• Title/Summary/Keyword: equivalent period

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A Study of Business Cycle Index Using Dynamic Factor Model (동태적 요인모형을 이용한 경기동행지수 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Na, In-Gang;Sonn, Yang-Hoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.903-924
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    • 2000
  • This paper examines the alternative method to measure the state of overall economic activity. The macroeconomic variables, used for business cycle, take more than a month after a period for collection and aggregation. The electricity generation data is compiled in mechanical ways just after the period. Based on this fact, we develop the two stage estimation method for coincident economic indicators in order to detect the business cycle in an earlier period, using Stock-Watson's Dynamic Factor Model. Using monthly data from 1970 to 1999, it is found that the experimental coincidence economic indicators are well-fitted to data and also that the estimates of two stage estimation method have good explanatory power, equivalent to the experimental coincidence economic indicators. While the RMSE of coincidence economic indicators is found to be 1.27%, that of the experimental coincidence economic indicators is found to be 1.31% and that of the two stage estimation method is around 1.44%. If we take consideration into the fact that it measures the business cycle in one month earlier, we come to the conclusion that the two stage estimation is of great use.

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Analysis of the February 2014 East Coast Heavy SnowFall Case Due to Blocking (블로킹에 의한 2014년 2월 동해안 지방 폭설 분석)

  • Bae, Jeong-Ho;Min, Ki-Hong
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.227-241
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    • 2016
  • This study investigated the cause of the heavy snowfall that occurred in the East Coast of Korea from 6 February to 14 February 2014. The synoptic conditions were analyzed using blocking index, equivalent potential temperature, potential vorticity, maritime temperature difference, temperature advection, and ground convergence. During the case period, a large blocking pattern developed over the Western Pacific causing the flow to be stagnant, and there was a North-South oriented High-to-Low pressure system over the Korean Peninsula because of this arrangement. The case period was divided into three parts based on the synoptic forcing that was responsible for the heavy snowfall; detailed analyses were conducted for the first and last period. In the first period, a heavy snowfall occurred over the entire Korean Peninsula due to strong updrafts from baroclinic instability and a low pressure caused by potential vorticity located at the mid-troposphere. In the lower atmosphere, a North-South oriented High-to-Low pressure system over the Eastern Korea intensified the easterly airflow and created a convergence zone near the ground which strengthened the upslope effect of the Taebaek Mountain range with a cumulative fresh snowfall amount of 41 cm in the East Coast region. In the last period, the cold air nestled in the Maritime Province of Siberia and Manchuria strengthened much more than that in the first half and extended to the East Sea. The temperature difference between the 850 hPa air and the SST was large and convective clouds developed over the sea. The highest cumulative fresh snow amount of 39.7 cm was recorded in the coastal area during this period. During the entire period, vertically oriented equivalent potential temperature showed neutral stability layer that helped the cloud formation and development in the East Coast. The 2014 heavy snowfall case over the East Coast provinces of Korea were due to: 1) stagnation of the system by blocking pattern, 2) the dynamic effect of mid-level potential vorticity of 1.6 PVU, 3) the easterly air flow from North-South oriented High-to-Low pressure system, 4) the existence of vertically oriented neutral stable layer, and 5) the expansion of strong cold air into the East Sea which created a large temperature difference between the air and the ocean.

Feasibility Studies on Anaerobic Sequencing Batch Retractor for Sludge Treatment

  • Duk Chang;Joo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.125-136
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    • 1992
  • Digestion of a municipal wastewater sludge by the anaerobic sequencing batch reactor (ASBR) was investigated to evaluate the performance of the ASBR process at a critical condition of high-solids-content fined. The reactors were operated at an HRT of 10 days with an equivalent loading rate of 0.8-1.5 gVS/L/d at 35$^{\circ}C$ The main conclusions drawn from this study were as follows: 1. Digestion of a municipal wastewater sludge was possible using the ASBR in spite of high concentration of settleable solids in the sludge. The ASBRS with 3- and 4-day cycle period showed almost identical high digestion performances. 2. No adverse effect on digestion stability was observed In the ASBRS in spite of withdrawal and replenishment of 30% or 40% of liquid contents. A conventional anaerobic digester could be easily converted to the ASBR without any stability problem. 3. Flotation thickening occurred in thicken step of the ASBRS throughout steady state, and floating bed volume at the end of thicken period occupied about 70% of the working volume of the reactor Efficiency of flotation thickening in the ASBRS could be comparable to that of additional gravity thickening of a completely mixed digester. 4. Solids were accumulated rapidly in the ASBR during start-up period. Solids concentrations in the ASBRS were 2.6 times higher than that in the completely mixed control reactor at steady state. Dehydrogenase activity had a strong correlation with the solids concentration. Dehydrogenase activity of the digested flu형e in the ASBR was 2.9 times higher than that of the flu형e in the control reactor, and about 25 times higher than that of the subnatant in the ASBR. 5. Remarkable increase in equivalent gas production of 52% was observed at the ASBRS compared with the control reactor in spite of similar quality of clarified effluent from the ASBRS and control reactor. The increase in gas production from the ASBRS was believed to be combined results of accumulation of microorganisms, higher driving force applied, and additional long-term degradation of organics continuously accumulated.

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Beat tuning of Silla Great Bell (신라대종의 맥놀이 조절)

  • Kim, Seockhyun;Lee, Joong Hyeok
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.194-201
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    • 2017
  • Silla Great Bell was made to reproduce King Seongdeok Divine Bell and it was restored to have the same structure and patterns. The most difficult problem was to reproduce the magnificent striking sound and dynamic hum tone with strong beat like in King Seongdeok Divine Bell. Especially, beating sound is attributed to the uncontrollable asymmetry occurring in the casting process, so it can not be predicted or controlled before casting. In this study, we introduce the method and process to make Silla Great Bell have a strong beat with a proper period. Position conditions of mode pairs and striking point for a strong beat were identified. Bell thickness was locally decreased to make proper period of beat. The process was performed according to the simulation result of an equivalent bell model. As a result, the original weak and long beat was made to a strong beat with a proper period.

Beat control method of Korean bells using artificial dumshoi (인공 덤쇠를 이용한 한국종의 맥놀이 조절법)

  • Kim, Seockhyun;Lee, Jae Ho
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.192-200
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    • 2021
  • Korean bell is a macroscopically axi-symmetrical structure, but has a slight asymmetry due to complex patterns and casting irregularity. Small asymmetry separates one vibration mode into a mode pair with slight frequency difference. The mode pair interferes and creates a beat. The vivid beat with an appropriate period makes the bell sound magnificent and lively feeling. In this study, we propose a method to make the vivid beat using artificial dumshoi. This method creates the vivid beat by designing artificial dumshoi that overwhelms the bell asymmetry. To this end, the asymmetry of Korean bell is quantified by analyzing the beat period data of a number of Korean bells cast in modern times. Based on the measured beat period data, the magnitude of asymmetry is quantified using an equivalent bell model and artificial dumshoi is applied. The movement of mode pair by dumshoi is predicted through finite element analysis. Finally, a design example of the artificial dumshoi for clear beat is introduced.

A Study on Reliability Estimation for Fatigue Life of the Spider from a Drum Washing Machine (드럼 세탁기 Spider의 피로수명 신뢰성 평가에 대한 연구)

  • 이성민;조상봉;조성진;김영수;강동우;정연수;정보선
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.46-49
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    • 2004
  • The spider of a drum washing machine receives the repeated fatigue loadings during laundering. Although the spider is designed statically safely, it often happens fatigue failure. Therefore it requires the safe design for fatigue and needs the prediction of quantitative fatigue life. The S-N diagram for a spider material is developed by fatigue test and statistical analysis. The stresses are measured directly from strain gages on the spider. To predict the fatigue life of spider, the rainflow counting method and Miner's rule are used. The data for fatigue life are analyzed statistically. From these data, reliability estimation for fatigue life can be done and also, equivalent fatigue life can be obtained. It will be applied to make and improve to a short period for design and prototype test.

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An Efficient Revenue/Profit Evaluation Method Based on Probabilistic Production Costing Technique (확률적 운전비계산 모형에 기초한 발전기 수입/순익 평가 방법론 개발)

  • 박종배;신중린;김민수;전영환
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.51 no.12
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    • pp.638-646
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents an efficient algorithm for evaluating the Profit and revenue of generating units in a competitive electricity market based on the probabilistic production costing technique. The accurate evaluation of the profit and revenue of generating units for long-term perspectives is one of the most important issues in a competitive electricity market environment. For efficient calculation of the profit and revenue of generating units under the equivalent load duration curve(ELDC), a new approach to figure out the marginal plants and the corresponding market clearing prices during a time period in a probabilistic manner is developed. The mathematical formulation and illustrative application of the suggested method is presented.

Equivalent Network Approach of Planar DFB (Distributed-Feedback) guiding Structures (평면 DFB (Distributed-Feedback) 전송구조의 등가 전송선로 해석법)

  • Kim, June-Hwan;Ho, Kwang-Chun;Kim, Yung-Kwon
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.2 no.1 s.2
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    • pp.108-113
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    • 1998
  • By using an equivalent network based on Floquet's theorem and bisection principle, the optical properties of planar DFB guiding structure are evaluated. The optical parameters, such as Bragg condition and the reflectivity as a function of grating period, are numerically calculated. The numerical results reveal that this method offers a simple and convenient algorithm to analyze the optical characteristics of DFB configurations.

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A Study on the Equivalent Static Analysis of Unreinforced Masonry Buildings (비보강 조적조 건물의 등가 정적 해석에 관한 연구)

  • 정상훈;김관중;김희철
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2000
  • 우리 나라의 주거 건물의 많은 부분을 차지하는 조적조 건물은 저층이므로 내진 설계에 대한 지침이 마련되어 있지 않다. 그러나 조적조 건물의 경우 저층이라 하더라도 구조특성상 수평하중에 대한 저항능력이 매우 약하므로 내진 설계에 대한 기준이 요구된다. 일반적으로 내진설계 시 동적 해석을 수행하면 많은 시간이 소모되므로 실무자들에게 등가정적해석법을 제시하여 내진설계 시 편의를 제공하고 있다. 그러나 저층 조적조 건물은 일반적인 건물과는 거동 특성이 다르므로 저층 조적조 건물에 적용할 수 있는 해석법을 제시하고자 한다. 본 논문에서는 개구부의 비율에 따른 조적벽의 연성도, 강도 및 고유주기를 구하여 반응수정계수와 고유주기를 비교하여 우리 나라의 조적조 건물에 적합한 반응수정계수와 고유주기 산정식을 제안하였다.

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The Distribution Characteristics of Salt Contaminants with Statistical Method in East Coast (통계적 처리방법을 이용한 동해안 염해 오손물의 분포특성)

  • Choi, Nam-Ho;Park, Kang-Sik;Han, Sang-Ok
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers C
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.130-135
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, the distribution characteristics of salt contaminants with the distance from sea in East coast, from Sokcho to Pusan of Korea peninsula were investigated to evaluate the design standard of KEPCO. To get the equivalent salt deposit density(ESDD), conventional brush wiping method was used. As the measuring period is comparatively short, and the measuring interval is long to check the maximum value, acquired ESDD data is very lower than the recommended value in the standard. The measured data didn't follow normal distribution, so it should take the statistical treatment. Through normalizing method, we could get a reliable probability data. In the past investigation, the accumulation characteristics of Japan is consulted to set the criterion, but the climatic condition of Korea is different to Japan. With the comparison of precipitation data and some measured data for long tern accumulation, we could set appropriate accumulation factor.

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