• Title/Summary/Keyword: expert decision

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Elicitation Project Management Factors and Evaluation of its Weight to Ensure LNG Plant Success (LNG 플랜트 사업관리 요소 도출 및 중요도 평가)

  • Han, Jae-Goo;Chin, Kyung-Ho;Park, Hwan-Pyo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2010.05b
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    • pp.85-89
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    • 2010
  • The propose of this research is derive project management factors and evaluate its decision weight in LNG plant EPC phases. In order to research, we studied the demestic and international research trend and analysed expert opinions. Initially we derived nine project management factors in each phase of EPC. Elicited factors in research are project management, design management, cost management, time management, contract and craim management, safety management, environment management, and risk management. Then, we evaluated the weight of project management factors with expert survey method and elicitated. Finally, The remarkable points in the result are that key management factors of EPC project are project management and risk management.

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Smart City Feature Using Six European Framework and Multi Expert Multi Criteria: A Sampling of the Development Country

  • Kurniawan, Fachrul;Haviluddin, Haviluddin;Collantes, Leonel Hernandez;Nugroho, Supeno Mardi Susiki;Hariadi, Mochamad
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.7
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2022
  • Continuous development is the key of development issue in developing nations. Smart city measurement is prevalently carried through in the cities in which the nations have been classified as industrialized countries. In addition, cities in Europe becomes the models of smart city system. Smart city concept used in the cities in Europe applies six predominant features i.e. smart economic, smart mobility, smart environment, smart people, smart living, and smart governance. This paper focuses on figuring out city' development strategy in developing nations particularly Indonesia in regard with European Framework by way of Multi Expert Multi Criterion Decision Making (ME-MCDM). Recommendation is resulted from the tests using the data collected from one of the metropolis cities in Indonesia, whereby issuing recommendation must firstly implement smart education, secondly communication, thirdly smart government, and fourthly smart health, as well as simultaneously implement smart energy and smart mobility.

Application of Random Forest Algorithm for the Decision Support System of Medical Diagnosis with the Selection of Significant Clinical Test (의료진단 및 중요 검사 항목 결정 지원 시스템을 위한 랜덤 포레스트 알고리즘 적용)

  • Yun, Tae-Gyun;Yi, Gwan-Su
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.6
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    • pp.1058-1062
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    • 2008
  • In clinical decision support system(CDSS), unlike rule-based expert method, appropriate data-driven machine learning method can easily provide the information of individual feature(clinical test) for disease classification. However, currently developed methods focus on the improvement of the classification accuracy for diagnosis. With the analysis of feature importance in classification, one may infer the novel clinical test sets which highly differentiate the specific diseases or disease states. In this background, we introduce a novel CDSS that integrate a classifier and feature selection module together. Random forest algorithm is applied for the classifier and the feature importance measure. The system selects the significant clinical tests discriminating the diseases by examining the classification error during backward elimination of the features. The superior performance of random forest algorithm in clinical classification was assessed against artificial neural network and decision tree algorithm by using breast cancer, diabetes and heart disease data in UCI Machine Learning Repository. The test with the same data sets shows that the proposed system can successfully select the significant clinical test set for each disease.

Development of the Cyber University's Admission Quota Policy Model (사이버대학 학생정원 관리모형 개발)

  • Lee, In-Sook;Suh, Soon-Shik
    • Journal of The Korean Association of Information Education
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.493-503
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    • 2011
  • The Korea Ministry of Education, Science and Technology (MEST) determines admission quota of cyber universities. MEST's decision is made based on each university's physical and administrative capacity for handling admission numbers. However, the unique characteristics of cyber universities (e.g., online teaching and learning environments) are not considered in MEST's current decision process. MEST also lacks specifics in their policies that are required to ensure university's autonomous control for admission number as well as learners' rights and quality assurance. This study intended to improve decision making process on admission quota of cyber universities so as to increase quality assurance of education. The alternative admission quota decision frameworks have been formulated based on (a) the analysis of the current practices of cyber universities, (b) focus group interviews, and (c) recommendations of the expert.

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Discovery of CPA`s Tacit Decision Knowledge Using Fuzzy Modeling

  • Li, Sheng-Tun;Shue, Li-Yen
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2001.01a
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    • pp.278-282
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    • 2001
  • The discovery of tacit knowledge from domain experts is one of the most exciting challenges in today\`s knowledge management. The nature of decision knowledge in determining the quality a firm\`s short-term liquidity is full of abstraction, ambiguity, and incompleteness, and presents a typical tacit knowledge extraction problem. In dealing with knowledge discovery of this nature, we propose a scheme that integrates both knowledge elicitation and knowledge discovery in the knowledge engineering processes. The knowledge elicitation component applies the Verbal Protocol Analysis to establish industrial cases as the basic knowledge data set. The knowledge discovery component then applies fuzzy clustering to the data set to build a fuzzy knowledge based system, which consists of a set of fuzzy rules representing the decision knowledge, and membership functions of each decision factor for verifying linguistic expression in the rules. The experimental results confirm that the proposed scheme can effectively discover the expert\`s tacit knowledge, and works as a feedback mechanism for human experts to fine-tune the conversion processes of converting tacit knowledge into implicit knowledge.

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The Development of Clinical Decision Support System for Diagnosing Neurogenic Bladder

  • Batmunh, Nyambat;Chae, Young M.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2001.01a
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    • pp.478-485
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    • 2001
  • In this study, we have developed a prototype of clinical decision support systems (CDSS) for diagnosing neurogenic bladder and compared its predicted diagnoses with the actual diagnoses using 92 patient\`s Urodynamic study cases. The CDSS was developed using a Visual Basic based on the evidence-based rules extracted from guidelines and other references regarding a diagnosis of neurogenic bladder. To compare with the 92 final diagnoses made by doctors at the Yonsei Rehabilitation Center, we classified all diagnoses into 5 groups. The predictive rates of the CDSS were: 48.0% for areflexic neurogenic bladder; 60.0% for hyperreflexic neurogenic bladder in a spinal shock recovery stage; 72.9% for hyperreflexic neurogenic bladder, and 80.0% for areflexic neurogenic bladder in a spinal shock stage, which was the highest predicted rate. There were only 2 cases for hyperreflexic neurogenic bladder in a well controlled detrusor activity, and its predictive rate was 0%. The study results showed that CDSS for diagnosing neurogenic bladder could provide a helpful advice on decision-making for doctors. The findings also suggest that physicians should be involved in all development stages to ensure that systems are developed in a fashion that maximizes their beneficial effect on patient care, and that systems are acceptable to both professionals and patients. The future studies will concentrate on including more validating the system.

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Participation in Decision-making and Expertise of Staff Nurses (일부종합병원 일반간호사의 의사결정 참여와 전문성)

  • Cho, Mee-Kyung;Jeong, Hyun-Sook
    • Research in Community and Public Health Nursing
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.537-548
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the relationship of the participation in decisionmaking and expertise of staff nurses. The population for this study was the registered nurses(N=342) working in Chungnam and Chungbuk. The data were collected from April 26 to May 26, 1999. The survey instrument was Participation in Decision Activities Quesionnaire and Expertise scale developed by Anthony(1995), and Job Expertise scale of Van de Ven and Ferry. The results were as follows: 1) There was a significant difference for identification and design, and selection among the process of participation in decision making. 2) There was a significant difference between the participation in caregiving decisions and condition of work decisions. 3) (1) There was a significant difference among caregiving decisions between the expertise indicators and the variables such as education level. and the experience to told who is an expert. (2) There was a significant difference among condition of work decisions between the expertise indicators and the variables such as career, the spent keeping current per week, and self-rating of expertise.

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Bayesian Value of Information Analysis with Linear, Exponential, Power Law Failure Models for Aging Chronic Diseases

  • Chang, Chi-Chang
    • Journal of Computing Science and Engineering
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.200-219
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    • 2008
  • The effective management of uncertainty is one of the most fundamental problems in medical decision making. According to the literatures review, most medical decision models rely on point estimates for input parameters. However, it is natural that they should be interested in the relationship between changes in those values and subsequent changes in model output. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to identify the ranges of numerical values for which each option will be most efficient with respect to the input parameters. The Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process(NHPP) was used for describing the behavior of aging chronic diseases. Three kind of failure models (linear, exponential, and power law) were considered, and each of these failure models was studied under the assumptions of unknown scale factor and known aging rate, known scale factor and unknown aging rate, and unknown scale factor and unknown aging rate, respectively. In addition, this study illustrated developed method with an analysis of data from a trial of immunotherapy in the treatment of chronic Granulomatous disease. Finally, the proposed design of Bayesian value of information analysis facilitates the effective use of the computing capability of computers and provides a systematic way to integrate the expert's opinions and the sampling information which will furnish decision makers with valuable support for quality medical decision making.

Decision-Making on Incoterms 2020 of Automotive Parts Manufacturers in Thailand

  • SURARAKSA, Juthathip;AMCHANG, Chompoonut;SAWATWONG, Nutcharin
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.10
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    • pp.461-470
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    • 2020
  • The objective of this research is to examine the factors affecting the decision-making of International Commercial Terms (Incoterms) of automotive parts manufacturers in Thailand. This mixed method study applied qualitative and quantitative research methods and utilized the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) to prioritize the significance of the factors. By an in-depth literature review and expert interview, four main criteria were identified. These criteria include Operating costs, Cooperation and bargaining power, Knowledge and understanding and Operation duration then main criteria divided into fifteen sub-criteria. The common Incoterms, Ex Works (EXW), Free On Board (FOB), Free Carrier (FCA), and Cost, Insurance and Freight (CIF), were determined as alternatives to the incoterms through a preliminary survey. The results revealed that the operating costs were the most important factor for the company. Moreover, it was discovered that this was consistent with the priority of the secondary factors, which included the annual budget for the transportation expenses and product value at one time. The respondents' perspective suggested that FCA was the most appropriate Incoterms for international trade for a company. The findings of this research suggest a hierarchy model for organizations to prioritize the significant factors in order to make a decision on the most appropriate Incoterms.

Development of Real-Time Decision Support System for the Efficient Berth Operation of Inchon Port (인천항의 효율적 선석운영을 위한 실시간 의사결정지원시스템 구축)

  • 유재성;김동희;김봉선;이창호
    • Journal of Korean Port Research
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.189-198
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a knowledge-based real-time decision support system to support decision makers for efficient berth operation of Inchon Port. In these days the berth operation problems have been many studied. The berth operation rules differ from port to port and the problem is highly dependent on natural geographical and operational environment of port. In Inchon Port the ship’s entrance into port and departure from port is extremely affected status of dock. In this paper we analyzed some effects of dock a specific character of Inchon Port with a real data of ship’s in Inchon Port. And reconstruct a previous expert’s knowledge of berth allocating problem in Inchon Port. Also the mechanism for the efficient berth operation has been studied by repeatedly dispatching in order to obtain a best effect of berth allocation, with real-time updated information for delay at service time of a specific berth and changing of a working-berth. The system is developed with graphic user interface(GUI) concept using user interactive approach. And this system will be provide decision support maker with an efficient and fast way to berth allocating and reduce wastes of time space and manpower in Inchon Port operation.

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