• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.417-424
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• 2009

For a construction project to progress smoothly, effective cost estimation is vital, particularly in the conceptual and schematic design stages. In these early phases, despite the fact that initial estimates are highly sensitive to changes in project scope, owners require accurate forecasts which reflect their supplying information. Thus, cost estimators need effective estimation strategies. Practically, parametric cost estimates are the most commonly used method in these initial phases, which utilizes historical cost data (Karshenas 1984, Kirkham 2007). Hence, compilation of historical data regarding appropriate cost variance governing parameters is a prime requirement. However, precedent practice of data mining (data preprocessing) for denoising internal errors or abnormal values is needed before compilation. As an effort to deal with this issue, this research proposed a statistical methodology for data preprocessing and verified that data preprocessing has a positive impact on the enhancement of estimate accuracy and stability. Moreover, Statistically Preprocessed data Based Parametric (SPBP) cost models are developed based on multiple regression equations and verified their effectiveness compared with conventional cost models.

• 한국항공우주학회지
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• 제45권3호
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• pp.163-172
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• 2017

다공성 단열재는 탁월한 단열 효과로 단열공간을 최소화하여, 기존 단열재 대비 내부 공간을 활용할 수 있어 여러 산업 분야에서 사용되고 있다. 특히 높은 단열 효과뿐만 아니라 경량화가 요구되는 항공우주 산업분야에서는 이와 같은 다공성 단열재의 수요가 증가하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 다공성 단열재의 정확도가 높은 유효 열전도율 예측 모델을 새롭게 제안하고, 기존 예측 모델 및 시험 결과와 비교 검증하였다. 이를 위해, 기존 유효 열전도율 예측 모델에 대하여 문헌조사를 수행하였고, 다공성 단열재의 고체 부피율에 따른 열전도율 시험결과 값과 비교하였다. 또한 유효 열전도율 시험 결과와 비교하여 가장 높은 정확도를 가진 Zehner-Schlunder 모델 및 시험 결과 데이터를 기반으로 새로운 유효 열전도율 예측 모델을 정의하였으며, 시험 결과 데이터와 비교하여 기존 유효 열전도율 예측 모델보다 유사한 정확도를 나타내는 것을 확인하였다. 또한, 개선된 유효 열전도율 예측 모델을 적용하여 초고속 비행체 열방어구조의 과도 열전달 해석을 수행하였으며, 열전달 시험 결과와의 비교를 통해 예측 모델의 유효성을 확인하였다.

• 조명전기설비학회논문지
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.98-103
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• 2002

전력수요를 예측할 경우 가장 중요한 문제 중의 하나가 특수일 부하의 처리문제이다. 따라서 본 연구에서 길고(구정, 추석) 짧은(식목일, 현충일 등) 특수일 피크 부하를 신경회로망과 회귀모형을 이용하여 예측하는 방법을 제시한다. 신경회로망 모형의 특수일 부하 처리는 패턴 변환비를 이용하며, 4차의 직교 다항 회귀모형은 과거의 10년 (1985∼1994)간의 특수일 피크부하 자료를 이용하여 길고 짧은 특수일 부하를 예측한다. 특수일 피크 부하를 예측한 결과, 신경회로망 모형의 주간 평균 예측 오차율과 직교 다항 회귀모형의 예측 오차율을 분석한 결과 1∼2[%]대로 두 모형 모두 양호한 결과를 얻었다. 또한 4차의 직교 다항 회귀 모형의 수정결정계수 및 F 검정을 분석한 결과 구성한 예측 모형의 타당성을 확인하였다. 두 모형의 특수일 부하를 예측한 결과를 비교해 보면 긴 특수일 부하를 예측할 때는 패턴 변환비를 이용한 신경회로망 모형이 보다 더 효과적이었고, 짧은 특수일 부하를 예측할 경우에는 두 방법 모두 유효하였다.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.239-249
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• 2001

Competitive coevolution models, often called host-parasite models, are searching models that imitate the biological coevolution that is a series of reciprocal changes in two competing species. The models are known to be an effective method of solving complex and dynamic problems such as game problems, neural network design problems and constraint satisfaction problems. However, previous models consider only ectoparasites that live on the outside of the host when designing the models, not considering endoparasites that live on the inside of the host. This has a limitation to exploiting some information. In this paper, we develop an artificial adaptation model simulating the process in which hosts coevolve with both ectoparasites and endoparasites. In the model, the endoparasites play important roles as follows. By means of them, we can keep the history on results of previous competition between hosts and parasites, and use endogeneous fitness, not exogeneous. Extensive experiments are carried out to show the coevolution phenomenon and to verify the performance of the proposed model. Nim game problems and neural network problems are used as test-bed problems. The results are reported in this paper.

• Journal of Computing Science and Engineering
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• 제11권4호
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• pp.152-159
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• 2017

Three-dimensional (3D) printing is applied to many areas of life, but 3D printing models are stolen by pirates and distributed without any permission from the original providers. Moreover, some special models and anti-weapon models in 3D printing must be secured from the unauthorized user. Therefore, 3D printing models must be encrypted before being stored and transmitted to ensure access and to prevent illegal copying. This paper presents a selective encryption algorithm for 3D printing models based on clustering and the frequency domain of discrete cosine transform. All facets are extracted from 3D printing model, divided into groups by the clustering algorithm, and all vertices of facets in each group are transformed to the frequency domain of a discrete cosine transform. The proposed algorithm is based on encrypting the selected coefficients in the frequency domain of discrete cosine transform to generate the encrypted 3D printing model. Experimental results verified that the proposed algorithm is very effective for 3D printing models. The entire 3D printing model is altered after the encryption process. The decrypting error is approximated to be zero. The proposed algorithm provides a better method and more security than previous methods.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제29권4호
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• pp.459-476
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• 2013

Receptor models have been rapidly developed to manage the ambient air quality and to establish effective emission reduction strategies. The models are used to identify various emission sources and apportion quantitatively the ambient pollutant mass based on various measured physico-chemical properties of the air pollutants at the receptor site. Many types of receptor models have been applied to estimate source contributions since those provide fundamental information when establishing reasonable environmental policies in Korea and Foreign countries. In this paper, we will introduce the basic concept and principal of the receptor model, various types of existing models with discussing strong and weak points for each model, and performance procedure of PMF model as the most popular model in the world. Further the trends of receptor modeling studies in Korea and other countries were provided. Finally, the improvement directions of the modeling works for the national and local air quality management were suggested in this paper.

• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.121-129
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• 2013

PURPOSES : This study deals with the traffic accidents of rotary in Korea. The objective of this study is to develop the accident models by age group based on the various data of rotaries. METHODS : In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to classifying the accident data of 17 rotaries by age, collecting the data of geometric structure, traffic volume and others, and developing the models using SPSS 17.0 and EXCEL. RESULTS : First, 3 multiple linear regression models which were all statistically significant were developed. The value of model of under 30-49 age group were, however, evaluated to be 0.688 and be less than those of other models. Second, the most powerful variables were analyzed to be traffic volume in the model of under 30 age group, circulatory roadway width in the model of 30-49 age group, and the number of approach lane in the model of above 50 age group. Finally, the test results of accident models using RMSE were all evaluated to be fitted to the given data. CONCLUSIONS : This study propose install streetlights, speed humps and widen Circulatory as effective improvements for reduction of accident in rotary.

• 대기
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.209-220
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• 2011

A new consensus algorithm for the prediction of tropical cyclone track has been developed. Conventional consensus is a simple average of a few fixed models that showed the good performance in track prediction for the past few years. Meanwhile, the consensus in this study is a weighted average of a few models that may change for every individual forecast time. The models are selected as follows. The first step is to find the analogous past tropical cyclone tracks to the current track. The next step is to evaluate the model performances for those past tracks. Finally, we take the weighted average of the selected models. More weight is given to the higher performance model. This new algorithm has been named as DYTRAP (DYnamic data-base Typhoon tRAck Prediction) in the sense that the data base is used to find the analogous past tracks and the effective models for every individual track prediction case. DYTRAP has been applied to all 2009 tropical cyclone track prediction. The results outperforms those of all models as well as all the official forecasts of the typhoon centers. In order to prove the real usefulness of DYTRAP, it is necessary to apply the DYTRAP system to the real time prediction because the forecast in typhoon centers usually uses 6-hour or 12-hour-old model guidances.

• 한국조경학회지
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.19-33
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• 1998

The primary objective of this research was to develop optimal models for masking the road traffic noise with the sound of a waterfall at urban small green spaces. Noise levels were measured at 8 roadside green spaces in SEOUL and questionnaires were randomly distributed to 40 users for evaluating the noise at each site at the same time. College students participated in the experiment for the development of masking models and the developed models were tested by users at 2 green spaces. The major results are as follows ; 1. Traffic noises ranged from 65dBto 70 dB. Users' satisfaction with the noise became considerably low on the basis of 60 dB and it was highly related to noise level. 2. Noise was a main factor to depreciate the amenity of green spaces where its level was more than 60 dB and so it neds to be excluded or reduced the traffic noise at the process of design. 3. Masking effects kept constant independent of the spatial location of masker on condition that masker levels were equal. It was effective when masker was 5-10dB greater than noise level which was masked. 4. As noise level went up, satisfaction ratings about the masked noise became low but masking effects increased in proportion to its level. 5. It was proved that the models were valid through the field experiment.

• 경영과학
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.91-124
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• 2002

The use of network planning models and tools is essential for effective KII (Korea Information Infrastructure) planning and analysis in that it will significantly reduce the risk and uncertainty embeded in the development and the provision of future broadband services. The purpose of this study is to develop a theoretical framework and a computer tool for modeling the various aspects of the KII topology and architecture and evaluating the techno-economic feasibility of the KII implementation strategy.