• Title/Summary/Keyword: extreme events

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Synoptic Environment Associated with Extreme Heavy Snowfall Events in the Yeongdong Region (영동 지역의 극한 대설 사례와 관련된 종관 환경)

  • Kwon, Tae-Yong;Cho, Young-Jun;Seo, Dong-Hee;Choi, Man-Gyu;Han, Sang-Ok
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.343-364
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    • 2014
  • This study presents local and synoptic conditions associated with extreme heavy snowfall events in the Yeongdong region, as well as the temporal and spatial variability of these conditions. During the last 12 years (2001~2012), 3 extreme snowfall events occurred in the Yeongdong region, which recorded daily snowfall greater than 50 cm, respectively. In these events, one of the noticeable features is the occurrence of heavy hourly snowfall greater than 10 cm. It was reported from satellite analysis that these heavy snowfall may be closely related to mesoscale convective clouds. In this paper the 3 extreme events are examined on their synoptic environments associated with the developments of mesoscale convective system using numerical model output. These 3 events all occurred in strongly forced synoptic environments where 500 and 300 hPa troughs and 500 hPa thermal troughs were evident. From the analysis of diagnostic variables, it was found in all 3 events that absolute vorticity and cold air advection were dominant in the Yeongdong region and its surrounding sea at upper levels, especially at around 500 hPa (absolute vorticity: $20{\sim}60{\times}10^{-5}s^{-1}$, cold air advection: $-10{\sim}-20^{\circ}C$ $12hr^{-1}$). Moreover, the spatial distributions of cold advection showed mostly the shape of a narrow band along the eastern coast of Korea. These features of absolute vorticity and cold advection at 500 hPa were sustained for about 10 hours before the occurrence of maximum hourly snowfall.

Exploring Near-Future Potential Extreme Events(X-Events) in the Field of Science and Technology -With a Focus on Government Emergency Planning Officers FGI Results -

  • Sang-Keun Cho;Jong-Hoon Kim;Ki-Woon Kim;In-Chan Kim;Myung-Sook Hong;Jun-Chul Song;Sang-Hyuk Park
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.310-316
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to predict uncertain future scenarios that may unfold in South Korea in the near future, utilizing the theory of extreme events(X-events). A group of 32 experts, consisting of government emergency planning officers, was selected as the focus group to achieve this objective. Using the Focus Group Interview (FGI) technique, opinions were gathered from this focus group regarding potential X-events that may occur within the advanced science and technology domains over the next 10 years. The analysis of these opinions revealed that government emergency planning officers regarded the "Obsolescence of current technology and systems," particularly in the context of cyber network paralysis as the most plausible X-event within science and technology. They also put forth challenging and intricate opinions, including the emergence of new weapon systems and ethical concerns associated with artificial intelligence (AI). Given that X-events are more likely to emerge in unanticipated areas rather than those that are widely predicted, the results obtained from this study carry significant importance. However, it's important to note that this study is grounded in a limited group of experts, highlighting the necessity for subsequent research involving a more extensive group of experts. This research seeks to stimulate studies on extreme events at a national level and contribute to the preparation for future X-event predictions and strategies for addressing them.

Spatio-Temporal Changes in Seasonal Extreme Temperature Events in the Republic of Korea (우리나라 사계절 극한기온현상의 시.공간적 변화)

  • Choi, Gwangyong
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.489-508
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to clarify the spatio-temporal patterns of changes in seasonal extreme temperature events in the Republic of Korea based on daily maximum and minimum temperature data sets observed at 61 weather stations for the recent 40 year period (1973~2012). According to analysis of regional average data, in spring increases of warm days are most distinct, while in summer reductions of cool nights and increases of warm nights are most noticeable. The similar patterns to those in summer are observed in fall, while in winter reductions of cool days and nights are notable. Regardless of the magnitude of urbanization, changes in nighttime extreme temperature events prevail in transitional periods between seasons, while those in daytime extreme temperature events do so only in particular months. In contrast, cool days in spring and summer, warm days in summer and warm nights in winter do not show any statistically-significant changes at most of stations. The sensitivity of seasonal extreme temperature events to increases of seasonal average extreme temperature is greatest in the case of warm days ($+6.3days/^{\circ}C$) and cool nights ($-6.2days/^{\circ}C$) in spring, warm nights ($+10.4days/^{\circ}C$) and days ($+9.5days/^{\circ}C$) in summer, warm days ($+7.7days/^{\circ}C$) in fall, and cool nights ($-4.7/^{\circ}C$) in winter, respectively. These results indicate that changes in seasonal extreme temperature events and their sensitivity to changes in seasonal climate means under a warmer climate are occurring with seasonally and diurnally asymmetric magnitudes in Korea due to complex climate feedbacks.

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Meteorological Disasters and Prevention Measures (기상재해와 대책)

  • Park, Gwan-Yeong
    • Journal of the Korean Professional Engineers Association
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.43-46
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    • 2008
  • The extreme weather events have increased around the world this century. One of the main reasons of frequent occurrence is the change of atmospheric circulation by El nino. also Korea Peninsular is not exception. The 97 % of death toll and 89 % of property loss of total are related with extreme-weather events for the last 10 years. for example the heavy rainfall (1998-4999) and Typhoon Rusa and Mamie. In spite of the percent of death toll by extreme-weather disaster is increasing and the total population is growing. but the number of death toll from natural disasters is decreasing. It shows that the loss of property and life can be minimize by preparing the proper disaster prevention measures. There are several preparations to reduce the damage by extreme-weather events: Public facilities have overall check up, to recognize the weather alert, the awareness of the escape route and the art of measures

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Some recent extreme wind events in New Zealand

  • Turner, R.;Revell, M.;Reese, S.;Moore, S.;Reid, S.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.163-176
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    • 2012
  • Damaging winds, associated with a variety of weather phenomena, are frequently experienced in New Zealand. Observations and modelling of two recent extreme wind events; the Taranaki tornado outbreak of July 2007, and the Greymouth down-slope easterly wind storm of July 2008 are described in detail here. Post-event engineering damage surveys, rare for New Zealand, were done for these storms and the results are summarized here. Finally, the issue of sampling extreme wind events is raised and the need to include detailed numerical modelling analysis to understand wind gust climatologies at observing sites and extending these to wider regions is discussed.

Development of a human reliability analysis (HRA) guide for qualitative analysis with emphasis on narratives and models for tasks in extreme conditions

  • Kirimoto, Yukihiro;Hirotsu, Yuko;Nonose, Kohei;Sasou, Kunihide
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.376-385
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    • 2021
  • Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) has improved its elemental technologies used for assessing external events since the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station Accident in 2011. HRA needs to be improved for analyzing tasks performed under extreme conditions (e.g., different actors responding to external events or performing operations using portable mitigation equipment). To make these improvements, it is essential to understand plant-specific and scenario-specific conditions that affect human performance. The Nuclear Risk Research Center (NRRC) of the Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry (CRIEPI) has developed an HRA guide that compiles qualitative analysis methods for collecting plant-specific and scenario-specific conditions that affect human performance into "narratives," reflecting the latest research trends, and models for analysis of tasks under extreme conditions.

A Study on the Occurrence Characteristics of Tropical Night Day and Extreme Heat Day in the Metropolitan City, Korea (한반도 대도시의 폭염 및 열대야 발생 특성에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Byul;Park, Jong-Kil;Jung, Woo-Sik
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.873-885
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    • 2014
  • To identify the characteristics of extreme heat events and tropical nights in major cities, the correlations between automated synoptic observing station (ASOS), automatic weather station (AWS), and temperature in seven metropolitan areas were analyzed. Temperatures at ASOS were found to be useful sources of the reference temperature of each area. To set the standard for identifying dates of extreme heat events in relation to regional topography and the natural environment, the monthly and yearly frequency of extreme heat in each region was examined, based on the standards for extreme heat day (EHD), tropical night day (TND), and extreme heat and tropical night day (ETD). All three cases identified 1994 as the year with the most frequent heat waves. The frequency was low according to all three cases in 1993, 2003 and 2009. Meanwhile, the yearly rate of increase was the highest in 1994, followed by 2010 and 2004, indicating that the frequency of extreme heat changed significantly between 1993 and 1994, 2003 and 2004, and 2009 and 2010. Therefore all three indexes can be used as a standard for high temperature events. According to monthly frequency data for EHD, TND, and ETD, July and August accounted for 80% or more of the extreme heat of the entire year.

Synoptic Climatic Patterns for Winter Extreme Low Temperature Events in the Republic of Korea (우리나라 겨울철 극한저온현상 발생 시 종관 기후 패턴)

  • Choi, Gwangyong;Kim, Junsu
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2015
  • The present study aims to characterize the synoptic climatic patterns of winter extreme low temperature events occurred in different regions of Korea based on daily temperature data observed at 61 weather stations under the supervision of the Korea Meteorological Administation and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis I data for the recent 40 years (1973~2012) period. Analyses of daily maximum and minimum temperatures below 10th percentile thresholds show that high frequencies of winter extreme low temperature events appear across the entire regions of Korea or in either the western or eastern half region divided by major mountain ridges at the 2~7 dayintervals particularly in the first half of the winter period (before mid-January). Composite analyses of surface synoptic climatic data including sea level pressure and wind vector reveal that 13 regional types of winter extreme low temperature events in Korea are closely associated with the relative location and intensity of both the Siberian high pressure and the Aleutian low pressure systems as well as major mountain ridges. Investigations of mid-troposphere (500 hPa) synoptic climatic charts demonstrate that the blocking-like upper troposphere low pressure system advecting the cold air from the Arctic toward the Korean Peninsula may provide favorable synoptic conditions for the outbreaks of winter extreme low temperature events in Korea. These results indicate that the monitoring of synoptic scale climatic systems in East Asia including the Siberian high pressure system, the Aleutian low pressure system and upper level blocking system is critical to the improvement of the predictability of winter extreme low temperature events in Korea.

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Record-breaking High Temperature in July 2021 over East Sea and Possible Mechanism (2021년 7월 동해에서 발생한 극한 고온현상과 기작)

  • Lee, Kang-Jin;Kwon, MinHo;Kang, Hyoun-Woo
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2022
  • As climate change due to global warming continues to be accelerated, various extreme events become more intense, more likely to occur and longer-lasting on a much larger scale. Recent studies show that global warming acts as the primary driver of extreme events and that heat-related extreme events should be attributed to anthropogenic global warming. Among them, both terrestrial and marine heat waves are great concerns for human beings as well as ecosystems. Taking place around the world, one of those events appeared over East Sea in July 2021 with record-breaking high temperature. Meanwhile, climate condition around East Sea was favorable for anomalous warming with less total cloud cover, more incoming solar radiation, and shorter period of Changma rainfall. According to the results of wave activity flux analysis, highly activated meridional mode of teleconnection that links western North Pacific to East Asia caused localized warming over East Sea to become stronger.

The Recent Increase in the Heavy Rainfall Events in August over the Korean Peninsula

  • Cha, Eun-Jeong;Kimoto, Masahide;Lee, Eun-Jeong;Jhun, Jong-Ghap
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.585-597
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    • 2007
  • The characteristics of the rainfall events on the Korean peninsula have been investigated by means of regional and global observational data collected from 1954 to 2004 with an emphasis on extreme cases $80\;mm\;day^{-1}$. According to our analysis, long-term annual rainfall anomalies show an increasing trend. This trend is pronounced in the month of August, when both the amount of monthly rainfall and the frequency of extreme events increase significantly. Composite maps on August during the 8 wet years reveal warm SST anomalies over the eastern Philippine Sea which are associated with enhanced convection and vertical motion and intensified positive SLP over central Eurasia during August. The rainfall pattern suggests that the most significant increase in moisture supply over the southern parts of China and Korea in August is associated with positive SLP changes over Eurasia and negative SLP changes over the subtropical western Pacific off the east coast of south China. The frequent generation of typhoons over the warm eastern Philippine Sea and their tracks appear to influence the extreme rainfall events in Korea during the month of August. The typhoons in August mainly passed the western coast of Korea, resulting in the frequent occurrence of extreme rainfall events in this region. Furthermore, anomalous cyclonic circulations over the eastern Philippine Sea also promoted the generation of tropical cyclones. The position of pressure systems - positive SLP over Eurasia and negative SLP over the subtropical Pacific - in turn provided a pathway for typhoons. The moisture is then effectively transported further north toward Korea and east toward the southern parts of China during the extreme rainfall period.