• Title/Summary/Keyword: empirical simulation technique

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Development of Multi-Ensemble GCMs Based Spatio-Temporal Downscaling Scheme for Short-term Prediction (여름강수량의 단기예측을 위한 Multi-Ensemble GCMs 기반 시공간적 Downscaling 기법 개발)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Min, Young-Mi;Hameed, Saji N.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1142-1146
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    • 2009
  • A rainfall simulation and forecasting technique that can generate daily rainfall sequences conditional on multi-model ensemble GCMs is developed and applied to data in Korea for the major rainy season. The GCM forecasts are provided by APEC climate center. A Weather State Based Downscaling Model (WSDM) is used to map teleconnections from ocean-atmosphere data or key state variables from numerical integrations of Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Models to simulate daily sequences at multiple rain gauges. The method presented is general and is applied to the wet season which is JJA(June-July-August) data in Korea. The sequences of weather states identified by the EM algorithm are shown to correspond to dominant synoptic-scale features of rainfall generating mechanisms. Application of the methodology to seasonal rainfall forecasts using empirical teleconnections and GCM derived climate forecast are discussed.

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The Propagation Characteristics using Ray tracing in Urban area (전파추적기법을 이용한 마이크로셀 도심지 환경에서의 전파특성에 관한 연구)

  • 김희중;김관홍박병성박한규
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 1998.06a
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    • pp.177-180
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    • 1998
  • In high frequency environment such as microcell, it is requried to adopt a new method different from the empirical channel modeling applied in macrocell. In this thesis, measurement for residential area in Sinrimdong and the result of the simulation are compared and analyzed. Simulation technique utilizes 3D ray launching method to consider some factors which were not included in the ray tracing method. Propagation environment in the urban area shows the typical channel characterisitics of the propagation environment. Using 3D ray launching method, pathloss of the wave and delay characteristics of the signal with respect to the height of the transmitter is researched. If the transmitter is located on the top of the building, radiowave experiences diffraction on the rooftop and it influences the total received signal strength.

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The Effects of Recursion in Problem-Solving Processes on the Problem-Solving Time : a Simulation Study (문제해결과정의 단계별 회귀가 문제해결시간에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • 손달호;최무진
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.53-67
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    • 1994
  • Over the last decades, interest in the application of decision support systems (DSS) in organizations has increased rapidly. Despite the growing number of investigations exmaining decision support system, relatively few empirical studies have evaluated the effects of DSS on problem-solving processes. This study examined, using a computer simulation technique, the effects of recursion in problem-solving processes on the problem-solving time. Results indicate that the recursions at the early stage of problem-solving processes scarcely influenced the problem-solving time, which is contrasted with the case of the recursions at the final stage.

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Studies on the Stochastic Generation of Synthetic Streamflow Sequences(I) -On the Simulation Models of Streamflow- (하천유량의 추계학적 모의발생에 관한 연구(I) -하천유량의 Simulation 모델에 대하여-)

  • 이순탁
    • Water for future
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 1974
  • This paper reviews several different single site generation models for further development of a model for generating the Synthetic sequences of streamflow in the continuous streams like main streams in Korea. Initially the historical time series is looked using a time series technique, that is correlograms, to determine whether a lag one Markov model will satisfactorily represent the historical data. The single site models which were examined include an empirical model using the historical probability distribution of the random component, the linear autoregressive model(Markov model, or Thomas-Fiering model) using both logarithms of the data and Matala's log-normal transformation equations, and finally gamma distribution model.

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Employing a fiber-based finite-length plastic hinge model for representing the cyclic and seismic behaviour of hollow steel columns

  • Farahi, Mojtaba;Erfani, Saeed
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.501-516
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    • 2017
  • Numerical simulations are prevalently used to evaluate the seismic behaviour of structures. The accuracy of the simulation results depends directly on the accuracy of the modelling techniques employed to simulate the behaviour of individual structural members. An empirical modelling technique is employed in this paper to simulate the behaviour of column members under cyclic and seismic loading. Despite the common modelling techniques, this technique is capable of simulating two important aspects of the cyclic and seismic behaviour of columns simultaneously. The proposed fiber-based modelling technique captures explicitly the interaction between the bending moment and the axial force in columns, and the cyclic deterioration of the hysteretic behaviour of these members is implicitly taken into account. The fiber-based model is calibrated based on the cyclic behaviour of square hollow steel sections. The behaviour of several column archetypes is investigated under a dual cyclic loading protocol to develop a benchmark database before the calibration procedure. The dual loading protocol used in this study consists of both axial and lateral loading cycles with varying amplitudes. After the calibration procedure, a regression analysis is conducted to derive an equation for predicting a varying calibrated modelling parameter. Finally, several nonlinear time-history analyses are conducted on a 6-story steel special moment frame in order to investigate how the results of numerical simulations can be affected by employing the intended modelling technique for columns instead of other common modelling techniques.

The Study for Securing of Reliability of Landscape View Evaluation by Simulation Work - The simulation angle of view to the standardization of - (조망경관 평가를 위한 경관 시뮬레이션의 신뢰도 제고 연구 -시뮬레이션 화각 표준화를 중심으로-)

  • Park, Byeong Gy
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.109-123
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    • 2013
  • The study is to probe a technical alternative to enhance the reliability and accuracy of the results of various landscape simulations. This study to present technical criteria that are necessary in each stage of target site analysis, picture taking, and computer synthesis and, through these to present supplementary plans to enhance the reliability and accuracy of landscape simulations. In order to derive more practical and empirical results in terms of the reliability of the results of landscape simulations, examples that actually passed landscape review were selected. With regard to study process, an analysis was made first to analyze the landscape report data of designs that passed the review to analyze their characteristics, to be followed by an integrated analysis of problems that were revealed in various landscape simulations. Important factors that affect directly the work of landscape simulations such as the specification of camera lenses that were used in picture taking, distance, and angle. Design the work was carried out using Auto CAD, 3DS Max, and Photoshop program in the same way as in actual design. For verification of their accuracy and reliability, the results were entrusted to experts who have implemented similar jobs. To seduce differences from those too landscape simulations that conduct trial experiment of the virtual space that are to be created in the future with accurate numerical values.

Model-Driven Design Framework for Future Combat Vehicle Development based on Firepower and Mobility: (1) Integrated Performance Modeling (화력과 기동의 통합성능을 고려한 미래 전투차량의 해석 기반 설계 프레임웍 연구: (1) 통합성능분석 모델개발)

  • Lim, Sunghoon;Lim, Woochul;Min, Seungjae;Lee, Tae Hee;Ryoo, Jae Bong;Pyun, Jai-Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.316-323
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    • 2014
  • This paper proposes the 3D modeling and simulation technique for predicting the integrated performance of combat vehicle. To consider the practical driving and firing condition of a combat vehicle, the full vehicle model, which can define the six degrees-of-freedom of vehicle motion and various firing angles, is developed. The critical design parameters such as the stiffness and damping coefficient of suspension system are applied to construct the analysis model of vehicle. A simple ballistic model, which incorporates the empirical interior ballistic model and the point mass trajectory model, is built to estimate the firing range and the firing recoil force. To predict the integrated performance and analyze the effect of system parameters, MATLAB/SIM-ULINK model of a combat vehicle for performing the real time simulation is also developed. Several simulation tests incorporating the road bump and the firing recoil force are presented to confirm the effectiveness of the proposed vehicle model.

A Study of Modeling PEM Fuel Cell System Using Multi-Variable Optimization Technique for Automotive Applications (다변수 최적화 기법을 이용한 자동차용 고분자전해질형 연료전지 시스템 모델링에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Han-Sang;Min, Kyoung-Doug;Jeon, Soon-Il;Kim, Soo-Whan;Lim, Tae-Won;Park, Jin-Ho
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.541-544
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    • 2005
  • This study presents the integrated modeling approach to simulate the proton exchange membrane (PEM) fuel cell system for vehicle application. The fuel cell system consisting of stack and balance of plant (BOP) was simulated with MATLAB/Simulink environment to estimate the maximum system power and investigate the effect of BOP component sizing on system performance and efficiency. The PEM fuel cell stack model was established by using a semi-empirical modeling. To maximize the net efficiency of fuel cel1 system, multi-variable optimization code was adopted. Using this method the optimized operating values were obtained according to various system net power levels. The fuel cell model established was co-linked to AVL CRUISE, a vehicle simulation package. Through the vehicle simulation software, the fuel economy of fuel cell powered electric vehicle for two types of driving cycles was presented and compared. It is expected that this study tan be effectively employed in the basic BOP component sizing and in establishing system operation map with respect to net power level of fuel cell system.

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A Study of Modeling PEM Fuel Cell System Using Multi-Variable Optimization Technique for Automotive Applications (다변수 최적화 기법을 이용한 자동차용 고분자 전해질형 연료전지 시스템 모델링에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Han-Sang;Min, Kyoung-Doug;Jeon, Soon-Il;Kim, Soo-Whan;Lim, Tae-Won;Park, Jin-Ho
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.1 no.4 s.4
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2005
  • This study presents the integrated modeling approach to simulate the proton exchange membrane [PEM] fuel cell system for vehicle application. The fuel cell system consisting of stack and balance of plant (BOP) was simulated with MATLAB/Simulink environment to estimate the maximum system power and investigate the effect of BOP component sizing on system performance and efficiency. The PEM fuel cell stack model was established by using a semi-empirical modeling. To maximize the net efficiency of fuel cell system, multi-variable optimization code was adopted. Using this method, the optimized operating values were obtained according to various system net power levels. The fuel cell model established was co-linked to AVL CRUISE, a vehicle simulation package. Through the vehicle simulation software, the fuel economy of fuel cell powered electric vehicle for two types of driving cycles was presented and compared. It is expected that this study can be effectively employed in the basic BOP component sizing and in establishing system operation map with respect to net power level of fuel cell system.

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A Study on the Debris Flow Hazard Mapping Method using SINMAP and FLO-2D

  • Kim, Tae Yun;Yun, Hong Sic;Kwon, Jung Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2016
  • This study conducted an evaluation of the extent of debris flow damage using SINMAP, which is slope stability analysis software based on the infinite slope stability method, and FLO-2D, a hydraulic debris flow analysis program. Mt. Majeok located in Chuncheon city in the Gangwon province was selected as the study area to compare the study results with an actual 2011 case. The stability of the slope was evaluated using a DEM of $1{\times}1m$ resolution based on the LiDAR survey method, and the initiation points of the debris flow were estimated by analyzing the overlaps with the drainage network, based on watershed analysis. In addition, the study used measured data from the actual case in the simulation instead of existing empirical equations to obtain simulation results with high reliability. The simulation results for the impact of the debris flow showed a 2.2-29.6% difference from the measured data. The results suggest that the extent of damage can be effectively estimated if the parameter setting for the models and the debris flow initiation point estimation are based on measured data. It is expected that the evaluation method of this study can be used in the future as a useful hazard mapping technique among GIS-based risk mapping techniques.