• Title/Summary/Keyword: empirical ratio

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A Bayesian test for the first-order autocorrelations in regression analysis (회귀모형 오차항의 1차 자기상관에 대한 베이즈 검정법)

  • 김혜중;한성실
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.97-111
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    • 1998
  • This paper suggests a Bayesian method for testing first-order markov correlation among linear regression disturbances. As a Bayesian test criterion, Bayes factor is derived in the form of generalized Savage-Dickey density ratio that is easily estimated by means of posterior simulation via Gibbs sampling scheme. Performance of the Bayesian test is evaluated and examined based upon a Monte Carlo experiment and an empirical data analysis. Efficiency of the posterior simulation is also examined.

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FINITE ELEMENT MODELING FOR HYDRODYNAMIC AND SEDIMENT TRANSPORT ANALYSIS (I) : HYDRODYNAMIC STUDY

  • Noh, Joon-Woo
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.87-97
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    • 2003
  • In this study, using the numerical model, the flow motion around skewed abutment is investigated to evaluate the skewness effect on the flow distribution. The skewness angle of the abutment which make with main flow direction is changed from $30\circ$ to $150\circ$ with increments of $10\circ$ while the contraction ratios due to the abutment are kept constant. For the investigation of the combined effects on the relationship between the skewness angle and flow intensities, this process will be .repeated fer different types of abutment (single and double) with different flow intensities. The maximum velocities and the velocity distributions, which can be obtained from each angle, are examined and analyzed corresponding to different angles of inclination. Based on successive model applications, an empirical expression, given in a function of contracted ratio and skewness angle, is derived for relating velocity amplifications according to the angle variations.

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An Experimental Investigation of Side-Orifice Effects on Pressure Drop for Single-Phase Flow

  • Seo, Kyong-Won;Chun, Moon-Hyun;Nam, Ho-Yun;Park, Seok-Ki;Lee, Yong-Bum
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1996.11a
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 1996
  • To investigate the effects of the side-orifice on the pressure drop for single-phase flow, a series of experiments have been carried out with 16 different downstream test sections with various combinations of side-orifice shapes, different numbers of side-orifices, and different arrangements of the side-orifice using water as a working fluid. From the measurements of the pressure drop and the flow rate, the pressure loss coefficient of the side-orifice(s) has been evaluated. Based on the total number of 529 present data, an empirical correlation for the pressure loss coefficient has been developed in terms of Reynolds number and geometric parameters, such as area ratio, equivalent diameter, leading edge, and average width of side-orifice.

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Data-Mining Bootstrap Procedure with Potential Predictors in Forecasting Models: Evidence from Eight Countries in the Asia-Pacific Stock Markets

  • Lee, Hojin
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.333-351
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    • 2019
  • We use a data-mining bootstrap procedure to investigate the predictability test in the eight Asia-Pacific regional stock markets using in-sample and out-of-sample forecasting models. We address ourselves to the data-mining bias issues by using the data-mining bootstrap procedure proposed by Inoue and Kilian and applied to the US stock market data by Rapach and Wohar. The empirical findings show that stock returns are predictable not only in-sample but out-of-sample in Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore, and Korea with a few exceptions for some forecasting horizons. However, we find some significant disparity between in-sample and out-of-sample predictability in the Korean stock market. For Hong Kong, Malaysia, and Singapore, stock returns have predictable components both in-sample and out-of-sample. For the US, Australia, and Canada, we do not find any evidence of return predictability in-sample and out-of-sample with a few exceptions. For Japan, stock returns have a predictable component with price-earnings ratio as a forecasting variable for some out-of-sample forecasting horizons.

Ion Exchange Modeling in ETA and NH$_3$ Aqueous Solutions (ETA 및 암모니아 수용액에서 이온교환 모델링)

  • 안현경;김상대;이인형
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.307-311
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    • 2003
  • The test did for the determine the optimized ratio of cation to anion in mixed ion exchange demineralizers. Binary, ternary, quaternary, and quinary cation and anion adsorption was performed to develop a comprehensive experimental data set from small-volume batch tests to obtain the selectivity coefficients of many cations and anions. The quantitative run time might be estimated by such ion exchange models as semi-empirical mass action and surface complexation models. The demineralizer can be used longer by increasing the ratios of cation to anion exchange resins in the bed.

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A GA-based Binary Classification Method for Bankruptcy Prediction (도산예측을 위한 유전 알고리듬 기반 이진분류기법의 개발)

  • Min, Jae-H.;Jeong, Chul-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this paper is to propose a new binary classification method for predicting corporate failure based on genetic algorithm, and to validate its prediction power through empirical analysis. Establishing virtual companies representing bankrupt companies and non-bankrupt ones respectively, the proposed method measures the similarity between the virtual companies and the subject for prediction, and classifies the subject into either bankrupt or non-bankrupt one. The values of the classification variables of the virtual companies and the weights of the variables are determined by the proper model to maximize the hit ratio of training data set using genetic algorithm. In order to test the validity of the proposed method, we compare its prediction accuracy with ones of other existing methods such as multi-discriminant analysis, logistic regression, decision tree, and artificial neural network, and it is shown that the binary classification method we propose in this paper can serve as a premising alternative to the existing methods for bankruptcy prediction.

Test and Estimation for Normal Mean Change

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Ryu, Jong-Eun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.607-619
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    • 2006
  • We consider the problem of testing the existence of change in mean and estimating the change-point when the data are from the normal distribution. A change-point estimator using the likelihood ratio test statistic, Gombay and Horvath (1990) test statistic, and nonparametric change-point estimator using Carlstein (1988) empirical distribution are studied when there exists one change-point in the mean. A power study is done to compare the change test statistics. And a comparison study of change-point estimators for estimation capability is done via simulations with S-plus software.

Analysis on Aerodynamic Characteristics of the CRW Air-Vehicle (CRW 비행체의 공력특성 해석)

  • Choi Seong Wook;Kim Jai Moo
    • Journal of computational fluids engineering
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.26-33
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    • 2003
  • Smart UAV Development Program, one of the 21c Frontier R&D Program sponsored by MOST(Ministry of Science and Technology), was launched in 2002 As an air vehicle for the Smart UAV, CRW(Canard Rotor/wing) concept was one of the candidates compared in trade-off study. The CRW concept has not only been proven completely but its aerodynamic characteristics not known in detail yet. Two calculation methods were adopted in this study to obtain aerodynamic data for the CRW First method was the superpose DATCOM method which is capable of three lifting sufaces, and second one is the full Navier-Stokes computation around CRW configuration using overset grid method. Basic aerodynamic characteristics of the CRW configuration was analyzed and the minimum drag level with lift to drag ratio is presented. The peculiar flow characteristics around rotor/wing and hub were also examined and considered in the configuration design.

Weight Vector Analysis to Portfolio Performance with Diversification Constraints (비중 상한 제약조건에 따른 포트폴리오 성과에 대한 투자 비중 분석)

  • Park, Kyungchan;Kim, Hongseon;Kim, Seongmoon
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.51-64
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    • 2016
  • The maximum weight of single stock in mutual fund is limited by regulations to enforce diversification. Under incomplete information with added constraints on portfolio weights, enhanced performance had been reported in previous researches. We analyze a weight vector to examine the effects of additional constraints on the portfolio's performance by computing the Euclidean distance from the in-sample tangency portfolio, as opposed to previous researches which analyzed ex-post return only. Empirical experiment was performed on Mean-variance and Minimum-variance model with Fama French's 30 industry portfolio and 10 industry portfolio for the last 1,000 months from August 1932 to November 2015. We find that diversification-constrained portfolios have 7% to 26% smaller Euclidean distances with the benchmark portfolio compared to those of unconstrained portfolios and 3% to 11% greater Sharpe Ratio.

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE INFLUENCE FACTORS AND THE AUDITOR′S USE OF EDP AUDIT TECHNIQUES IN KOREAN ACCOUNTING FIRMS

  • Choe, Jong-Min
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.45-70
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    • 1997
  • The objectives of this study are to suggest and empirically prove the relationship model for investigating influence factors on the use of EDP audit techniques, and to identify moderating effects of the task types of EDP audit on the relationships between the influence factors and the use of EDP audit techniques. The results of the empirical test suggested that there are significant (positive or negative) correlations between the use of some EDP audit techniques and the influence factors, such as audit education, auditor's familiarity and age, and effectiveness of the technique, etc. The significant differences in the use of EDP audit techniques were empirically proved in the ratio of audit fees and the audit structure. It was also proved that the relationships between the use of techniques and the influence factors are different according to the task types of EDP audit. This study proposed the technique and the auditor related implications of these findings for the successful fulfilment of EDP audit.

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