• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제15권6호
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• pp.3944-3949
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• 2014

본 논문은 대구광역시 중구 서성동 일대의 도시형한옥 밀집지역을 대상으로 물리적 공간적 변화를 파악하고자 했으며, 특히 이 지역이 한옥주택들이 밀집된 지역으로서의 동질성과 연속성을 상실하고 해체되어 가는 그 과정을 살펴보고 체계적으로 이해하고자 했다. 도시환경을 열악하게 전환시키는 물리적인 행위 그리고 이에 연계된 행태적 변화는 기존 전통공간 구조의 파괴를 가져오고 결국 공존할 수 없는 상황이 연출되게 된다. 이 논문은 도시재생을 위한 전략으로서 한옥보존의 가치를 재고하고 구체적인 실천전략을 마련하기 위해 법적 제도적 장치가 조성되지 않은 대구시 서성동의 사례를 중요한 학술자료로 구축하고자 했다. 역사적 환경에서 도시한옥이 지니고 있는 현대적 매력은 역사적 연속성을 유지하는 동시에 도시재생을 위한 유효한 전략으로 판단된다.

• 대기
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• 제20권3호
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• pp.379-386
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• 2010

현재 지구온난화로 인하여 산악 및 육상 빙하가 녹고 있으며, 이는 해수의 순환변화를 초래한다. 온난화는 또한 몬순의 변화를 일으켜 집중호우, 홍수, 가뭄등의 빈도수와 지속기간을 증가 시킨다. 특히 온난화로 인한 집중호우의 증가는 해양으로 유기탄소의 유입을 증가시켜 해양은 더욱 더 이산화탄소 농도가 높아지며 해수는 부식성이 강하며 산성화 되어 생물체를 죽이며 궁극적으로 생물 다양성이 감소된다. 현재처럼 이산화탄소를 계속 배출할 경우 미래의 해양은 산성화되어 탄산칼슘으로 구성된 생물체의 각을 녹여 생물체가 죽으며, 이는 먹이사슬의 변화를 초래해 생태계에 부정적인 영향을 미친다. 만약 현재처럼 이산화탄소를 배출할 경우 IPCC 의 예측처럼 2100년까지 $6^{\circ}C$ 상승하며, 이는 열 염분순환을 중지시켜 생물체의 대량 멸종을 초래 할 수 있다(Stokstad, 2002).

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
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• pp.268-272
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• 2010

The research presented here represents a collaborative effort with the SFWMD on developing scenarios for future climate for the SFWMD area. The project focuses on developing methodology for simulating precipitation representing both natural quasi-oscillatory modes of variability in these climate variables and also the secular trends projected by the IPCC scenarios that are publicly available. This study specifically provides the results for precipitation modeling. The starting point for the modeling was the work of Tebaldi et al that is considered one of the benchmarks for bias correction and model combination in this context. This model was extended in the framework of a Hierarchical Bayesian Model (HBM) to formally and simultaneously consider biases between the models and observations over the historical period and trends in the observations and models out to the end of the 21st century in line with the different ensemble model simulations from the IPCC scenarios. The low frequency variability is modeled using the previously developed Wavelet Autoregressive Model (WARM), with a correction to preserve the variance associated with the full series from the HBM projections. The assumption here is that there is no useful information in the IPCC models as to the change in the low frequency variability of the regional, seasonal precipitation. This assumption is based on a preliminary analysis of these models historical and future output. Thus, preserving the low frequency structure from the historical series into the future emerges as a pragmatic goal. We find that there are significant biases between the observations and the base case scenarios for precipitation. The biases vary across models, and are shrunk using posterior maximum likelihood to allow some models to depart from the central tendency while allowing others to cluster and reduce biases by averaging. The projected changes in the future precipitation are small compared to the bias between model base run and observations and also relative to the inter-annual and decadal variability in the precipitation.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.153-184
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• 2015

Most damaging earthquakes come as complex sequences characterized by strong aftershocks, sometimes by foreshocks and often by multiple mainshocks. Complex earthquake sequences have enormous seismic hazard, engineering and societal implications as their impact on buildings and infrastructures may be much more severe at the end of the sequence than just after the mainshock. In this paper we examine whether historical sources can help characterizing the rare earthquake sequences of pre-instrumental times in full, including fore-, main- and aftershocks. Thanks to the its huge documentary heritage, Italy relies on one of the richest parametric earthquake catalogues worldwide. Unfortunately most current methods for assessing seismic hazard require that earthquake catalogues be declustered by removing all shocks that bear some dependency with those identified as mainshocks. We maintain that this requirement has led most modern historical seismologists to focus mainly on mainshocks rather than also on the fore- and aftershocks. To shed light onto major earthquake sequences of the past, rather than onto individual mainshocks, we investigated 10 damaging earthquake sequences ($M_w$ 4.7-7.0) that hit the L'Aquila area and central Abruzzo from the 14th to the 20th century. We find that most of the results of historical research are important for modern seismology, yet their rendering by the current parametric catalogues causes most information to be lost or not easily transferred to the potential users. For this reason we advocate a change in current strategies and the creation of a more flexible standard for storing and using all the information made available by historical seismology.

• 한국농림기상학회지
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.275-280
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• 2015

미래 기후조건에서 농업부문 가뭄양상을 전망하기 위해 우리나라 농업의 중심지인 전주지역을 대상으로 1951-2100 기간의 기후변화시나리오(RCP8.5) 일자료를 이용하여 토양의 물수지에 근거한 농업가뭄지수를 계산하였다. 계산결과는 과거(1951-1980), 현재(1981-2010), 그리고 3개의 미래 기후학적 평년기간(2011-2040, 2041-2070, 2071-2100)으로 분류하여 분석하였다. 그 결과 과거부터 현재까지 계절적으로 가장 부족한 이른봄의 토양수분은 점차 개선되어 금세기말이면 수분부족현상이 해소될 것으로 전망되며, 봄철 가뭄발생빈도 역시 지금보다 줄어들어 이른봄에는 가뭄이 거의 나타나지 않을 것이다. 반면 여름작물 생육기간에는 토양수분상태가 악화되며 가뭄발생빈도가 대체로 증가할 것으로 전망되었다.

• Membrane and Water Treatment
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.1-11
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• 2019

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) predicted that recent extreme hydrological events would affect water quality and aggravate various forms of water pollution. To analyze changes in water quality due to future climate change, input data (precipitation, average temperature, relative humidity, average wind speed and sunlight) were established using the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 8.5 climate change scenario suggested by the AR5 and calculated the future runoff for each target period (Reference:1989-2015; I: 2016-2040; II: 2041-2070; and III: 2071-2099) using the semi-distributed land use-based runoff processes (SLURP) model. Meteorological factors that affect water quality (precipitation, temperature and runoff) were inputted into the multiple linear regression analysis (MLRA) and artificial neural network (ANN) models to analyze water quality data, dissolved oxygen (DO), biological oxygen demand (BOD), chemical oxygen demand (COD), suspended solids (SS), total nitrogen (T-N) and total phosphorus (T-P). Future water quality prediction of the Anseongcheon River basin shows that DO at Gongdo station in the river will drop by 35% in autumn by the end of the $21^{st}$ century and that BOD, COD and SS will increase by 36%, 20% and 42%, respectively. Analysis revealed that the oxygen demand at Dongyeongyo station will decrease by 17% in summer and BOD, COD and SS will increase by 30%, 12% and 17%, respectively. This study suggests that there is a need to continuously monitor the water quality of the Anseongcheon River basin for long-term management. A more reliable prediction of future water quality will be achieved if various social scenarios and climate data are taken into consideration.

• 국제지역연구
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.602-616
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• 2009

현재 세계경제는 EU, NAFTA라는 거대 지역블럭의 출현으로 지역경제통합체를 통한 국제경제 질서가 재편되고 있다. 이러한 세계 경제의 혁신적 변화인 지역경제통합을 최초로 시도한 곳은 유럽으로서 현재 경제적 통합을 넘어 단일 헌법을 통한 정치적 통합까지 추진하고 있다. 유럽의 지역경제통합은 최초의 지역통합체적 성격을 가진 유럽석탄 철강 공동체(ECSC)를 시작으로 전후 경제 발전과 평화정착을 목표로 하나의 단일 유럽경제권 창설을 추진하였다. 그리고 유럽경제공동체(EEC), 유럽공동체(EC)를 거쳐 완전한 유럽통합을 추구하는 유럽연합(EU)을 통해 세계 최대경제권으로 발전해 나가고 있다. 2001년 니스조약 이후 EU의 외연 확대정책에 따라 중 동유럽국들의 대대적인 EU가입이 이루어져 현재 회원국의 수는 27개국으로 크게 늘어났다. 이런 상황에서 중력모형을 이론적 근거로 하여 임의효과모형과 고정효과모형을 통해 중 동유럽국들이 EU에 가입함에 따른 무역창출효과를 분석하였다. 그 결과, 중 동유럽국들이 EU 회원국이 됨으로써 기존의 EU회원국들과 중 동 유럽국들 간 그리고 신규 회원국인 중 동 유럽국들 사이에 27.4%의 무역창출효과가 유발되는 것으로 고정효과모형을 통해 추정되었다.

• 미술이론과 현장
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• 제14호
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• pp.53-83
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• 2012

This thesis is a study of artistic measures and climate refugees, based on Hack's World Climate Refugee Camp project. According to Hack, climate refugees appeared with the process of globalization. Hack claimed that the people who put climate refugees in danger are the industrialized nations, and therefore, their rejection of refugees is nonsense. He also stated that the fundamental solution would be the active participation of such nations. Thus, he travels around the world, encouraging participants and globalizing his project. Interestingly, the practical participation method of his climate calamity project is divided into four methods, which are all related to realizing the danger and presenting various solutions. First, the aesthetic of survival: the reason Hack focused on the warming trend and claimed that we have to accept the climate refugees as refugees comes from the thought that we are all potential refugees, and the anxiety that climate refugees may cause war in the end. The solution Hack found for surviving in such a world is to create "refugee camps" to notify people about the seriousness of climate change, and to put the "aesthetic for survival" in action. Second, a relation-oriented relationship: communication between Hack and the participants was done in various ways. They are experiencing a bond and emotions of an interrelationship through their actions in the experimental field, experiencing a new form of art, which they were not able to experience in a museum. Third, a utopian measure: Hack's utopian measure started from the fear of dystopia but Hack still believes that it is not only a dream, but that it can be realized. He claims that even though the start may be feeble, it is possible to rescue children from starvation and to treat climate refugees as proper human in the end, when communication and cooperation is done the right way and properly. Fourth, the aesthetic of global relation, the internet: the new solution Hack is trying on the internet is to make more people participate in his project. It is fate that "human are the wrongdoer and the victim at the same time", but according to Hack's opinion, social disaster can be avoided through effort and it is optimistic that we can give form to the culture revolution we are experiencing now. Hack's project illustrated the importance of daily life, compared to art inside a museum, through active participation of the people and opened up a new method of art through realistic responses to disasters. This is distinctive from the past exhibitions, where artists gave shape and form to ideals and an imaginary world, in that it shows that the artist and audience aim for creating a community-like structure, just like Bourriaud's art method. Hack's project of climate calamity illustrates that installation and action art is not only an art genre which shows installation and activities, but that it can include social and political issues and that it can be completed with the help of participants, consequently becoming a genre of modern art. Hack raises a question about art's identity through various descriptions. Artists as planners, who base their artworks on their subjectivity or the characteristics of a specific period, the people as participants, the duet of art work and play, human and human, and further, human and nature. The practical participation method, as a measure for "disaster", reveals the new art of the 21st century within Hack's artworks. Even though there are several problems with Hack's usage of art as a measure for disaster, it will actively open up a new page for the 21st century's art with the theme of disaster.

• 한국농림기상학회지
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• 제26권1호
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• pp.1-30
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• 2024

국제사회는 IPCC를 중심으로 SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) 기후변화 시나리오를 새로운 온실가스 변화 경로로 채택하고, 신기후변화 시나리오 기반으로 다양한 규모와 형태로 기후변화를 전망하고 분석하고 있다. 국립농업과학원은 이러한 국제적 동향을 반영하고 농업부문 기후변화 적응대책 지원을 위한 노력의 일환으로 신규 온실가스 경로에 기반한 한반도 상세(1km) 기후변화 시나리오를 산출하였다. 본 논문은 2022년 "국가 기후변화 표준 시나리오" 로 인증받은 국립농업과학원의 SSP 기후변화 시나리오 자료를 소개하고, 기후변화 전망 결과를 보여주고자 한다. 한반도의 미래 기후 변화에 대한 전망 정보를 생산하기 위해 CMIP6에 참여한 18개의 GCM 모형에서 생산된 전지구 규모의 기후 자료를 과거기간(1985-2014)과 미래기간(2015-2100)에 대해 수집하고, 1km 격자형 한반도 전자기후도와 SQM 방법을 이용하여 한반도 영역에 대해 통계적 상세화를 수행하였다. 21세기 후반기(2071~2100년), 한반도의 연평균 최고, 최저기온은 온실가스 배출 정도에 따라 각각 2.6~6.1 ℃, 2.5~6.3 ℃ 상승하고, 연강수량은 21.5~38.7 % 상승하는 것으로 전망되었다. 저탄소 시나리오(SSP1-2.6)의 경우 기온과 강수량 상승이 적게 나타나, 탄소 배출을 감축하는 경우에 상승 폭을 억제할 수 있을 것으로 전망되었다. 21세기 후반기의 우리나라 평균 풍속과 일사량은 상대적으로 현재 대비 미래에 큰 변화가 없을 것으로 전망하고 있다. 이 자료는 기후변화에 따를 미래의 불확실성을 이해하고 기후변화 적응을 위한 합리적인 의사결정에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제20권
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• pp.23-62
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• 2003

The Law amending the Conflict of Laws Act of the Republic of Korea ("Korea"), which had taken two years to prepare, was promulgated on April 7, 2001 and finally took effect as of July 1, 2001. Accordingly, the old earlier Conflict of Laws Act which was called "Seoboesabeop" in Korean ("Prior Act"Old Act) was replaced by the new Conflict of Laws Act called "Gukjesabeop" in Korean ("New Act"). In fact the Old Act Prior Act was promulgated in 1962, but it was regarded as outdated from the moment of its promulgation. However, since the Old Act because it was modeled after the chapter of the Private International Law of the Einfuehrungsgesetz zum Buergerlichen Gesetzbuch (EGBGB) of the Federal Republic of Germany ("German PIL") and the Japanese Private International Law ("Japanese PIL") which had been promulgated toward the end of the 19th century., the Old Act was viewed as outdated from the moment of its promulgation. As a result of the drastic change of the environment for international trade of which that has taken took place in parallel with the global information technology revolution on a global basis, the scope of issues to be addressed which should be resolved by the conflict of laws principles has been remarkably expanded, and various new issues of an entirely which are quite new in its type and nature have arisen been raised. In the field of conflict of laws in its narrow sense, a revolution or crisis of the traditional conflict of laws has been brought about by the advent in the United States rise of a the new methodology for of the conflict of laws, of the United States of America and in the process of overcoming the such crisis the conflict of laws of the European continent has undergone substantial changes such as the diversification of the connecting principles, the expansion of the principle of party autonomy and the consideration of the value of the substantive law to protect socio-economically weaker parties of. The Prior Act, which was based on However, with the mechanical connecting principles and contained various outdated the inappropriate provisions, the Old Act could not cope with the issues raised by the internationalization and globalization of the Korean society. Furthermore In addition, the Old Act Prior Act was regarded as insufficient in that it lacked rules on international jurisdiction to adjudicate, or international adjudicatory jurisdiction, whereas the expectation of the public was that the Conflict of Laws a Act should function as the "Basic Law of the International Legal Relationships"encompassing rules on international jurisdiction given the increase of international disputes. Furthermore the private international law has also attracted more attention from the Korean At the beginning of the new Millennium, thanks to the promulgation of the New Act, I believe that Korea has succeeded in achieving the modest goal of reflecting in the its codification substantial parts of the major developments of the private international law which the leading advanced continental European countries had achieved during the last century. The New Act has followed the approach of the traditional conflict of laws of the European continent. It is a product of the efforts to eliminate the then existing problems of the Prior Old Act and to adapt the Korean private international law regime to the standard of international conventions and national laws of advanced countries. Unlike the Prior Old Act which was heavily dependent upon the prior Japanese PIL and the prior German PIL, the New Act has been prepared by taking into full account the Rome Convention, the Swiss PIL, the new German PIL which took effect in 1986 and various conventions adopted by the Hague Conference. Therefore, the New Act has substantially reduced dependence upon the Japanese PIL and the German PIL, and has gained relatively greater universal validity. The fact that the New Act expressly declares that the determination of international jurisdiction is a matter of conflict of laws is a clear sign that it has departed from the German tradition which confines the conflict of laws principles to choice of laws rules, and moved toward a broader and more practical approach widely accepted in the area of conflict of laws. It is hoped, and I am personally confident, that the New Act will be able to achieve its intended objectives in the 21st century as the basic law for the ever-increasing legal relationships with a foreign element.