• Title/Summary/Keyword: flood frequency analysis

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Comparative Study of Flow Profiles & Discharge due to Rainfall Frequency Analysis (강우빈도 해석을 통한 하천 수리$\cdot$수문량 비교 연구)

  • Seo Kyu Woo;Lee In Rock;Won Chang Hee;Shim Bong Joo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.1533-1537
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    • 2005
  • The recent rainfall has happened to exceed the design rainfall after 1990 often, due to the characteristic of the rain to be changed. So, it is failing the ability safety of flood defense equipments to exist. This study analyzed the rainfall of Busan in 2003 since 1961 through the FARD2002(Frequency Analysis of Rainfall Duration). The result is equal to the thing which the design rainfall increased a little since 1991. The change of design rainfall created the result to be a flood discharge increase. This study investigated about the impact to influence on the river bank according to the change of flood discharge, the rainfall pattern change as well. This study used the program of HEC-RAS with HEC-HMS and calculated flood discharge with flood level of river. The result is equal to the thing which the computation became a flood level which exceed 50year(River design criteria-Korea water resources association 2002) criteria with 30year(River establishment criteria-Ministry of construction & transportation 1993), because of an area of impermeability increased of model basin.

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Effect of Observed Discharge Data on Regional Flood Frequency Analysis in the Han River Basin (한강유역 관측유출자료가 지역홍수빈도분석 결과에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Nam Won;Lee, Jeong Eun;Lee, Jeongwoo;Jung, Yong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.511-522
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    • 2015
  • This study assessed the impact of uncertainties in flood data on the results of flood frequency analysis for Han river basin. To meet this aim, this study quantified assessment focused on the index flood and quantile by regional flood frequency analysis using the flood data from 17 water level gauges in Han river basin. We analysed the results categorized by three cases according to the characteristics of the measured data. Firstly, we analyzed the regional flood frequency for the water level gauge in the Pyungchang river basin to investigate the impact of water level data. The results has the error of 0.240 with respect to the mean flood. Secondly, we examined the impact of uncertainty in measurement data generated by the application of rating on the results of regional flood frequency analysis. We have compared the results by applying the rating estimated for each year to the one by the recently estimated rating. The results showed that the mean error has 0.246 in terms of the mean flood. Finally, we have inferred the regional flood frequency analysis results with the regulated flow in the downstream area of dams. The regulated specific discharge in the downstream area of dams controlled by dam operation showed a large difference to the estimated specific discharge in the downstream area of dams by extension of the natural specific discharge in the upstream area using the regionalization method.

Conversion of Flood Level and Flood Frequency Analysis for Goan Station in Han River (한강 고안지점의 홍수위 환산과 홍수 빈도해석)

  • 이승재;서규우
    • Water for future
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.191-203
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    • 1995
  • In this study, the past flood levels of Goan station, which is one of major gaging stations and located at downstream of Paldang dam, were converted based on the 1994's cross section and the flood quantiles were estimated from flood frequency analysis. The recently established rating curve was used to convert flood levels. And the parameters of the several probability distributions commonly used in hydrologic analysis were estimated based on the method of probability weighted moments and the goodness of fit tests were applied to those distributions. As a result, the gamma-2 and gamma-3 distributions were selected as the appropriate models. The flood lovels and quantiles for selected return periods were calculated based on those distributions. Furthermore, frequency analysis using historical flood information was performed to overcome the misleading caused by missing data.

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Point Frequency Analysis for Determining the Design Flood at Indogyo Site (한강 인도교 지점의 계획홍수량 산정을 위한 지점빈도해석)

  • Yun, Yong-Nam;Won, Seok-Yeon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.469-481
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    • 1998
  • A point frequency analysis is carried out for the Indogyo site at the Han river using 68 annual maximun flood data for the period of 1918-1992. Computed frequency discharges using the three parameter log-normal, type-I extreme value, type-III extreme value, and Pearson type-III computed as 35,500 m3/sec and 39,000 m3/sec, respectively, 33,500 m3/sec and 37,500 m3/sec of corresponding return periods are computed when the flood control effect of the dams are taken into account. The resulting flood discharge of 37,500 m3/sec is similar to the current design flood of 37,000 m3/sec in downstream reach of Han river, so, it could be desirable to keep the the current design flood, considering the increasing tendency of the flood due to the climate change. Keywords : frequency analysis, flood discharge, Han river.

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Regional Frequency Analysis for a Development of Regionalized Regression Model of River Floods (하천홍수량의 지역화 회귀모형개발을 위한 지역빈도해석)

  • Noh, Jae Sik;Lee, Kil Choon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.139-154
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    • 1993
  • The major purpose of this study is to develop a regionalized regression model, which predicts flood peaks from the characteristics of the ungaged catchments, through the regional flood frequency analysis for the selected stage gauging stations located on several natural rivers of Korea. The magnitude and the frequency of flood peaks with specified recurrence intervals were estimated from the flood frequency analysis on the 28 selected stage gauging stations distributed on the five major rivers of Korea. The results of the analysis were compared with the predictions from the two different flood frequency models. From the statistical evaluation of these models, it was revealed that the POT model (Peaks Over a Threshold model), which is based on the partial duration method, is more effective in predicting flood peaks from short period records than the ANNMAX model (ANNual MAXimum model) which is based on the annual maximum series method. A regionalized regression model was developed to facilitate the estimation of design floods for ungaged catchments through the regression analysis between flood peaks and the topographic characteristics of the catchments assumed to be important in runoff processes. In addition to this, the correlation diagrams are presented which show the relationships between flood peaks with specified recurrence intervals and the major characteristics of the catchments.

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The Application and Analysis of Scale Effect on Dynamic Flood Frequency Analysis (동역학적 홍수빈도 모형의 적용 및 해상도 영향 분석)

  • Mun, Jang-Won;Yu, Cheol-Sang;Kim, Jung-Hun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2001
  • A dynamic flood frequency analysis model was proposed for the frequency analysis in ungaged catchment and applied to 6 subbasins in Pyungchang River basin. As the dynamic flood frequency model requires precipitation, rainfall loss system, and runoff analysis, we adopt the rectangular pulse model, the SCS formula, and the geomorphoclimatic IUH(GcIUH) for the application. Input data for the analysis was borrowed from the results of the statistical flood frequency analysis using L-moment method for the same catchment, and then the return period was estimated using the model. This result was also compared with the return period estimated from the statistical analysis. By comparing with the results from two cases, we found the dynamic flood frequency analysis gave higher estimates than those from statistical analysis for the whole subbasins. However, the dynamic flood frequency analysis model has a potential to be used for determining the design flood for small hydraulic structure in ungaged catchment because it uses only physical parameters for flood frequency analysis. And this model can be easily applicable to other watersheds as the scale effect is negligible.

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Regional frequency analysis using spatial data extension method : I. An empirical investigation of regional flood frequency analysis (공간확장자료를 이용한 지역빈도분석 : I. 지역홍수빈도분석의 실증적 검토)

  • Kim, Nam Won;Lee, Jeong Eun;Lee, Jeongwoo;Jung, Yong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.439-450
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    • 2016
  • For the design of infrastructures controlling the flood events at ungauged basins, this study tries to find the regional flood frequencies using peak flow data generated by the spatial extension of flood records. The Chungju Dam watershed is selected to validate the possibility of regional flood frequency analysis using the spatially extended flood data. Firstly, based on the index flood method, the flood event data from the spatial extension method is evaluated for 22 mid/smaller sub-basins at the Chungju Dam watershed. The homogeneity of the Chungju dam watershed was assessed in terms of the different size of watershed conditions such as accumulated and individual sub-basins. Based on the result of homogeneity analysis, this watershed is heterogeneous with respect to individual sub-basins because of the heterogeneity of rainfall distribution. To decide the regional probability distribution, goodness-of fit measure and weighted moving averages method from flood frequency analysis were adopted. Finally, GEV distribution was selected as a representative distribution and regional quantile were estimated. This research is one step further method to estimate regional flood frequency for ungauged basins.

Study on Estimation and Application of the Fwl-D-F curves for Urban Basins (도시유역의 Fwl-D-F 곡선 산정 및 활용에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Hyun-Il;Kim, Eung-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.2687-2692
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    • 2010
  • There have been performed many researched for flood magnitude analysis, for example, the Flood-Duration-Frequency relations in the west. Because flood water stage data are more available rather than flood amount data at flood gauge stations of Korea, this study developed Flood water level-Duration-Frequency (Fwl-D-F) curves using rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency(I-D-F) curves for the quantitative flood risk assessment in urban watersheds. Fwl-D-F curve is made from water level data for 18 years at Joongrayng bridge station of Joongrayng River basin in Han River drainage area. Fwl-D-F curve can estimate the occurrence frequency for a certain flood elevation, which can be used for urban flood forecasting. It is expected that the flood elevation can be estimated from the forecasted rainfall data using both Fwl-D-F and I-D-F curves.

Flood Hazard Map in Woo Ee Stream Basin Using Conclusive Hydraulic Routing Model (결정론적 홍수위 추적 모형을 이용한 우이천 유역의 홍수범람도 작성)

  • Moon, Young-Il;Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Kim, Jae-Hyun;Ahn, Jae-Hyun
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.637-640
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    • 2008
  • Flood control and river improvement works are carried out every year for the defense of the flood disaster, it is impossible to avoid the damage when there is a flood exceeding the capacity of hydraulic structures. Therefore, nonstructural counter plans such as the establishment of flood hazard maps, the flood warning systems are essential with structural counter plans. In this study, analysis of the internal inundation effect using rainfall runoff model such as PC-SWMM was applied to Woo Ee experimental stream basin. Also, the design frequency analysis for effects of the external inundation was accomplished by main parameter estimation for conclusive hydraulic routing using HEC-RAS model. Finally, inundated areas for flood hazard map were estimated at Woo Ee downstream basin according to flood frequency using HEC-GeoRAS model linked by Arc View GIS.

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Evaluation of Flood Events Considering Correlation between Flood Event Attributes (홍수사상 요소의 상관성을 고려한 홍수사상의 평가)

  • Lee, Jeong Ho;Yoo, Ji Young;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.3B
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    • pp.257-267
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    • 2010
  • A flood event can be characterized by three attributes such as peak discharge, total flood volume, and flood duration, which are correlated each other. However, the amount of peak discharge is only used to evaluate the flood events for the hydrological plan and design. The univariate analysis has a limitation in describing the complex probability behavior of flood events. Thus, the univariate analysis cannot derive satisfying results in flood frequency analysis. This study proposed bivariate flood frequency analysis methods for evaluating flood events considering correlations among attributes of flood events. Parametric distributions such as Gumbel mixed model and bivariate gamma distribution, and a non-parametric model using a bivariate kernel function were introduced in this study. A time series of annual flood events were extracted from observations of inflow to the Soyang River Dam and the Daechung Dam, respectively. The joint probability distributions and return periods were derived from the relationship between the amount of peak discharge and the total volume of flood runoff. Applicabilities of bivariate flood frequency analysis were examined by comparing the return period acquired from the proposed bivariate analyses and the conventional univariate analysis.