• 응용통계연구
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• 제37권2호
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• pp.255-263
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• 2024

GDP는 한 나라의 가계, 기업, 정부 등 모든 경제 주체가 일정 기간 동안 창출한 재화와 서비스의 시장 가치의 합을 나타낸다. GDP를 통하여 국가의 경제 규모를 파악할 수 있으며, 정부의 정책 방향에 영향을 미치는 대표적인 경제 지표이므로 이에 대한 연구가 다양하게 이루어지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 G20 국가들의 주요 거시경제 지표를 활용하여 dynamic factor model 기반의 GDP 성장률 예측 모델을 제시하였다. 추출된 factor를 다양한 회귀분석 방법론과 결합하여 그 결과들을 비교하였으며, 기존의 전통적인 시계열 예측방법인 ARIMA 모델, common component를 이용한 예측 등도 함께 비교하였다. COVID 이후 지표의 변동성이 큰 점을 고려하여 예측 시기를 COVID 전후로 나누었으며, 그 결과 factor에 대해 ridge regression과 lasso regression을 적용하여 예측한 경우 가장 좋은 성능을 나타내었다.

• Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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• 제18권10호
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• pp.1849-1858
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• 2004

For examining friction-factor characteristics of round-hole pattern surfaces which are usually applied on damper seals, flat plate test apparatus is designed and fabricated. The measurement method of leakage and pressure distribution along round-hole pattern specimen with different hole area is described and a method for determining the Fanning friction factor is discussed. Results show that the round-hole pattern surfaces provide a much larger friction factor than smooth surface, and the friction factor vs. clearance behavior yields that the friction factor generally decreases as the clearance increases unlike the results of Nava's flat plate test. As the hole depth is decreased, the friction factor is increased, and maximum friction factor is obtained for 50% of hole area. Since the present experimental friction factor results show coincident characteristics with Moody's friction factor model, empirical friction factors for round-hole pattern surfaces are obtained by using the Moody's formula based on curve-fit of the experimental data. Results of Villasmil's 2D CFD simulation support the present experimental test result.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.29-42
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• 1996

Among trip distribution models, The BPR type Gravity Model is the one which is the most widely used. The key issue associated with this model is a functional form of friction factor which should be calibrated in the process, and interpretation for socioeconomic factor known as K-factor(Kij) which is used to adjust the difference between observed zone-to-zone trips and the estimated trips. In this study, the BPR type Gravity Model has been fitted to 1990 O/D data for Seoul. Two type of function form for friction factor has been employed : one is a form of Generalized function and the orther is UTP function. With above two function, the parameters for travel distance(Skin-tree) are prepared. The relationship between socioeconomic factor and trips is identified by calculating and analyzing the characteristics of Kij. Consequently, both of the friction factor functions are statistically signified. However, it show an overestimation tendency when estimated with UTP function. It is found that the Generalized function is suitable for the city of Seoul, and also, in case there are a lot of trips correlatively, the socioeconomic factor is close to 1, on the other hand if it's small, it shows a bias which is dispersed around 1.

• 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국소음진동공학회 2013년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.528-532
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• 2013

본 연구에서는, 해석적 모델로 불규칙하게 분포된 질량을 가진 열탄성 댐핑을 포함하는 마이크로빔 구조물을 연구하였다. 마이크로 스케일의 기계적 공명체(mechanical resonator)에 대한 열탄성 댐핑의 중요성은 높은 Q-factor를 설계하는데 고려된다. 본 연구에서의 빔 모델은 Euler-Bernoulli 빔 이론을 기조로 한다. 빔의 고유 진동수를 결정하기 위하여, 에너지 기법이 적용되었다. 또한, 열탄성 댐핑 효과는 열전도 방정식을 사용할으로써 고려되었고, Q-factor가 결정될 수 있었다. 운동방정식의 유도에는 체계적인 무차원화를 수행하였다. 임의의 집중된 질량을 포함하는 열탄성 댐핑을 가진 마이크로빔에 대해 모델의 결과값을 입증하였고 mode shape과 Q-factor를 제시하였다.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.335-349
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• 2003

본 논문에서는 포아송분포 대 음이항분포, 그리고 정규분포, 이중지 수분포 대 코쉬분포에 대한 모형선택을 위하여 베이지안 방법을 사용한다. 각 모수에 대한 사전분포로는 무정보 부적절 사전분포의 가정 하에, 베이지안 모형선택을 위하여 O'Hagan (1995)의 부분적 베 이즈요인을 이용하였다. 실제자료와 모의 실험 자료의 분석을 통하여 부분적 베이즈요인의 유용성을 Berger와 Pericchi (1996, 1998)의 내재적 베이즈요인들과 함께 비교 검토해 본다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제35권1호
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• pp.57-65
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• 2012

The relationship between product quality/function and customer satisfaction has been considered an important point for the new product development. The seminal paper by Kano was the first to thoroughly address the non-linear relationship between product performance/function and customer satisfaction. In the analysis framework of the original Kano model, five factors are assumed, among which indifference factor occupies 40% in the classification scheme. When we analyze survey response using Kano model, many quality attributes can be resulted in indifference factor. This implies that some attributes which are meaningful tend to be classified as indifferent attributes for the customer satisfaction. In order to tackle this problem, a modified Kano model is proposed by reducing the indifference factor. The modified Kano model can be robust for the survey response. A survey is performed for the quality attributes of the smart phone. The response is analyzed and compared based on the original and modified Kano model. The surveyed quality characteristics of the smart phone are performance related attributes, application programs, functional attributes and subjective emotional quality attributes. Many quality attributes classified as indifference factor in the original model are classified as attractive, must-be, and expected factors, respectively.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산구조공학회 2002년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.354-361
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• 2002

This paper propose section properties factor to generate stress history for fatigue analysis and safety inspection of steel bridge. A methodology is described for the computation of numerical stress histories in the steel truss bridge, caused by the vehicles using section properties factor. The global 3-D beam model of bridge is combined with the local shell model of selected details. Joint geometry is introduced by the local shell model. The global beam model takes the effects of joint rigidity and interaction of structural elements into account. Connection nodes in the global beam model correspond to the end cross-section centroids of the local shell model. Their displacements are interpreted as imposed deformations on the local shell model. The load cases fur the global model simulate the vertical unit force along the stringers. The load cases fer the local model are imposed unit deformations. Combining these, and applying vehicle loads, numerical stress histories are obtained. The method is illustrated by test load results of an existing bridge.

• 한국정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정보시스템학회 1997년도 춘계학술대회논문집 지역정보단지 조성과정보기술의 활용
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• pp.271-285
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• 1997

This paper address the issues of satisfaction factors to measure the service quality in computer communication service users. In order to develope a satisfaction factors' model, we study appropriate quality factors of the service through the focus group interviews with service users, and surveys the quality levels that users have felt in services. It also analyzes the relationship between the user's quality level and the quality factors by the statistical analyses. Based on the optimal regression model, we suggest an appropriate satisfaction model in PC communication service areas. That model shows that most users are interested in the fare for use. Use-fare factor is the most powerful one to the satisfaction model. Second one is usefulness, next is correctness. But connect-status factor is the only negative one. Most users think that its factor is in the way of fluent communication. So to keep the competitiveness in the PC communication service, the sixth negative factor should be modified as soon as possible.

• Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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• 제15권9호
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• pp.1319-1327
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• 2001

The results of stand and field testing of a combustion chamber for a heavy-duty 150 MW gas turbine are discussed. The model represented one of 14 identical segments of a tubular multican combustor constructed 1:1 scale. The model experiments were executed at a lower pressure than that in a real gas turbine. Combustion efficiency, pressure loss factor, pattern factor, liner wall temperature, flame radiation, fluctuating pressure and NOx emission were measured at partial and full loads for both model and on-site testing. The comparison of these items in the stand and field test results led to has the development of a method of calculation and the improvement of gas turbine combustors.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.1391-1396
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• 2008

In this paper, we consider two components system which the lifetimes have Marshall and Olkin's bivariate exponential model with bivariate type I censored data. We propose a Bayesian independent test procedure for above model using fractional Bayes factor method by O'Hagan based on improper prior distributions. And we compute the fractional Bayes factor and the posterior probabilities for the hypotheses, respectively. Also we select a hypothesis which has the largest posterior probability. Finally a numerical example is given to illustrate our Bayesian testing procedure.