• 제목/요약/키워드: earthquake catalog

검색결과 14건 처리시간 0.042초

EQHAZARD를 이용한 한반도 지진 파라미터 추정 (An Evaluation of Seismicity Parameters in the Korean Peninsula Using EQHAZARD)

  • 연관희
    • 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국지진공학회 1998년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집 Proceedings of EESK Conference-Spring 1998
    • /
    • pp.31-38
    • /
    • 1998
  • In this study, statistical analyses implemented in the EPRI EQHAZARD programs were employed to estimate the sismicity parameters in the Korean peninsula based upon an combined Korean earthquake catalog. The combined earthquake catalog was prepared by performing earthquake clustering analysis on the collected earthquake catalogs provided by experts of the seismic panel during the PSA for Yonggwang Units 1 & 2. The duplicate earthquake events and secondary events in earthquake clusters have been successfully screened. The resultant earthquake catalog was analyzed to quantitatively assess the incompleteness of the earthquake catalog for specified earthquake magnitudes and time periods. The result shows that the earthquake catalog of the Korean peninsula is complete for the times periods of 1392 ~ 1750 and 1905 ~ 1989 (AD) and earthquake magnitude above 4.5. The PSHA methodology of EQHAZARD features the estimation of inhomogeneous a-and b-values within a seismic source. This study shows various results of a-and b-value is well constrained lying between o.6 and 1.0. Also the confidence of estimated a-and b-value for a specifed location was assessed by quantifing the uncertainty of these parameters using bootstrap simulation.

  • PDF

A STUDY OF THE HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE CATALOG AND GUTENBERG-RICHTER PARAMETER VALUES OF THE KOREAN PENINSULA

  • Seo, Jeong-Moon;Choi, In-Kil;Rhee, Hyun-Me
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제42권1호
    • /
    • pp.55-64
    • /
    • 2010
  • The KIER's Korean historical earthquake catalog was revised for MMI${\geq}$VI events recorded from the years 27 A.D. to 1904. the magnitude of each event was directly determined from the criteria suggested by Seo. The criteria incorporated the damage phenomena of the Japanese historical earthquake catalog, recent seismological studies, and the results of tests performed on ancient structures in Korea. Thus, the uncertainty of the magnitudes of the Korean historical earthquakes can be reduced. Also, the Gutenberg-Richter parameter values were estimated based on the revised catalog of this study. It was determined that the magnitudes of a maximum inland and minimum offshore event were approximately 6.3 and 6.5, respectively. The Gutenberg-Richter parameter pairs of the historical earthquake catalog were estimated to be a=5.32${\pm}$0.21, b=0.95${\pm}$0.19, which were somewhat lower than those obtained from recent complete instrumental earthquakes. No apparent change in the Gutenberg-Richter parameter is observed for the $16^{th}-17^{th}$ centuries of the seismically active period.

한반도 지진목록자료의 불완정성을 고려한 지진재해도 분석 (Seismic Hazard Analysis Considering the Incompleteness in the Korean Earthquake Catalog)

  • 연관희
    • 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국지진공학회 1998년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집 Proceedings of EESK Conference-Spring 1998
    • /
    • pp.413-420
    • /
    • 1998
  • In this paper, two methods, Stepp's and EQHAZARD, are introduced and applied to a recent earthquake catalog for the entire Korean Peninsula that can estimate the seismicity by incorporating the incompleteness of the earthquake catalog. EQHAZARD method, different from Stepp's method in that it used priori information besides the assumption of stationary Poisson process of the earthquakes, produces the higher seismicity rate for the smaller earthquakes. EQHAZARD method are also used to estimated the incompleteness of the recent earthquake catalog for the southern part of the Korean Peninsula in terms of the Probability of Activity for the specified earthquke magnitude classes and time periods. It is believed that the Probability of Activity thus obtained can be used as a strong priori information in estimating the seismicity for a seismic source within the region where there are not enough earthquakes detected. Finally, it is demonstrated that the arbitrary selection of the methods. of incompleteness analysis brings quite different seismic hazard results, which suggests the need to employ a rigid quantitative method for incompleteness analysis in estimating the seismicity parameters in order to reduce the uncertainty in the Seismic Hazard Results with the EQHAZARD method being one of the competent practical alternatives.

  • PDF

지진활동 매개변수 추정을 위한 기상청 지진목록의 최소규모 분석 (Minimum magnitudes of earthquake catalog of Korea Meteorological Agency for the estimation of seismicity parameters)

  • 노명현;이상국;최강룡
    • 지구물리
    • /
    • 제3권4호
    • /
    • pp.261-268
    • /
    • 2000
  • 기상청 지진목록에 대하여 지진활동 매개변수 추정을 위한 최소규모를 분석하였다. 한반도 남부지역 전체에 대하여, 규모별 발생빈도의 시간적 변화로부터 규모 3.0이 적절한 최소규모로 추정되었다. 최소규모 3.0이상 지진의 발생빈도로부터 추정된 b 값은 1.11로서 이전의 연구결과에 비하여 크게 나타났다. 한반도 남부지역을 $0.1^{\circ}{\times}0.1^{\circ}$ 격자로 나누어 최소규모의 공간적 분포를 분석한 결과 많은 지점에서 최소규모에 대한 통계적 기준을 만족시키지 못하는 것으로 나타났다. 통계적 기준을 만족하는 지점은 주로 동부지역에 집중되며, 이 지역에서 최소규모는 $2.4{\sim}3.5$이다. 또한 b 값은 $0.75{\sim}1.73$ 이며, 평균은 1.08로서 한반도 남부지역 전체에 대한 값과 유사하다.

  • PDF

KSRS 관측자료에 의한 b-값 평가 (Estimation of b-value for Earthquakes Data Recorded on KSRS)

  • 신진수;강익범;김근영
    • 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국지진공학회 2002년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.28-34
    • /
    • 2002
  • The b-value in the magnitude-frequency relationship logN(m) = $\alpha$ - bmwhere N(m) is the number of earthquakes exceeding magnitude m, is important seismicity parameter In hazard analysis. Estimation of the b-value for earthquake data observed on KSRS array network is done employing the maximum likelihood technique. Assuming the whole Korea Peninsula as a single seismic source area, the b-value is computed at 0.9. The estimation for KMA earthquake data is also similar to that. Since estimate is a function of minimum magnitude, we can inspect the completeness of earthquake catalog in the fitting process of b-value. KSRS and KMA data lists are probably incomplete for magnitudes less than 2.0 and 3.0, respectively. Examples from probabilistic seismic hazard assessment calculated for a range of b-value show that the small change of b-value has seriously effect on the prediction of ground motion.

  • PDF

한반도 일원에서 발생한 Event 특성 (Characteristics of local events occured in and around the Korean Peninsula in 2002)

  • 전정수;제일영;지헌철;박윤경
    • 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국지진공학회 2003년도 춘계 학술발표회논문집
    • /
    • pp.12-15
    • /
    • 2003
  • Korea Institute of Geoscience and Mineral Resources(KIGAM) is operating Wonju Korea Seismic Research Station(KSRS), 29 regional seismic research stations and 5 Korea-China joint seismic stations in China. Also KIGAM is operating Korea Earthquake Monitoring System (KEMS) to archive the real-time data stream and to determine event parameters (epicenter, origin time, and magnitude) by the automatic processing and analyst review. To do this, KEMS used KIGAM's regional seismic network and other institute's network in a near real-time base. From Dec. 1, 2001 to Nov. 30, 2002, 3,827 seismic events were analyzed in a automatic processing procedure and finally 3,437 events were analyzed by analyst and archived. But problem is this event catalog includes not only natural earthquake, but also artificial events produced by the blast. More than 80 % events were concentrated in daytime and many events were concentrated in the confirmed blast sites, Pyeongyang, Pocheon, Yeongjong-do, Donghae city, etc. Because these artificial events are a major potential cause of error when estimating the seismicity of a specific region, discrimination procedure has to be developed in the first place.

  • PDF

기계학습 분석을 위한 차원 확장과 차원 축소가 적용된 지진 카탈로그 (Application of Dimensional Expansion and Reduction to Earthquake Catalog for Machine Learning Analysis)

  • 장진수;소병달
    • 지질공학
    • /
    • 제32권3호
    • /
    • pp.377-388
    • /
    • 2022
  • 최근, 다수의 연구가 지수적으로 증가하는 지진 자료를 효율적이고 정확하게 처리하기 위해 기계학습을 활용하고 있다. 본 연구는 지진의 발생 시간, 위치, 규모의 정보를 확장하여 기계학습에 적용 가능한 자료를 제작한 후, 주성분 분석을 통해 추출한 자료의 주요 성분으로 자료의 차원을 축소하였다. 차원이 확장된 자료는 36,699개의 지진 사건을 포함하는 Global Centroid Moment Tensor 카탈로그로부터 얻은 지진 정보의 통계량으로 구성되었다. 표준화와 최대-최소화 스케일링을 활용하여 자료 전처리를 수행하였으며, 스케일링이 완료된 자료에 주성분 분석을 적용하여 자료의 주요 특징을 추출하였다. 스케일링은 상이한 단위로 인한 특징 값의 차이를 현저히 감소시켰으며, 그 중 표준화는 다른 전처리에 비해서 각 특징의 중앙값을 더 균등하게 변환하였다. 주성분 분석이 스케일링이 적용되지 않은 자료로부터 추출한 여섯 개의 주성분은 원본 자료의 정보를 99% 설명하였다. 표준화와 최대-최소 스케일링이 적용된 자료로부터 추출한 열여섯 개의 주성분은 원본 자료의 정보의 98%를 재구성하였다. 이는 특징 값의 분포가 균등한 자료의 정보를 보존하기 위해서는 더 많은 주성분이 필요함을 지시한다. 본 연구는 지진 데이터와 지진 거동과의 관계를 분석하는 효율적이고 정확한 기계 학습 모형을 훈련시키기 위한 데이터 처리 방법을 제안하였다.

초동 전파시간과 진앙거리의 경험적인 관계를 이용한 진앙 추정 (Estimation of epicenter using an empirical relationship between epicentral distance and traveltime of the first arrival)

  • 신동훈;박창업;황의홍;전영수
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회 2007년도 공동학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.64-68
    • /
    • 2007
  • The classic graphical method to determine the epicenter uses differences between the arrival times of P and S waves at each station. In this research, a robust approach is proposed, which provides a fast and intuitive estimation of earthquake epicenters. This method uses an empirical relationship between epicentral distance and traveltime of the first arrival P phase of local or regional earthquake. The relationship enables us to estimate epicentral distances and draw epicentral circles from each station with P-traveltimes counted from a probable origin time. As the assigned time is getting close to the origin time of the earthquake, epicentral circles begin to intersect each other at a possible location of the epicenter. Then the possibility of the epicenter can be expressed by a function of the time and the space. We choose the location which gives the minimum standard deviation of the origin time as an estimated epicenter. In this research, 918 P arrival times from 84 events occurring from 2005 to 2006 listed in the KMA earthquake catalog are used to determine the empirical P-traveltime function of epicentral distances.

  • PDF