• 제목/요약/키워드: environmental prediction model

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식물생산시스템의 다목적 환경예측 모델의 개발 -기본 시스템 구축 및 응용- (Development of a Multipurpose-Oriented Environmental Prediction Model for Plant Production System - Construction of the Basic System and its Application -)

  • 손정익;이동근;김문기
    • 생물환경조절학회지
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.126-135
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    • 1993
  • Recently, the characteristic of plant production systems in Korea has been changed with the strong trends of integration and large scale, using environmental control techniques. To satisfy this change successfully, first of all, the environmental prediction inside the system must be preceded. While many environmental prediction models for plant production system were developed by many persons, each model cannot be applied to the every situation without the perfect understanding of source codes and the technical modification. The purpose of this study is building the environmental prediction model to predict and evaluate the environment inside the system numerically, and also developing the multipurpose program available for practical design. The model consisted of the basic system model, the cultivation related model and the environmental control related model. The contents of each model are as follows : the basic system model is dealing with thermal and light environments, soil environment and ventilation : the cultivation related model with soil and hydroponic cultures ; and the environmental control related model with thermal curtain and heat exchanging system. The environmental prediction model was developed using a common simulation program, PCSMP, so that it could be easily understood and modified by anyone. Finally, the model was executed and verified through comparison between simulated and measured results for soil culture, and both results showed good agreements.

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Framework for improving the prediction rate with respect to outdoor thermal comfort using machine learning

  • Jeong, Jaemin;Jeong, Jaewook;Lee, Minsu;Lee, Jaehyun
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2022
  • Most of the construction works are conducted outdoors, so the construction workers are affected by weather conditions such as temperature, humidity, and wind velocity which can be evaluated the thermal comfort as environmental factors. In our previous researches, it was found that construction accidents are usually occurred in the discomfort ranges. The safety management, therefore, should be planned in consideration of the thermal comfort and measured by a specialized simulation tool. However, it is very complex, time-consuming, and difficult to model. To address this issue, this study is aimed to develop a framework of a prediction model for improving the prediction accuracy about outdoor thermal comfort considering environmental factors using machine learning algorithms with hyperparameter tuning. This study is done in four steps: i) Establishment of database, ii) Selection of variables to develop prediction model, iii) Development of prediction model; iv) Conducting of hyperparameter tuning. The tree type algorithm is used to develop the prediction model. The results of this study are as follows. First, considering three variables related to environmental factor, the prediction accuracy was 85.74%. Second, the prediction accuracy was 86.55% when considering four environmental factors. Third, after conducting hyperparameter tuning, the prediction accuracy was increased up to 87.28%. This study has several contributions. First, using this prediction model, the thermal comfort can be calculated easily and quickly. Second, using this prediction model, the safety management can be utilized to manage the construction accident considering weather conditions.

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환경영향평가시 도로교통소음예측에 관한 개선방안 연구 (A Study on the Improvement of the Road Traffic Noise Prediction for Environmental Impact Assessment)

  • 이내현;박영민;선우영
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.297-304
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    • 2001
  • Recently the road traffic noise has appeared as a significant environmental issue because of dramatic increase of vehicles and expansion of newly constructed road. Therefore, this study proposes the method that improves prediction factors and models through analysis of the existing road traffic noise prediction model. Prediction factors can be improved by establishing guideline for diffraction attenuation and applying daily traffic discharge, peak traffic discharge, and average traveling speed through an analysis of level service. Prediction must be made by periods of one or five years during 20 years. Prediction models also can be improved to include better prediction model through setting the database, establishing functional relation between physical properties and noise levels by acoustic analysis, and developing models for road traffic noise prediction in residential areas.

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Artificial-Neural-Network-based Night Crime Prediction Model Considering Environmental Factors

  • Lee, Juwon;Jeong, Yongwook;Jung, Sungwon
    • Architectural research
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2022
  • As the occurrence of a crime is dependent on different factors, their correlations are beyond the ordinary cognitive range. Owing to this limitation, systems face difficulty in correlating various factors, thereby requiring the assistance of artificial intelligence (AI) to overcome such limitations. Therefore, AI has become indispensable for crime prediction. Crimes can cause severe and irrevocable damage to a society. Recently, big data has been introduced for developing highly accurate models for crime prediction. Prediction of night crimes should be given significant consideration, because crimes primarily occur during nights, when the spatiotemporal characteristics become vulnerable to crimes. Many environmental factors that influence crime rate are applied for crime prediction, and their influence on crime rate may differ based on temporal characteristics and the nature of crime. This study aims to identify the environmental factors that influence sex and theft crimes occurring at night and proposes an artificial neural network (ANN) model to predict sex and theft crimes at night in random areas. The crime data of A district in Seoul for 12 years (2004-2015) was used, and environmental factors that influence sex and theft crimes were derived through multiple regression analysis. Two types of crime prediction models were developed: Type A using all environmental factors as input data; Type B with only the significant factors (obtained from regression analysis) as input data. The Type B model exhibited a greater accuracy than Type A, by 3.26 and 9.47 % higher for theft and sex crimes, respectively.

실시간 기상자료를 이용한 다지점 강우 예측모형 연구 (A Study on Multi-site Rainfall Prediction Model using Real-time Meteorological Data)

  • 정재성;이장춘;박영기
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 1997
  • For the prediction of multi-site rainfall with radar data and ground meteorological data, a rainfall prediction model was proposed, which uses the neural network theory, a kind of artifical Intelligence technique. The Input layer of the prediction model was constructed with current ground meteorological data, their variation, moving vectors of rain- fall field and digital terrain of the measuring site, and the output layer was constructed with the predicted rainfall up to 3 hours. In the application of the prediction model to the Pyungchang river basin, the learning results of neural network prediction model showed more Improved results than the parameter estimation results of an existing physically based model. And the proposed model comparisonally well predicted the time distribution of ralnfall.

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Water Demand Forecasting by Characteristics of City Using Principal Component and Cluster Analyses

  • Choi, Tae-Ho;Kwon, O-Eun;Koo, Ja-Yong
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.135-140
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    • 2010
  • With the various urban characteristics of each city, the existing water demand prediction, which uses average liter per capita day, cannot be used to achieve an accurate prediction as it fails to consider several variables. Thus, this study considered social and industrial factors of 164 local cities, in addition to population and other directly influential factors, and used main substance and cluster analyses to develop a more efficient water demand prediction model that considers unique localities of each city. After clustering, a multiple regression model was developed that proved that the $R^2$ value of the inclusive multiple regression model was 0.59; whereas, those of Clusters A and B were 0.62 and 0.74, respectively. Thus, the multiple regression model was considered more reasonable and valid than the inclusive multiple regression model. In summary, the water demand prediction model using principal component and cluster analyses as the standards to classify localities has a better modification coefficient than that of the inclusive multiple regression model, which does not consider localities.

무궁화 열차 환경소음 예측모델 개발에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction Model Development for Environmental Noise of Mugungwha Train)

  • 조준호;김재철;최성훈;이찬우;한환수
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.366-371
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    • 2004
  • For the reduction and efficient management of railway noise, first of all prediction of railway noise is necessarily requisted. At home and abroad many studies for prediction of raiiway nearby noise have been accomplished. But it is impossible to predict easily and exactly for the Korean Railway, because the acoustic powers for each rolling stock operated in Korea have not been built yet. So in this study, prediction model equation for environmental noise for Korean rolling stock Mugungwha was suggested using SEL of engine and rolling noise component separately. In this prediction model, the number of car, distance from the rail can be considered. Finally for the validation of prediction nlodel equation, the predicted Leq was compared to the measured Leq.

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3차원 소음예측모델 및 입력변수 변화에 따른 도로소음 예측결과 검토에 대한 연구 (A Study for Examination of Road Noise Prediction Results According to 3-d Noise Prediction Models and Input Parameters)

  • 선효성
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.112-118
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    • 2014
  • The application of a 3-d noise prediction model is increasing as a tool for performing actual noise assessment in order to investigate the noise impact of the residential facility around a development region. However, because the appropriate plans of applying a 3-d noise prediction model is insufficient, it is important to secure the reliability of the noise prediction results generated by a 3-d noise prediction model. Therefore, this study is focused on examining a 3-d noise prediction model, and a prediction equation and input data in it. For this, the 3-d noise prediction models such as SoundPLAN, Cadna-A, IMMI is applied in road noise. After the contents of road noise equations, input data of road noise source, and input data of road noise barrier are understood, the road noise prediction results are compared and examined according to the variation of 3-d noise prediction model, road noise equation, and input data of road noise source and road noise barrier.

GloSea5 모형의 계절내-계절(S2S) 예측성 검정: Part 1. 북반구 중위도 지위고도 (Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Prediction Skills of GloSea5 Model: Part 1. Geopotential Height in the Northern Hemisphere Extratropics)

  • 김상욱;김혜라;송강현;손석우;임유나;강현석;현유경
    • 대기
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.233-245
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    • 2018
  • This study explores the Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) prediction skills of the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitude geopotential height in the Global Seasonal forecasting model version 5 (GloSea5) hindcast experiment. The prediction skills are quantitatively verified for the period of 1991~2010 by computing the Anomaly Correlation Coefficient (ACC) and Mean Square Skill Score (MSSS). GloSea5 model shows a higher prediction skill in winter than in summer at most levels regardless of verification methods. Quantitatively, the prediction limit diagnosed with ACC skill of 500 hPa geopotential height, averaged over $30^{\circ}N{\sim}90^{\circ}N$, is 11.0 days in winter, but only 9.1 days in summer. These prediction limits are primarily set by the planetary-scale eddy phase errors. The stratospheric prediction skills are typically higher than the tropospheric skills except in the summer upper-stratosphere where prediction skills are substantially lower than upper-troposphere. The lack of the summer upper-stratospheric prediction skill is caused by zonal mean error, perhaps strongly related to model mean bias in the stratosphere.

A Framework for developing the automated management system of environmental complaints in construction projects

  • Hong, Juwon;Kang, Hyuna;Hong, Taehoon;An, Jongbaek;Jung, Seunghoon
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 8th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.417-422
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    • 2020
  • Vast quantities of environmental pollutants from construction projects are causing significant damage to nearby local communities and thus generate environmental complaints. The construction company, responsible for compensating and resolving environmental complaints, suffers economic damages due to additional expenditures and schedule delays in construction projects. Meanwhile, the construction industry can stagnate from a broader perspective. Therefore, this study aimed to propose a framework for developing an automated management system which consists of two models for environmental complaints in construction projects: (i) the prediction model: a model for predicting environmental complaints based on factors related to environmental complaints; and (ii) the prevention model: a model for providing construction companies with the optimal prevention measure to effectively prevent environmental complaints according to the results of the prediction model. In addition, the algorithm for integrating the developed models into the management system in construction projects was proposed. Eventually, the application of the management system to construction projects can ensure the profitability of construction companies and mitigate damage from environmental pollutants to the nearby local community.

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