• Title/Summary/Keyword: event term

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Wave Height and Downtime Event Forecasting in Harbour with Complex Topography Using Auto-Regressive and Artificial Neural Networks Models (자기회귀 모델과 신경망 모델을 이용한 복잡한 지형 내 항만에서의 파고 및 하역중단 예측)

  • Yi, Jin-Hak;Ryu, Kyong-Ho;Baek, Won-Dae;Jeong, Weon-Mu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.180-188
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    • 2017
  • Recently, as the strength of winds and waves increases due to the climate change, abnormal waves such as swells have been also increased, which results in the increase of downtime events of loading/unloading in a harbour. To reduce the downtime events, breakwaters were constructed in a harbour to improve the tranquility. However, it is also important and useful for efficient port operation by predicting accurately and also quickly the downtime events when the harbour operation is in a limiting condition. In this study, numerical simulations were carried out to calculate the wave conditions based on the forecasted wind data in offshore area/outside harbour and also the long-term observation was carried out to obtain the wave data in a harbour. A forecasting method was designed using an auto-regressive (AR) and artificial neural networks (ANN) models in order to establish the relationship between the wave conditions calculated by wave model (SWAN) in offshore area and observed ones in a harbour. To evaluate the applicability of the proposed method, this method was applied to predict wave heights in a harbour and to forecast the downtime events in Pohang New Harbour with highly complex topography were compared. From the verification study, it was observed that the ANN model was more accurate than the AR model.

Estimation of Stream Water Quality Changes Brought by a New Town Development (신도시 개발 후 도시하천의 장래수질 평가)

  • Park, Ji-Young;Lim, Hyun-Man;Yoon, Young-Han;Jung, Jin-Hong;Kim, Weon-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.58-66
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    • 2014
  • Water pollution problems of urban rivers due to the urbanization and industrialization have been the subject of public attention. In particular, considering the fact that the characteristics of water cycle of each basin change dramatically through the development of new towns, a large number of concerns about future water quality have been raised. However, reasonable measures to predict future water quality quantitatively have not been presented by this moment. In this study, by the linkage of annual unit load generation based on long-term monitoring results of the ministry of environment (MOE) to a semi-distributed rainfall runoff model, SWMM (Storm Water Management Model), we proposed a new methodology to estimate future water quality macroscopically and testified it to verify its applicability for the estimation of future water quality of a small watershed at G new town. As a result of the estimation using Y-EMC (Yearly based Event Mean Concentration), future water quality were simulated as BOD 18.7, T-N 16.1 and T-P 0.85 mg/L respectively which could not achieve the grade III of domestic river life guidance and these criteria could be satisfied by the reduction of domestic wastewater discharge load by over 80%. The results of this study are shown to be utilized for one of basic tools to estimate and manage water quality of urban rivers in the course of new town developments.

Missions and User Requirements of the 2nd Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI-II) (제2호 정지궤도 해양탑재체(GOCI-II)의 임무 및 요구사양)

  • Ahn, Yu-Hwan;Ryu, Joo-Hyung;Cho, Seong-Ick;Kim, Suk-Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.277-285
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    • 2010
  • Geostationary Ocean Color Imager(GOCI-I), the world's first space-borne ocean color observation geostationary satellite, will be launched on June 2010. Development of GOCI-I took about 6 years, and its expected lifetime is about 7 years. The mission and user requirements of GOCI-II are required to be defined at this moment. Because baseline of the main mission of GOCI-II must be defined during the development time and early operational period of GOCI-I. The main difference between these missions is the global-monitoring capability of GOCI-II, which will meet the necessity of the monitoring and research on climate change in the long-term. The user requirements of GOCI-II will have higher spatial resolution, $250m{\times}250m$, and 12 spectral bands to fulfill GOCI-I's user request, which could not be implemented on GOCI-I for technical reasons. A dedicated panchromatic band will be added for the nighttime observation to obtain fishery information. GOCI-II will have a new capability, supporting user-definable observation requests such as clear sky area without clouds and special-event areas, etc. This will enable higher applicability of GOCI-II products. GOCI-II will perform observations 8 times daily, the same as GOCI-I's. Additionally, daily global observation once or twice daily is planned for GOCI-II. In this paper, we present an improved development and organization structure to solve the problems that have emerged so far. The hardware design of the GOCI-II will proceed in conjunction with domestic or foreign space agencies.

Comparison of Annual Soil Loss using USLE and Hourly Soil Erosion Evaluation System (USLE모형과 시강우를 고려한 토양유실 평가 시스템을 이용한 연간 토양유실량 비교 분석)

  • Kum, Dong-Hyuk;Ryu, Ji-Chul;Kang, Hyun-Woo;Jang, Chun-Hwa;Shin, Min-Hwan;Shin, Dong-Shuk;Choi, Joong-Dae;Lim, Kyoung-Jae
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.991-997
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    • 2011
  • Soil erosion and sediment has been known as one of pollutants causing water quality degradation in water bodies. With global warming issues worldwide, various soil erosion studies have been performed. Although on-site monitoring of sediment loss would be an ideal method to evaluate soil erosion condition, modeling approaches have been utilized to estimate soil erosion and to evaluate various best management practices on soil erosion reduction. Although the USLE has been used in soil erosion estimation for the last 40 years, the USLE model has limitations in estimating event-based soil erosion reflecting rainfall intensity and rainfall duration for long-term period. Thus, the calibrated model, capable of simulating soil erosion using hourly rainfall data, was utilized in this study to evaluate the effects of rainfall amount and rainfall intensity on soil erosion. It was found that USLE soil erosion value is $3.06ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, while soil erosion values from 2006~2010 were $2.469ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, $0.882ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, $1.489ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, $2.158ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, $1.602ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, respectively. Especially, soil erosion from single storm event for 2008-2010 would be responsible for 30% or more of annual soil loss. As shown in this study, hourly soil erosion estimation system would provide more detailed output from the study area. In addition, the effects of rainfall intensity on soil erosion could be evaluated with this system.

A Study of Soil Moisture Retention Relation using Weather Radar Image Data

  • Choi, Jeongho;Han, Myoungsun;Lim, Sanghun;Kim, Donggu;Jang, Bong-joo
    • Journal of Multimedia Information System
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.235-244
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    • 2018
  • Potential maximum soil moisture retention (S) is a dominant parameter in the Soil Conservation Service (SCS; now called the USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS)) runoff Curve Number (CN) method commonly used in hydrologic modeling for event-based flood forecasting (SCS, 1985). Physically, S represents the depth [L] soil could store water through infiltration. The depth of soil moisture retention will vary depending on infiltration from previous rainfall events; an adjustment is usually made using a factor for Antecedent Moisture Conditions (AMCs). Application of the method for continuous simulation of multiple storms has typically involved updating the AMC and S. However, these studies have focused on a time step where S is allowed to vary at daily or longer time scales. While useful for hydrologic events that span multiple days, this temporal resolution is too coarse for short-term applications such as flash flood events. In this study, an approach for deriving a time-variable potential maximum soil moisture retention curve (S-curve) at hourly time-scales is presented. The methodology is applied to the Napa River basin, California. Rainfall events from 2011 to 2012 are used for estimating the event-based S. As a result, we derive an S-curve which is classified into three sections depending on the recovery rate of S for soil moisture conditions ranging from 1) dry, 2) transitional from dry to wet, and 3) wet. The first section is described as gradually increasing recovering S (0.97 mm/hr or 23.28 mm/day), the second section is described as steeply recovering S (2.11 mm/hr or 50.64 mm/day) and the third section is described as gradually decreasing recovery (0.34 mm/hr or 8.16 mm/day). Using the S-curve, we can estimate the hourly change of soil moisture content according to the time duration after rainfall cessation, which is then used to estimate direct runoff for a continuous simulation for flood forecasting.

The Air Space System and UVA's Regulation in Japanese Civil Aeronautics Act (일본 항공법상의 공역체계와 무인항공기 규제)

  • Kim, Young-Ju
    • The Korean Journal of Air & Space Law and Policy
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.115-168
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    • 2018
  • An amendment to Japanese Civil Aeronautics Act came into effect December 10, 2015. The Act prohibits flying drones over residential areas or areas surrounding an airport without permission from the Minister of Land, Infrastructure and Transportation. Flying drones during night time and during an event is also prohibited. The term "UAV" or "UA" means any aeroplane, rotorcraft, glider or airship which cannot accommodate any person on board and can be remotely or automatically piloted (Excluding those lighter than a certain weight (200 grams). Any person who intends to operate a UAV is required to follow the operational conditions listed below, unless approved by the Minister of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism; (i) Operation of UAVs in the daytime, (ii) Operation of UAVs within Visual Line of Sight (VLOS), (iii) Maintenance of a certain operating distance between UAVs and persons or properties on the ground/water surface, (iv) Do not operate UAVs over event sites where many people gather, (v) Do not transport hazardous materials such as explosives by UAV, (vi) Do not drop any objects from UAVs. Requirements stated in "Airspace in which Flights are Prohibited" and "Operational Limitations" are not applied to flights for search and rescue operations by public organizations in case of accidents and disasters. This paper analyzes some issues as to regulations of UAVs in Korean Aviation Safety Act by comparing the regulations of UAVs in Japanese Civil Aeronautics Act. This paper, also, offers some implications and suggestions for regulations of UAVs under Korean Aviation Safety Act.

Estimation of the Kinetic Energy of Raindrops for Hourly Rainfall Considering the Rainfall Particle Distribution (강우입자분포를 고려한 시강우의 강우에너지 산정 연구)

  • Kim, Seongwon;Jeong, Anchul;Lee, Giha;Jung, Kwansue
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2018
  • The occurrence of soil erosions in Korea is mostly driven by flowing water which has a close relationship with rainfalls. The soil eroded by rainfalls flows into and deposits in the river and it polluted the water resources and making the rivers become difficult to be managed. Recently, the frequency of heavy rainfall events that are more than 30 mm/hr has been increasing in Korea due to the influence of climate change, which creating a favourable condition for the occurrence of soil erosion within a short time. In this study, we proposed a method to estimate the distribution of rainfall intensity and to calculate the energy produced by a single rainfall event using the cumulative distribution function that take into account of the physical characteristics of rainfall. The raindrops kinetic energy estimated by the proposed method are compared with the measured data from the previous studies and it is noticed that the raindrops kinetic energy estimated by the rainfall intensity variation is very similar to the results concluded from the previous studies. In order to develop an equation for estimating rainfall kinetic energy, rainfall particle size data measured at a rainfall intensity of 0.254~152.4 mm/hr were used. The rainfall kinetic energy estimated by applying the cumulative distribution function tended to increase in the form of a power function in the relation of rainfall intensity. Based on the equation obtained from this relationship, the rainfall kinetic energy of 1~80 mm/hr rainfall intensity was estimated to be $0.03{\sim}48.26Jm^{-2}mm^{-1}$. Based on the relationship between rainfall intensity and rainfall energy, rainfall kinetic energy equation is proposed as a power function form and it is expected that it can be used in the design of short-term operated facility such as the sizing of sedimentation basin that requires prediction of soil loss by a single rainfall event.

The Extent of Late Gadolinium Enhancement Can Predict Adverse Cardiac Outcomes in Patients with Non-Ischemic Cardiomyopathy with Reduced Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction: A Prospective Observational Study

  • Eun Kyoung Kim;Ga Yeon Lee;Shin Yi Jang;Sung-A Chang;Sung Mok Kim;Sung-Ji Park;Jin-Oh Choi;Seung Woo Park;Yeon Hyeon Choe;Sang-Chol Lee;Jae K. Oh
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.324-333
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    • 2021
  • Objective: The clinical course of an individual patient with heart failure is unpredictable with left ventricle ejection fraction (LVEF) only. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR)-derived myocardial fibrosis extent and to determine the cutoff value for event-free survival in patients with non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM) who had severely reduced LVEF. Materials and Methods: Our prospective cohort study included 78 NICM patients with significantly reduced LV systolic function (LVEF < 35%). CMR images were analyzed for the presence and extent of late gadolinium enhancement (LGE). The primary outcome was major adverse cardiac events (MACEs), defined as a composite of cardiac death, heart transplantation, implantable cardioverter-defibrillator discharge for major arrhythmia, and hospitalization for congestive heart failure within 5 years after enrollment. Results: A total of 80.8% (n = 63) of enrolled patients had LGE, with the median LVEF of 25.4% (19.8-32.4%). The extent of myocardial scarring was significantly higher in patients who experienced MACE than in those without any cardiac events (22.0 [5.5-46.1] %LV vs. 6.7 [0-17.1] %LV, respectively, p = 0.008). During follow-up, 51.4% of patients with LGE ≥ 12.0 %LV experienced MACE, along with 20.9% of those with LGE ≤ 12.0 %LV (log-rank p = 0.001). According to multivariate analysis, LGE extent more than 12.0 %LV was independently associated with MACE (adjusted hazard ratio, 6.71; 95% confidence interval, 2.54-17.74; p < 0.001). Conclusion: In NICM patients with significantly reduced LV systolic function, the extent of LGE is a strong predictor for long-term adverse cardiac outcomes. Event-free survival was well discriminated with an LGE cutoff value of 12.0 %LV in these patients.

A Survey on Added Sugar Intakes from Snacks and Participation Behaviors of Special Event Days Sharing Sweet Foods among Adolescents in Korea (청소년의 간식을 통한 첨가당섭취량 및 고당류식품 관련 이벤트 데이 참여행동에 대한 조사)

  • Kim, Hyun-Ju;Kim, Sun-Hyo
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.135-145
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    • 2009
  • This study was performed to investigate added sugar intakes from processed food-snacks and participation behaviors of special event days sharing sweet foods among adolescents in Korea. Questionnaire survey (n = 959), dietary survey (n = 71) by food record method for 3 days, and snack survey (n = 230) for 3 days were carried out, and subjects were overlapped among three surveys. As a result, middle school students (MS) preferred milks and fermented milks while high school students (HS) preferred breads and fast foods as a snack (p < 0.01). MS and HS took snacks three to six times a week, and HS took snacks more frequently than MS (p < 0.05). Most subjects participated in special event days sharing sweet foods such as friend's birthday (68.4%), Peppro's day (61.5%) and Valentine's day (42.6%). As for merits of these events, MS said ‘they could get along with their friends' and ‘relieve stress', while HS said ‘they could enjoy their own events' and ‘confess their affection to whom they like' (p < 0.01). A group of cookies, biscuits, breads and, cakes was major source of added sugars followed by beverages, sweet jellies of red bean, chocolates and candies for subjects. For MS and HS, daily total added sugar intakes from whole processed food-snacks were $30.5{\pm}23.5g/d$ (3.0-137.9 g/d) and $31.7{\pm}23.2g/d$ (1.2-126.1 g/d), and ratios of daily total energy taken from added sugars of whole processed food-snacks in proportion to daily total energy taken from diet (energy percent of added sugars from snacks) were $6.3{\pm}4.7%$ (0.6-26.1%) and $6.3{\pm}4.4%$ (0.3-23.9%), respectively. These results showed that subjects frequently participated in special event days sharing sweet foods. In addition, energy percent of added sugars from snacks was more than the UL suggested by WHO/FAO for some subjects. Therefore, it is highly critical to monitor adolescents' sugar intakes on a long-term basis and to take nutritional management on their high sugar intakes.

Effects of Climate Change on Whitening Event Proliferation the Coast of Jeju (제주연안에서 기후변화가 갯녹음 확산에 미치는 영향)

  • HWANG, Sung-Il;KIM, Dae-Kweon;SUNG, Bong-Jun;JUN, Sue-Kyung;BAE, Jong-Il;JEON, Byeong-Hyeon
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.529-536
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    • 2017
  • The study is intended to investigate the proliferation of whitening, the impact of climate change (sea temperature rise) on the proliferation of whitening, and the reproduction and growth of crustose coralline algae, which causes the whitening, in the coast of Jeju Island. The size of the whitening-affected area in the coast of Jeju was 2,931ha in 1998 and increased to 4,541ha in 2003. The whitening occurred mainly in the southern coast of Jeju in 1998 but spread across the whole coast of Jeju by 2003, except in the coast of Jocheon-eup (eup refers to an administrative district in Korea) and Gujwa-eup. The average sea water temperature in February from 1992 to 2004 was $15.1^{\circ}C$ in the whitening affected area and $13.9^{\circ}C$ in the marine forest area, showing a clear difference, but there was no difference in the average temperature in August. The long-term (37-year period) average of the sea temperature was $15.3^{\circ}C$ in the whitening affected area and $14.1^{\circ}C$ in the marine forest area, showing $1.2^{\circ}C$ higher in the whitening area. The annual rate of sea temperature rise was $0.038^{\circ}C$ in the whitening area and $0.024^{\circ}C$ in the marine forest area, indicating the higher long-term variation of sea temperature in the water affected by whitening. The results indicate that the continuous increase in winter water temperature due to climate change is expanding proliferation of whitening in the Jeju island.