• 제목/요약/키워드: dynamic prediction method

검색결과 549건 처리시간 0.029초

네트워크 기반 시간지연 시스템을 위한 리세트 제어 및 확률론적 예측기법을 이용한 온라인 학습제어시스템 (Online Learning Control for Network-induced Time Delay Systems using Reset Control and Probabilistic Prediction Method)

  • 조현철;심광열;이권순
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
    • /
    • 제15권9호
    • /
    • pp.929-938
    • /
    • 2009
  • This paper presents a novel control methodology for communication network based nonlinear systems with time delay nature. We construct a nominal nonlinear control law for representing a linear model and a reset control system which is aimed for corrective control strategy to compensate system error due to uncertain time delay through wireless communication network. Next, online neural control approach is proposed for overcoming nonstationary statistical nature in the network topology. Additionally, DBN (Dynamic Bayesian Network) technique is accomplished for modeling of its dynamics in terms of casuality, which is then utilized for estimating prediction of system output. We evaluate superiority and reliability of the proposed control approach through numerical simulation example in which a nonlinear inverted pendulum model is employed as a networked control system.

Dynamic Analysis of Harmonically Excited Non-Linear Structure System Using Harmonic Balance Method

  • 문병영;강범수;김병수
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
    • /
    • 제15권11호
    • /
    • pp.1507-1516
    • /
    • 2001
  • An analytical method is presented for evaluation of the steady state periodic behavior of nonlinear structural systems. This method is based on the substructure synthesis formulation and a harmonic balance procedure, which is applied to the analysis of nonlinear responses. A complex nonlinear system is divided into substructures, of which equations are approximately transformed to modal coordinates including nonlinear term under the reasonable procedure. Then, the equations are synthesized into the overall system and the nonlinear solution for the system is obtained. Based on the harmonic balance method, the proposed procedure reduces the size of large degrees-of-freedom problem in the solving nonlinear equations. Feasibility and advantages of the proposed method are illustrated using the study of the nonlinear rotating machine system as a large mechanical structure system. Results obtained are reported to be an efficient approach with respect to nonlinear response prediction when compared with other conventional methods.

  • PDF

유도탄의 초기 구속력이 발사안정에 미치는 영향 (The Effect on Launching Stability Due to the Initial Missile Detent Force)

  • 심우전;임범수;이우진
    • 한국정밀공학회지
    • /
    • 제14권4호
    • /
    • pp.22-29
    • /
    • 1997
  • This paper presents results on dynamic analysis of the missile initial motion arising from the missile detent force. Using ADAMS (Automatic Dynamic Analysis of Mechanical Syatem) software, a non- linear46-DOF (Degree of Freedom) model is developed for the launcher system including missile and lunch tube contact problem. From the dynamic analysis, it is found that initial angular velocity of the missile incre- ases when the missile detent force increases and also when rocket exhaust plume is taken into account. To achieve the missile launching stability, it needs to reduce the missile initial detent force and exhaust plume area of the lancher. Results of the dynamic analysis on the system natural frequency agree well with those obtained from experimental modal tests. The overall results suggest that the proposed method is a useful tool for prediction of initial missile stability as well as design of the missile launcher system.

  • PDF

발사시 초기 구속력이 유도탄 발사안정에 미치는 영향 (The Effect on the Launching Stability due to the Initial Missile Detent Force)

  • 심우전;임범수
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국정밀공학회 1996년도 추계학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.1017-1022
    • /
    • 1996
  • This paper presents results of dynamic analysis of the missile initial motion arising from the missile detent force. Using ADAMS (Automatic Dynamic Analysis of Mechanical System) software, a non-linear 46-DOF (Degree of Freedom) model is developed for the launcher system including missile and launch tube contact problem. From the dynamic analysis, it is found that initial angular velocity of the missile increases when the missile detent force increases (more than 18 g) and also rocket exhaust plume is taken into account. To achieve the missile launching s ability, it needs to reduce the missile initial detent force and exhaust plume area of the launcher. Results of the dynamic analysis on the system natural frequency agree well with those obtained from experimental modal tests. The overall results suggest that the proposed method is a useful tool for prediction of initial missile stability as well as d :sign of the missile launcher system.

  • PDF

유한요소법에 의한 열간단조공정에서 강의 미세조직변화 예측 (Prediction of microstructural evloution in hot forging of steel by finite element method)

  • 장용순;고대철;최재찬
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국정밀공학회 1995년도 추계학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.219-222
    • /
    • 1995
  • The objective of this study is to demonstrate the ability of a computer simulation of microstructural evolution in hot forging of C-Mn steels. The finite element method is applied to the prediction of the microstructural evolution, and it should be coupled with heat transfer analysis to consider the change of thermomechanical properties during the deformation. In this study, Yada's recrystallization model and rigid-thermoviscoplastic finite element method were employed in order to analyze microstructural evolution during hot forging process. To show the validity and effectveness of the proposed method, the experiment of hot compression process was accomplished and the results of experiment were compared with those of simulation. Consequently, this approach shows a good agreement with experimental results.

  • PDF

The Admissible Multiperiod Mean Variance Portfolio Selection Problem with Cardinality Constraints

  • Zhang, Peng;Li, Bing
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
    • /
    • 제16권1호
    • /
    • pp.118-128
    • /
    • 2017
  • Uncertain factors in finical markets make the prediction of future returns and risk of asset much difficult. In this paper, a model,assuming the admissible errors on expected returns and risks of assets, assisted in the multiperiod mean variance portfolio selection problem is built. The model considers transaction costs, upper bound on borrowing risk-free asset constraints, cardinality constraints and threshold constraints. Cardinality constraints limit the number of assets to be held in an efficient portfolio. At the same time, threshold constraints limit the amount of capital to be invested in each stock and prevent very small investments in any stock. Because of these limitations, the proposed model is a mix integer dynamic optimization problem with path dependence. The forward dynamic programming method is designed to obtain the optimal portfolio strategy. Finally, to evaluate the model, our result of a meaning example is compared to the terminal wealth under different constraints.

시계열 기상모델을 이용한 열적 위험확률 기반 동적 송전용량의 예측 (Prediction of Dynamic Line Rating Based on Thermal Risk Probability by Time Series Weather Models)

  • 김동민;배인수;조종만;장경;김진오
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
    • /
    • 제55권7호
    • /
    • pp.273-280
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper suggests the method that forecasts Dynamic Line Rating (DLR). Thermal Overload Risk Probability (TORP) of the next time is forecasted based on the present weather conditions and DLR value by Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS). To model weather elements of transmission line for MCS process, this paper will propose the use of statistical weather models that time series is applied. Also, through the case study, it is confirmed that the forecasted TORP can be utilized as a criterion that decides DLR of next time. In short, proposed method may be used usefully to keep security and reliability of transmission line by forecasting transmission capacity of the next time.

Dynamic Analysis of Harmonically Excited Non-Linear System Using Multiple Scales Method

  • Moon, Byung-Young;Kang, Beom-Soo
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
    • /
    • 제16권6호
    • /
    • pp.819-828
    • /
    • 2002
  • An analytical method is presented for evaluation of the steady state periodic behavior of nonlinear systems. This method is based on the substructure synthesis formulation and a MS (multiple scales) procedure, which is applied to the analysis of nonlinear responses. The proposed procedure reduces the size of large degrees-of-freedom problem in solving nonlinear equations. Feasibility and advantages of the proposed method are illustrated with the nonlinear rotating machine system as an example of large mechanical structure systems. In addition, its efficiency for nonlinear response prediction will be shown by comparison of other conventional methods.

비선형 로터-하우싱 시스템의 동특성 해석 연구 (A study on the Analysis of Dynamic Characteristic for Nonlinear Rotor-Housing Systems)

  • Kim, G.G.;Lim, J.H.;Chung, I.S.
    • 한국정밀공학회지
    • /
    • 제12권2호
    • /
    • pp.69-78
    • /
    • 1995
  • Nonlinear analysis methods are developed which will enable the reliable prediction of the dynamic behavior of the space shuttle main engine(SSME) turbopumps in the presence of bearing clearances and other local nonlinearities. A computationally efficient convolution method, based on discretized Duhamel and transition matrix integral formulations, is developed for the transient analysis. In the formulation, the coupling forces due to the onlinearities are treated as external forces acting on the coupled subsystems. Iteration is utilized to determine their magnitudes at each time increament. The method is applied to a nonlinear generic model of the high pressure oxygen turthods, the convolution approach proved to be more accurate and highly more efficient. For determining the nonlinear, steady-state periodic responses, an incremental harmonic balance(IHB) method was also developed. The method was successfully used to determine dominantly harmonic and subharmonic(subsynchronous) responses of the HPOTP generic model with bearing clearances. A reduction method similar to the impedance formulation utilized with linear systems is used to reduce the housing-totor models to their coordinates at the bearing clearances.

  • PDF

Apply evolved grey-prediction scheme to structural building dynamic analysis

  • Z.Y. Chen;Yahui Meng;Ruei-Yuan Wang;Timothy Chen
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • 제90권1호
    • /
    • pp.19-26
    • /
    • 2024
  • In recent years, an increasing number of experimental studies have shown that the practical application of mature active control systems requires consideration of robustness criteria in the design process, including the reduction of tracking errors, operational resistance to external disturbances, and measurement noise, as well as robustness and stability. Good uncertainty prediction is thus proposed to solve problems caused by poor parameter selection and to remove the effects of dynamic coupling between degrees of freedom (DOF) in nonlinear systems. To overcome the stability problem, this study develops an advanced adaptive predictive fuzzy controller, which not only solves the programming problem of determining system stability but also uses the law of linear matrix inequality (LMI) to modify the fuzzy problem. The following parameters are used to manipulate the fuzzy controller of the robotic system to improve its control performance. The simulations for system uncertainty in the controller design emphasized the use of acceleration feedback for practical reasons. The simulation results also show that the proposed H∞ controller has excellent performance and reliability, and the effectiveness of the LMI-based method is also recognized. Therefore, this dynamic control method is suitable for seismic protection of civil buildings. The objectives of this document are access to adequate, safe, and affordable housing and basic services, promotion of inclusive and sustainable urbanization, implementation of sustainable disaster-resilient construction, sustainable planning, and sustainable management of human settlements. Simulation results of linear and non-linear structures demonstrate the ability of this method to identify structures and their changes due to damage. Therefore, with the continuous development of artificial intelligence and fuzzy theory, it seems that this goal will be achieved in the near future.