• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimation errors

검색결과 1,458건 처리시간 0.021초

각 접촉 볼베어링 스핀들의 회전정밀도 분석 (Rotating Accuracy Analysis for Spindle with Angular Contact Ball Bearings)

  • 황주호;김정환;심종엽
    • 한국생산제조학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.735-739
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    • 2013
  • The error motion of a machine tool spindle directly affects the surface errors of machined parts. Spindle motion errors such as three translational motions and two rotational motions are undesirable. These are usually due to the imperfectness of bearings, stiffness of spindle, assembly errors, and external force or unbalance of rotors. The error motions of the spindle need to be reduced for achieving the desired performance. Therefore, the level of error motion needs to be estimated during the design and assembly process of the spindle. In this study, an estimation method for five degree-of-freedom (5 DOF) error motions for a spindle with an angular contact ball bearing is suggested. To estimate the error motions of the spindle, the waviness of the inner-race of bearings and an external force model were used as input data. The estimation model considers the geometric relationship and force equilibrium of the five DOFs. To calculate the error motions of the spindle, not only the imperfections of the shaft and bearings but also driving elements such as belt pulley and direct driving motor systems are considered.

거리정보 기반 무선위치추정을 위한 혼합 폐쇄형 해 (Hybrid Closed-Form Solution for Wireless Localization with Range Measurements)

  • 조성윤
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제19권7호
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    • pp.633-639
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    • 2013
  • Several estimation methods used in the range measurement based wireless localization area have individual problems. These problems may not occur according to certain application areas. However, these problems may give rise to serious problems in particular applications. In this paper, three methods, ILS (Iterative Least Squares), DS (Direct Solution), and DSRM (Difference of Squared Range Measurements) methods are considered. Problems that can occur in these methods are defined and a simple hybrid solution is presented to solve them. The ILS method is the most frequently used method in wireless localization and has local minimum problems and a large computational burden compared with closed-form solutions. The DS method requires less processing time than the ILS method. However, a solution for this method may include a complex number caused by the relations between the location of reference nodes and range measurement errors. In the near-field region of the complex solution, large estimation errors occur. In the DSRM method, large measurement errors occur when the mobile node is far from the reference nodes due to the combination of range measurement error and range data. This creates the problem of large localization errors. In this paper, these problems are defined and a hybrid localization method is presented to avoid them by integrating the DS and DSRM methods. The defined problems are confirmed and the performance of the presented method is verified by a Monte-Carlo simulation.

SAMPLING ERROR ANALYSIS FOR SOIL MOISTURE ESTIMATION

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Yoo, Chul-sang
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제1권3호
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    • pp.209-222
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    • 2000
  • A spectral formalism was applied to quantify the sampling errors due to spatial and/or temporal gaps in soil moisture measurements. The lack of temporal measurements of the two-dimensional soil moisture field makes it difficult to compute the spectra directly from observed records. Therefore, the space-time soil moisture spectra derived by stochastic models of rainfall and soil moisture was used in their record. Parameters for both models were tuned with Southern Great Plains Hydrology Experiment(SGP'97) data and the Oklahoma Mesonet data. The structure of soil moisture data is discrete in space and time. A design filter was developed to compute the sampling errors for discrete measurements in space and time. This filter has the advantage in its general form applicable for all kinds of sampling designs. Sampling errors of the soil moisture estimation during the SGP'97 Hydrology Experiment period were estimated. The sampling errors for various sampling designs such as satedlite over pass and point measurement ground probe were estimated under the climate condition between June and August 1997 and soil properties of the SGP'97 experimental area. The ground truth design was evaluated to 25km and 50km spatial gap and the temporal gap from zero to 5 days.

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평면도 기상 측정 방법 개발 (Development of On-machine Flatness Measurement Method)

  • 장문주;홍성욱
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.187-193
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents an on-machine measurement method of flatness error fur surface machining processes. There are two kinds of on-machine measurement methods available to measure flatness errors in workpieces: i.e., surface scanning method and sensor scanning method. However, motion errors are often engaged in both methods. This paper proposes an idea to realize a measurement system of flatness errors and its rigorous application for estimation of motion errors of the positioning system. The measurement system is made by modifying the straightness measurement system, which consists of a laser, a CCD camera and processing system, a sensor head, and some optical units. The sensor head is composed of a retroreflector, a ball and ball socket, a linear motion guide unit and adjustable arms. The experimental .results show that the proposed method is useful to identify flatness errors of machined workpieces as well as motion errors of positioning systems.

Empirical estimation of human error probabilities based on the complexity of proceduralized tasks in an analog environment

  • Park, Jinkyun;Kim, Hee Eun;Jang, Inseok
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권6호
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    • pp.2037-2047
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    • 2022
  • The contribution of degraded human performance (e.g., human errors) is significant for the safety of diverse social-technical systems. Therefore, it is crucial to understand when and why the performance of human operators could be degraded. In this study, the occurrence probability of human errors was empirically estimated based on the complexity of proceduralized tasks. To this end, Logistic regression analysis was conducted to correlate TACOM (Task Complexity) scores with human errors collected from the full-scope training simulator of nuclear power plants equipped with analog devices (analog environment). As a result, it was observed that the occurrence probability of both errors of commission and errors of omission can be soundly estimated by TACOM scores. Since the effect of diverse performance influencing factors on the occurrence probabilities of human errors could be soundly distinguished by TACOM scores, it is also expected that TACOM scores can be used as a tool to explain when and why the performance of human operators starts to be degraded.

지구통계 기법을 활용한 토양 오염범위 산정 및 불확실성 평가 (Evaluation of Geostatistical Approaches for better Estimation of Polluted Soil Volume with Uncertainty Evaluation)

  • 김호림;김경호;윤성택;황상일;김형돈;이군택;김영주
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.69-81
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    • 2012
  • Diverse geostatistical tools such as kriging have been used to estimate the volume and spatial coverage of contaminated soil needed for remediation. However, many approaches frequently yield estimation errors, due to inherent geostatistical uncertainties. Such errors may yield over- or under-estimation of the amounts of polluted soils, which cause an over-estimation of remediation cost as well as an incomplete clean-up of a contaminated land. Therefore, it is very important to use a better estimation tool considering uncertainties arising from incomplete field investigation (i.e., contamination survey) and mathematical spatial estimation. In the current work, as better estimation tools we propose stochastic simulation approaches which allow the remediation volume to be assessed more accurately along with uncertainty estimation. To test the efficiency of proposed methods, heavy metals (esp., Pb) contaminated soil of a shooting range area was selected. In addition, we suggest a quantitative method to delineate the confident interval of estimated volume (and spatial extent) of polluted soil based on the spatial aspect of uncertainty. The methods proposed in this work can improve a better decision making on soil remediation.

가중최소절대값을 이용한 변압기 텝 추정 알고리즘 (An Algorithm for Transformer Tap Estimation by WLAV State Estimator)

  • 김홍래;권형석
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1999년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부 A
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    • pp.279-281
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    • 1999
  • This paper addresses the issues of the parameter error detection and identification in power system. The parameter error identification is carried out as part of the state estimation procedure. The weighted least absolute value(WLAV) estimation method is used for this procedure. The standard formulation of the state estimation problem is modified to include the effects of the parameter errors as well. A two step procedure for the detection and identification of faulted parameters is proposed. Supporting examples are given using IEEE 14 bus system.

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유럽공동체 배출권거래제 도입 효과에 대한 실증분석 (Empirical Analysis of the Effect of EU ETS on the CO2 Emission)

  • 김현;이광훈
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.875-896
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문은 DID(Difference in Differences) 추정모형을 이용하여 유럽공동체 25개 회원국에 대해 2005년~2007년간 1단계 시행이 완료된 바 있는 배출권거래제도가 참여 국가들의 이산화탄소 배출량을 감소시키는 효과가 있었는지를 분석하였다. 이를 위해 이러한 배출권거래제 1단계 시행이 적용되지 않았던 17개국을 포함한 유럽 대륙 42개국에 대한 1990년~2007년까지의 패널자료를 구축하였다. 추정결과를 도출함에 있어서 계열 상관이 존재하는 경우 DID 추정에서 발생할 수 있는 통상적 표준오차의 편차 문제를 고려하여 두 가지의 강건한 표준오차 값들을 추가적으로 계산하여 제시하였다. 그 결과 배출권거래제의 시행이 이산화탄소 배출량을 감소시키는 효과가 표준오차의 계산방법에 무관하게 상당히 일관되고 강건하게 나타나는 것으로 분석되었다. 아울러 잠재에너지세율의 증가 역시 일관되게 일인당 이산화탄소 배출량을 감소시키는 효과가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 반면에 일인당 GDP나 인구밀도 등이 일인당 이산화탄소 배출량에 미치는 영향은 표준오차의 계산방법에 따라 일관되지 못한 결과를 나타내었다. 특히 환경쿠즈네츠가설은 강건한 표준오차를 사용하는 경우 통계적으로 뒷받침되지 못하였다.

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교통사고 추정방법 비교 연구: 경험적 베이즈 추정치 vs. 관측교통사고건수 (Comparative Study on the Estimation Methods of Traffic Crashes: Empirical Bayes Estimate vs. Observed Crash)

  • 신강원
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제30권5D호
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    • pp.453-459
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    • 2010
  • 교통안전연구에서 한 지점 (또는 구간)의 기대교통사고건수를 신뢰성 높게 추정하는 것은 매우 중요하다. 기대교통사고건수를 추정하기 위해 현재 국내에서는 주로 관측교통사고건수를 사용하고 있으나 국외에서는 포아송-감마 혼합모형에 기반한 경험적 베이즈 추정치를 활용하고 있는 추세이다. 그간 많은 연구들이 경험적 베이즈 추정치를 이용해 기대교통사고건수 추정 및 교통안전개선사업의 평가를 시도 하였으나 전술한 2가지 추정방법의 추정오차를 비교연구한 문헌은 없는 실정인 바 본 연구는 2가지 추정방법의 추정오차를 모의실험을 통해 비교 분석하여 제시하였다. 모의 발생된 총 3,000,000개 지점의 교통사고 자료를 분석한 결과 기대교통사고건수를 경험적 베이즈 추정방법을 이용해 추정했을 경우 그 추정오차는 관측교통 사고건수만을 이용했을 때 발생하는 추정오차에 비해 항상 작은 것으로 나타나 국내의 교통안전연구 가이드라인에 경험적 베이지안 추정방법의 도입이 필요할 것으로 판단된다. 그러나 사전분포의 불확실성이 높아질수록 두 가지 추정방법의 추정오차의 차이는 감소하는 것으로 나타나, 기대교통사고건수 추정 시 추정된 음이항 모형에 대한 종합적인 검증을 수행한 후 신뢰성 있는 초모수의 추정치를 이용해 경험적 베이지안 방법을 적용하는 것이 바람직하다고 판단된다.