• Title/Summary/Keyword: expert decision

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A Study of Factors Influencing Delivery Methods Selection on Public Construction Projects (공공공사 발주방식 선정에 영향을 미치는 요인 연구)

  • Kim, Dae-gil;Lee, Ung-Kyun;Lee, Hak-Joo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2014.11a
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    • pp.218-219
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    • 2014
  • The selection of an appropriate contract method is vital for the successful operation of the project. However, there has been a lack of studies on objective decision making support models for use in the planning stage of a project contract. The present study had the goal of analyzing the factors that influence contract method selection, as an initial study for developing a project contract method selection model. The existing related studies were analyzed, and the factors considered in the literature were selected. Then, based on the findings, the opinions of an expert group on the important factors for contract method selection were collected through a survey. The collected opinions were analyzed using factor analysis, a statistical analysis method. The results will be utilized in the future as preliminary data for developing a decision making model for selecting a contract method.

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State Evaluation of RC Bridge Girders by Inductive Case Learning (귀납적 사례학습에 의한 RC교량 주형의 상태평가)

  • 안승수;김기현;박광림;황진하
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.159-165
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    • 2000
  • A new state evaluation approach for structural safety is presented in this study. To reduce the subjectivity of the view and judgement of each expert founded on a limited body of knowledge in cognitive and inferential process of safety assessment, we introduced inductive learning method in AI. Inductive learning derives generalization from experiences. Decision tree induction algorithm analyzes the domain knowledge, produce rules via decision trees and then allow us to determine the classification of an object from case examples. The training set of state evaluation is constructed according to the selected attributes from working reports of RC bridge girders.

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The Efficiency Analysis for DMU Using the Integration Method of DEA and AHP (DEA와 AHP 기법이 결합된 DMU의 효율성 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Sung;Cho, Nam-Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2006
  • This study proposes a new approach which combines Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA) and the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) techniques to effectively evaluate Decision Making Units(DMUs). While DEA evaluates a quantitative data set, employs linear programming to obtain input and output weights and ranks the performance of DMUs, AHP evaluates the qualitative data retrieved from expert opinions and other managerial information in specifying weights. The objective of this research is to design a decision support process for managers to incorporate positive aspects of DEA's absolute numerical evaluations and AHP's human preference structure values. It is believed that a pragmatic manager will be more receptive to the results that include subjective opinions incorporated into the evaluation of the efficiency of each DMU efficiency. The WPDEA method provides better discrimination than the DEA method by reducing the number of efficient units.

Design of Decision Supporting Expert System with CPOF Decision Model (CPOF 의사결정 모델을 이용한 의사결정지원 전문가 시스템 설계)

  • Kang Dong-Su;Yoon Hee-Byung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2006.06b
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    • pp.166-168
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    • 2006
  • 현대전에서 보여지는 전쟁의 형태는 단기속결전으로 빠른 의사결정을 요구한다. 이러한 의사결정의 합리성과 객관성을 높이기 위해 선진국들은 의사결정 시스템을 제공하여 지휘관의 의사 결정을 돕고 있다. 본 논문은 이러한 임무수행 중 의사결정에 도움을 주기 위해 전문가 시스템을 이용한 의사결정지원 전문가시스템을 개념적으로 설계한다. 이를 위해 먼저 미군에서 널리 사용되고 있는 CPOF 의사결정 모델을 임무중심의 의사결정 모델로 전환하여 IDEFO 표기법을 사용하여 제시한다. 그리고 변경된 의사결정 모델 프로세스에 전문가시스템을 적용하여 의사결정지원 전문가시스템을 개념적으로 설계한다.

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Network Security Situation Assessment Method Based on Markov Game Model

  • Li, Xi;Lu, Yu;Liu, Sen;Nie, Wei
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.2414-2428
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    • 2018
  • In order to solve the problem that the current network security situation assessment methods just focus on the attack behaviors, this paper proposes a kind of network security situation assessment method based on Markov Decision Process and Game theory. The method takes the Markov Game model as the core, and uses the 4 levels data fusion to realize the evaluation of the network security situation. In this process, the Nash equilibrium point of the game is used to determine the impact on the network security. Experiments show that the results of this method are basically consistent with the expert evaluation data. As the method takes full account of the interaction between the attackers and defenders, it is closer to reality, and can accurately assess network security situation.

Build up management mind of the construction expert engineer (건설전문기술자의 경영마인드 정립에 관한 연구)

  • Chun, Jin-Ku;Kim, Byeong-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.3 s.31
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2006
  • This study aims need set of mind to construction manager built a theory logic conceive decision making system and principles designed to create the administrative procedures that a company needs to integrate management and environmental concerns into its daily business practices. Integrate considerations of risk reduction and wise resource management into daily business decision making environmental that includes performance and cost. Seek to make better Dynamic time solutions that promote competitiveness set of management mind provide business with tools and methodologies management participation, psychology, philosophy effects of resource flows. A last of understand use of the decision making element principal as a guideline for evaluating and ranking approaches. The result of this study are summarized as follows; (1) setting for approach decision making of manager police, (2) dynamic of time and management mind (3) a primary factor out environment to decision making (4) methodologies of set up system for management mind (5) expectation effect of management mind.

THE STUDY OF SPATIAL DECISION-MAKING ABOUT AREAS THAT LAND- SPECULATION CAN BE ARISE -In the base of fluctuations in land prices & land trade data (토지 투기 발생 가능 지역에 대한 공간적 의사 결정 지원에 관한 연구 - 지가변동과 토지거래 자료를 바탕으로)

  • 김현숙
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.500-509
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    • 2003
  • A land-speculation is to occur on a space. A purpose of this study interprets land speculation in a viewpoint of spatial, and to carry out effective decision-making about areas that land-speculation can be arise At the time of this, the focus of spatial interpretation Is recognition of a spatial continuity and consideration of a spatial association. In this study, I used fuzzy sets in order to recognize spatial continuity and. therefore a value in 0-1 was granted all area. And in order to consider spatial associations. carried out a local spatial association (Local Moran's I). Also. I introduced the spatial expert support systems (SESS) one of the computer-based decision support systems to dr efficient decision-making about a land-speculation in an object area. After that, as a case study I carried out decision-making about land-speculation's occurrence in the Seoul-Kyeonggi (2/4 quarter in 2001)

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A Study on the Subject Selection of VE Using Decision Weights Techniques (VE 대상선정을 위한 평가항목의 가중치결정방법에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Dong-Jin;Sin, Byung-Yoon;Jeong, Yong-Sik;Lee, Sang-Beom
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.5 no.3 s.17
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2005
  • Was used at step space-time mainly after VE technique sponsors in domestic in the 1960s but have been expanded to design step recently. Possibility of value elevation or cost reduction must choose member that is effectively for active and effective application of VE technique. In this study, when enforce design VE examining for weight decision corrosion protection been using in weight grant composition estimation technique, target choice process wishes to suggest formality and method that can be achieved effectively Main conclusion of this study sorts valuation items step by step for weight appropriation of valuation basis and give point on article of high position point after expert which employer is included estimates article by low rank step and this presented high position method that do union item by item and establishes by item weight. Did these techniques for giving weights so that importance for weight appropriation developed estimation program, and data save of target estimation standard and target estimation standard is possible using straight sit.

An Application of the Rough Set Approach to credit Rating

  • Kim, Jae-Kyeong;Cho, Sung-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.347-354
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    • 1999
  • The credit rating represents an assessment of the relative level of risk associated with the timely payments required by the debt obligation. In this paper, we present a new approach to credit rating of customers based on the rough set theory. The concept of a rough set appeared to be an effective tool for the analysis of customer information systems representing knowledge gained by experience. The customer information system describes a set of customers by a set of multi-valued attributes, called condition attributes. The customers are classified into groups of risk subject to an expert's opinion, called decision attribute. A natural problem of knowledge analysis consists then in discovering relationships, in terms of decision rules, between description of customers by condition attributes and particular decisions. The rough set approach enables one to discover minimal subsets of condition attributes ensuring an acceptable quality of classification of the customers analyzed and to derive decision rules from the customer information system which can be used to support decisions about rating new customers. Using the rough set approach one analyses only facts hidden in data, it does not need any additional information about data and does not correct inconsistencies manifested in data; instead, rules produced are categorized into certain and possible. A real problem of the evaluation of the evaluation of credit rating by a department store is studied using the rough set approach.

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Support Vector Machine Model to Select Exterior Materials

  • Kim, Sang-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.238-246
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    • 2011
  • Choosing the best-performance materials is a crucial task for the successful completion of a project in the construction field. In general, the process of material selection is performed through the use of information by a highly experienced expert and the purchasing agent, without the assistance of logical decision-making techniques. For this reason, the construction field has considered various artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to support decision systems as their own selection method. This study proposes the application of a systematic and efficient support vector machine (SVM) model to select optimal exterior materials. The dataset of the study is 120 completed construction projects in South Korea. A total of 8 input determinants were identified and verified from the literature review and interviews with experts. Using data classification and normalization, these 120 sets were divided into 3 groups, and then 5 binary classification models were constructed in a one-against-all (OAA) multi classification method. The SVM model, based on the kernel radical basis function, yielded a prediction accuracy rate of 87.5%. This study indicates that the SVM model appears to be feasible as a decision support system for selecting an optimal construction method.