• 제목/요약/키워드: employment dynamics

검색결과 54건 처리시간 0.028초

Automation of Tasks and Knowledge-Intensive Services: A Sectorial Approach to the Impact of Covid 19 in Argentina

  • Martinez, Ricardo Gabriel;Leone, Julian Gabriel;Repeti, Juan Manuel Rodriguez
    • 이베로아메리카
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.273-307
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    • 2021
  • The covid 19 pandemic led to an economic collapse and multiple impacts upon Argentina's labour dynamics. As well as in other parts of the region, falls in employment rates (both due to an increase in unemployment and significant withdrawals from the labour force) were combined with wage reductions for those who were able to keep their jobs. Thus, two important processes for the labour market complimented each other: a structural shock associated with a tasks automation as a reorganisation and substitution of factors, with a cyclical recession caused by the pandemic. The international experience shows the amplifying impact the latter has on the former, generating long-term consequences mainly in routine-intensive jobs. However, the knowledge-intensive services sector appears to be the most capable of cushioning the recessionary shock (both in terms of wages and labour absorption), even with nuances within the sector depending on the extent of the shutdown measures and its capability to switch to remote work. Finally, the task approach is decisive in capturing the ability to adapt both the cyclical and structural processes, absorbing a large part of the explanatory potential that sectoral classifications tend to bring about.

Modeling and Trends of Road Transport Development in Eastern European Countries

  • Viktoriia Harkava;Olena Pylypenko;Oleksandr Haisha;Armen Aramyan;Volodymyr Kairov
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.189-195
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    • 2024
  • Road transport occupies the largest share in domestic and international transport. It is of key importance for the development of the economy, forasmuch as it provides the livelihood of the population, the development of the national economy, the possibility of establishing foreign economic relations. The purpose of the research is as follows: analysis of the current state of functioning of the road transport sector in Eastern Europe and identification of key problems and trends in its development. Research methods: Methods of grouping, comparison and generalization, correlation analisys have been used to identify the dynamics of the main indicators of road transport in Eastern Europe. The method of correlation-regression analysis has been applied to determine the impact of increasing the length of roads on the turnover of the road freight transport and the number of employed population in this area. Results. It has been found that the increase in the employed population by 96% and increase in revenues from transportation and storage of goods, postal and courier services (turnover of the road freight transport - in the original language) in the field of road transport by 82% is explained by the change in transport infrastructure capacity by increasing length of highways. According to the correlation analysis, it has been revealed that there is a high direct dependence between the length of roads and increased revenues from transportation and storage of goods in the field of road transport, as well as between the length of roads and increasing employment in this area.

M&S 지원을 위한 HEMOS-Cloud 서비스의 경제적 효과 (Economic Impact of HEMOS-Cloud Services for M&S Support)

  • 정대용;서동우;황재순;박성욱;김명일
    • 정보처리학회논문지:컴퓨터 및 통신 시스템
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    • 제10권10호
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    • pp.261-268
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    • 2021
  • 클라우드 컴퓨팅은 서비스 사용자 요구에 따라 컴퓨팅 자원을 임대하여 사용하는 컴퓨팅 패러다임이다. 클라우드 컴퓨팅에서 컴퓨팅 자원은 사용자의 서비스 수요에 따라 컴퓨팅 자원을 확장 또는 축소가 가능하여 전체 서비스 비용 절감 효과를 가질 수 있다. 그리고, M&S (Modeling and Simulation) 기술은 컴퓨팅 자원과 CAE 소프트웨어를 통해 엔지니어링 분석 작업 결과를 얻어, 실제 실험 결과가 없이 제품의 상태를 시뮬레이션을 수행하여 분석하는 방법이다. M&S 기술은 FEA(Finite Element Analysis), CFD(Computational Fluid Dynamics), MBD(Multibody Dynamics) 및 최적화 분야에서 활용된다. M&S 통한 작업 절차는 전처리, 해석, 후처리 단계로 구분된다. CAE 소트프웨어를 통한 3D 모델링 작업인 전/후처리는 GPU 연산이 집약적이며, 3D 모델 해석은 CPU 또는 GPU 연산이 요구된다. 일반적인 개인 데스크톱에서 복잡한 3D 모델을 해석하는 시간이 많이 소요된다. 결과적으로, M&S를 원활하게 수행하기 위해서는 고성능 컴퓨팅 자원이 요구된다. 이 문제를 해결하기 위해 우리는 통합 클라우드 및 클러스터 컴퓨팅 환경인 HEMOS-Cloud 서비스를 제안한다. 제안한 클라우드 기반 방식에서는 M&S에 필요한 전/후처리 및 솔버 작업을 원활하게 수행할 수 있도록 구성했다. 이 시스템에서 전/후처리는 VDI(Virtual Desktop Infrastructure)에서 수행되고 해석은 클러스터 환경에서 수행된다. 각 용도에 맞게 서로 다른 환경에서 분리하여 컴퓨팅 자원 간에 간섭을 최소화했다. HEMOS-Cloud 서비스는 기업 또는 학교에서 M&S의 경험이 필요로 하는 사용자에게 CAE 소프트웨어와 컴퓨팅 자원을 제공한다. 본 논문에서는 HEMOS-Cloud 서비스의 경제적 파급효과를 산업연관분석을 활용하여 분석했다. 전문가의 의견을 반영하여 조정된 계수를 통한 분석 결과는 생산유발효과 74억원, 부가가치유발효과 41억원, 취업자유발효과 10억원당 50명으로 분석되었다.

The current state and prospects of travel business development under the COVID-19 pandemic

  • Tkachenko, Tetiana;Pryhara, Olha;Zatsepina, Nataly;Bryk, Stepan;Holubets, Iryna;Havryliuk, Alla
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권12spc호
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    • pp.664-674
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    • 2021
  • The relevance of this scientific research is determined by the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the current trends and dynamics of world tourism development. This article aims to identify patterns of development of the modern tourist market, analysis of problems and prospects of development in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Materials and methods. General scientific methods and methods of research are used in the work: analysis, synthesis, comparison, analysis of statistical data. The analysis of the viewpoints of foreign and domestic authors on the research of the international tourist market allowed us to substantiate the actual directions of tourism development due to the influence of negative factors connected with the spread of a new coronavirus infection COVID-19. Economic-statistical, abstract-logical, and economic-mathematical methods of research were used during the process of study and data processing. Results. The analysis of the current state of the tourist market by world regions was carried out. It was found that tourism is one of the most affected sectors from COVID-19, as, by the end of 2020, the total number of tourist arrivals in the world decreased by 74% compared to the same period in 2019. The consequence of this decline was a loss of total global tourism revenues by the end of 2020, which equaled $1.3 trillion. 27% of all destinations are completely closed to international tourism. At the end of 2020, the economy of international tourism has shrunk by about 80%. In 2020 the world traveled 98 million fewer people (-83%) relative to the same period last year. Tourism was hit hardest by the pandemic in the Asia-Pacific region, where travel restrictions are as strict as possible. International arrivals in this region fell by 84% (300 million). The Middle East and Africa recorded declines of 75 and 70 percent. Despite a small and short-lived recovery in the summer of 2020, Europe lost 71% of the tourist flow, with the European continent recording the largest drop in absolute terms compared with 2019, 500 million. In North and South America, foreign arrivals declined. It is revealed that a significant decrease in tourist flows leads to a massive loss of jobs, a sharp decline in foreign exchange earnings and taxes, which limits the ability of states to support the tourism industry. Three possible scenarios of exit of the tourist industry from the crisis, reflecting the most probable changes of monthly tourist flows, are considered. The characteristics of respondents from Ukraine, Germany, and the USA and their attitude to travel depending on gender, age, education level, professional status, and monthly income are presented. About 57% of respondents from Ukraine, Poland, and the United States were planning a tourist trip in 2021. Note that people with higher or secondary education were more willing to plan such a trip. The results of the empirical study confirm that interest in domestic tourism has increased significantly in 2021. The regression model of dependence of the number of domestic tourist trips on the example of Ukraine with time tendency (t) and seasonal variations (Turˆt = 7288,498 - 20,58t - 410,88∑5) it forecast for 2020, which allows stabilizing the process of tourist trips after the pandemic to use this model to forecast for any country. Discussion. We should emphasize the seriousness of the COVID-19 pandemic and the fact that many experts and scientists believe in the long-term recovery of the tourism industry. In our opinion, the governments of the countries need to refocus on domestic tourism and deal with infrastructure development, search for new niches, formats, formation of new package deals in new - domestic - segment (new products' development (tourist routes, exhibitions, sightseeing programs, special rehabilitation programs after COVID) -19 in sanatoriums, etc.); creation of individual offers for different target audiences). Conclusions. Thus, the identified trends are associated with a decrease in the number of tourist flows, the negative impact of the pandemic on employment and income from tourism activities. International tourism needs two to four years before it returns to the level of 2019.