• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.50 no.12
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• pp.827-836
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• 2017

The most important parameters of the Muskingum method, widely used in hydrologic river routing, are the storage coefficient and the weighting factor. The Muskingum method does not consider the lateral inflow from the upstream to the downstream, but the lateral inflow actually occurs due to the rainfall on the watershed. As a result, it is very difficult to estimate the storage coefficient and the weighting factor by using the actual data of upstream and downstream. In this study, the flow without the lateral inflow was calculated from the river flow through the hydraulic flood routing by using the HEC-RAS one-dimensional unsteady flow model, and the method of the storage coefficient and the weighting factor calculation is presented. Considering that the storage coefficient relates to the travel time, the empirical travel time formulas used in the establishment of the domestic river basin plan were applied as the storage coefficient, and the simulation results were compared and analyzed. Finally, we have developed a formula for calculating the travel time considering the flow rate, and proposed a method to perform flood routing by updating the travel time according to the inflow change. The rise and fall process of the flow rate, the peak flow rate, and the peak time are well simulated when the travel time in consideration of the flow rate is applied as the storage coefficient.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.51-63
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• 2008

Jeju-Mainland demand for air passenger is variated by the season because most of the demands stem from the leisure travel. This research is to estimate the econometrics demand models(A simple time series model and the partial adjustment model) and elasticities of each models for the Jeju-Mainland domestic routes air travel market using the time series aggregate data between the year 1996 and 2005. As the result of estimating, income elasticity was evaluated to be elastic(1.55) and fare elasticity was inelastic(-0.49${\sim}$-0.59) for A simple time series models. In the partial adjustment model's case, income elasticity was evaluated to be inelastic(0.51) in short-run whereas it was evaluated to be elastic(1.88) in long-run. Fare elasticity was evaluated to be inelastic in short-run(high-demand season: -0.13, slack season: -0.20) and long-run(high-demand season: -0.48, slack season: -0.72).

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.35 no.1
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• pp.63-78
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• 2017

The purpose of this study is to determine the optimal aggregation interval to increase the reliability when estimating representative value of individual vehicle travel time collected by DSRC equipment in interrupted traffic flow section in National Highway. For this, we use the bimodal asymmetric distribution data, which is the distribution of the most representative individual vehicle travel time collected in the interrupted traffic flow section, and estimate the MSE(Mean Square Error) according to the variation of the aggregation interval of individual vehicle travel time, and determine the optimal aggregation interval. The estimation equation for the MSE estimation utilizes the maximum estimation error equation of t-distribution that can be used in asymmetric distribution. For the analysis of optimal aggregation interval size, the aggregation interval size of individual vehicle travel time was only 3 minutes or more apart from the aggregation interval size of 1-2 minutes in which the collection of data was normally lost due to the signal stop in the interrupted traffic flow section. The aggregation interval that causes the missing part in the data collection causes another error in the missing data correction process and is excluded. As a result, the optimal aggregation interval for the minimum MSE was 3~5 minutes. Considering both the efficiency of the system operation and the improvement of the reliability of calculation of the travel time, it is effective to operate the basic aggregation interval as 5 minutes as usual and to reduce the aggregation interval to 3 minutes in case of congestion.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.256-263
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• 2002

This paper addresses a planning problem in a pickup-delivery transportation' system under dynamic vehicle dispatching. We present a procedure to determine a fleet size in which stochastic characteristics of vehicle travels are considered. Statistical approach and queueing theory are applied to estimate vehicle travel time and vehicle waiting time, based on which an appropriate fleet size is determined. Simulation experiments are performed to verify the proposed procedure.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.39 no.5 s.166
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• pp.395-403
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• 2006

This study suggests the use of a simple method, called the unit concentration response function(UCRF) for predicting travel time and dispersion of pollutants with the minimum information of study area instead of numerical models which are widely used In the Previous studies. However, the numerical models require time-consuming, tedious effort, and many data sets. So we derive the UCRF using some components such as travel time, peak concentration, and passage time of pollutant etc. We use the regression equation for the estimations of components which were developed from the investigations of many river basins in USA. This study used the regression equaiton for the UCRF to the accident of Dichloromethane leak into the Nakdong River occurred on June 30, 1994 and applied the UCRF for the predictions of travel time and dispersion. The predictions were compared with the results by QUAL2E model. The results by the regression equaiton and QUAL2E model had a good agreement between observed and simulated concentrations. Therefore, the regression equation for the UCRF which can simply estimate travel time and concentration of pollutants showed its applicability for the ungaged basin.

• The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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• v.38 no.2
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• pp.79-101
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• 2007

The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of the Songieong Beach in Off-season, using a Individual Travel Cost Model(ITCM). Songieong Beach is located in Busan but far away from city. These days, however, the increased rate of traffic inflow to the Songieong beach and the five-day working week are reflected in the trend analysis. Moreover, people have changed psychological value. For that reason, visitors are on the increase on the beach in off-season. The ITCM is applied to estimate non-market value or environmental Good like a Contingent Valuation Method and Hedonic Price Model etc. The ITCM was derived from the Count Data Model(i.e. Poisson and Negative Binomial model). So this paper compares Poisson and negative binomial count data models to measure the tourism demands. The data for the study were collected from the Songjeong Beach on visitors over the a week from November 1 through November 23, 2006. Interviewers were instructed to interview only individuals. So the sample was taken in 113. A dependent variable that is defined on the non-negative integers and subject to sampling truncation is the result of a truncated count data process. This paper analyzes the effects of determinants on visitors' demand for exhibition using a class of maximum-likelihood regression estimators for count data from truncated samples, The count data and truncated models are used primarily to explain non-negative integer and truncation properties of tourist trips as suggested by the economic valuation literature. The results suggest that the truncated negative binomial model is improved overdispersion problem and more preferred than the other models in the study. This paper is not the same as the others. One thing is that Estimating Value of the Beach in off-season. The other thing is this study emphasizes in particular 'travel cost' that is not only monetary cost but also including opportunity cost of 'travel time'. According to the truncated negative binomial model, estimates the Consumer Surplus(CS) values per trip of about 199,754 Korean won and the total economic value was estimated to be 1,288,680 Korean won.

• Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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• v.6 no.2
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• pp.71-76
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• 2003

Accurate estimation of the first arrival travel time is an essential task to obtain a high resolution velocity tomogram. Accuracy of the travel time estimation may be influenced by two factors; geological and mechanical. A serious mechanical factor is the source firing control problems. We found the control problems in the records generated by tome impulsive borehole sources. The problems are; irregular firing control and uncertainty in estimation of the absolute firing-times shown in records. Definitely, the time difference will introduce an error to the first arrival times, and accordingly; it will cause some distortion in the resulting velocity tomogram. A method to determine the firing time is suggested here. The method determines the optimum onset time by comparing the horizontal and the NMO velocity with various amount of delay time adjustment.

• International conference on construction engineering and project management
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• 2024.07a
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• pp.242-246
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• 2024

Automated route planning is an important tool in the field of built environment. For example, a high-quality route planning method can improve the logistics planning of projects, thereby enhancing the performance of projects and the effectiveness of management. However, the traditional automated route planning is performed based on the predicted mean value travel time of candidate routes. Such a point estimate neglects the purpose of the trip and can further lead to a suboptimal decision. Motivated by this challenge, this study proposes an innovative framework for trip purpose based route planning. The proposed artificial intelligence and stochastic optimization framework recommends the most appropriate travel route for decision makers by fully considering their trip requirements beyond just the shortest mean value travel time. In addition to its theoretical contributions, our proposed route planning method will also contribute to the current logistics planning practice. Future research may be devoted to the real-life implementation of the proposed methodology in a broader context to provide empirical insights for practitioners in various industries.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.33 no.4
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• pp.393-404
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• 2015

Gravity model has had the major problem that the model explains the characteristics of travel behavior with only deterrence factors such as travel time or cost. In modern society, travel behavior can be affected not only deterrence factors but also zonal characteristics or transportation service. Therefore, those features have to be considered to estimate the future travel demand accurately. In this regard, there are two primary aims of this study: 1. to identify the characteristics of inter-zonal travel, 2. to develop the new type of calibration method. By employing accessibility variable which can explain the manifold pattern of trip, we define the zonal travel behavior newly. Furthermore, we suggest 2-phase calibration method, since existing calibration method cannot find the optimum solution when organizing the deterrence function with the new variables. The new method proceeds with 2 steps; step 1.estimating deterrence parameter, step 2. finding balancing factors. The validation results with RMSE, E-norm, C.R show that this study model explains the inter-zonal travel pattern adequately and estimate the O/D pairs precisely than existing gravity model. Especially, the problem with estimation of short distance trip is overcomed. In conclusion, it is possible to draw the conclusion that this study suggests the possibility of improvement for trip distribution model.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• v.1
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• pp.387-392
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• 2006

In the environment where AGVs(Automated Guided Vehicles) operate concurrently in limited space, collisions. deadlocks, and livelocks which have negative effect on the productivity of AGVs occure more frequently. The accelerated motion of an AGV is also the factor that make the AGV routing more difficult because the accelerated motion makes it difficult to estimate the vehicle's exact travel time. In this study, we propose methods of avoiding collisions, deadlocks, and livelocks using OAR(Occupancy Area Reservation) table, and selecting best route by estimating the travel time of an AGV in accelerated motion. A time-driven simulation validated the effectiveness of the proposed methods.