• 제목/요약/키워드: economic model

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우리나라의 지역 특성이 지역 경제 성장에 미치는 요인과 영향 분석 (Analyzing Factors and Impacts of Regional Characteristics to Regional Economic Growth in South Korea)

  • 김근영
    • 도시과학
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzed the factors affecting economic growth using multiple regression model and Geographically Weighted Regression in consideration of population, industry and employment, housing and political characteristics on economic growth by region. The analysis results are summarized as follows. First, the total employment growth rate, manufacturing employment growth rate, local election turnout and the level of party consensus between the central and local governments are having a positive impact on regional economic growth. Second, according to the GWR analysis, the population has a positive impact on economic growth in the southern region of Korea, and the increase in the total number of employees has a positive impact on the southern region of Gyeonggi Province, Gangwon Province, North Chungcheong Province and North Gyeongsang Province. Finally, the voter turnout of urbanites is positively affecting economic growth in South Chungcheong Province, Gangwon Province and the southern coast, while North Jeolla and South Jeolla provinces have a positive impact on economic growth as the parties of the central and local governments are equal. The results of this study may suggest the role of local government for regional economic development.

The Impact of Trade Openness on Economic Growth in China: An Empirical Analysis

  • Hye, Qazi Muhammad Adnan;Wizarat, Shahida;Lau, Wee-Yeap
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2016
  • This study uses an endogenous economic growth model to determine the long run relationship between trade openness and economic growth in China by using the data 1975-2009.It contributes to the literature by developing trade openness index. An autoregressive distributed lag approach to cointegration and rolling regression method are employed. This study tests the link between trade openness and economic growth in the case of China by using the framework of endogenous economic growth model. This study also employs the rolling window regression method in order to examine the stability of coefficients throughout the sample span. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration technique and rolling regression method are used. The empirical findings indicate that trade openness (i.e. Both individual trade indicator and composite trade openness index) are positively related to economic growth in the long run and short run. Our results indicate that trade openness as measured by individual trade indicator and composite trade openness index are positively related to economic growth in the long run and short run. However, results from the rolling window suggest that trade openness is negatively linked to economic growth only for a number of years.

A Study on the Dynamic Relationship between Cultural Industry and Economic Growth

  • He, Yugang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2018
  • The cultural industry is treated as the sunrise industry in modern society. It has taken an increasing role in promoting the economic growth. Due to this, this paper attempts to explore the dynamic relationship between cultural industry and the economic growth. On the grounds of Cobb-Douglas production function, the cultural industry is regarded as a determinant such as the labor input and the capital input to impact the economic growth. Meanwhile, the quarterly datum form 2000-Q1 to 2017-Q4 are employed to perform an empirical analysis via the vector error correction model. The GDP is treated as an independent variable. The input of capital, the input of labor and the total input of cultural industry are treated as dependent variables. Furthermore, a menu of statistical approaches such as the co-integration test and the impulse response function will be used to testify the dynamic relationship between cultural industry and economic growth. Via the Johansen co-integration test, the results report that the cultural industry has a obviously positive effect on economic growth. Through the vector error correction estimation, the results also report that the cultural industry also has a significantly positive effect on economic growth, but less than that of the Johansen co-integration test. This paper provides a view that the cultural industry is a kind of a determinant to promote the economic growth. Therefore, the China's government should pay much attention to the cultural industry construction.

Determinants of Economic Growth in Indonesia: A Dynamic Panel Model

  • BASUKI, Agus Tri;PURWANINGSIH, Yunastiti;SOESILO, Albertus Maqnus;MULYANTO, Mulyanto
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권11호
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    • pp.147-156
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to analyze the effect of public spending, macroeconomic variables, and BPK opinion on economic growth. This study is motivated by the inequality of fiscal policy effectiveness between regions in Indonesia in influencing the economic growth of different regions, the ability of local governments to attract foreign investors, and the transparency of regional financial management in designing development programs to encourage regional economic growth. The analytical tool in this study is a dynamic panel regression model with data from 2008 to 2017. The results of this study show that, in the short term, the population affects regional economic growth, while in the long term, the economic growth is affected by the number of people, the poor, General Allocation Fund, health budget, foreign investment and BPK opinion. The findings of this study are that in the long term the General Allocation Fund becomes an obstacle to economic growth, this is because the general allocation funds is widely used to cover the lack of funds for routine regional activities, thereby reducing activities for development programs. Another research finding is that fiscal policies carried out by local governments make a small and ineffective contribution to promoting economic growth.

해상물동량과 항만의 처리능력 (Marine Freight Transportation and Cargo Handling Capacity of Ports)

  • 모수원
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.55-67
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate and forecast the marine trading volumes based on the structural model. We employ GPH cointegration test since the structural model must be stationary to get the accurate predicted values. The empirical results show that our model is stationary. This paper also applies variance decompositions and impulse-response functions to the structural model composed of exchange rate, domestic industrial activity, and world business. The results indicate that while both loading and unloading volumes respond positively to the shocks in income and then decay very slowly, their responses are different to the shocks in exchange tate.

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대학생의 경제적 불안과 식생활 대처행동 (University Students' Economic Distress and Coping Behavior in Meal Management)

  • 서정희;홍순명
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2000
  • This research investigated the effect of socio-economic variables and economic distress variables on the university students' coping behavior in meal management. The data used in this research included 544 university students in Ulsan Areas. The independent explanatory power of socio-economic variables was larger than economic distress variables. But the explanatory power was increased in the regression analysis model that was included both the socio-economic variables and the economic distress variables. The influencing variables that effected the level of coping behavior in meal management were the amount of discretionary expenditure, gender, status of housing, employment distress and income distress.

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Copula 모형을 이용한 에너지 가격과 경제적 불확실성 사이의 의존관계 분석 (Analysis on the Dependence Structure between Energy Price and Economic Uncertainty Using Copula Model)

  • 김부권;최기홍;윤성민
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.145-170
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 에너지(석유, 천연가스, 석탄) 가격과 경제적(실물 및 금융) 불확실성 사이의 의존성 구조를 분석하였다. Copula 모형을 이용해 얻은 의존구조 분석 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 에너지 가격과 실물·금융 불확실성 조합의 적합한 모형을 살펴보면, 원유가격과 실물·금융 불확실성 조합은 BB7 copula 모형, 천연가스 가격과 실물·금융 불확실성 조합은 Joe copula 모형, 석탄 가격과 실물·금융 불확실성 조합은 Clayton copula 모형이 각각 가장 적합한 모형으로 선정되었다. 둘째, 전체적인 의존성 구조를 살펴보면, 원유가격, 천연가스 가격, 석탄 가격과 실물 불확실성은 양(+)의 의존성을 보였다. 그렇지만 금융 불확실성과 원유가격은 양(+)의 의존성을 갖지만, 천연가스 가격과 석탄 가격은 금융 불확성과 음(-)의 의존성을 가지는 것으로 나타났다. 전체적으로 보면, 에너지원 중 원유가격이 실물·금융 불확실성과 가장 높은 의존성을 가지는 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 극단적인 사건을 나타내는 꼬리 의존성을 분석한 결과, 실물 불확실성과 원유, 천연가스 가격은 위 꼬리 의존성만 보이는 비대칭 관계를 가지는 것으로 나타났으며, 금융 불확실성과 원유가격은 위 꼬리 의존성만 보이는 비대칭 관계를 가지는 것으로 나타났다. 즉, 비대칭 관계를 갖는 에너지 가격은 부정적인 극단사건이 발생하는 경우 불확실성 변수와 강한 의존관계가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 반면, 경제적 불확실성과 석탄 가격은 꼬리 의존성이 없는 것으로 나타났다.

기대지열온도하에서 GDHS의 경제성분석 사례연구 (A Case Study for the Economic Feasibility Model and Analysis of a GDHS Given Geothermal Temperature)

  • 양문희;김태유;이상규
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.115-127
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    • 1997
  • A GDHS(Geothermal District Heating System) is a heating system supplying a group of districts with heat extracted from geothermal sources. The advantages of GDHS include saving fuel consumption as well as reducing air pollution. This paper presents a case study for the economic feasibility model and analysis of a GDHS with which central/individual heating systems are replaced. Configuring to a simplified GDHS which consisits of subsurface systems, surface systems, and transmission/distribution systems, we find out the properties of the system and the model parameters affecting the initial investment/operating costs in order to develop a classical economic feasibility model given geothermal temperature. Based on our model parameter space, we analyzed the geothermal development project of the Jejoo Island probabilistically given prior information such as the expected geothermal power, the demand size and the length of transmission/distribution pipes.

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척수손상 환자의 재활 치료 지속이행 설명모형 (An Explanatory Model for Patient Adherence of Rehabilitation in patients with Spinal Cord Injury)

  • 김애리
    • 성인간호학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.90-102
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identity factors affecting patient adherence and to develop an explanatory model for patient adherence in patients with spinal cord injury. 8 Variables that were based on the previous research and a review of literature were used to construct hypothetical model. Social support, economic status, perceived barrier, patient provider relationship and rehabilitation related knowledge were the exogenous variables, depression, self-efficacy and patient adherence were the endogenous variables. Methods: Data form 117 patients with SCI were analysed to test the hypothetical model, using SAS and LISREL 8.53 program. Results: The overall fitness of the model was good (GFI=.991, AGFI=.915, NNFI=1.299, NFI=.953, p=.632) Depression, powerlessness, economic status were the strong factors influencing patient adherence. Powerlessness was significant factors for self-efficacy. Conclusion: To improve of patient adherence should focus on nursing intervention for depression, powerlessness and economic status.

Engineering Valuation Based on Small Samples

  • Cho, Jin-Hyung;Lee, Sae-Jae;Seo, Bo-Chul
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2006
  • Box-Cox model and T-factor method have been widely used to measure economic depreciations for industrial property. The Box-Cox model which combines economic efficiency with depreciation pattern is here extended to the reliability function. To do so a Rayleigh distribution which has been used to estimate the reliability of current assets was chosen as an efficiency curve of marginal productivity. Such an approach provides the possibility to classify the efficiency curves into four categories. It is also possible to analyze the types of depreciation curves. Therefore, the power family of a non-linear Box-Cox model could be set at certain constant values, then the model can be transformed into a linear model to estimate the economic depreciation rates by utilizing the reliability function. Estimating the resultant linear regression equation requires minimal number of observations, while at the same time facilitating the test of hypothesis on depreciation rates.