• 제목/요약/키워드: failure simulation

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AAKR을 이용한 원자력 발전소 고장 패턴 추출에 관한 연구 (Study on the Extraction of Nuclear Power Plant Failure Patterns using AAKR)

  • 박기범;안홍민;강성기;채장범
    • 한국압력기기공학회 논문집
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.40-47
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we investigate the feasibility of a strategy of failure detection and identification. The point of proposed strategy includes a pattern extraction approach for failure identification using Auto-Associative Kernel Regression (AAKR). We consider a simulation data concerning 605 signals of a Generic Pressurized Water Reactor(GPWR). In the application, the reconstructions are provided by a set of AAKR models, whose input signals have been selected by Correlation Analysis(CA) for the identification of the groups. The failure pattern is extracted by analyzing the residuals of observations and reconstructions. We present the possibility of extraction of patterns for six failure.

원전 배관의 파손확률평가를 위한 P-PIE 프로그램의 개발 (Development of P-PIE Program for Evaluating Failure Probability of Pipes in Nuclear Power Plants)

  • 박재학;이재봉;최영환
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2010
  • P-PIE program is developed for evaluating failure probability of pipes in nuclear power plants based on the existing PRAISE program. In the program, crack growth due to fatigue loading and stress corrosion can be considered and the probability of fracture or leakage of pipes can be calculated. Crack growth simulation is performed based on stress intensity factor and a damage parameter and failure of a pipe is determined based on J integral or net section yielding. Using the developed program the failure probabilities of tubes in a domestic nuclear power is obtained and discussed.

Parameters estimation of the generalized linear failure rate distribution using simulated annealing algorithm

  • Sarhan, Ammar M.;Karawia, A.A.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.91-104
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    • 2012
  • Sarhan and Kundu (2009) introduced a new distribution named as the generalized linear failure rate distribution. This distribution generalizes several well known distributions. The probability density function of the generalized linear failure rate distribution can be right skewed or unimodal and its hazard function can be increasing, decreasing or bathtub shaped. This distribution can be used quite effectively to analyze lifetime data in place of linear failure rate, generalized exponential and generalized Rayleigh distributions. In this paper, we apply the simulated annealing algorithm to obtain the maximum likelihood point estimates of the parameters of the generalized linear failure rate distribution. Simulated annealing algorithm can not only find the global optimum; it is also less likely to fail because it is a very robust algorithm. The estimators obtained using simulated annealing algorithm have been compared with the corresponding traditional maximum likelihood estimators for their risks.

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System-Level Vulnerability Analysis for Commutation Failure Mitigation in Multi-infeed HVDC Systems

  • Yoon, Minhan;Jang, Gilsoo
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.1052-1059
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    • 2018
  • This paper deals with commutation failure of the line-commutated converter high voltage direct current (LCC HVDC) system caused by a three phase fault in the ac power system. An analytic calculation method is proposed to estimate the maximum permissible voltage drop at the LCC HVDC station on various operating point and to assess the area of vulnerability for commutation failure (AOV-CF) in the power system based on the residual phase voltage equation. The concept is extended to multi-infeed HVDC power system as the area of severity for simultaneous commutation failure (AOS-CF). In addition, this paper presents the implementation of a shunt compensator applying to the proposed method. An analysis and simulation have been performed with the IEEE 57 bus sample power system and the Jeju island power system in Korea.

지하공간 건설에 따른 굴착전면의 파괴모드 (Heading Failure Modes during Underground Excavation)

  • 권오엽;조재완;신종호;최용기;신용석
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2005년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.409-416
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    • 2005
  • Design analysis for underground spaces requires evaluating stability related to tunnel collapses. A failure mode is one of the critical factors in the conventional methods of stability analysis. Therefore identification of failure modes is essential in securing safe construction in the phase of design analysis, instrumentation planning and implementation of reinforcing measures. In this study failure modes at the tunnel heading in granular soils are investigated using physical model tests and numerical simulation for various tunnel depths and ground surface inclinations. Test results indicated that the effect of depth and inclination of ground surface on a failure mode are significant. It is identified that, with an incase in depth, failure modes become localized in a region close to the tunnel. It is also known that an increase in the inclination of ground surface results in inclined and wide failure modes.

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ARIMA AR(1) 모형을 이용한 소프트웨어 미래 고장 시간 예측에 관한 연구 (The Study for Software Future Forecasting Failure Time Using ARIMA AR(1))

  • 김희철;신현철
    • 융합보안논문지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2008
  • 소트프웨어 고장 시간은 테스팅 시간과 관계없이 일정하거나, 단조 증가 혹은 단조 감소 추세를 가지고 있다. 이러한 소프트웨어 신뢰모형들을 분석하기 위한 자료척도로 자료에 대한 추세 검정이 개발되어 있다. 추세 분석에는 산술평균 검정과 라플라스 추세 검정 등이 있다. 추세분석들은 전체적인 자료의 개요의 정보만 제공한다. 본 논문에서는 고장시간을 측정하다가 시간절단이 될 경우에 미래의 고장 시간 예측에 관하여 연구되었다. 고장 시간 예측에 사용된 고장시간자료는 소프트웨어 고장 시간 분포에 널리 사용되는 와이블 분포에서 형상모수가 1이고 척도모수가 0.5를 가진 난수를 발생된 모의 자료를 이용 하였다. 이 자료를 이용하여 시계열 분석에 이용되는 ARIMA 모형 중에서 AR(1) 모형과 모의실험을 통한 예측 방법을 제안하였다. 이 방법에서 ARIMA 모형을 이용한 예측방법이 효율적임을 입증 하였다.

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A Study on Rainfall Induced Slope Failures: Implications for Various Steep Slope Inclinations

  • Do, Xuan Khanh;Jung, Kwansue;Lee, Giha;Regmi, Ram Krishna
    • 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.5-16
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    • 2016
  • A rainfall induced slope failure is a common natural hazard in mountainous areas worldwide. Sudden and rapid failures which have a high possibility of occurrence in a steep slope are always the most dangerous due to their suddenness and high velocities. Based on a series of experiments this study aimed to determine a critical angle which could be considered as an approximate threshold for a sudden failure. The experiments were performed using 0.42 mm mean grain size sand in a 200 cm long, 60 cm wide and 50 cm deep rectangular flume. A numerical model was created by integrating a 2D seepage flow model and a 2D slope stability analysis model to predict the failure surface and the time of occurrence. The results showed that, the failure mode for the entire material will be sudden for slopes greater than $67^{\circ}$; in contrast the failure mode becomes retrogressive. There is no clear link between the degree of saturation and the mode of failure. The simulation results in considering matric suction showed good matching with the results obtained from experiment. A subsequent discarding of the matric suction effect in calculating safety factors will result in a deeper predicted failure surface and an incorrect predicted time of occurrence.

Structural system reliability-based design optimization considering fatigue limit state

  • Nophi Ian D. Biton;Young-Joo Lee
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.177-188
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    • 2024
  • The fatigue-induced sequential failure of a structure having structural redundancy requires system-level analysis to account for stress redistribution. System reliability-based design optimization (SRBDO) for preventing fatigue-initiated structural failure is numerically costly owing to the inclusion of probabilistic constraints. This study incorporates the Branch-and-Bound method employing system reliability Bounds (termed the B3 method), a failure-path structural system reliability analysis approach, with a metaheuristic optimization algorithm, namely grey wolf optimization (GWO), to obtain the optimal design of structures under fatigue-induced system failure. To further improve the efficiency of this new optimization framework, an additional bounding rule is proposed in the context of SRBDO against fatigue using the B3 method. To demonstrate the proposed method, it is applied to complex problems, a multilayer Daniels system and a three-dimensional tripod jacket structure. The system failure probability of the optimal design is confirmed to be below the target threshold and verified using Monte Carlo simulation. At earlier stages of the optimization, a smaller number of limit-state function evaluation is required, which increases the efficiency. In addition, the proposed method can allocate limited materials throughout the structure optimally so that the optimally-designed structure has a relatively large number of failure paths with similar failure probability.

FracSys와 UDEC을 이용한 사면 파괴 양상 분석 통계적 절리망 생성 기법 및 Monte Carlo Simulation을 통한 사면 안정성 해석

  • 김태희;최재원;윤운상;김춘식
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2002년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.651-656
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    • 2002
  • In general, the most important problem in slope stability analysis is that there is no definite way to describe the natural three-dimensional Joint network. Therefore, the many approaches were tried to anlayze the slope stability. Numerical modeling approach is one of the branch to resolve the complexity of natural system. UDEC, FLAC, and SWEDGE are widely used commercial code for the purpose on stability analysis. For the purpose on the more appropriate application of these kind of code, however, three-dimensional distribution of joint network must be identified in more explicit way. Remaining problem is to definitely describe the three dimensional network of joint and bedding, but it is almost impossible in practical sense. Three dimensional joint generation method with random number generation and the results of generation to UDEC have been applied to settle the refered problems in field site. However, this approach also has a important problem, and it is that joint network is generated only once. This problem lead to the limitation on the application to field case, in practical sense. To get rid of this limitation, Monte Carlo Simulation is proposed in this study 1) statistical analysis of input values and definition of the applied system with statistical parameter, 2) instead of the consideration of generated network as a real system, generated system is just taken as one reliable system, 3) present the design parameters, through the statistical analysis of ouput values Results of this study are not only the probability of failure, but also area of failure block, shear strength, normal strength and failure pattern, and all of these results are described in statistical parameters. The results of this study, shear strength, failure area, pattern etc, can provide the direct basement on the design, cutoff angle, support pattern, support strength and etc.

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수중 배터리 추진시스템 효과도 시뮬레이션에 관한 연구 (A System Effectiveness Simulation Model for Underwater Battery Propulsion Systems)

  • 고용석;윤원영
    • 산업공학
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, a simulation model is proposed to evaluate the system effectiveness of underwater battery propulsion systems which consist of motors, main switchboard, generators and batteries. The various operating environments such as emergency situations, equipment's failure and repair, and system performance degradation due to equipment's failures affect the system effectiveness and the environment elements are considered as the input parameters in the simulation model. Some simulation results with estimated data are studied.

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