• Title/Summary/Keyword: fault prediction

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Strain demand prediction method for buried X80 steel pipelines crossing oblique-reverse faults

  • Liu, Xiaoben;Zhang, Hong;Gu, Xiaoting;Chen, Yanfei;Xia, Mengying;Wu, Kai
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.321-332
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    • 2017
  • The reverse fault is a dangerous geological hazard faced by buried steel pipelines. Permanent ground deformation along the fault trace will induce large compressive strain leading to buckling failure of the pipe. A hybrid pipe-shell element based numerical model programed by INP code supported by ABAQUS solver was proposed in this study to explore the strain performance of buried X80 steel pipeline under reverse fault displacement. Accuracy of the numerical model was validated by previous full scale experimental results. Based on this model, parametric analysis was conducted to study the effects of four main kinds of parameters, e.g., pipe parameters, fault parameters, load parameter and soil property parameters, on the strain demand. Based on 2340 peak strain results of various combinations of design parameters, a semi-empirical model for strain demand prediction of X80 pipeline at reverse fault crossings was proposed. In general, reverse faults encountered by pipelines are involved in 3D oblique reverse faults, which can be considered as a combination of reverse fault and strike-slip fault. So a compressive strain demand estimation procedure for X80 pipeline crossing oblique-reverse faults was proposed by combining the presented semi-empirical model and the previous one for compression strike-slip fault (Liu 2016). Accuracy and efficiency of this proposed method was validated by fifteen design cases faced by the Second West to East Gas pipeline. The proposed method can be directly applied to the strain based design of X80 steel pipeline crossing oblique-reverse faults, with much higher efficiency than common numerical models.

A Hybrid Soft Computing Technique for Software Fault Prediction based on Optimal Feature Extraction and Classification

  • Balaram, A.;Vasundra, S.
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.348-358
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    • 2022
  • Software fault prediction is a method to compute fault in the software sections using software properties which helps to evaluate the quality of software in terms of cost and effort. Recently, several software fault detection techniques have been proposed to classifying faulty or non-faulty. However, for such a person, and most studies have shown the power of predictive errors in their own databases, the performance of the software is not consistent. In this paper, we propose a hybrid soft computing technique for SFP based on optimal feature extraction and classification (HST-SFP). First, we introduce the bat induced butterfly optimization (BBO) algorithm for optimal feature selection among multiple features which compute the most optimal features and remove unnecessary features. Second, we develop a layered recurrent neural network (L-RNN) based classifier for predict the software faults based on their features which enhance the detection accuracy. Finally, the proposed HST-SFP technique has the more effectiveness in some sophisticated technical terms that outperform databases of probability of detection, accuracy, probability of false alarms, precision, ROC, F measure and AUC.

3-Dimensional Tunnel Analyses for the Prediction of Fault Zones (파쇄대 예측을 위한 터널의 3차원 수치해석)

  • 이인모;김돈희;이석원;박영진;안형준
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.99-112
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    • 1999
  • When there exists a fault zone ahead of the tunnel face and a tunnel is excavated without perceiving its existence, it will cause stress concentration in the region between the tunnel face and the fault zone because of the influence of the fault zone on the arching phenomena. Because the underground structure has many unreliable factors in the design stage, the prediction of a fault zone ahead of the tunnel face by monitoring plans during tunnel construction and the rapid establishment of appropriate support system are required for more economical and safer tunnel construction. Recent study shows that longitudinal displacement changes during excavation due to the change of rock property, and if longitudinal displacement and settlement, which are measured in the field, are considered together in displacement analysis, the prediction of change in rock mass property is possible. This study provided the method for the prediction of fault zones by analyzing the changes of L/C and (Ll-Lr)/C ratio (L= longitudinal displacement at crown, C = settlement at crown, Ll = longitudinal displacement at left sidewall, Lr = longitudinal displacement at right sidewall) and the stereographic projection of displacement vectors which were obtained from the 3-D numerical analysis of hybrid method in various initial stress conditions.

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Unsupervised Learning Model for Fault Prediction Using Representative Clustering Algorithms (대표적인 클러스터링 알고리즘을 사용한 비감독형 결함 예측 모델)

  • Hong, Euyseok;Park, Mikyeong
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2014
  • Most previous studies of software fault prediction model which determines the fault-proneness of input modules have focused on supervised learning model using training data set. However, Unsupervised learning model is needed in case supervised learning model cannot be applied: either past training data set is not present or even though there exists data set, current project type is changed. Building an unsupervised learning model is extremely difficult that is why only a few studies exist. In this paper, we build unsupervised models using representative clustering algorithms, EM and DBSCAN, that have not been used in prior studies and compare these models with the previous model using K-means algorithm. The results of our study show that the EM model performs slightly better than the K-means model in terms of error rate and these two models significantly outperform the DBSCAN model.

Framework Development for Fault Prediction in Hot Rolling Mill System (열간 압연 설비의 고장 예지를 위한 프레임워크 구축)

  • Son, J.D.;Yang, B.S.;Park, S.H.
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.199-205
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    • 2011
  • This paper proposes a framework to predict the mechanical fault of hot rolling mill system (HRMS). The optimum process of HRMS is usually identified by the rotating velocity of working roll. Therefore, observing the velocity of working roll is relevant to early know the HRMS condition. In this paper, we propose the framework which consists of two methods namely spectrum matrix which related to case-based fast Fourier transform(FFT) analysis, and three dimensional condition monitoring based on novel visualization. Validation of the proposed method has been conducted using vibration data acquired from HRMS by accelerometer sensors. The acquired data was also tested by developed software referred as hot rolling mill facility analysis module. The result is plausible and promising, and the developed software will be enhanced to be capable in prediction of remaining useful life of HRMS.

Fault Prediction Using Statistical and Machine Learning Methods for Improving Software Quality

  • Malhotra, Ruchika;Jain, Ankita
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.241-262
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    • 2012
  • An understanding of quality attributes is relevant for the software organization to deliver high software reliability. An empirical assessment of metrics to predict the quality attributes is essential in order to gain insight about the quality of software in the early phases of software development and to ensure corrective actions. In this paper, we predict a model to estimate fault proneness using Object Oriented CK metrics and QMOOD metrics. We apply one statistical method and six machine learning methods to predict the models. The proposed models are validated using dataset collected from Open Source software. The results are analyzed using Area Under the Curve (AUC) obtained from Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) analysis. The results show that the model predicted using the random forest and bagging methods outperformed all the other models. Hence, based on these results it is reasonable to claim that quality models have a significant relevance with Object Oriented metrics and that machine learning methods have a comparable performance with statistical methods.

A Chaos Control Method by DFC Using State Prediction

  • Miyazaki, Michio;Lee, Sang-Gu;Lee, Seong-Hoon;Akizuki, Kageo
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2003
  • The Delayed Feedback Control method (DFC) proposed by Pyragas applies an input based on the difference between the current state of the system, which is generating chaos orbits, and the $\tau$-time delayed state, and stabilizes the chaos orbit into a target. In DFC, the information about a position in the state space is unnecessary if the period of the unstable periodic orbit to stabilize is known. There exists the fault that DFC cannot stabilize the unstable periodic orbit when a linearlized system around the periodic point has an odd number property. There is the chaos control method using the prediction of the $\tau$-time future state (PDFC) proposed by Ushio et al. as the method to compensate this fault. Then, we propose a method such as improving the fault of the DFC. Namely, we combine DFC and PDFC with parameter W, which indicates the balance of both methods, not to lose each advantage. Therefore, we stabilize the state into the $\tau$ periodic orbit, and ask for the ranges of Wand gain K using Jury' method, and determine the quasi-optimum pair of (W, K) using a genetic algorithm. Finally, we apply the proposed method to a discrete-time chaotic system, and show the efficiency through some examples of numerical experiments.

A Study on the Maintainability Prediction in the Initial Design Phase between Weapon System Development (무기체계 개발간 초기 설계단계에서의 정비도 예측방안 연구)

  • Kim, Yeoungseok;Hur, Jangwok
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.824-831
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    • 2019
  • For effective development in consideration of the maintainability of the weapon system, it is necessary to understand whether the maintainability design requirements are satisfied at the early phase of development. This requires the application of an early design phase maintainability prediction process to provide opportunities for improvement. By defining the ambiguity group definition, fault isolation level, fault isolation probability, and countermeasures for faults, it was possible to predict early phase development. The MTTR of the initial design phase applying Procedure V to the artillery system was 3.46H, which is about 16 % higher than 2.98H, the MTTR using Procedure II. This is a result of system design ambiguity that has not been specified in the early phase of development.

Convergence change in a tunnel face approaching fault zones (파쇄대에 접근하는 터널의 내공변위 변화 해석)

  • Lee, In-Mo;Lee, Seung-Ju;Lee, Joo-Gong;Lee, Dae-Hyuck
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.235-245
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study is to figure out the tendency of tunnel convergence during excavation and to present a methodology for the prediction of a fault zone ahead of a tunnel face by analyzing three dimensional displacements in various ways. 3-D numerical analysis was performed to investigate changes of tunnel convergence vectors near a fault zone and to propose a flow chart for predicting fault zones. Results of the site investigation and results of trend line analysis of in-situ data were compared to verify the usefulness of a trend line analysis. It is concluded that the orientation of faults can be predicted by using stereonets and the direction of initial stresses can be predicted from the arm length of a displacement vector as a tunnel approaches fault zones. The results of the trend line analysis coincided with those of the site investigation, and a methodology for the prediction of a fault zone was proposed.

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A Study for the Prediction Method of Fault Symptoms on Distribution Feeders(I) (배전선로 고장징후 예지 시스템 개발에 관한 연구(I))

  • Shin, Jeong-Hoon;Kim, Tae-Won;Park, Seong-Taek
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.07c
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    • pp.1213-1216
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents the result of a feasibility study for the prediction method of fault symptoms on 22.9kV distribution line. In this paper, real distribution data was collected and analyzed to isolate failure signatures or parameters which were distinct behaviors before and after failure incident. A new strategy of analysis-based (event-date concept) prediction algorithm for the distribution insulators and a developed model system were also discussed.

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