• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimating equation

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Design charts for consolidation settlement of marine clays using finite strain consolidation theory

  • Jun, Sang-Hyun;Lee, Jong-Ho;Park, Byung-Soo;Kwon, Hyuk-Jae
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.295-305
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    • 2021
  • In this study, design charts for estimating consolidation settlement are proposed according to finite strain consolidation theory using a nonlinear constitutive relationship equation. Results of parametric sensitivity analysis shows that the final settlement, initial height, and initial void ratio exerted the greatest effect, and the coefficients of the void ratio-effective-stress. Proposed design charts were analyzed for three regions using a representative constitutive relationship equation that enables major dredged-reclaimed construction sites in Korea. The regional design charts can be calculated accurately for the final settlement because it is applied directly to the numerical analysis results, except for reading errors. A general design chart applicable to all marine clays is proposed through correlation analysis of the main parameters. A final self-weight consolidation settlement with various initial void ratios and initial height conditions should be estimated easily using the general design chart and constitutive relationship. The estimated final settlement using the general design chart is similar to the results of numerical analysis obtained using finite strain consolidation theory. Under an overburden pressure condition, design charts for estimating consolidation settlement are proposed for three regions in Korea.

Trend of Unmet Medical Need and Related Factors Using Panel Data (패널 자료를 이용한 미충족 의료의 추세와 관련요인)

  • Kim, Eun-Su;Eun, Sang-Jun
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.10 no.9
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    • pp.229-236
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the current status of unmet medical need using data from the Korea Health Panel study from 2009 to 2013 (excluding 2010), and to analyze the trends of unmet medical need and related factors. The subjects of this study were 11,598 in 2009, 11,035 in 2011, 10,584 in 2012, 10,099 in 2013, and 7,144 people in panel data, and conducted frequency analysis, chi-square test and generalized estimating equation. As a result of the analysis by year, it was found that women, under middle school graduation, medical aid, the lowest household income and low subjective health status experienced more unmet medical need. As a result of analysis using generalized estimating equation, women, under 40 years of age, under elementary school graduation, lowest quartile household income, subjective health status of less than 20 points, and activity restrictions are more likely to experience unmet medical need. Based on these results, we intend to provide basic data for establishing policies on the use of medical services.

Trends and Causes of Poverty among Urban Wage Earners' Households (도시 근로자 가구의 빈곤 추이(推移)와 원인에 관한 연구: 조세와 이전소득의 빈곤완화효과를 포함하여)

  • Kim, Kyo-Seong
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.59 no.2
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    • pp.143-169
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    • 2007
  • The major purpose of this study was to offer a comprehensive analysis of the changing trends and causes of poverty among urban wage earners' households from 1995 to 2005. In order to do that, this study used the micro data of "Income and Expenditure Survey of Urban Households" by the National Statistical Office(NSO) and GEE(Generalized estimating equation) regression model which is know as an appropriate method for the longitudinal and clustering data. The results show that (1) the numbers of poverty rate and poverty gap in recent years are even getting seriously worse than those in the IMF crisis. (2) Main characteristics of poor are female headed, old aged, low educated households, and having atypical working position. (3) Major determinants of poverty are also related to the variables as mentioned the above. (4) However, poverty reduction effect of public transfer increased preferably in recent years.

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Validity of the scoring system for traumatic liver injury: a generalized estimating equation analysis

  • Lee, Kangho;Ryu, Dongyeon;Kim, Hohyun;Jeon, Chang Ho;Kim, Jae Hun;Park, Chan Yong;Yeom, Seok Ran
    • Journal of Trauma and Injury
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: The scoring system for traumatic liver injury (SSTLI) was developed in 2015 to predict mortality in patients with polytraumatic liver injury. This study aimed to validate the SSTLI as a prognostic factor in patients with polytrauma and liver injury through a generalized estimating equation analysis. Methods: The medical records of 521 patients with traumatic liver injury from January 2015 to December 2019 were reviewed. The primary outcome variable was in-hospital mortality. All the risk factors were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression analysis. The SSTLI has five clinical measures (age, Injury Severity Score, serum total bilirubin level, prothrombin time, and creatinine level) chosen based on their predictive power. Each measure is scored as 0-1 (age and Injury Severity Score) or 0-3 (serum total bilirubin level, prothrombin time, and creatinine level). The SSTLI score corresponds to the total points for each item (0-11 points). Results: The areas under the curve of the SSTLI to predict mortality on post-traumatic days 0, 1, 3, and 5 were 0.736, 0.783, 0.830, and 0.824, respectively. A very good to excellent positive correlation was observed between the probability of mortality and the SSTLI score (γ=0.997, P<0.001). A value of 5 points was used as the threshold to distinguish low-risk (<5) from high-risk (≥5) patients. Multivariate analysis using the generalized estimating equation in the logistic regression model indicated that the SSTLI score was an independent predictor of mortality (odds ratio, 1.027; 95% confidence interval, 1.018-1.036; P<0.001). Conclusions: The SSTLI was verified to predict mortality in patients with polytrauma and liver injury. A score of ≥5 on the SSTLI indicated a high-risk of post-traumatic mortality.

A study of a flatfish outlook model using a partial equilibrium model approach based on a DEEM system

  • Sukho, Han;Sujin, Heo;Namsu, Lee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.815-829
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to construct a flatfish outlook model that is consistent with the "Fisheries outlook" monthly publication of the fisheries outlook center of the Korea Maritime Institute (KMI). In particular, it was designed as a partial equilibrium model limited to flatfish items, but a model was constructed with a dynamic ecological equation model (DEEM) system, considering biological breeding and shipping times. Due to limited amounts of monthly data, the market equilibrium price was calculated using a recursive model method as the inverse demand. The main research results and implications are as follows. As a result of estimating young fish inventory levels, the coefficient of the young fish inventory in the previous period was estimated to be 0.03, which was not statistically significant. Because there is distinct seasonality, when estimating the breeding outcomes, the elasticity of breeding in the previous period was found to exceed 0.7, and it increased more as the weight of the fish increased, in addition, the shipment coefficient gradually increased as the weight increased, which means that as the fish weight increased, the shipment compared to the breeding volume increased. When estimating shipments, the elasticity of breeding in previous period was estimated to respond elastically as the weight increases. The price flexibility coefficient of the total supply was inelastically estimated to be -0.19. Finally, according to a model predictive power test, the Theil U1 was estimated to be very low for all of the predictors, indicating excellent predictive power.

Earth pressures acting on vertical circular shafts considering arching effects in c-${\phi}$ soils: I. Theory (c-${\phi}$ 지반에서의 아칭현상을 고려한 원형수직터널 토압: I. 이론)

  • Kim, Do-Hoon;Lee, Dea-Su;Kim, Kyung-Ryeol;Lee, Yong-Hee;Lee, In-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.117-129
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    • 2009
  • Several researches have been done to estimate the earth pressure on a vertical circular shaft considering three dimensional arching effect and verified them by conducting model tests. However, any equation suggested so far is not applicable in case of multi-layered soils and/or C-${\phi}$ soils. In this study, new equation for estimating the earth pressure acting on the vertical shaft in c-${\phi}$ soils is proposed. A parametric study is performed to investigate the significance of the cohesion when estimating the coefficient of earth pressure in C-${\phi}$ soils and estimating earth pressures in vertical shafts. A method which can estimate the earth pressure on vertical shafts in layered soils is also proposed by assuming a failure surface in layered soils and using the modified equation. This paper is Part I of companion papers focusing on the theoretical aspect of model developments; the experimental verification will be made in Part II.

A Study on the Hardware Cost Estimation Equation of Professional Service Robot (전문서비스 로봇 하드웨어 비용추정 관계식 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jungsoo;Min, Jeongtack;Choi, Yeon-Seo;Park, Myeongjun;Sohn, Dongseop
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we proposed a parametric estimation method for estimating H/W cost by using the development data of professional service robot in Korea. In addition, we derived the factors and weights that we can estimate the costs depending on the application environmental conditions of the robot. For the analysis, we developed the equation of professional service robot cost estimation using parametric method. We also derived the adjustment factors and following weights through FGI and Delphi for environmental conditions. We have developed a cost estimation equation that reflects the weight, volume, and manufacturing difficulty, and can derive a relational equation that reflects the environmental factors(dust/water, heat/cold, safety, test, technology innovation). This provides an objective basis for estimating the cost of professional service robots and will lead to ongoing research for estimating the H/W development cost of professional service robots. In the future, we will increase reliability by collecting abundant data, and will strengthen models through finding functional factors.

A Intercomparison on the estimating shield TBM tunnel face pressure through analytical and numerical analysis (이론해와 수치해석적 검토를 통한 쉴드TBM 막장압 산정 결과 상호비교)

  • Jun, Gy-Chan;Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.273-282
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    • 2016
  • This study estimates tunnel face pressure through existing 8 analytical equations and 3D numerical analysis, and compares and examines it. In general, the estimating tunnel face pressure of domestic shield TBM has been examined by a method according to analytical equation and empirical method, but numerical analysis is combined in a section passing complicated stratigraphic condition and special soil condition. Therefore, the researcher is to find a reliable method to examine of tunnel face pressure by confirming a correlation between tunnel face pressure estimated by equation and tunnel face pressure estimated by numerical analysis program. When tunnel face pressure is estimated, both analytical equation and numerical analysis were identically examined in soil conditions such as sandy soil and cohesive soil. In addition, existing analytical equation is used as equation, and 3D analysis copying construction process and shield tunnel as numerical analysis.

A simple and novel equation to estimate the degree of bleeding in haemorrhagic shock: mathematical derivation and preliminary in vivo validation

  • Chon, Sung-Bin;Lee, Min Ji;Oh, Won Sup;Park, Ye Jin;Kwon, Joon-Myoung;Kim, Kyuseok
    • The Korean Journal of Physiology and Pharmacology
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.195-205
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    • 2022
  • Determining blood loss [100% - RBV (%)] is challenging in the management of haemorrhagic shock. We derived an equation estimating RBV (%) via serial haematocrits (Hct1, Hct2) by fixing infused crystalloid fluid volume (N) as [0.015 × body weight (g)]. Then, we validated it in vivo. Mathematically, the following estimation equation was derived: RBV (%) = 24k / [(Hct1 / Hct2) -1]. For validation, non-ongoing haemorrhagic shock was induced in Sprague-Dawley rats by withdrawing 20.0%-60.0% of their total blood volume (TBV) in 5.0% intervals (n = 9). Hct1 was checked after 10 min and normal saline N cc was infused over 10 min. Hct2 was checked five minutes later. We applied a linear equation to explain RBV (%) with 1 / [(Hct1 / Hct2) -1]. Seven rats losing 30.0%-60.0% of their TBV suffered shock persistently. For them, RBV (%) was updated as 5.67 / [(Hct1 / Hct2) -1] + 32.8 (95% confidence interval [CI] of the slope: 3.14-8.21, p = 0.002, R2 = 0.87). On a Bland-Altman plot, the difference between the estimated and actual RBV was 0.00 ± 4.03%; the 95% CIs of the limits of agreements were included within the pre-determined criterion of validation (< 20%). For rats suffering from persistent, non-ongoing haemorrhagic shock, we derived and validated a simple equation estimating RBV (%). This enables the calculation of blood loss via information on serial haematocrits under a fixed N. Clinical validation is required before utilisation for emergency care of haemorrhagic shock.

Estimation of a Structural Equation Model Including Brand Choice Probabilities (브랜드 선택확률 분석을 위한 구조방정식 모형)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Lee, Hye-Seon;Kim, Yun-Dae;Jun, Chi-Hyuck
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.87-93
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    • 2010
  • The partial least squares (PLS) method is popularly used for estimating the structural equation model, but the existing algorithm may not be directly implemented when probabilities are involved in some constructs or manifest variables. We propose a structural equation model including the brand choice as one construct having brand choice probabilities as its manifest variables. Then, we develop a PLS-based algorithm for the structural equation model by utilizing the multinomial logit model. A case is introduced as an application and simulation studies are performed to validate the proposed algorithm.