• Title/Summary/Keyword: econometric analysis

Search Result 154, Processing Time 0.021 seconds

The Impact of Insurance Contract on Insurance Complaint Ratios through Text Analysis

  • Jeongkwon Seo;Woojin Yang;Hyejin Mun;Chul Ho Lee
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
    • /
    • v.31 no.4
    • /
    • pp.527-542
    • /
    • 2021
  • The government-driven open data policies are on the rise to protect consumers from misunderstandings and monitor the companies. However, in contract-based industries such as insurance, the contract-inherent characteristics make information asymmetry between consumers and companies. Our paper focuses on insurance contracts where the contingency has high uncertainty of occurrence, and the clauses may incur high costs of reading. Given those contracts, we hypothesized that the contract's clear statement decreases customer dissatisfaction and lowers the number of complaints. To empirically support the claim, we collected customers' complaint documents of insurance companies and insurance contracts from 2005 until 2017. Our econometric models showed that clearer statements and words significantly reduce the complaints after controlling for firm-specific heterogeneity and time-specific heterogeneity. We identify that insurance companies' complaint ratio significantly differ depending on the insurance contract, including specific clauses and words.

Contribution of Tourism and Foreign Direct Investment to Gross Domestic Product: Econometric Analysis in the Case of Sri Lanka

  • MOHAMED MUSTAFA, Abdul Majeed
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.6 no.4
    • /
    • pp.109-114
    • /
    • 2019
  • The purpose of the study to evaluate the contribution of foreign direct investment (FDI) and tourism receipts (TR) to Sri Lanka's gross domestic product (GDP). This study employs time series annual data for the period from 1978 to 2016 and EViews 10 econometrics software was used for the time series data analysis. Unit root test was done on the variables and the method chosen was the Augmented Dicky - Fuller test. Co-integration analysis was used for the long run relationship and the Granger causality test was performed to investigate the causal relationship. Recently a more conducive environment has been established after the three decade long ethnic war came to an end. In this context, the Sri Lankan government has taken positive measures to attract foreign direct investment and boost tourism in the country. This study intends to evaluate the contribution of Sri Lanka, as these two factors are considered to be very effective at increasing the GDP of a country. The empirical study shows that there is a positive and statistically significant relationship between the variable's TR and FDI to the GDP in the long run. Results of Granger causality test implied that the two-way causality promoted the economic growth of Sri Lanka.

A Study on the Long-Term Forecast of Timber demand in Korea (우리나라 목재수요의 장기예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Byeong-Yil;Kim, Se-Bln;Kwon, Yong-Dae
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.41-51
    • /
    • 1998
  • This study not only carried out to grasp about the sununarized characteristics of the relationship between international timber market and production trend of wood products, but also focused on the analysis of korean wood demand and the long-term forecast with econometric analysis. The result of regression analysis for wood demand in Korea is that coniferous roundwood demand(CIWD) is explained by coniferous foreign roundwood price(CWRI), Gross domestic product(GDP), a dummy variable. Non-coniferous roundwood demand(NCIWD)is explained by non-coniferous roundwood price(NCWRI), coniferous roundwood price(CWRI), a dummy variable. As the result of long-term forecast by base case, the total roundwood demand was forecasted $11,107,000m^3$ in the year 2000, $11,781,000m^3$ in 2005, $12,565,000m^3$ in 2010. As the result of scenario 1, total roundwood demand was forecasted $11,027,000m^3$ in 2000, $11,435,000m^3$ in 2005, $11,952,000m^3$ in 2010. And as the result by scenario 2, total roundwood demand was forecasted $11,341,000m^3$ in 2000, $12,208,000m^3$ in 2005 $13,257,000m^3$ in 2010.

  • PDF

An Empirical Analysis on the Long-term Balance of Bunker Oil Prices Using the Co-integration Model and Vector Error Correction Model (공적분·벡터오차수정모형을 활용한 벙커유 가격의 장기균형 수렴에 관한 실증분석)

  • Ahn, Young-Gyun;Lee, Min-Kyu
    • Korea Trade Review
    • /
    • v.44 no.1
    • /
    • pp.75-86
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study performs a factor analysis that affects the bunker oil price using the Co-integration model and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). For this purpose, we use data from Clarkson and the analysis results show 17.6% decrease in bunker oil price when the amount of crude oil production increases at 1.0%, 10.3% increase in bunker oil price when the seaborne trade volume increases at 1.0%, 1.0% decrease in bunker oil price when total volume of vessels increases at 1.0%, and 0.003% increase in bunker oil price when 1.0% increase in world GDP, respectively. This study is meaningful in that this study estimates the speed of convergence to long-term equilibrium and identifies the price adjust mechanism which naturally exists in bunker oil market. And it is expected that the future study can provide statistically more meaningful econometric results if it can obtain data during more long-periods and use more various kinds of explanatory variables.

Estimating CIF-FOB Margins of Korea's Imports at Country and Product Level (한국 수입의 국가별, 품목별 CIF-FOB 마진 추정)

  • Seung-Kwan Shin
    • Korea Trade Review
    • /
    • v.47 no.4
    • /
    • pp.53-68
    • /
    • 2022
  • It has great significance to estimate CIF-FOB margins of international trade. It certainly helps develop statistics on transport costs of international trade and provides basic data for econometric analysis of transport costs. It also contributes much to our standing the correlation between the margins and trade partners' geographical distance as well as one between the margins and trading products. However, the quality issue of international trade statistics renders it very difficult to derive trustworthy CIF-FOB margin estimates. Utilizing various analytical approaches, this study intended to acquire credible estimates of CIF-FOB margins for Korea's total imports and for country/product specific imports data. Major findings are as follows. First, the average of CIF-FOB margins of Korea's total imports is 7.3% and is generally declining. Second, country level analysis provides credible estimates for CIF-FOB margins of Korea's imports from four partners (Japan, the US, Australia, and Brazil). The differences in margins among these four countries are caused by geographical distance and characteristics of traded products. Third, product level analysis reveals that the margins of gold and passenger vehicles are fairly low while those of primary products tend to be high.

A Meta Analysis on International Trade Transportation and Logistics of Korea Trade Review between 1975 and 2020 (무역학회지 메타 분석-운송 및 물류 분야)

  • Jae-Wook Lim
    • Korea Trade Review
    • /
    • v.46 no.1
    • /
    • pp.191-210
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study is following the study of "A Meta Analysis on International Trade Transportation and Logistics" published in Korea Trade Review(KTR) in 2014 and adding additional analysis for articles published in journals of international trade transportation and logistics. Studying issues of KTR are moving from transportation to logistics after 2014 and it is similar with the other international journals. The ratio of the thems of 'Economic, Policy, Regional, Technical, General Enterprise Management' in KTR is 36%, while 57.36% of IJLM and 61.88% of JBL. Main theme in the field of international transportation and logistics is Supply Chain Management(SCM). After the former study, in the viewpoint of research methods, quantitative researches are increased while their portion is still low compare to International Journal of Logistics Management(IJLM) and Journal of Business Logistics (JBL). Especially econometric research method is highly adopted in the international journals compare to KTR. Number of authors of KTR is less than IJLM and JBL, because the collaboration between researchers is needed when they publish articles in the international journals like IJLM and JBL.

The Effects of Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Absorptive Capabilities on the Economic Growth of the Lao People's Democratic Republic

  • NANTHARATH, Phouthakannha;KANG, Eungoo
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.6 no.3
    • /
    • pp.151-162
    • /
    • 2019
  • The paper examines the effects of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on the economic growth of Lao People's Democratic Republic (Lao PDR) between 1993 and 2015. The investigation is based on the influence of growth and economic absorptive capability determinants such as human capital, trade openness, and institutional quality. The methodological analysis uses a multivariate framework accounting capital stock, labor stock, FDI, human capital, trade openness, and institutional quality in regression of the Vector Autoregressive model. Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test, Johansen Cointegration test, and Granger Causality test were applied as parts of the econometric time-series analysis approach. The empirical results demonstrate the positive effects of FDI and trade openness, and the negative effects of human capital and institutional quality on the economic growth of the Lao PDR over the 1993 to 2015 period. The findings confirm that trade openness complemented by a sufficient level of infrastructure, education, quality institutions, and transparency significantly influence economic growth and attract more FDI. Research results lend credence to the need for the Lao PDR's government to focus on improving its economic absorptive capability and economic competitiveness regionally and globally by improving wealth and resource management strategies, as failure to take this course of action could lead to the Dutch Disease effects.

The Influence of E-Commerce on the Foreign Trade of Shanghai Free Trade Zone

  • MA, Xinxin;ZHANG, Fan
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
    • /
    • v.11 no.8
    • /
    • pp.21-29
    • /
    • 2020
  • Purpose: As one of the most developed cities in China, the application of e-commerce is more mature, especially the promotion of ecommerce to foreign trade. After the establishment of Shanghai Free Trade Zone (FTZ) in 2013, the government issued a series of policies to promote the application of e-commerce in Shanghai's foreign trade. This paper takes Shanghai FTZ as an example to study how to develop the application of e-commerce in other free trade zones and how to innovate the international trade mode. Research design, data and methodology: This paper selects the latest data from 2010 to 2019, uses econometric correlation analysis and regression analysis to study the impact of e-commerce on the foreign trade of Shanghai FTZ. Results: At last, the conclusion is drawn that the establishment of free trade zone provides many advantages for the development of e-commerce in Shanghai, and the growth of e-commerce in Shanghai FTZ promotes the development of foreign trade of Shanghai FTZ. Conclusions: So as to promote the development of e-commerce in Shanghai Free Trade Zone, some suggestions are put forward, such as increasing network supervision, establishing e-commerce talent training system, logistics management and information management systematization.

Quantifying the Price Effect of Deregulation as a Pro-competition Policy

  • Choi, Dong Ook;Kim, Yunhee
    • STI Policy Review
    • /
    • v.6 no.1
    • /
    • pp.24-35
    • /
    • 2015
  • This research constructs a data set regarding competition policy through a comprehensive review of previous studies, and performs a meta-analysis to quantitatively assess the price effects of deregulation. A structural econometric model is used to eliminate possible biases from heterogeneity of the studies,such as in publication types and measurement methods. Four types of regulations that deter competition are characterized and three groups of industries are made for drawing practical implications. We fnd that deregulation to promote competition reduces prices by 0.23% and that these estimated price effects are more stable when we control for the publication types and measurement ways. Easing regulations that restrict consumers' choice is shown to be most effcient in promoting competition, lowering prices by 0.7%. This is followed by eliminating the limitation in the number of frms in the industry, with 0.2% price reduction. Overall, the network and service industries are shown to be more responsive to deregulation than the R&D industry. These results could shed light on policy implementation when a pro-competition policy is called for due to restrictive regulations in the corresponding industries.

The benefit analysis of constructing the visual conservation center (영상자료센터 건립사업의 경제적 편익)

  • Jeong, Ki-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.22 no.5
    • /
    • pp.885-893
    • /
    • 2011
  • Visual conservation center is a facility for the preservation of visual materials such as film and digital image data, and its construction project is currently being considered. This study evaluates the economic benefit of the project using CVM (Contingent Valuation Method), the main method of nonmarket evaluation in the both domestic and foreign literature. Survey data used in the analysis was collected in seven major metropolitan cities using person-to-person interviews and a logit model is used for the econometric estimation. The economic benefit measured by a household's average willing to pay (WTP) per year is shown to amount to 8,958 won.