• Title/Summary/Keyword: effect of urbanization

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Does Urbanization Affect Bilateral Trade? (양국의 도시화가 무역에 미치는 영향: 중력 모형의 활용)

  • EunJung Lim;Sunghee Jun
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.119-132
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    • 2020
  • In this paper we explore the two analyses to know the urbanization effect on trade. First, the granger causality test to examine the relationship between trade and urbanization. The Granger causality test is a statistical hypothesis test for determining whether one time series is useful for forecasting another. The results indicated that the existence of a bidirectional causality running from trade to urbanization when six lags were applied. When eight lags were applied, we found unidirectional causality running from urbanization to trade. Second, gravity models were used to investigate the urbanization effect on trade. The production cost and specification are affected by the economies of scale, and the economies of scale increased as the greater geographically agglomeration. However, the gravity model to explain the bilateral trade flows ignores the urbanization variables. Therefore we added the urbanization variable represented as the geographically agglomeration into gravity model. The results show that the degree of urbanization of both countries has statistically positive effect on trade (export and import) and the bigger coefficients of trade partner's urbanization. The reason is that the trade share of industrial supplies, intermediate goods and capital goods is much higher than finished consumer goods. The urbanization is more important the improved the efficiency of production than demand market.

Analysis of Correlation between the Cause of Urbanization and Urbanization Effect of Busan by Using Daily Minimum Temperatures (일최저기온을 이용한 부산의 도시화효과와 도시화 원인과의 상관성 분석)

  • Park, Myung-Hee;Lee, Joon-Soo;Ahn, Ji-Suk;Suh, Young-Sang;Han, In-Seong;Kim, Hae-Dong
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.1477-1485
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    • 2012
  • This study examined urbanization effects and the causes of urbanization, urban population growth, increase of the city scale, land cover change, and human cultures and economic activities, using the daily minimum temperatures of the past 50 years (1961-2010) with the subject of Busan and analyzed correlations between urbanization effects and the causes of urbanization. Thereby, this paper drew a conclusion as below: 1) Due to the urbanization effects, the average annual daily minimum temperature increased as about $1.2^{\circ}C$; however, except for the factor of urbanization, the increase was shown as about $0.2^{\circ}C$. The occupancy of urbanization effects in the total temperature increase was quite high as about 83%. 2) Just like other cities experiencing urbanization, Busan, too, sees population growth and the expansion of city area as well as increased urbanization effects. First of all, correlation between population growth and urbanization effect was high as 0.96 before 1985 while it was lowered as 0.19 after 1985. Also, correlation between the increase of city area and urbanization effect was high as 0.64 and 0.79 before and after 1985. 3) Regarding the correlation between long-term land use change and urbanization effect, urbanization effect was affected greatly by the increase of city area (0.97) and reduction of green area (0.92). 4) Concerning human activities possible to affect the climatic factors of a city, this paper found the following factors: road length, car increase, power use, and the consumer price index, etc. And regarding the correlation between the three factors and urbanization effect, the correlation was higher in the consumer price index (0.97), the number of registered cars (0.89), power use (0.75), and road length (0.58) in order.

The Effect of Economic Growth and Urbanization on Poverty Reduction in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Huyen Thi Thanh;NGUYEN, Chau Van;NGUYEN, Cong Van
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.229-239
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    • 2020
  • This article aims to measure the impact of economic growth and urbanization on poverty reduction in Vietnam, and verify whether economic growth and urbanization will help reduce poverty rates. Data for this study are tabular data related to growth, urbanization and poverty at the provincial level for the period of nine years, from 2006 to 2014 provided by the Vietnam General Statistics Office and the Vietnam General Department of Customs. The level of economic growth and urbanization mentioned in the study is reflected in such indicators as GDP value, exports value, imports value, urbanization rate and employment rate. The authors used logistic regression models with fixed-effects and logistic regression models with random effects. With 5% confidence level tested by the Chi-Square test of Hausman trial with the fixed-effect model, research results show that: (1) factors with significant negative impact on the poverty rate include imports value, urbanization rate and, employment rate; (2) factors that do not affect the poverty rate include exports value and GDP value. Based on the research results, this study proposes a number of policy recommendations to help promote economic growth, to sustain the urbanization process, and to contribute directly and positively to poverty reduction in Vietnam.

Intervention Analysis of Urbanization Effect on Rainfall Data at the Seoul Rain Gauge Station (서울지점 강우자료에 나타난 도시화의 간섭 분석)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Kim, Dae-Ha;Park, Sang-Hyoung;Kim, Byung-Su;Park, Chang-Yeol
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.8
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    • pp.629-641
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    • 2007
  • This study estimated the urbanization effect of Seoul, the largest city in Korea, on its rainfall. For a comparative analysis, two different data sets are used: One is the precipitation data at the Jeonju rain gauge station, which has a relatively long record length but least urbanization effect, and the other at the Ichon rain gauge station, which has a short record length but located very near to Seoul with least urbanization effect. Also, the difference of the rainfall between Seoul and Jeonju rain gauge stations, as an indicator of urbanization effect, is quantified by use of the intervention model. As a result, it was found that the maximum rainfall intensity of the annual maximum rainfall events shows the increasing trend, its duration the decreasing trend, and the mean intensity the decreasing trend especially after 1960. Also, the quantification of urbanization effect using the intervention model shows that the increasing trend of rainfall intensity and total volume is still on going.

An Analysis of Impact of Urbanization on Income Inequality in Korea: Considering Serial Correlations, Spatial Dependence and Common Factor Effect (우리나라 소득불평등에 도시화가 미치는 영향 분석: 지니계수의 시차 자기상관, 공간의존성, 공통요인 효과를 고려하여)

  • So-youn Kim;Suyeol Ryu
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.310-323
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    • 2023
  • Urbanization and income distribution issues are global interest, and the results of studies on the impact of urbanization on income inequality are different for each country and period. This study analyzes the impact of urbanization on income inequality using regional data from 2000-2021. In particular, serial correlation, spatial dependence, and common factor effects of the Gini coefficient are confirmed and analyzed through a dynamic spatial panel regression model. As a result, urbanization has a positive effect on reducing income inequality. Therefore, it is necessary to continuously promote regional urbanization to improve the income distribution problem. Areas with already high urbanization rates should reduce income inequality by narrowing the wage gap by expanding training opportunities for low-skilled workers, and need to come up with measures to prevent counter-urbanization.

Research on Relationship between Urbanization and Energy Consumption (중국의 도시화와 에너지 소비 관계에 대한 연구)

  • Won, Doohwan;Jung, Sukwan
    • Journal of International Area Studies (JIAS)
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.91-112
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    • 2018
  • This study examined the dynamic relationship between urbanization and energy consumption in China. As an alternative to the conventional method of having the same integration of time series and large samples, ARDL method and Toda-Yamamoto causality analysis were applied. As a result, urbanization income, income, and energy consumption have a long-term stable equilibrium. Urbanization and income have a positive effect on energy consumption in the long run, but short-term changes of urbanization and income have no significant effect on energy consumption changes. The adjusted coefficient was -0.2395, which was statistically significant. In the causality test, income and energy consumption are useful to predict each other, but urbanization is exogenous because there are no causality with other variables. Since the process of urbanization in China has been proceeding slowly and deliberately by the government, it can be seen that the long-term effects of urbanization are clear and exogenous.

Urbanization Effect on the Observed Warming in Korea during the Recent Half Century (우리나라의 기온상승-도시효과인가 지구온난화인가)

  • 윤진일
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.58-63
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    • 2002
  • Since the rapid urbanization period coincides with the start of global warming, climate data might be contaminated with urbanization effect in Korea. Monthly normals of daily minimum, maximum, and mean temperature of 14 stations were calculated for 1951-1980 and 1971-2000 periods. Differences in two temperature normals were regressed to the natural logarithms of population increase at corresponding 14 cities from 1966 to 1990. The regression models were used to remove potential effects of urbanization from the apparent warming, and to determine the net contribution of global warming to the temperature change in Korea during the recent half century. According to the model calculation, there was little evidence of global warming in the warm season (May through November), while urbanization effect was common in all season except April. Up to 0.5$^{\circ}C$ warming of nighttime temperature was found to be induced by urbanization. Cool season temperature was increased by up to 0.6$^{\circ}C$ due mainly to the global warming of daytime temperature.

Analysis of the Urbanization Effect on Hydrologic Response

  • Jung, Young-Hun;Kang, Na-Rae;Lee, Seung-Oh;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.944-944
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    • 2012
  • Urbanization leads to a change of hydrologic responses because impervious area is increased by urbanization. Decrease of groundwater recharge and increase of overland flow are general hydrologic characteristics caused by urbanization. This can be a source of damages such as increased flooding and reduced groundwater levels. Daily streamflow in Gabcheon watershed, South Korea is simulated by ARCSWAT model, an extension of SWAT2005. After calibration and validation of model, the simulated daily streamflow from 1997 to 2001 are statistically analyzed. The phenomenon that $T_{Qmean}$ is inversly proportional to coefficient of variation for the simulated daily streamflow is demonstrated. Also, hydrologic response was more influenced by weather than land use for high flow. This study also examines the effect of land use change on daily streamflow with spatially and quantitatively different land use maps. The simulated stream flow is tested by Mann-Whitney method. The median between stream flows simulated for 1990 and 2000 land use maps is significantly different, but the simulated streamflow for spatially different land use maps is almost unchanged.

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The Relationship Between Urbanization, Education, and GDP Per Capita in Indonesia

  • HARYANTO, Tri;ERLANDO, Angga;UTOMO, Yoga
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.561-572
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to analyze the causality between GDP per capita, urbanization, and education. This also aims to determine the long-term and short-term relationships between economic urbanization, education, and GDP per capita by applying Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Data was obtained from the World Bank and UNDP from 1990 to 2018. The estimation results showed that economic growth and education on urbanization have the strongest causality in VECM. Therefore, they are pull factors with a significant effect in the long and the short term. Some suggestions concerning policy implications were stated, and they include: forming area-based urbanization, where cities within one area are integrated, to get the impact of an agglomeration economy. Also, the government needs to accelerate the distribution of infrastructure and public facilities in various regions to avoid population density in one area due to urbanization, and government needs to pay attention to easier access to education and more equitable ones in various regions. On the contrary, after education is evenly distributed in all regions, the government needs to pay attention to transportation access and infrastructure.

Study on the Climate Change and the Urbanization Effect in Busan (부산의 도시기후 변화 경향과 도시화 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Myung-Hee;Lee, Joon-Soo;Ahn, Ji-Suk;Shu, Young-Sang;Han, In-Seng;Kim, Hae-Dong
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.401-409
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    • 2012
  • This study examines the climatological variability of urban area and the increase of temperature by urbanization using the observed data of Busan and Mokpo during the last 100 years (1910~2010). The results are as follows. First, the maximum temperature in Busan during the last 100 years has increased by $1.5^{\circ}C$ while average temperature and the minimum temperature have increased by $1.6^{\circ}C$ and $2^{\circ}C$. In Mokpo, the maximum temperature and average temperature have increased by $1^{\circ}C$ and the minimum temperature has increased by $0.8^{\circ}C$. The increase of urban temperature appeared to be higher in Busan than in Mokpo by $0.5^{\circ}C{\sim}1.2^{\circ}C$. Second, as for the change in temperature before and after urbanization, the maximum temperature, average temperature and the minimum temperature during last 50 years compared to the previous 50 years have increased about $1.5^{\circ}C$, $1.6^{\circ}C$ and $2.1^{\circ}C$, however, the predicted temperature after removing urbanization effect was estimated to be increased by $1^{\circ}C$. The proportion that urbanization takes on the overall increase of temperature appeared to be 33% at the maximum temperature, 37.5% at average temperature and 52.3% at the minimum temperature, thus the proportion of urbanization appeared to be maximized at the minimum temperature.