• Title/Summary/Keyword: ensemble method

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Investment, Export, and Exchange Rate on Prediction of Employment with Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosting Machine Learning Models (투자와 수출 및 환율의 고용에 대한 의사결정 나무, 랜덤 포레스트와 그래디언트 부스팅 머신러닝 모형 예측)

  • Chae-Deug Yi
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.281-299
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    • 2021
  • This paper analyzes the feasibility of using machine learning methods to forecast the employment. The machine learning methods, such as decision tree, artificial neural network, and ensemble models such as random forest and gradient boosting regression tree were used to forecast the employment in Busan regional economy. The following were the main findings of the comparison of their predictive abilities. First, the forecasting power of machine learning methods can predict the employment well. Second, the forecasting values for the employment by decision tree models appeared somewhat differently according to the depth of decision trees. Third, the predictive power of artificial neural network model, however, does not show the high predictive power. Fourth, the ensemble models such as random forest and gradient boosting regression tree model show the higher predictive power. Thus, since the machine learning method can accurately predict the employment, we need to improve the accuracy of forecasting employment with the use of machine learning methods.

Incorporating BERT-based NLP and Transformer for An Ensemble Model and its Application to Personal Credit Prediction

  • Sophot Ky;Ju-Hong Lee;Kwangtek Na
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2024
  • Tree-based algorithms have been the dominant methods used build a prediction model for tabular data. This also includes personal credit data. However, they are limited to compatibility with categorical and numerical data only, and also do not capture information of the relationship between other features. In this work, we proposed an ensemble model using the Transformer architecture that includes text features and harness the self-attention mechanism to tackle the feature relationships limitation. We describe a text formatter module, that converts the original tabular data into sentence data that is fed into FinBERT along with other text features. Furthermore, we employed FT-Transformer that train with the original tabular data. We evaluate this multi-modal approach with two popular tree-based algorithms known as, Random Forest and Extreme Gradient Boosting, XGBoost and TabTransformer. Our proposed method shows superior Default Recall, F1 score and AUC results across two public data sets. Our results are significant for financial institutions to reduce the risk of financial loss regarding defaulters.

Impact of Ensemble Member Size on Confidence-based Selection in Bankruptcy Prediction (부도예측을 위한 확신 기반의 선택 접근법에서 앙상블 멤버 사이즈의 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Na-Ra;Shin, Kyung-Shik;Ahn, Hyunchul
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.55-71
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    • 2013
  • The prediction model is the main factor affecting the performance of a knowledge-based system for bankruptcy prediction. Earlier studies on prediction modeling have focused on the building of a single best model using statistical and artificial intelligence techniques. However, since the mid-1980s, integration of multiple techniques (hybrid techniques) and, by extension, combinations of the outputs of several models (ensemble techniques) have, according to the experimental results, generally outperformed individual models. An ensemble is a technique that constructs a set of multiple models, combines their outputs, and produces one final prediction. The way in which the outputs of ensemble members are combined is one of the important issues affecting prediction accuracy. A variety of combination schemes have been proposed in order to improve prediction performance in ensembles. Each combination scheme has advantages and limitations, and can be influenced by domain and circumstance. Accordingly, decisions on the most appropriate combination scheme in a given domain and contingency are very difficult. This paper proposes a confidence-based selection approach as part of an ensemble bankruptcy-prediction scheme that can measure unified confidence, even if ensemble members produce different types of continuous-valued outputs. The present experimental results show that when varying the number of models to combine, according to the creation type of ensemble members, the proposed combination method offers the best performance in the ensemble having the largest number of models, even when compared with the methods most often employed in bankruptcy prediction.

An Ensemble Clustering Algorithm based on a Prior Knowledge (사전정보를 활용한 앙상블 클러스터링 알고리즘)

  • Ko, Song;Kim, Dae-Won
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.109-121
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    • 2009
  • Although a prior knowledge is a factor to improve the clustering performance, it is dependant on how to use of them. Especial1y, when the prior knowledge is employed in constructing initial centroids of cluster groups, there should be concerned of similarities of a prior knowledge. Despite labels of some objects of a prior knowledge are identical, the objects whose similarities are low should be separated. By separating them, centroids of initial group were not fallen in a problem which is collision of objects with low similarities. There can use the separated prior knowledge by various methods such as various initializations. To apply association rule, proposed method makes enough cluster group number, then the centroids of initial groups could constructed by separated prior knowledge. Then ensemble of the various results outperforms what can not be separated.

Condition Monitoring of Low Speed Slewing Bearings Based on Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition Method

  • Caesarendra, W.;Park, J.H.;Choi, B.H.;Kosasih, P.B.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2012.10a
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    • pp.388-393
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    • 2012
  • Vibration condition monitoring at low rotational speeds is still a challenge. Acoustic emission (AE) is the most used technique when dealing with low speed bearings. At low rotational speeds, the energy induced from surface contact between raceway and rolling elements is very weak and sometimes buried by interference frequencies. This kind of issue is difficult to solve using vibration monitoring. Therefore some researchers utilize artificial damage on inner race or outer race to simplify the case. This paper presents vibration signal analysis of low speed slewing bearings running at a low rotational speed of 15 rpm. The natural damage data from industrial practice is used. The fault frequencies of bearings are difficult to identify using a power spectrum. Therefore the relatively improved method of empirical mode decomposition (EMD), ensemble EMD (EEMD) is employed. The result is can detect the fault frequencies when the FFT fail to do it.

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Boosted Regression Method based on Rejection Limits for Large-Scale Data (대량 데이터를 위한 제한거절 기반의 회귀부스팅 기법)

  • Kwon, Hyuk-Ho;Kim, Seung-Wook;Choi, Dong-Hoon;Lee, Kichun
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.263-269
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to challenge a computational regression-type problem, that is handling large-size data, in which conventional metamodeling techniques often fail in a practical sense. To solve such problems, regression-type boosting, one of ensemble model techniques, together with bootstrapping-based re-sampling is a reasonable choice. This study suggests weight updates by the amount of the residual itself and a new error decision criterion which constructs an ensemble model of models selectively chosen by rejection limits. Through these ideas, we propose AdaBoost.RMU.R as a metamodeling technique suitable for handling large-size data. To assess the performance of the proposed method in comparison to some existing methods, we used 6 mathematical problems. For each problem, we computed the average and the standard deviation of residuals between real response values and predicted response values. Results revealed that the average and the standard deviation of AdaBoost.RMU.R were improved than those of other algorithms.

Light-weight Gender Classification and Age Estimation based on Ensemble Multi-tasking Deep Learning (앙상블 멀티태스킹 딥러닝 기반 경량 성별 분류 및 나이별 추정)

  • Huy Tran, Quoc Bao;Park, JongHyeon;Chung, SunTae
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.39-51
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    • 2022
  • Image-based gender classification and age estimation of human are classic problems in computer vision. Most of researches in this field focus just only one task of either gender classification or age estimation and most of the reported methods for each task focus on accuracy performance and are not computationally light. Thus, running both tasks together simultaneously on low cost mobile or embedded systems with limited cpu processing speed and memory capacity are practically prohibited. In this paper, we propose a novel light-weight gender classification and age estimation method based on ensemble multitasking deep learning with light-weight processing neural network architecture, which processes both gender classification and age estimation simultaneously and in real-time even for embedded systems. Through experiments over various well-known datasets, it is shown that the proposed method performs comparably to the state-of-the-art gender classification and/or age estimation methods with respect to accuracy and runs fast enough (average 14fps) on a Jestson Nano embedded board.

A Study on Recognition of Moving Object Crowdedness Based on Ensemble Classifiers in a Sequence (혼합분류기 기반 영상내 움직이는 객체의 혼잡도 인식에 관한 연구)

  • An, Tae-Ki;Ahn, Seong-Je;Park, Kwang-Young;Park, Goo-Man
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.37 no.2A
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 2012
  • Pattern recognition using ensemble classifiers is composed of strong classifier which consists of many weak classifiers. In this paper, we used feature extraction to organize strong classifier using static camera sequence. The strong classifier is made of weak classifiers which considers environmental factors. So the strong classifier overcomes environmental effect. Proposed method uses binary foreground image by frame difference method and the boosting is used to train crowdedness model and recognize crowdedness using features. Combination of weak classifiers makes strong ensemble classifier. The classifier could make use of potential features from the environment such as shadow and reflection. We tested the proposed system with road sequence and subway platform sequence which are included in "AVSS 2007" sequence. The result shows good accuracy and efficiency on complex environment.

Field observation of sediment suspension in the surf zone (쇄파대의 저질부유에 관한 현지관측)

  • 신승호;율산서소
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.141-146
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    • 2003
  • Time seres of suspended sediment concentration, surface elevation and velocity were measured and analysed to investigate the role of waves and the predominance of infra-gravity wave component for sediment suspension phenomena in the surf zone. For the investigation in detail, we adopted the cross spectral analysis method between sediment concentration and the characteristic values of wave, and ensemble average analysis method about long-period wave component, which is dominant to sediment suspension in the measurement point. The obtained results are summarized as follows: 1) The relationship between sediment concentration and the characteristic values of wave is stronger for the long-period standing wave components(about 60s and 30s) than the long wave components(about 100s), which have the most energetic power, 2) and also, it is cleared that sediment concentration is increased in the case of the phase, the velocity components of the first mode long-period standing wave(60sec) were accelerated toward on-shore direction, that is, the water surface in offshore side is higher than on-shore side.

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Logistic Regression Ensemble Method for Extracting Significant Information from Social Texts (소셜 텍스트의 주요 정보 추출을 위한 로지스틱 회귀 앙상블 기법)

  • Kim, So Hyeon;Kim, Han Joon
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.279-284
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    • 2017
  • Currenty, in the era of big data, text mining and opinion mining have been used in many domains, and one of their most important research issues is to extract significant information from social media. Thus in this paper, we propose a logistic regression ensemble method of finding the main body text from blog HTML. First, we extract structural features and text features from blog HTML tags. Then we construct a classification model with logistic regression and ensemble that can decide whether any given tags involve main body text or not. One of our important findings is that the main body text can be found through 'depth' features extracted from HTML tags. In our experiment using diverse topics of blog data collected from the web, our tag classification model achieved 99% in terms of accuracy, and it recalled 80.5% of documents that have tags involving the main body text.