• Title/Summary/Keyword: financial crisis

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Effects of the Instability of International Financial Market on Port Import from China in Korea (국제금융시장의 불안정성이 한국의 대중국 항만 수입에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Chang-Beom;Lee, Min-Hui
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2010
  • This paper examines the relationship between port import from China and macroeconomic variables such as international financial crisis, exchange rate, and industrial production during the period 2000-2009. I employ GPH cointegration methodology since the model must be stationary to avoid the spurious results. The empirical results show that our model is stationary as well as mean-reverting. This paper also applies impulse-response functions to get additional information regarding the responses of the port import to the shocks economic variables such as financial crisis, exchange rate, and industrial production. The results show that the response of port import to exchange rate and financial crisis declines at the first and dies out slowly.

The Relationship between Real Estate Holdings and Firm's Value : Comparisons between KOSPI and KOSDAQ Companies (부동산보유비중의 기업가치 관련성 : 코스피기업과 코스닥기업의 비교)

  • Lee, Chan-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.9 no.11
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    • pp.353-361
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze how Corporate Real Estate Ratio affects Firm's Value for KOSPI Companies and KOSDAQ Companies. The period of analysis is the period of the Financial Crisis (2007-2008), the period immediately after the Financial Crisis (2009-2011), and the period following the introduction of IFRS (2012-2016). The samples of 2761 KOSPI Companies years and 3719 KOSDAQ Companies years are used in this study. The result of Regression Analysis shows that the higher Corporate Real Estate Ratio is, the more negative Firm's Value is. In the comparison of markets, both KOSPI Companies and KOSDAQ Companies had no statistically significant effects during the Financial Crisis. Although KOSDAQ Companies had a greater negative effect on the Firm's Value than KOSPI Companies right after the Financial Crisis, KOSPI Companies have had a greater negative influence on the Firm's Value than KOSDAQ Companies since the introduction of IFRS. Therefore, each corporation should pay more attention to identifying the appropriate amount of their Corporate Real Estate Ratio and should continue to analyze and make decisions on the most efficient use of real estate which is owned by each company. This study shows speciality in dividing into three period, such as the period of the Financial Crisis, the period immediately after the Financial Crisis, and the period following the introduction of IFRS and comparing the degree of influence on the KOSPI Companies and KOSDAQ Companies for the each period. I hope to study the factors that affect the company's real estate policy.

Impacts of US Monetary Policy on Domestic Bond and FX Swap Markets (미국 통화정책이 국내 채권 및 외환스왑시장에 미치는 영향)

  • Kwon, Yongo;Kim, Mira;So, Inhwan
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-36
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    • 2021
  • Given the US dollar's status as a global safe haven, global factors, such as US monetary policy, may have considerable impacts on financial markets in other countries. Regarding such hypothesis, this paper looked at the impacts of US monetary policy on domestic bond and FX swap markets through an event study. According to our analysis, US monetary policy had significant positive impacts on domestic interest rates. In particular, it turned out to have bigger impacts on long-term products with high term premiums. By period, the correlation between US monetary policy and domestic interest rates was not significant before the financial crisis, but was clearly positive after the crisis. The US conventional monetary policy was seen to have big impacts on short-term and medium-term KTB yields, while its unconventional monetary policy had major impacts on long-term KTB yields. Moreover, FX swap rates reacted very sensitively to US monetary policy shocks before the financial crisis, while they did not show any significant reactions after the crisis. This suggests that, in line with the covered interest rate parity, the impact of US monetary policy shocks was transmitted to domestic financial markets mainly through swap rate adjustments before the global financial crisis, but through the changes in domestic interest rates during the post-crisis period.

Analysis of Sustaining Growth Factors in a Turbulent Business Environment : Case of US Companies Facing the Global Financial Crisis (변화무쌍한 환경에서의 지속성장성 결정요인분석 : 세계 금융위기 시 미국 기업을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Ho Rim;Chang, Suk-Gwon
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.55-69
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    • 2016
  • In response to drastic environmental changes, companies have been continuously rebalancing their resources and capabilities to sustain their competitive status or to survive difficult times. The aim of this study is to analyze the effect of sudden environmental changes on the competitive status of a firm and to identify the internal factors that differentiate sustainer and non-sustainer groups. To achieve this goal, we selected 85 representative IT and non-IT companies from the S&P 500 companies and investigated them with respect to the change in their five-year competitive status since the 2008 global financial crisis. As a concrete performance measure, the concept of perceived competitive status (PCS) was introduced, and four distinct PCS categories were identified by using the stock price changes during the selected period. The four distinct PCS categories are "sustaining," "drifting," "deep sunken," and "bouncing back." Discriminant analysis was performed on these four distinct PCS categories. The empirical study conducted showed that revenue and cost efficiency are the most discriminating factors, especially in the economic recovery period. In particular, stronger financial liquidity was observed in high-performing "bouncing back" companies than in the other category companies.

Exchange Rate Volatility and FDI Response during the Financial Crisis: Empirical Evidence from Vietnam

  • HUONG, Tram Thi Xuan;NGUYEN, My-Linh Thi;LIEN, Nguyen Thi Kim
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 2021
  • This study is to examine the foreign direct investment (FDI) response to real effective exchange rate volatility in Vietnam by using the vector autoregression model. The research data are quarterly frequency data in the period from 2004:Q1 to 2019:Q2. The data on real effective exchange rate were collected from the statistics of Bruegel (Europe) and FDI data were collected from the International Financial Statistics. The quantitative study was conducted with two steps: (1) measuring exchange rate volatility by the GARCH(1,1) method; and (2) examining the impact of exchange rate volatility on FDI in the context of the global financial crisis. The estimation results show that FDI responded significantly to real exchange rate volatility with the lag of 3 periods at the 5% significance level. The FDI response increased after the exchange rate volatility with the lag of 3 periods, and the impact extended to the lag of 6 periods, and then gradually stabilized. The research findings indicate that FDI in Vietnam responds positively and significantly to exchange rate volatility with the lag of 3 periods. Simultaneously, the negative impact of the global financial crisis in 2008 with the lag of 2 periods leads to a slight decrease in FDI inflows into Vietnam.

An Empirical Study on Employment during Crises in Korea (금융위기의 고용파급효과에 대한 실증분석)

  • Shin, Sukha;Cho, Dongchul
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.91-116
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    • 2012
  • This paper analyzes how the adverse impacts of the global financial crisis on Korea's employment could be mitigated in comparison with the Asian crisis period. The results from error-correction models suggest that the less severe impacts during the global financial crisis could be attributed to (i) smaller GDP reduction, (ii) better maintenance of domestic demand despite a sharp fall of export, (iii) less serious over-employment during the run-up to the crisis, and (iv) less severe credit crunch. Analyses of OECD cross-country data provide corroborating evidence. In order to mitigate adverse impacts on employment, therefore, priority should be given to expansionary macroeconomic policies to keep aggregate domestic demand from collapsing once a crisis is triggered. Also crucial, however, is to maintain sound economic structures such as flexible labor market and adequately supervised financial market.

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External Finance and Productivity Growth in Korea: Firm Level Evidence Before and After the Financial Crisis (외부금융과 기업생산성 간 관계에 대한 실증분석)

  • Ahn, Sanghoon;Hahm, Joon-Ho;Kim, Joon-Kyung
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.27-59
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    • 2008
  • This paper empirically investigates the finance-growth linkage in Korea by utilizing firm-level data of manufacturing industries before and after the 1997 financial crisis. We find that, first, an increase in external finance is associated with a faster subsequent capital accumulation of firms. However, this capital accumulation channel became relatively attenuated after the crisis. Second, the total factor productivity growth effect of external finance has been considerably weak both before and after the crisis. Third, the information production and industry restructuring effects of external finance have also remained weak after the crisis. The limited role of external finance in post-crisis Korea partially reflects sluggish corporate investment and weakening dependence of good credit firms on external finance. The evidence suggests that, in order to effectively sustain economic growth, further reform efforts may be required to strengthen resource allocation and corporate restructuring roles of financial markets and institutions.

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Exploring the Performance of Australian Construction Industry in a Recent Global Recession

  • Alfred, Olatunji Oluwole
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2011
  • Available data on the recent global financial crisis (GFC) show that it lasted between the second quarter (Q2) of 2007 and the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2009. Australia is one of the first economies to fully recover from this crisis. This study explorles the role played by the Australian construction industry in stimulating economic growth during the recession. In order to investigate the macro-variability trend during the financial crisis, data were collected and analysed relating to the quarterly GDP of Australia and selected countries between Q1 2000 and Q4 2009. Specifically, changes in the construction industry's GDP were compared with aggregate GDP changes in Australian economy and similar indices in the 'Group of 7' (G7) countries and Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. Moreover, specific attention was focused on Germany, France, Japan, United States of America (USA) and United Kingdom (UK). Graphical and Pearson's correlation methods were used to analyse the relationships between changes in construction GDP and Australia's overall economic growth during the recession. In addition, an attempt was made to develop a regression model for predicting economic growth during the recent recession using changes in gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), changes in construction GDP and the impact of these changes on national economy. Analysis shows a slight contraction in construction activities during the crisis; however construction triggered significant growth in the economy during the crisis period and afterwards. This appears to be the major difference between Australia and other major economies that have experienced a longer recession.

R&D Sustainability of Biotech Start-ups in Financial Risk

  • Fujiwara, Takao
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.625-645
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    • 2018
  • This paper's objective is to draw a decision guideline to continue research and development (R&D) investments in biotech start-ups facing the "Valley of Death" syndrome - a long negative profit period during a financial crisis. The data include financial indices as Net income, Revenues, Total stockholders' equity, Cash & equivalents, and R&D expenses of 18 major biotech companies (nine in negative profit and nine positive, in FY2008) and 15 major pharmaceutical corporations as benchmarks both in FY2008 and in FY2016 derived from the US SEC Database, EDGAR. A first methodology dealing with real options analysis assumes Total stockholders' equity as a growth option. And a second methodology, Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) analysis, is applied to test the probability relationship between the Total stockholders' equity and the R&D expenses in these three groups. This study confirms that Total stockholders' equity can play the role of a call option to support continuing R&D investments even in negative profits.

Effects of US Monetary Policy on Gross Capital Flows: Cases in Korea

  • CHOI, WOO JIN
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.59-90
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    • 2020
  • U.S. monetary policy has been claimed to generate global spillover and to destabilize other small open economies. We analyze the effects of certain identified U.S. monetary shocks on gross capital flows in the Korean economy using the local projection method. Consistent with previous results on other small open economies, we initially confirm that U.S. interest rate hikes are dynamically correlated with foreign outflows and residents' inflows. That is, not only are they correlated with withdrawals by foreigners but they are also correlated with those by domestic (Korean) investors. The results are mostly driven by portfolio flows. Second, however, the marginal response to a U.S. monetary policy shock is, on average, subdued if we focus on the sample periods after the Global financial crisis of 2007-2008 (henceforth, global financial crisis). We conjecture a possible reason behind the change, an institutional change related to financial friction. If the degree of pledgeability of the value of net worth increases, the marginal responses by both investors would drop with a U.S. monetary policy shock, consistent with our findings.