP) about time distribution of rainfall that exert big effect at flood discharge estimate to research target basin because of and the result is as following. Relation between probability flood discharge that is calculated through frequency analysis about flood discharge data and rainfall - runoff that is calculated through outward flow model was assumed about $48.1{\sim}95.9%$ in the case of $55.8{\sim}104.0%$, SCS synthetic unit hydrograph method in case of Clark watershed method, and Clark watershed method has big value overly in case of than SCS synthetic unit hydrograph method in case of basin that see, but branch of except appeared little more similarly with frequency flood discharge that calculate using survey data. In the case of Critical duration, could know that change is big area of basin is decrescent. When decide time distribution type of rainfall, apply upside during most Huff 1-ST because heavy rain phenomenon of upsides appears by the most things during result 1-ST about observation recording of target area about Huff method to be method to use most in business, but maximum value of peak flood discharge appeared on Huff 3-RD too in the case of upside, SCS synthetic unit hydrograph method during Huff 3-RD incidental of this research and case of Clark watershed method. That is, in the case of Huff method, latitude is decide that it is decision method of reasonable design floods that calculate applying during all $1-ST{\sim}4-TH$.

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Uncertainty Assessment of Regional Frequency Analysis for Generalized Logistic Distribution (Generalized Logistic 분포형을 이용한 지역빈도해석의 불확실성 추정)

  • Shin, Hongjoon;Nam, Woosung;Jung, Younghun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.6B
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    • pp.723-729
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    • 2008
  • Confidence intervals of growth curves are calculated to assess the uncertainty of index flood method as a regional frequency analysis. The asymptotic variance of quantile estimator for the generalized logistic distribution is introduced to evaluate confidence intervals. In addition, the variances of at-site frequency estimator and regional frequency estimator are used to evaluate an efficiency index. The efficiency indexes for 14 homogeneous regions based on 378 stations show that index flood method estimators are more efficient than at-site frequency estimators. It is shown that the number of sites in a region needs to be limited for regional gain.

Flood Inundation Analysis in Urban Area Using XP-SWMM (XP-SWMM 모형을 이용한 도심지역 침수해석)

  • Kim, Jinsu;Lee, Wonho
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2015
  • Current domestic research is to demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiencies of flood prevention measures through one-dimensional numerical analysis and this study's object is to help water managers to make the efficient decisions by applying the two-dimensional urban run off model XP-SWMM model in the flooded area and comparing with the flood prevention measures. Statistics were analyzed, based on the data collected from Cheongju Weather Service from 1967 to 2011 for 45 years. 50 years Flood frequency simulations of water flow capacity analysis of the target area for flooded areas $539,548m^2$, inundation depth 1.0 m, was analyzed by inundation time of 48 minutes. When comparing with the constructions of bypass road and underground storage facilities to increase the water flow capacity of A1 small drainage areas as flood protection, if you install a batching target underground detention basin with a capacity of $13,500m^3$, it is expected that the flood by rainfall with frequency of 50 years will be resolved completely. In preparation for extreme weather in the future flood mitigation measures, underground storage tank installation is considered a better efficient way.

Flood Damage Reduction Plan Using HEC-FDA Model (HEC-FDA 모형을 이용한 홍수피해 저감계획)

  • Lee, Jongso;Kim, Duckhwan;Kim, Jungwook;Han, Daegun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.237-244
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    • 2015
  • This study is estimated the flood damage probability of the flood discharge, the flood stage estimation and Economic Analysis for Flood Control about considering of uncertainty. Sum River Basin has chosen and the probability precipitation is estimated by using the concept of critical rainfall duration depending on the frequency of each flood stage estimation point. For calculating the expected annual damage, the functions of long term hazard, discharge-frequency, stage-discharge and depth-damage are established for 8 areas in Sum River Basin. The expected annual damaged is obtained which is based on the sampling informations through more than 500,000 simulation from the functions of considered uncertainty. The result about the optimum frequency and Investment Priorities are estimated by conducting the evaluation about planning the levee of various of Design Frequency. In analysis result, 12% of B/C value has increased if the uncertainty has concerned. Also the optimum frequency or Investment Priorities are possible to be changed. If the political and social analysis perform together it would be helpful to have a reasonable decision other than only the economical analysis as actual Flood damaged reduction planning.

The Estimations of A Conceptual Time Distribution of Rainfall and Design Flood (강우의 개념적 시간분포와 설계홍수량 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Byung Woon;Jang Dae Won;Kim Hung Soo;Seoh Byung Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.937-942
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    • 2005
  • It is necessary to estimate the runoff hydrograph and peak flood discharge using law of probability for synthetic flood control policy and design of hydraulic structures. Rainfall analysis is needed in the process of peak flood discharge estimation and the time distribution of a design rainfall is a very important process in the analysis. In this study, we estimate design flood for a small urban basin and a rural basin of medium scale which have different travel times. The Huff method is widely used in Korea for the time distribution of design rainfall to estimate design flood. So, we use Huff method and a conceptual method which is suggested in this study for the comparative purpose. The 100-year frequency rainfall is used to estimate design flood for each basin and the design flood is compared with the existing design flood. As the result, the design flood is overestimated $14.6m^3/sec$ by Huff method and is underestimated $70.9m^3/sec$ by a conceptual method for the rural basin. For the small urban basin, the design flood is excessively overestimated $294.65m^3/sec$ by Huff method and is overestimated $173m^3/sec$ by a conceptual method. The reason of excessive overestimation by Huff method in the small urban basin is that the increased rate of rainfall intensity according to the decrease of duration is large and the duration exceeds the time of concentration when the increased rainfall intensity is concentrated in a quartile. Therefore, we suggested a conceptual method for the time distribution of design rainfall by considering the rainless period and duration. Especially, the conceptual method might be useful for the small urban basin with short concentration time which the design flood is overestimated by Huff method.

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